Trade and conflict: Proximity, country size, and measures

Conflict Management and Peace Science

Volumn 27, Issue 1, 2010, Pages 3-27

  Keshk, Omar M G ^a   Reuveny, Rafael ^b   Pollins, Brian M ^a  

^a OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b INDIANA UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Fatal disputes; Liberal peace; Militarized interstate disputes; Missing trade data; Realism; Simultaneity; Zero trade

Indexed keywords

EID: 75849148645     PISSN: 07388942     EISSN: 15499219     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1177/0265659009352137     Document Type: Article

References (70)

1. Amemiya, T. 1978. The estimation of a simultaneous equations generalized probit model. Econometrica 46: 1193-1205.
2. Anderson, J.E., and D. Marcouiller. 2002. Insecurity and the pattern of trade: An empirical investigation. Review of Economics and Statistics 84: 342-352.
3. Baldwin, R., and C. Magee. 2000. Congressional trade votes: From NAFTA approval to fast-track defeat. Washington, DC: Institute for International Economics.
4. Barbieri, K. 2002. The liberal illusion: Does trade promote peace? Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
5. Barbieri, Katherine. 1998. Notes on International Trade Database, Version 1.1. Peace Science Society (International) (http://pss.la.psu.edu/TRD_DATA.htm).
6. Barbieri, K., and R.A. Peters II. 2003. Measure for mis-measure: A response to Gartzke and Li. Journal of Peace Research 40: 713-719.
7. Barshefsky, C. 2000. USTR Barshefsky on Clinton administration trade policy. Washington File, U.S. Department of State (http://usinfo.org/wf-archive/2000/001019/epf406.htm), accessed on 16 May 2009.
8. Beck, N., J.N. Katz and R. Tucker. 1998. Taking time seriously: Time-series-cross-section analysis within a binary dependent variable. American Journal of Political Science 42: 1260-89.
9. Beck, N., D. Epstein, S. Jackman and S. O'Halloran. 2002. Alternative models of dynamics in binary time-series-cross-section models: The example of state failure. Presented at Annual Meeting of the Society of Political Methodology, Emory University, Atlanta, GA.
10. Beck, N., K.S. Gleditsch and K. Beardsley. 2006. Space is more than geography: Using spatial econometrics in the study of political economy. International Studies Quarterly 50: 27-44.
11. Bergstrand, J.H. 1989. The generalized gravity equation, monopolistic competition, and the factor-proportions theory in international trade. Review of Economics and Statistics 71: 143-153.
12. Bennett, S.D., and A.C. Stam. 2000. Research design and estimator choices in the analysis of interstate dyads: When decisions matter. Journal of Conflict Resolution 44: 653-685.
13. Boulding, K.E. 1962. Conflict and defense: A general theory. New York: Harper and Row.
14. Bliss, H., and B. Russett. 1998. Democratic trading partners: The liberal connection, 1962- 1989. Journal of Politics 60: 1126-1147.
15. Bremer, S.A. 1992. Dangerous dyads: Conditions affecting the likelihood of interstate war, 1816-1965. Journal of Conflict Resolution 36: 309-341.
16. Choucri, N., and R.C. North. 1989. Lateral pressure in international relations: Concept and theory. In Handbook of war studies, ed. M. I. Midlarsky, pp. 289-326. Winchester, MA: Unwin Hyman,.
17. Clinton, W.J. 1996. National security strategy of engagement and enlargement. Washington, DC: GPO.
18. Clinton, W.J. 2002. The path to peace. Salon.com, 10 September (www.salon.com/news/feature/2002/09/10/clinton/print.html) accessed 16 May2009.
19. Frankel, J.A., and S.J. Wei. 1993. Trade and currency blocks. In The monetary future of Europe, eds G. de la Dehesa, A. Giovannini and R. Portes, pp. 63-82. London: Centre for Economic Policy.
20. Frankel, J.A. 1997. Regional trading blocs in the world economic systems. Washington, DC: Institute for International Economics.
21. Frazer, J. 2006. The Bush administration agenda for Africa 2006. Washington DC: U.S. Department of State (http://164.109.48.103/p/af/rls/rm/2006/60383.htm) accessed 16 May2009.
22. Gartzke, E., and Q. Li. 2003. Measure for measure: Concept operationalization and the trade interdependence-conflict debate. Journal of Peace Research 40: 553-571.
23. Gelpi, C.F., and J.M. Grieco. 2008. Democracy, interdependence, and the sources of the liberal peace. Journal of Peace Research 45: 17-36.
24. Gilpin, R. 1987. The political economy of international relations. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
25. Gleditsch, K.S. 2002. Expanded trade and GNP data. Journal of Conflict Resolution. 46: 712-724.
26. Goenner, C.F. 2004. Uncertainty of the Liberal Peace. Journal of Peace Research 41: 589-605.
27. Gould, D.M. 1994. Immigrant links to the home country: Empirical implications for U.S. bilateral trade flows. Review of Economics and Statistics 76: 302-315.
28. Henderson, E.A. 2002. Democracy and war: The end of illusion? Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner.
29. Jackman, D.S. 2004. In and out of war and peace: Transitional models of international conflict. Working paper, Stanford University.
30. Jervis, R. 2002. Theories of war in an era of leading power peace. American Political Science Review 96: 1-14.
31. Keshk, O.M.G. 2003. CDSIMEQ: A program to implement two-stage probit least squares. Stata Journal 3: 157-167.
32. Keshk, O.M.G., B.M. Pollins and R. Reuveny. 2004. Trade still follows the flag: The primacy of politics in a simultaneous model of interdependence and armed conflict. Journal of Politics 66:1155-79.
33. Kim, H.M., and D.L. Rousseau. 2005. The classical liberals were half right (or half wrong): New tests of the 'liberal peace'. Journal of Peace Research 42: 523-543.
34. Levy, S.J. 2002. War and peace. In Handbook of international relations, eds W. Carlsnaes, T. Risee and B. A. Simmons, pp. 350-368. London: Sage.
35. Li, Q. and R. Reuveny. 2003. Economic globalization and democracy: An empirical analysis. British Journal of Political Science 33: 29-55.
36. Li, Q. and D. Sacko. 2002. The (ir)relevance of militarized interstate disputes for international trade. International Studies Quarterly 46: 11-43.
37. Linnemann, H. 1966. An econometric study of international trade flows. Amsterdam: North-Holland.
38. Long, A.G. 2008. Bilateral trade in the shadow of armed conflict. International Studies Quarterly 52: 81-101.
39. Madalla, G.S. 1983. Limited dependent and qualitative variables in econometrics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
40. Mansfield, E.D., and R. Bronson. 1997. Alliances, preferential trading arrangements, and international trade. American Political Science Review 91: 94-107.
41. Mansfield, E.D., and Jon C. Pevehouse. 2000. Trade blocs, trade flows and international conflict. International Organization 54: 775-808.
42. Mansfield, E.D., H.V. Milner and P.B. Rosendorf. 2000. Free to trade: Democracies, autocracies, and international trade. American Political Science Review 94: 304-321.
43. Mansfield, E.D., and B.M. Pollins. 2003. Interdependence and conflict: An introduction. In Economic interdependence and international conflict: New perspectives on an enduring debate, eds E. D. Mansfield and B. M. Pollins, pp. 1-31. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
44. McCain J. 2007. Every time US went protectionist, we paid a heavy price. On The Issues (http://www.ontheissues.org/2008/John_McCain_Free_Trade.htm) accessed 16 May2009.
45. Mearsheimer, J. 1992. Disorder restored. In Rethinking America's security: Beyond Cold War to world order, eds G. Allison and G. Treventon. New York: Norton.
46. Oneal, John R. 2003. Measuring interdependence and its pacific benefits: A reply to Gartzke and Li. Journal of Peace Research 40: 721-725.
47. Oneal, John R., and Bruce Russett. 1997. The classical liberals were right: Democracy, interdependence, and conflict, 1950-1985. International Studies Quarterly 41:267-94.
48. Oneal, J.R., and B. Russett. 1999a. Is the Liberal Peace just an artifact of Cold War interests? Assessing recent critiques. International Interactions 25: 213-241.
49. Oneal, J.R., and B. Russett. 1999b. Assessing the Liberal Peace with alternative specifications: Trade still reduces conflict. Journal of Peace Research 36: 423-442.
50. Oneal, J.R., and B. Russett. 1999c. The Kantian Peace: The pacific benefits of democracy, interdependence, and international organizations, 1885-1992. World Politics 52: 1-37.
51. Oneal, J.R., and B. Russett. 2005. Rule of three, let it be? When more is really better. Conflict Management and Peace Science 22: 293-310.
52. Oneal, J.R., B. Russett and M.L. Berbaum. 2003. Causes of peace: Democracy, interdependence, and international organizations, 1885-1992. International Studies Quarterly 47: 371-393.
53. Organski, A.F.K., and J. Kugler. 1980. The war ledger. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
54. Polachek, W.S., and C. Seiglie. 2007. Trade, peace and democracy: An analysis of dyadic dispute. In Handbook of defense economics, eds T. Sandler and K. Hartley, pp. 1018-1066. Burlington, MA: Elsevier.
55. Pollins, B.M. 1989. Conflict, cooperation, and commerce: The effect of international political interactions on bilateral trade flows. American Journal of Political Science 33:737-761.
56. Powell, C. 2000. China: Trading is better than shooting. On The Issues (http://www.issues2000.org/Celeb/Colin_Powell_Free_Trade.htm) accessed 16 May2009.
57. Ray, J.L. 2003. Explaining interstate conflict and war: What should be controlled for? Conflict Management and Peace Science 44: 84-93.
58. Reuveny, R. 2003a. The trade and conflict debate: Exploring the frontier. In Globalization and armed conflict, eds G. Schneider, K. Barbieri and N. P. Gleditsch, pp. 189-204. Blue Ridge Summit, PA: Rowman and Littlefield.
59. Reuveny, R. 2003b. Measuring conflict and cooperation: An Assessment. In Economic interdependence and international conflict: New perspectives on an enduring debate, eds E. D. Mansfield and B. M. Pollins, pp. 254-272. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
60. Reuveny, R., and Q. Li. 2003. The joint democracy-dyadic conflict nexus: A simultaneous equations model. International Studies Quarterly 47: 325-346.
61. Rosecrance, R. 1986. The rise of the trading state: Commerce and conquest in the modern world. New York: Basic Books.
62. Russett, B., and J.R. Oneal. 2001. Triangulating peace: Democracy, interdependence, and international organizations. New York: W. W. Norton.
63. Senators. 2006. Vote number 2006-190 free trade agreement with Oman on Jun 29, 2006, regarding bill S. 3569 United States-Oman Free Trade Agreement. On The Issues (http://www.issues2000.org/SenateVote/Party_2006-190.htm) accessed 16 May2009.
64. Sherman, F.L. 1994. SHERFACS: A cross-paradigm, hierarchical and contextually sensitive conflict management data set. International Interactions 20: 79-100.
65. Starr, H. 2007. The nature of contiguous borders and recurring violent conflict. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association, Chicago.
66. Starr H., and G.D. Thomas. 2005. The nature of contiguous borders: Revisiting hypotheses on territory. International Studies Quarterly 49: 123-139.
67. van Bergeijk, P.A.G. 1994. Economic diplomacy, trade and commercial policy. Aldershot: Edward Elgar.
68. Vasquez, J. 1995. Why do neighbors fight? Proximity, interaction, or territoriality. Journal of Peace Research 32: 277-193.
69. Waltz, K. 1979. Theory of international politics. New York: McGraw Hill.
70. Zoellick, R.B. 2001. Countering terror with trade. Washington Post, 20 September.