메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 21, Issue 1, 2010, Pages 1-22

Confidence and accuracy in assessments of short-term risks presented by forensic psychiatric patients

Author keywords

Confidence; Forensic psychiatric patients; Predictive validity; START; Structured professional judgment; Violence risk assessment

Indexed keywords

ACCURACY; ARTICLE; AUTOMUTILATION; FEMALE; FORENSIC PSYCHIATRY; HEALTH PERSONNEL ATTITUDE; HUMAN; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; MEDICAL DECISION MAKING; MEDICAL PRACTICE; PRIORITY JOURNAL; PROFESSIONAL COMPETENCE; PROGNOSIS; RISK ASSESSMENT; SUICIDE; VIOLENCE;

EID: 75649152412     PISSN: 14789949     EISSN: 14789957     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/14789940903183932     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (29)

References (59)
  • 1
    • 33744513176 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evidence-based practice in psychology
    • American Psychological Association Presidential Task Force on Evidence-Based Practice
    • American Psychological Association Presidential Task Force on Evidence-Based Practice (2006). Evidence-based practice in psychology. American Psychologist, 61, 271-285.
    • (2006) American Psychologist , vol.61 , pp. 271-285
  • 2
    • 0019764064 scopus 로고
    • Impediments to accurate clinical judgment and possible ways to minimize their impact
    • Arkes, H.R. (1981). Impediments to accurate clinical judgment and possible ways to minimize their impact. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 49, 323-330.
    • (1981) Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology , vol.49 , pp. 323-330
    • Arkes, H.R.1
  • 4
    • 0030238715 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improving the clinical practice of violence risk assessment
    • Borum, R. (1996). Improving the clinical practice of violence risk assessment. American Psychologist, 51, 945-956.
    • (1996) American Psychologist , vol.51 , pp. 945-956
    • Borum, R.1
  • 5
    • 75649106611 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing the utility and acceptance of the STAR
    • In C.D. Webster, M.-L. Martin, J. Brink, T.L. Nicholls, & C. Middleton (Eds.), (Version 1.0, Consultation Edition), Hamilton, Canada: St. Joseph's Healthcare; Coquitlam, Canada: Forensic Psychiatric Services Commission
    • Brink, J., & Livingston, J. (2004). Testing the utility and acceptance of the STAR. In C.D. Webster, M.-L. Martin, J. Brink, T.L. Nicholls, & C. Middleton (Eds.), Manual for the Short-Term Assessment of Risk and Treatability (START) (Version 1.0, Consultation Edition) (pp. 88-94). Hamilton, Canada: St. Joseph's Healthcare; Coquitlam, Canada: Forensic Psychiatric Services Commission.
    • (2004) Manual for the Short-Term Assessment of Risk and Treatability (START) , pp. 88-94
    • Brink, J.1    Livingston, J.2
  • 8
    • 0027207624 scopus 로고
    • Homodynamic assessment in managing the critically ill: Is physician confidence warranted?
    • Dawson, N.V., Conners, A.F., Speroof, T., Kemka, A., Shaw, P., & Arkes, H.R. (1993). Homodynamic assessment in managing the critically ill: Is physician confidence warranted? Medical Decision Making, 13, 258-266.
    • (1993) Medical Decision Making , vol.13 , pp. 258-266
    • Dawson, N.V.1    Conners, A.F.2    Speroof, T.3    Kemka, A.4    Shaw, P.5    Arkes, H.R.6
  • 9
    • 1542324693 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Implementing risk assessment procedures in a forensic psychiatric setting: Clinical judgement revisited
    • In D.P. Farrington, C.R. Hollin, & M. McMurran (Eds.), New York: Routledge
    • Dernevik, M., Falkheim, M., Holmquist, R., & Sandell, R. (2001). Implementing risk assessment procedures in a forensic psychiatric setting: Clinical judgement revisited. In D.P. Farrington, C.R. Hollin, & M. McMurran (Eds.), Sex and violence: The psychology of crime and risk assessment (pp. 83-101). New York: Routledge.
    • (2001) Sex and Violence: The Psychology of Crime and Risk Assessment , pp. 83-101
    • Dernevik, M.1    Falkheim, M.2    Holmquist, R.3    Sandell, R.4
  • 10
    • 70349142755 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A Canadian example of insanity defence reform: Accused found not criminally responsible before and after the Winko decision
    • Desmarais, S.L., Hucker, S., Brink, J., & De Freitas, K. (2008). A Canadian example of insanity defence reform: Accused found not criminally responsible before and after the Winko decision. International Journal of Forensic Mental Health, 7, 1-14.
    • (2008) International Journal of Forensic Mental Health , vol.7 , pp. 1-14
    • Desmarais, S.L.1    Hucker, S.2    Brink, J.3    de Freitas, K.4
  • 12
    • 1542286203 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Differences between clinicians and researchers in assessing risk of violence in forensic psychiatric patients
    • de Vogel, V., & de Ruiter, C. (2004). Differences between clinicians and researchers in assessing risk of violence in forensic psychiatric patients. The Journal of Forensic Psychiatry & Psychology, 15, 145-164.
    • (2004) The Journal of Forensic Psychiatry & Psychology , vol.15 , pp. 145-164
    • de Vogel, V.1    de Ruiter, C.2
  • 13
    • 0036384336 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A prevention-based paradigm for violence risk assessment: Clinical and research applications
    • Douglas, K.S., & Kropp, P.R. (2002). A prevention-based paradigm for violence risk assessment: Clinical and research applications. Criminal Justice and Behavior, 29, 617-658.
    • (2002) Criminal Justice and Behavior , vol.29 , pp. 617-658
    • Douglas, K.S.1    Kropp, P.R.2
  • 14
    • 0347525794 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of confidence on the accuracy of structured professional and actuarial violence risk judgments in a sample of forensic psychiatric patients
    • Douglas, K.S., & Ogloff, J.R.P. (2003). The impact of confidence on the accuracy of structured professional and actuarial violence risk judgments in a sample of forensic psychiatric patients. Law and Human Behavior, 27, 573-587.
    • (2003) Law and Human Behavior , vol.27 , pp. 573-587
    • Douglas, K.S.1    Ogloff, J.R.P.2
  • 15
    • 27344438604 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Violence risk assessment: Getting specific about being dynamic
    • Douglas, K.S., & Skeem, J.L. (2005). Violence risk assessment: Getting specific about being dynamic. Psychology, Public Policy, and Law, 11, 347-383.
    • (2005) Psychology, Public Policy, and Law , vol.11 , pp. 347-383
    • Douglas, K.S.1    Skeem, J.L.2
  • 18
    • 58149407822 scopus 로고
    • Confidence in judgment: Persistence of the illusion of validity
    • Einhorn, H.J., & Hogarth, R.M. (1978). Confidence in judgment: Persistence of the illusion of validity. Psychological Review, 85, 395-416.
    • (1978) Psychological Review , vol.85 , pp. 395-416
    • Einhorn, H.J.1    Hogarth, R.M.2
  • 19
    • 0036876992 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The process of violence risk assessment: A review of descriptive research
    • Elbogen, E.B. (2002). The process of violence risk assessment: A review of descriptive research. Aggression and Violent Behavior, 7, 591-604.
    • (2002) Aggression and Violent Behavior , vol.7 , pp. 591-604
    • Elbogen, E.B.1
  • 20
    • 0016306094 scopus 로고
    • Psychiatry and the presumption of expertise: Flipping coins in the courtroom
    • Ennis, B.J., & Litwack, T.R. (1974). Psychiatry and the presumption of expertise: Flipping coins in the courtroom. California Law Review, 62, 693-752.
    • (1974) California Law Review , vol.62 , pp. 693-752
    • Ennis, B.J.1    Litwack, T.R.2
  • 21
    • 0001640275 scopus 로고
    • Research on human judgment and its application to clinical practice
    • Faust, D. (1986). Research on human judgment and its application to clinical practice. Professional Psychology: Research and Practice, 17, 420-430.
    • (1986) Professional Psychology: Research and Practice , vol.17 , pp. 420-430
    • Faust, D.1
  • 22
    • 0023894737 scopus 로고
    • The expert witness in psychology and psychiatry
    • Faust, D., & Ziskin, J. (1988). The expert witness in psychology and psychiatry. Science, 241, 31-35.
    • (1988) Science , vol.241 , pp. 31-35
    • Faust, D.1    Ziskin, J.2
  • 23
    • 0022645735 scopus 로고
    • The appropriateness of confidence ratings in clinical judgment
    • Garb, H.N. (1986). The appropriateness of confidence ratings in clinical judgment. Journal of Clinical Psychology, 42, 190-197.
    • (1986) Journal of Clinical Psychology , vol.42 , pp. 190-197
    • Garb, H.N.1
  • 24
    • 0000333672 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparative efficiency of informal (subjective, impressionistic) and formal (mechanical, algorithmic) prediction procedures: The clinical-statistical controversy
    • Grove, W.M., & Meehl, P.E. (1996). Comparative efficiency of informal (subjective, impressionistic) and formal (mechanical, algorithmic) prediction procedures: The clinical-statistical controversy. Psychology, Public Policy, and Law, 2, 293-323.
    • (1996) Psychology, Public Policy, and Law , vol.2 , pp. 293-323
    • Grove, W.M.1    Meehl, P.E.2
  • 25
    • 0020524559 scopus 로고
    • A method of comparing the areas under receiver operating characteristic curves derived from the same cases
    • Hanley, J.A., & McNeil, B.J. (1983). A method of comparing the areas under receiver operating characteristic curves derived from the same cases. Radiology, 148, 839-843.
    • (1983) Radiology , vol.148 , pp. 839-843
    • Hanley, J.A.1    McNeil, B.J.2
  • 27
    • 33645664750 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sixty-six years of research on the clinical versus actuarial prediction of violence
    • Hilton, Z., Harris, G.T., & Rice, M.E. (2006). Sixty-six years of research on the clinical versus actuarial prediction of violence. Counseling Psychologist, 34, 400-409.
    • (2006) Counseling Psychologist , vol.34 , pp. 400-409
    • Hilton, Z.1    Harris, G.T.2    Rice, M.E.3
  • 28
    • 0035432849 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The influence of actuarial risk assessment in clinical judgments and tribunal decisions about mentally disordered offenders in maximum security
    • Hilton, Z., & Simmons, J.L. (2001). The influence of actuarial risk assessment in clinical judgments and tribunal decisions about mentally disordered offenders in maximum security. Law and Human Behavior, 25, 393-408.
    • (2001) Law and Human Behavior , vol.25 , pp. 393-408
    • Hilton, Z.1    Simmons, J.L.2
  • 29
    • 58149417364 scopus 로고
    • On the psychology of prediction
    • Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1973). On the psychology of prediction. Psychological Review, 80, 237-251.
    • (1973) Psychological Review , vol.80 , pp. 237-251
    • Kahneman, D.1    Tversky, A.2
  • 30
    • 0020109716 scopus 로고
    • On the study of statistical intuition
    • Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1982). On the study of statistical intuition. Cognition, 11, 123-141.
    • (1982) Cognition , vol.11 , pp. 123-141
    • Kahneman, D.1    Tversky, A.2
  • 32
    • 0021203016 scopus 로고
    • Statistical approaches to the analysis of Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves
    • McNeil, B.J., & Hanley, J.A. (1984). Statistical approaches to the analysis of Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves. Medical Decision Making, 4, 137-150.
    • (1984) Medical Decision Making , vol.4 , pp. 137-150
    • McNeil, B.J.1    Hanley, J.A.2
  • 33
    • 0032416967 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The relationship between confidence and accuracy in clinical assessments of psychiatric patients' potential for violence
    • McNiel, D.E., Sandberg, D.A., & Binder, R.L. (1998). The relationship between confidence and accuracy in clinical assessments of psychiatric patients' potential for violence. Law and Human Behavior, 22, 655-669.
    • (1998) Law and Human Behavior , vol.22 , pp. 655-669
    • McNiel, D.E.1    Sandberg, D.A.2    Binder, R.L.3
  • 34
    • 33750121607 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effect of discordance among violence and general recidivism risk estimates on predictive accuracy
    • Mills, J.F., & Kroner, D.G. (2006). The effect of discordance among violence and general recidivism risk estimates on predictive accuracy. Criminal Behaviour and Mental Health, 16, 155-166.
    • (2006) Criminal Behaviour and Mental Health , vol.16 , pp. 155-166
    • Mills, J.F.1    Kroner, D.G.2
  • 35
    • 33746536625 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Short-Term Assessment of Risk and Treatability (START): A prospective validation study in a forensic psychiatric sample
    • Nicholls, T.L., Brink, J., Desmarais, S.L., Webster, C.D., & Martin, M.-L. (2006). The Short-Term Assessment of Risk and Treatability (START): A prospective validation study in a forensic psychiatric sample. Assessment, 13, 313-327.
    • (2006) Assessment , vol.13 , pp. 313-327
    • Nicholls, T.L.1    Brink, J.2    Desmarais, S.L.3    Webster, C.D.4    Martin, M.-L.5
  • 36
    • 58649112578 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forensic psychiatric inpatients and aggression: An exploration of incidence, prevalence, severity, and interventions by patient gender
    • Nicholls, T.L., Brink, J., Greaves, C., Lussier, P., & Verdun-Jones, S. (2009). Forensic psychiatric inpatients and aggression: An exploration of incidence, prevalence, severity, and interventions by patient gender. International Journal of Law and Psychiatry, 32, 23-30.
    • (2009) International Journal of Law and Psychiatry , vol.32 , pp. 23-30
    • Nicholls, T.L.1    Brink, J.2    Greaves, C.3    Lussier, P.4    Verdun-Jones, S.5
  • 39
    • 75649098464 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Short-term assessment of risk and treatability
    • In B. Cutler & P. Zapf (Eds.), Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage
    • Nicholls, T.L., Webster, C.D., Brink, J., & Martin, M.-L. (2008). Short-term assessment of risk and treatability. In B. Cutler & P. Zapf (Eds.), Encyclopedia of psychology and law (pp. 744-746). Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
    • (2008) Encyclopedia of Psychology and Law , pp. 744-746
    • Nicholls, T.L.1    Webster, C.D.2    Brink, J.3    Martin, M.-L.4
  • 41
    • 33846561184 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The dynamic appraisal of situational aggression: An instrument to assess risk for imminent aggression in psychiatric inpatients
    • Ogloff, J.R.P., & Daffern, M. (2006). The dynamic appraisal of situational aggression: An instrument to assess risk for imminent aggression in psychiatric inpatients. Behavioral Sciences and the Law, 24, 799-813.
    • (2006) Behavioral Sciences and the Law , vol.24 , pp. 799-813
    • Ogloff, J.R.P.1    Daffern, M.2
  • 43
    • 33750440832 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The dynamic prediction of antisocial behavior among forensic psychiatric patients: A prospective field study
    • Quinsey, V.L., Jones, G.B., Book, A.S., & Barr, K.N. (2006). The dynamic prediction of antisocial behavior among forensic psychiatric patients: A prospective field study. Journal of Interpersonal Violence, 21, 1539-1565.
    • (2006) Journal of Interpersonal Violence , vol.21 , pp. 1539-1565
    • Quinsey, V.L.1    Jones, G.B.2    Book, A.S.3    Barr, K.N.4
  • 44
    • 0033020478 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Accuracy and confidence in clinical assessments of psychiatric inpatients risk of violence
    • Rabinowitz, J., & Garelik-Wyler, R. (1999). Accuracy and confidence in clinical assessments of psychiatric inpatients risk of violence. International Journal of Law and Psychiatry, 22, 99-106.
    • (1999) International Journal of Law and Psychiatry , vol.22 , pp. 99-106
    • Rabinowitz, J.1    Garelik-Wyler, R.2
  • 45
    • 0033829289 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The uncritical acceptance of risk assessment in forensic practice
    • Rogers, R. (2000). The uncritical acceptance of risk assessment in forensic practice. Law and Human Behavior, 24, 595-605.
    • (2000) Law and Human Behavior , vol.24 , pp. 595-605
    • Rogers, R.1
  • 46
    • 0034006288 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of complex thought in clinical prediction: Social accountability and the need for cognition
    • Ruscio, J. (2000). The role of complex thought in clinical prediction: Social accountability and the need for cognition. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 68, 145-154.
    • (2000) Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology , vol.68 , pp. 145-154
    • Ruscio, J.1
  • 48
    • 84987819289 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Solutions for overconfidence: Evaluation of an instructional module for counsellor trainees
    • Smith, D., & Agate, J. (2004). Solutions for overconfidence: Evaluation of an instructional module for counsellor trainees. Counsellor Education & Supervision, 44, 31-43.
    • (2004) Counsellor Education & Supervision , vol.44 , pp. 31-43
    • Smith, D.1    Agate, J.2
  • 49
    • 0006107675 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Eliminating overconfidence in psychodiagnosis: Strategies for training and practice
    • Smith, D., & Dumont, F. (1997). Eliminating overconfidence in psychodiagnosis: Strategies for training and practice. Clinical Psychology: Science and Practice, 4, 335-345.
    • (1997) Clinical Psychology: Science and Practice , vol.4 , pp. 335-345
    • Smith, D.1    Dumont, F.2
  • 50
    • 33847276671 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Conducting risk evaluations for future violence: Ethical practice is possible
    • Tolman, A.O., & Rotzien, A.L. (2007). Conducting risk evaluations for future violence: Ethical practice is possible. Professional Psychology: Research and Practice, 38, 71-79.
    • (2007) Professional Psychology: Research and Practice , vol.38 , pp. 71-79
    • Tolman, A.O.1    Rotzien, A.L.2
  • 52
    • 0003438004 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • HCR-20: Assessing risk for violence (Version 2)
    • Canada: Mental Health, Law, & Policy Institute, Simon Fraser University
    • Webster, C.D., Douglas, K.S., Eaves, D., & Hart, S.D. (1997). HCR-20: Assessing risk for violence (Version 2). Vancouver, Canada: Mental Health, Law, & Policy Institute, Simon Fraser University.
    • (1997) Vancouver
    • Webster, C.D.1    Douglas, K.S.2    Eaves, D.3    Hart, S.D.4
  • 55
    • 33846624754 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Short-Term Assessment of Risk and Treatability (START): The case for a new violence risk structured professional judgment scheme
    • Webster, C.D., Nicholls, T.L., Martin, M.-L., Desmarais, S.L., & Brink, J. (2006). Short-Term Assessment of Risk and Treatability (START): The case for a new violence risk structured professional judgment scheme. Behavioral Sciences and the Law, 24, 747-766.
    • (2006) Behavioral Sciences and the Law , vol.24 , pp. 747-766
    • Webster, C.D.1    Nicholls, T.L.2    Martin, M.-L.3    Desmarais, S.L.4    Brink, J.5
  • 56
    • 0024459375 scopus 로고
    • Clinical judgment and decision making in neuropsychology
    • Wedding, D., & Faust, D. (1989). Clinical judgment and decision making in neuropsychology. Archives of Clinical Neuropsychology, 4, 233-265.
    • (1989) Archives of Clinical Neuropsychology , vol.4 , pp. 233-265
    • Wedding, D.1    Faust, D.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.