Variability of extreme rainfall events over India during southwest monsoon season

Meteorological Applications

Volumn 17, Issue 1, 2010, Pages 88-104

  Pattanaik, D R ^a   Rajeevan, M ^b  

^a INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT   (India)

^b NATIONAL ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH LABORATORY   (India)

Author keywords

Extreme rainfall events; Indian monsoon rainfall; Linear trend and band pass filter; Monsoon season

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC THERMODYNAMICS; BANDPASS FILTERS;

CONVECTIVE INSTABILITIES; EXTREME RAINFALL; INDIAN MONSOON RAINFALL; LINEAR TRENDS; MONSOON SEASON; SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL VARIABILITY; SPATIAL VARIATIONS; SYNOPTIC-SCALE SYSTEMS;

RAIN;

EXTREME EVENT; LONG-TERM CHANGE; MONSOON; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; SEASONAL VARIATION; SPATIOTEMPORAL ANALYSIS; TREND ANALYSIS;

INDIA;

EID: 77149140147     PISSN: 13504827     EISSN: 14698080     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/met.164     Document Type: Article

References (43)

1. Allen MR, Ingram WJ. 2002. Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrological cycle. Nature 419: 224-232.
2. Brunetti M, Colacino M, Maugeri M, Nanni T. 2001. Trends in the daily intensity of precipitation in Italy from 1951 to 1996. International Journal of Climatology 21: 299-316.
3. Chakraborty D. 2005. Observation based analysis of the growth of MJO time scale from its nonlinear scale interactions with the synoptic scales. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 89: 87-103.
4. Cubash U, Meehl GA. 2001. Projections of future climate change. Climate Change 2001: the scientific basis. In Contribution of Working Group 1 to the Third IPCC Scientific Assessment, Houghton JT, et al. (eds). Cambridge University Press: New York; 524-582.
5. Dash SK, Kumar JR, Shekhar MS. 2004. The decreasing frequency of monsoon depressions over the Indian region. Current Science 86: 1404-1411.
6. Douville H, Chauvin F, Planton S, Royer JF, Salas-Mélia D, Tyteca S. 2002. Sensitivity of the hydrological cycle to increasing amounts of greenhouse gases and aerosols. Climate Dynamics 20: 45-68.
7. Easterling DR, Evans JL, Groisman PY, Karl TR, Kunkel KE, Ambenje P. 2000. Observed variability and trends in extreme climate events: a brief review. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 81: 417-425.
8. Francis PA, Gadgil S. 2006. Intense rainfall events over the west coast of India. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 94: 27-42.
9. Gadgil Sulochana. 2000. Monsoon-ocean coupling. Current Science 78: 309-332.
10. George PA. 1956. Effects of offshore vortices on rainfall along the west coast of India. Indian Journal of Meteorology and Geophysics 7: 225-240.
11. Goswami BN. 2005. The Asian monsoon: interdecadal variability. In The Asian monsoon, Wang B (ed.), Chapter 7. Praxis, Springer: Berlin; 295-327.
12. Goswami BN, Venugopal V, Sengupta D, Madhusoodanan MS, Xavier PK. 2006. Increasing trend of extreme rain events over India in a warming environment. Science 314: 1442-1445.
13. Groisman PYA, Knight RW, Easterling DR, Karl TR, Heger GC, Razuvaev VN. 2005. Trends in intense precipitation in the climate record. Journal of Climate 18: 1326-1350.
14. Guhathakurta P Rajeevan M. 2007. Trends in the rainfall pattern over India. National Climate Centre Report. India Meteorological Department, Pune, India.
15. Iwashima T, Yamamoto R. 1993. A statistical analysis of the extreme events: Long-term trend of heavy daily precipitation. Journal of Meteorological Society of Japan 71: 637-640.
16. Kalnay E, et al. 1996. The NCEP/NCAR 40 year re-analysis project. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 77: 437-471.
17. Kharin VV, Zwiers FW. 2000. Changes in the extremes in an ensemble of transient climate simulations with a coupled atmosphere-ocean GCM. Journal of Climate 13: 3760-3788.
18. Krishnamurti TN, Bhalme HN. 1976. Oscillations of a monsoon system. Part I. Observational aspects. Journal of Atmospheric Science 33: 1937-1954.
19. Meehl GA, Zwiers F, Evans J, Knutson T, Mearns L, Whetton P. 2000a. Trends in extreme weather and climate events: Issues related to modeling extremes in projections of future climate change. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 81: 427-436.
20. Meehl GA, Parmesan C, Changnon SA, Karl TR, Mearns LO. 2000b. Climate extremes: observations, modeling, and impacts. Science 289: 2068-2074.
21. Miller FR, Keshavamurthy RN. 1968. Structure of Arabian Sea Monsoon System, IIOE Meteorological Monograph. East-West Center Press: Honolulu, Vol. 1, 94 pp.
22. Mukherjee AK. 1980. Dimension of an Offshore Vortex in East Arabian Sea as Deduced from Observations during MONEX 1979: FGGE Operations Report, Vol. 9A. World Meteorological Organization: Geneva.
23. Mukherjee AK, Rao MK, Saha KC. 1978. Vortices embedded in the trough of low pressure off Maharashtra-Goa coasts during the month of July. Indian Journal of Meteorology Hydrology and Geophysics 29: 61-65.
24. Murakami M. 1979. Large-scale aspects of deep convective activity over the GATE area. Monthly Weather Review 107: 994-1013.
25. Neelin JD, Held IM. 1987. Modeling tropical convergence based on the moist static energy budget. Monthly Weather Review 115: 3-12.
26. Parthasarathy B, Munot A, Kothawale DR. 1994. All-India monthly and seasonal rainfall series 1887-1993. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 49: 217-224.
27. Pattanaik DR. 2003. Analysis of moist convective instability over Indian monsoon region and neighbourhood. Mausam 54: 659-670.
28. Pattanaik DR. 2005. Variability of oceanic and Atmospheric conditions during active and inactive periods of storm over the Indian region. International Journal of Climatology 25: 1523-1530.
29. Pattanaik DR. 2007. Analysis of deficient and excess rainfall over different homogeneous regions of India in relation to variability in westward movement frequency of monsoon depressions. Natural Hazards 40: 635-646.
30. Pattanaik DR, Hatwar HR. 2006. Analysis and impact of delayed onset of monsoon over Northeast India during 2005. Vayu Mandal 32: 3-9.
31. Rajeevan M, Bhate J, Kale JD, Lal B. 2006. High resolution daily gridded rainfall data for the Indian region: analysis of break and active monsoon spells. Current Science 91: 296-306.
32. Rajeevan M, Prasad RK, De US. 2001. Cloud climatology of the Indian Ocean based on ship observations. Mausam 52: 527-540.
33. Rao YP. 1976. Southwest monsoon. Met Monograph, Synoptic Meteorology. India Meteorological Department: Delhi; 107-185.
34. Rupa Kumar K, Sahai AK, Krishna Kumar K, Patwardhan SK, Mishra PK, Revadekar JV, Kamala K, Pant GB. 2006. High-resolution climate change scenarios for India for the 21st century. Current Science 90: 334-345.
35. Saha KR, Singh SS. 1972. On the distribution of mean static stability and mean Richardson number in tropical atmosphere. Journal of Meteorological Society of Japan 50: 312-323.
36. Semenov VA, Bengtsson L. 2002. Secular trends in daily precipitation characteristics: Greenhouse gas simulation with a coupled AOGCM. Climate Dynamics 19: 123-140.
37. Shukla J, Wallace JM. 1983. Numerical simulation of the atmospheric response to equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies. Journal of Atmospheric Science 40: 1613-1630.
38. Sikka DR. 2006. A Study on the Monsoon Low Pressure Systems over the Indian Region and their Relationship with Drought and Excess Monsoon Seasonal Rainfall. COLA Technical Report 217. Centre for Ocean-Land Atmospheric Studies: Claverton, MD.
39. Sikka DR, Gadgil S. 1980. On the maximum cloud zone and the ITCZ over India longitude during the southwest monsoon. Monthly Weather Review 108: 1122-1135.
40. Soman MK, Krishna Kumar K. 1990. Some aspects of daily rainfall distributions over India during southwest monsoon season. International Journal of Climatology 10: 299-311.
41. Trenberth KE, Dai A, Rasmussen RM, Parsons DB. 2003. The changing character of precipitation. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 84: 1205-1217.
42. Trenberth KE, Fasullo J, Smith L. 2005. Trends and variability in column-integrated atmospheric water vapor. Climate Dynamics 24: 741-758.
43. Vinnikov KY, Grody NC. 2003. Global warming trend of mean tropospheric temperature observed by satellites. Science 302: 269-272.