The influences of snow cover, vegetation and topography on the upper range limit of common wombats Vombatus ursinus in the subalpine zone, Australia

Diversity and Distributions

Volumn 16, Issue 2, 2010, Pages 277-287

  Matthews, Alison ^a   Spooner, Peter G ^a   Lunney, Daniel ^b   Green, Ken ^c   Klomp, Nicholas I ^a  

^a CHARLES STURT UNIVERSITY   (Australia)

^b Climate Change and Water ^*  (Australia)

^c NSW National Parks and Wildlife Service   (Australia)

Author keywords

Climate change; Logistic regression; Range limit; Subalpine; Vombatus ursinus; Wildlife habitat model

Indexed keywords

BULK DENSITY; CLIMATE MODELING; ECOSYSTEM RESPONSE; HABITAT QUALITY; HERBIVORE; LIMITING FACTOR; MARSUPIAL; RANGE EXPANSION; RANGE SIZE; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; RESOURCE AVAILABILITY; SNOW COVER; SOIL PROFILE; SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION; SPECIES OCCURRENCE; SUBALPINE ENVIRONMENT; TOPOGRAPHIC EFFECT;

AUSTRALIA;

ANIMALIA; VOMBATIDAE; VOMBATUS URSINUS;

EID: 77950138780     PISSN: 13669516     EISSN: 14724642     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1472-4642.2010.00638.x     Document Type: Article

References (64)

1. Alexander SM, Logan TB, Paquet PC. Spatio-temporal co-occurrence of cougars (Felis concolor), wolves (Canis lupus) and their prey during winter: a comparison of two analytical methods. Journal of Biogeography 2006, 33:2001-2012.
2. Araújo MB, Guisan A. Five (or so) challenges for species distribution modelling. Journal of Biogeography 2006, 33:1677-1688.
3. Austin MP. Case studies of the use of environmental gradients in vegetation and fauna modeling: theory and practice in Australia and New Zealand. Predicting Species Occurrences: Issues of Accuracy and Scale 2002, 73-82. Scott JMHeglund PJMorrison MLHaufler JBRaphael MGWall WASamson FB. ed. by, pp, Island Press, Washington, DC
4. Brereton R, Bennett S, Mansergh I. Enhanced greenhouse climate change and its potential effect on selected fauna of south-eastern Australia: a trend analysis. Biological Conservation 1995, 72:339-354.
5. Bridle KL, Kirkpatrick JB. Impacts of grazing by vertebrate herbivores on the flower stem production of tall alpine herbs, Eastern Central Plateau, Tasmania. Australian Journal of Botany 2001, 49:459-470.
6. Brown JH, Stevens GC, Kaufman DM. The geographic range: size, shape, boundaries, and internal structure. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 1996, 27:597-623.
7. Buchan A, Goldney D. The common wombat Vombatus ursinus in a fragmented landscape. Wombats 1998, 251-261. Wells RT, Pridmore PA. ed. by, pp, Surrey Beatty & Sons, Chipping Norton
8. Burnham KP, Anderson DR. Kullback-Leibler information as a basis for strong inference in ecological studies. Wildlife Research 2001, 28:111-119.
9. Burnham KP, Anderson DR. Model Selection and Multimodel Inference: A Practical Information-Theoretic Approach 2002, 2nd edn, Springer, New York
10. Costin AB, Gray M, Totterdell C, Wimbush DJ. Kosciuszko Alpine Flora 2000, 2nd edn, CSIRO Publishing, Collingwood
11. Duncan RP, Cassey P, Blackburn TM. Do climate envelope models transfer? A manipulative test using dung beetle introductions. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 2009, 276:1449-1457.
12. ArcGIS, Version 9.2 2006, ESRI, Redlands, California
13. Evans MC. Home range, burrow-use and activity patterns in common wombats (Vombatus ursinus). Wildlife Research 2008, 35:455-462.
14. Evans MC, Macgregor C, Jarman PJ. Diet and feeding selectivity of common wombats. Wildlife Research 2006, 33:321-330.
15. Fielding AH, Bell JF. A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models. Environmental Conservation 1997, 24:38-49.
16. Flury BD, Levri EP. Periodic Logistic Regression. Ecology 1999, 80:2254-2260.
17. Formozov AN. Snow Cover as an Integral Factor of the Environment and its Importance in the Ecology of Mammals and Birds 1946, English edn, Boreal Institute for Northern Studies, University of Alberta, Edmonton
18. Green K. Wombats in winter. Victorian Naturalist 2004, 121:69-70.
19. Green K. Winter home range and foraging of common wombats (Vombatus ursinus) in patchily burnt subalpine areas of the Snowy Mountains, Australia. Wildlife Research 2005, 32:525-529.
20. Green K, Osborne WS. Wildlife of the Australian Snow-Country 1994, edn, Reed, Sydney
21. Green K, Osborne WS. Snow as a defining character of the alpine/subalpine fauna. Snow, A Natural History; An Uncertain Future 1998, 141-164. Green K, ed. by, pp, Australian Alps Liaison Committee, Canberra
22. Green K, Stein JA, Driessen MM. The projected distributions of Mastacomys fuscus and Rattus lutreolus in south-eastern Australia under a scenario of climate change: potential for enhanced competition? Wildlife Research 2008, 35:113-119.
23. Guisan A, Zimmermann NE. Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology. Ecological Modelling 2000, 135:147-186.
24. Guo Q, Taper M, Schoenberger M, Brandle J. Spatial-temporal population dynamics across species range: from centre to margin. Oikos 2005, 108:47-57.
25. Hennessy K, Whetton P, Smith I, Bathols J, Hutchinson M, Sharples J. The Impact of Climate Change on Snow Conditions in Mainland Australia 2003, CSIRO Atmospheric Research, Aspendale, Victoria
26. Hosmer DW, Lemeshow S. Applied Logistic Regression 2000, 2nd edn, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York
27. Hughes L. Climate change and Australia: trends, projections and impacts. Austral Ecology 2003, 28:423-443.
28. S-Plus 8 Guide to Statistics 2007, Vol. 1, Insightful Corporation, Seattle, Washington
29. Kearney M, Phillips BL, Tracy CR, Christian KA, Betts G, Porter WP. Modelling species distributions without using species distributions: the cane toad in Australia under current and future climates. Ecography 2008, 31:423-434.
30. Leigh JH, Wood DH, Slee AV, Holgate MD. The effects of burning and simulated grazing on productivity, forage quality, mortality and flowering of eight subalpine herbs in Kosciusko National Park. Australian Journal of Botany 1991, 39:97-118.
31. Lima SL, Zollner PA. Towards a behavioral ecology of ecological landscapes. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 1996, 11:131-135.
32. Lucas C, Hennessy K, Mills G, Bathols J. Bushfire Weather in Southeast Australia: Recent Trends and Projected Climate Change Impacts 2007, Bushfire CRC, Melbourne
33. MacKenzie DI, Nichols JD, Royle JA, Pollock KH, Bailey LL, Hines JE. Occupancy Estimation and Modeling: Inferring Patterns and Dynamics of Species Occurrence 2006, edn, Academic Press, San Diego
34. Mallett K, Cooke B. The Ecology of the Common Wombat in South Australia 1986, Nature Conservation Society of South Australia, Adelaide
35. Manel S, Dias JM, Buckton ST, Ormerod SJ. Alternative methods for predicting species distribution: an illustration with Himalayan river birds. The Journal of Applied Ecology 1999, 36:734-747.
36. Manel S, Williams HC, Ormerod SJ. Evaluating presence-absence models in ecology: the need to account for prevalence. The Journal of Applied Ecology 2001, 38:921-931.
37. Marchand PJ. Life in the Cold: An Introduction to Winter Ecology 1996, edn, University Press of New England, Lebanon, NH
38. McIlroy JC. Aspects of the Ecology of the Common Wombat, Vombatus ursinus (Shaw 1800) 1973, ANU, Canberra
39. McIlroy JC. Aspects of the ecology of the common wombat, Vombatus ursinus. II. Methods for estimating population numbers. Australian Wildlife Research 1977, 4:223-228.
40. McIlroy JC. Common Wombat Vombatus ursinus. The Mammals of Australia 2008, 206-208. Van Dyck SStrahan R. ed. by, pp, New Holland, Sydney
41. Murray DW. Predicting the Distribution and Abundance of the Common Wombat (Vombatus ursinus Shaw, 1800) throughout Australia 2001, University of New England, Armidale
42. Nellemann C, Reynolds PE. Predicting late winter distribution of muskoxen using an index of terrain ruggedness. Arctic and Alpine Research 1997, 29:334-338.
43. Parmesan C, Yohe G. A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 2003, 421:37-42.
44. Pearson R, Dawson T. Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: are bioclimate envelope models useful? Global Ecology and Biogeography 2003, 12:361-371.
45. Pearson SM, Turner MG, Wallace LL, Romme WH. Winter habitat use by large ungulates following fire in northern Yellowstone National Park. Ecological Applications 1995, 5:744-755.
46. Pickering C, Good R, Green K. Potential Effects of Global Warming on the Biota of the Australian Alps 2004, Australian Greenhouse Office, Canberra
47. Poole KG, Stuart-Smith K, Teske IE. Wintering strategies by mountain goats in interior mountains. Canadian Journal of Zoology 2009, 87:273-283.
48. Preston KL, Rotenberry JT, Redak RA, Allen MF. Habitat shifts of endangered species under altered climate conditions: importance of biotic interactions. Global Change Biology 2008, 14:2501-2515.
49. R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing 2005, R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria
50. Roger E, Laffan SW, Ramp D. Habitat selection by the common wombat (Vombatus ursinus) in disturbed environments: implications for the conservation of a 'common' species. Biological Conservation 2007, 137:437-449.
51. Sakamoto Y, Ishaguro M, Kitagawa G. Akaike Information Criterion Statistics 1986, edn, KTK Scientific Publishers, Tokyo
52. Sanecki GM, Green K, Wood H, Lindenmayer D. The characteristics and classification of Australian snow cover: an ecological perspective. Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research 2006, 38:429-435.
53. Skerratt LF, Skerratt JHL, Banks S, Martin R, Handasyde K. Aspects of the ecology of common wombats (Vombatus ursinus) at high density on pastoral land in Victoria. Australian Journal of Zoology 2004, 52:303-330.
54. Snow depths calculator. 2009, http://www.snowyhydro.com.au, Online database, accessed 19 November 2009,
55. SPSS for Windows, Rel. 14.0.1.2005 2005, SPSS Inc, Chicago
56. Svenning J-C, Skov F. Limited filling of the potential range in European tree species. Ecology Letters 2004, 7:565-573.
57. Thomas CD, Bodsworth EJ, Wilson RJ, Simmons AD, Davies ZG, Musche M, Conradt L. Ecological and evolutionary processes at expanding range margins. Nature 2001, 411:577-581.
58. Tibshirani R, Leisch F. Functions for the book " An Introduction to the Bootstrap" 2007, http://cran.r-project.org, CRAN package repository. Available at:
59. Triggs B. The Wombat: Common Wombats in Australia 1996, edn, University of New South Wales Press, Sydney
60. Trivedi MR, Berry PM, Morecroft MD, Dawson TP. Spatial scale affects bioclimate model projections of climate change impacts on mountain plants. Global Change Biology 2008, 14:1089-1103.
61. Walther G-R, Post E, Convey P, Menzel A, Parmesan C, Beebee TJC, Fromentin J-M, Hoegh-Guldberg O, Bairlein F. Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature 2002, 416:389-395.
62. Wimbush DJ, Costin AB. Trends in vegetation at Kosciusko. I Grazing trials in the subalpine zone, 1957-1971. Australian Journal of Botany 1979, 27:741-787.
63. Wintle BA, Kavanagh RP, McCarthy MA, Burgman MA. Estimating and dealing with detectability in occupancy surveys for forest owls and arboreal marsupials. The Journal of Wildlife Management 2005, 69:905-917.
64. Wiser SK, Peet RK, White PS. Prediction of rare-plant occurrence: a southern Appalachian example. Ecological Applications 1998, 8:909-920.