The potential impact of climate change on the occurrence of winter freeze events in six fruit crops grown in the Okanagan Valley

Canadian Journal of Plant Science

Volumn 90, Issue 1, 2010, Pages 85-93

  Quamme, H A ^a   Cannon, A J ^b   Neilsen, D ^a   Caprio, J M ^c   Taylor, W G ^b  

^a AGRICULTURE AND AGRI FOOD CANADA   (Canada)

^b ENVIRONMENT CANADA   (Canada)

^c NONE   (United States)

Author keywords

Arctic outflow; Climate change; Fruit; Okanagan valley; Winter injury

Indexed keywords

ARCTIC ENVIRONMENT; CLIMATE CHANGE; COLD TOLERANCE; CROP YIELD; FRUIT PRODUCTION; HISTORICAL RECORD; OUTFLOW; WINTER;

BRITISH COLUMBIA; CANADA; OKANAGAN VALLEY;

MALUS X DOMESTICA; PRUNUS ARMENIACA; PRUNUS AVIUM; PRUNUS PERSICA; PYRUS; VITACEAE;

EID: 77949676008     PISSN: 00084220     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.4141/CJPS09042     Document Type: Article

References (43)

1. Anstey, T. H. 1954. Progress report, 1949-1953, Experimental Station, Summerland, B.C. and Experimental Substation, East Kelowna, B.C., 91 p. Department of Agriculture, Ottawa, ON.
2. Barry, R. G. and Perry, A. H. 1973. Synoptic climatology: methods and applications. Methuen, London, UK. 555 pp.
3. Boyer, J. C. 1977. Human response to frost hazard in the orchard industry, Okanagan Valley, British Columbia. University of Waterloo, Department of Geography, Waterloo, ON. Public. Series No. 8. 40 pp.
4. British Columbia Legistative Assembly Select Standing Committee. 1978. The British Columbia tree fruit Industry, Phase III, Research Report, November 1978. Government of British Columbia, Victoria, BC. 21 pp.
5. Brewer, R. and Taylor, B. 2001. Climate change in the Okanagan Basin. Pages 14-20 in S. Cohen and T. Kulkarni, eds. Water management and climate change in the Okanagan Basin. Environment Canada and the University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC.
6. Canada Department of Agriculture. 1955. Summerland Experimental Farm Service and Science Service, Annual Report for 1954. Summerland, BC. 19 pp.
7. Cannon, A. J., Whitfield, P. H. and Lord, E. R. 2002a. Synoptic map classification using recursive partitioning and principal component analysis. Monthly Weather Rev. 130: 1187-1206.
8. Cannon, A. J., Whitfield, P. H. and Lord, E. R., 2002b. Automated, supervised synoptic map-pattern classification using recursive partitioning trees. Pages J210-J216 in Proceedings of the 16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences. American Meteorological Society, Washington, DC.
9. Caprio, J. M. and Quamme, H. A. 1999. Weather conditions associated with apple production in the Okanagan Valley of British Columbia. Can. J. Plant Sci. 79: 129-137.
10. Caprio, J. M. and Quamme, H. A. 2002. Weather conditions associated with grape production in the Okanagan Valley of British Columbia and potential impact of climate change. Can. J. Plant Sci. 82: 755-763.
11. Caprio, J. M. and 'Quamme, H. A. 2006. Influence of weather on apricot peach and sweet cherry production in the Okanagan Valley of British Columbia. Can. J. Plant Sci. 86: 259-267.
12. Caprio, J. M., Quamme, H. A. and Redmond, K. T. 2009. A statistical procedure to determine recent climate change of extreme daily meteorological data as applied at two locations in Nrthwestern North America. Clim. Change 92: 65-82.
13. Cheng, C. S., Auld, H., Li, J., Klassen, J. and Li, Q. 2007. Possible impacts of climate change on freezing rain in south-central Canada using down-scaled future climate scenarios. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 7: 71-87.
14. Cheng, C. S., Auld, H., Li, J., Klaassen, J., Tugwood, B. and Li, Q. 2004. An automated synoptic typing procedure to predict freezing rain. An application to Ottawa, Ontario. Weath. Forecast. 19: 751-768.
15. De'Ath, G. 2002. Multivariate regression trees: a new technique for modeling species environment relationships. Ecology 83: 1105-1117.
16. Denby, L. and Vielvoye, J. 1973. Injury to Okanagan grapes in the winter of 1972-1973. British Columbia Orchardist September: 16-18.
17. George, M. F., Burke, M. J., Pellet, H. M. and Johnson, A. G. 1974. Low temperature exotherms and woody plant distribution. Hortscience 9: 519-522.
18. Heinicke, D. R. and Fisher, D. V. 1965. Summary report of research, 1965. Research Branch, Canada Department of Agriculture, Ottawa, ON. 52 pp.
19. Hunter, W. T. 1925. Report of the Superintendent, Experimental Station, Summerland, B.C. for the year 1925. Dominion of Canada Department of Agriculture Experimental Farm. 71 pp.
20. Hunter, W. T. 1926. Report of the Superintendent, Experimental Station, Summerland, B.C. for the year 1925. Dominion of Canada Department of Agriculture Experimental Farm. 50 pp.
21. Kalnay, E., Kanamitsu, M., Kistler, R., Collins, W., Deaven, D., Gandin, L., Iredell, M., Saha, S., White, G., Woolen, J., Zhu, Y., Chelliah, M., Ebisuzaki, W., Higgins, W., Janowiak, J., Mo, K. C., Ropelewski, C., Wang, J., Leetma, A., Reynolds, R., Jenne, R. and Joseph, D. 1996. The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 77: 437-471.
22. King, E. M. 1954. Winter injury in fruit trees. An analysis of factors responsible for the 1949-1950 winter injury in the Okanagan Valley. M. Sc. thesis. University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC.
23. Krueger, R. R. 1983. The orchard industry's response to low-temperature injury in the Okanagan Valley. Can. Geogr. 27: 315-327.
24. Mann, A. J., Keane, F. W. L. and Lapins, K. 1952. Winter injury of tree fruits in British Columbia in 1949-50. Sci. Agric. 32: 172-179.
25. National Arboretum, US Agricultural Research Service. 1965. Plant hardiness zone map. USDept. Agric. Misc. Publ. 814.
26. Palmer, P. C. 1937. Progress Report, Dominion Experimental Station, Summerland, British Columbia 1932-1936. Canada Department of Agriculture Experimental Farms Service. 28 pp.
27. Palmer, P. C. 1951. Progress Report, Dominion Experimental Station, Summerland, British Columbia 1937-1948. Canada Department of Agriculture Experimental Farms Service. 101 pp.
28. Province of British Columbia. 1925. Nineteenth annual report. Dept. Agric. 118 pp.
29. Province of British Columbia. 1926. Twentieth annual report. Dept. Agric. 106 pp.
30. Province of British Columbia. 1936. Thirtieth annual report. Dept. Agric. 94 pp.
31. Province of British Columbia. 1937. Thirtieth-first annual report. Dept. Agric. 84 pp.
32. Province of British Columbia. 1944. Thirty-eight annual report. Dept. Agric. 152 pp.
33. Province of British Columbia . 1979-1992. Annual horticultural statistics. Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food, Victoria, BC.
34. Quamme, H. A. 1976. Relationship of the low temperature exotherm to apple and pear production in North America. Can. J. Plant Sci. 56: 493-500.
35. Quamme, H. A. 1986. Use of thermal analysis to measure freezing resistance of grape buds. Can. J. Plant Sci. 66: 945-952.
36. Quamme, H. A. 1989. Deep supercooling in buds of woody plants. Pages 183-199 in R. E. Lee, Jr., G. J. Warren, and L. V. Gusta, eds. Biological ice nucleation and its applications. APS Press, St. Paul, MN.
37. Quamme, H. A. 1990. Assessment of winter injury in tree fruits-1989. British Columbia Orchardist, December, 1990. pp.10-12.
38. Quamme, H. A. and Reynolds, A. G. 1987. After 1985 freeze, winter injury to tree fruit/grapes. British Columbia Orchardist, December. pp. 12, 21.
39. Quamme, H. A., Layne, R. E. C. and Ronald, W. G. 1982. Relationship of supercooling to cold hardiness and the northern distribution of several cultivated and native Prunus species and hybrids. Can. J. Plant Sci. 62: 137-148.
40. Salmi, T., Maata, A., Anttila, P., Ruoho-Airola, T. and Amnell, T. 2002. Detecting trends of annual values of atmospheric pollutants by the Mann-Kendall Test and Sen's slope estimates. Publications on Air Quality #31. Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland. 35 pp. [Online] Available: http://www.fmi.fi/kuvat/MAKESENS-MANUAL.pdf.
41. Taylor, B. and Barton, M. 2004. Climate. Chapter 4, Pages 25-44 in S. Cohen, D. Neilsen, and R. Welbourne, eds. Project A463/433 report, submitted to Adaptation Liaison Office, Climate Change Action Fund, Natural Resources Canada, Ottawa, ON. [Online] Available: http://www.forestry.ubc.ca/ Portals/97/docs/Okanagan2004-final.pdf.
42. Yarnal, B. 1993. Synoptic climatology in environmental analysis. Bellhave Press, London, UK. 195 pp.
43. Zhang, X., Vincent, L., Hogg, W. D. and Niitsoo, A. 2000. Temperature and precipitation trends in Canada during the 20th Century. Atmos.-Ocean 38: 395-429.