Hydrological seasonal forecast over France: Feasibility and prospects

Atmospheric Science Letters

Volumn 11, Issue 2, 2010, Pages 78-82

  Ceron J P ^a   Tanguy, G ^b   Franchisteguy L ^a   Martin, E ^b   Regimbeau, F ^a   Vidal, J P ^a,b  

^a Climatology Department   (France)

^b CENTRE NATIONAL DE RECHERCHES MÉTÉOROLOGIQUES   (France)

Author keywords

Ensemble forecast; Hydrology; River flow; Seasonal forecast; Soil wetness index

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC FORCING; CATCHMENT; CORRELATION; DEMETER; DOWNSCALING; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; HYDROMETEOROLOGY; PROBABILITY; RIVER FLOW; SOIL MOISTURE;

FRANCE;

EID: 77949407035     PISSN: None     EISSN: 1530261X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/asl.256     Document Type: Article

References (16)

1. Cantelaube P, Terres JM. 2005. Seasonal weather forecasts for crop yield modelling in Europe. TELLUS A 57: (DEMETER Special issue): 476-487.
2. Durand Y, Brun E, Merindol L, Guyomarc'h G, Lesaffre B, Martin E. 1993. A meteorological estimation of relevant parameters for snow schemes used in atmospheric models. Annals of Glaciology 18: 65-71.
3. Habets F, Boone A, Champeaux JL, Etchevers P, Franchistéguy L, Leblois E, Ledoux E, Le Moigne P, Martin E, Morel S, Noilhan J, Quintana-Seguí P, Rousset-Regimbeau F, Viennot P. 2008. The SAFRAN-ISBA-MODCOU hydrometeorological model applied over France. Journal of Geophysical Research 113: D06113. DOI: 10.1029/2007JD008548.
4. Ledoux E, Girard G, de Marsilly G, Deschenes J. 1989. Spatially distributed modelling: conceptual approach, coupling surface water and ground water. In Unsaturated Flow in Hydrologic Modeling: Theory and Practice, vol. 275, NATO ASI Series C, Morel-Seytoux HJ (ed). Kluwer: Norwell; 435-454.
5. Luo L, Wood EF. 2008. Use of Bayesian merging techniques in a multi-model seasonal hydrologic ensemble prediction system for the Eastern U.S. Journal of Hydrometeorology 9: 868-884. DOI: 10.1175/2008JHM980.1.
6. Masson V, Champeaux JL., Chauvin F, Meriguet C, Lacaze R. 2003. A global database of land surface parameters at 1-km resolution in meteorological and climate models. Journal of Climate 16: 1261-1282. DOI: 10.1175/1520-442(2003)16<1261:AGDOLS> 2.0.CO;2.
7. Noilhan J, Planton S. 1989. A simple parameterization of land surface processes for meteorological mosels. Monthly Weather Review 117: 536-549. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0493(1989)117<0536:ASPOLS> 2.0.CO;2.
8. Ogallo LP, Bessemoulin P, Céron JP, Mason S, Connor SJ. 2008. Adapting to climate variability and change: the Climate Outlook Forum process. WMO Bulletin 57: 93-102.
9. Palmer TN, Alessandri A, Andersen U, Cantelaube P, Davey M, Délécluse P, Déequée M, Díez E, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Feddersen H, Graham R, Gualdi S, Guérémy JF, Hagedorn R, Hoshen M, Keenlyside N, Latif M, Lazar A, Maisonnave E, Marletto V, Morse AP, Orfila B, Rogel P, Terres JM, Thomson MC. 2004. Development of a European multi-model ensemble system for seasonal to interannual prediction (DEMETER). Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 85: 853-872. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-85-6-853.
10. Quintana-Seguí P, Le Moigne P, Durand Y, Martin E, Habets F, Baillon M, Canellas C, Franchistéguy L, Morel S. 2008. Analysis of near-surface atmospheric variables: validation of the SAFRAN analysis over France. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 47: 92-107. DOI: 10.1175/2007JAMC1636.1.
11. Rousset-Regimbeau F. 2007. Modéelisation des bilans de surface des déebits sur la France, application 'a la préevision d'ensemble des déebits (Hydrological Modelling over France, Application to Ensemble Streamflow Prediction, in French). PhD Thesis, Universitée Paul Sabatier: Toulouse.
12. Rousset-Regimbeau F, Habets F, Martin E, Noilhan J. 2007. Ensemble streamflow forecasts over France. ECMWF Newsletter 111: 21-27.
13. Sauquet E, Lerat J, Prudhomme C. 2008. Seasonal forecasting of river flows - state-of-the-art and applications. La Houille Blanche 6: 77-84. DOI: 10.1051/lhb:2008075.
14. Vidal JP, Martin E, Franchistéeguy L, Baillon M, Soubeyroux JM. A 50 year high-resolution reanalysis over France with the Safran system. International Journal of Climatology http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ joc.2003
15. Wilks DS. 2006. Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences, vol. 91, International Geophysics Series. Academic Press: New York.
16. Wood AW, Maurer EP. 2002. Long-range experimental hydrologic forecasting for the eastern United States. Journal of Geophysical Research 107: D20. DOI: 10.1029/2001/JD000659.