Long-run growth scenarios for the world economy

Journal of Policy Modeling

Volumn 32, Issue 1, 2010, Pages 64-80

  Duval, Romain ^a   de la Maisonneuve, Christine ^a  

^a OECD ECONOMICS DEPARTMENT   (France)

Author keywords

Cohorts; Growth; Human capital; Long run; Projections

Indexed keywords

EID: 74749096629     PISSN: 01618938     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2009.10.001     Document Type: Article

References (43)

1. Acemoglu D. Introduction to modern economic growth (2009), Princeton University Press, Princeton
2. Barro R., and Lee J.-W. International data on educational attainment: Updates and implications. Oxford Economic Papers 53 3 (2001) 541-563
3. Barro R., and Lee J.-W. International comparisons of educational attainment. Journal of Monetary Economics 32 3 (1993) 363-394
4. Barro R., and Sala-i-Martin X. Economic growth. second ed. (2004), The MIT Press, Cambridge, MA
5. Bassanini A., and Scarpetta S. The driving forces of economic growth: Panel Data Evidence for the OECD Countries. OECD Economic Studies 33 (2001) 9-56
6. Bassanini A., and Scarpetta S. Does human capital matter for growth in OECD countries? A pooled mean group approach. Economics Letters 74 3 (2004) 399-405
7. Bils M., and Klenow P. Does schooling cause growth?. American Economic Review 90 5 (2000) 1160-1183
8. Bond, S., Leblebicioglu, A., & Schiantarelli, F. (2004). Capital accumulation and growth: A new look at the empirical evidence. Boston College Working Papers No. 591.
9. Bosetti V., Carraro C., and Massetti E. Banking permits: Economic efficiency and distributional effects. Journal of Policy Modeling 31 (2009) 382-403
10. Burniaux, J-M., & Chateau, J. (2008). An overview of the OECD ENV-Linkages Model. OECD Economics Department Working Papers No. 653.
11. Burniaux, J-M., Chateau, J., Duval, R., & Jamet, S. (2008). The economics of climate change mitigation: Policies and options for the Future. OECD Economics Department Working Papers No. 658.
12. Burniaux, J-M., Duval, R., & Jaumotte, F. (2003). Coping with ageing: A dynamic approach to quantify the impact of alternative policy options on future labour supply. OECD Economics Department Working Papers No. 371.
13. Caselli F. Accounting for cross-country income differences. In: Aghion P., and Durlauf S. (Eds). Handbook of economic growth (2005), Elsevier, Amsterdam 679-741
14. Caselli F., and Coleman W. The world technology frontier. American Economic Review 96 3 (2006) 499-522
15. Castles I., and Henderson D. Economics, emission scenarios and the work of the IPCC. Energy and Environment 14 4 (2003) 415-435
16. Castles I., and Henderson D. The IPCC emission scenarios: An economic-statistical critique. Energy and Environment 14 2-3 (2003) 159-185
17. Cohen D., and Soto M. Growth and human capital: Good data, good results. Journal of Economic Growth 12 1 (2007) 51-76
18. Duval, R., & de la Maisonneuve, C. (2009). A long-run GDP growth framework and scenarios for the world economy. OECD Economics Department Working Papers No. 663.
19. Easterly W., and Levine R. What have we learned from a decade of empirical research on growth ? It's not factor accumulation: Stylized facts and growth models. World Bank Economic Review 15 2 (2001) 177-219
20. Fisher B., Nakicenovic N., Alfsen K., Corfee-Morlot J., de la Chesnaye F., Hourcade J.-C., et al. Issues related to mitigation in the long-term context. In: Metz B., Davidson O., Bosch P., Dave R., and Meyer L. (Eds). Climate Change 2007: Mitigation. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (2007), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
21. Furceri, D., & Mourougane, A. (2009). The effect of financial crises on potential output: New empirical evidence from OECD countries. OECD Economics Department Working Papers No. 699.
22. Gemmel R. Evaluating the impacts of human capital stocks and accumulation on economic growth: Some new evidence. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 58 1 (1996) 9-28
23. Groningen Growth and Development Centre. (2006). Data Sources and Methodology of the 60-Industry Database of the Groningen Growth and Development Centre, Groningen Growth and Development Centre, mimeo.
24. Hall R., and Jones C. Why do some countries produce so much more output per worker than others?. Quarterly Journal of Economics 114 1 (1999) 83-116
25. Harmon C., Oosterbeek H., and Walker I. The returns to education: microeconomics. Journal of Economic Surveys 17 2 (2003) 115-156
26. Henderson D. The treatment of economic issues by the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Energy and Environment 16 2 (2005) 321-326
27. Jones C. Convergence revisited. Journal of Economic Growth 2 2 (1997) 131-153
28. Klenow P., and Rodriguez-Clare A. The neoclassical revival in growth economics: Has it gone too far?. In: Bernanke B., and Rotemberg J. (Eds). NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1997 (1997), The MIT Press, Cambridge 73-103
29. Mankiw G., Romer D., and Weil D. A contribution to the empirics of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics 107 2 (1992) 407-437
30. McKibbin, W., Pearce, D., & Stegman, A. (2004). Long-run projections for climate change scenarios. Lowy Institute for International Policy, Working Papers in International Economics No. 1.04.
31. Nakicenovic N., Alcamo J., Davis G., de Vries B., Fenham J., Gaffin S., et al. Special Report on Emission Scenarios. Working Group III Inter-governemental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (2000), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
32. Nicoletti, G., & Scarpetta, S. (2003). Regulation, productivity and growth: OECD evidence. OECD Economics Department Working Papers No. 347.
33. Nordhaus W. Alternative measures of output in global economic-environmental models: Purchasing power parity or market exchange rates?. Energy Economics 29 3 (2007) 349-372
34. OECD. (2004). Sources of Economic Growth, Paris.
35. Psacharopoulos G. Returns to investment in education: A global update. World Development 22 9 (1994) 1325-1343
36. Psacharopoulos G., and Patrinos H. Returns to investment in education: A further update. Education Economics 12 2 (2004) 111-134
37. Sala-i-Martin X., Doppelhofer G., and Miller R. Determinants of long-term growth: A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach. American Economic Review 94 4 (2004) 813-835
38. Serra V., and Saxena S. Growth dynamics: The myth of economic recovery. American Economic review 98 1 (2008) 439-457
39. Sianesi B., and Van Reenen J. The returns to education: Macroeconomics. Journal of Economic Surveys 17 2 (2003) 157-200
40. Smith J., Schellnhuber H.-J., and Monirul Qader Mirza M. Vulnerability to climate change and reasons for concern: A synthesis. In: McCarthy J., Canziani O., Leary N., Dokken D., and White K. (Eds). Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (2001), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
41. Timmer, M., & de Vries, G. (2007). A Cross-Country Database for Sectoral Employment and Productivity in Asia and Latin America, 1950-2005, Groningen Growth and Development Centre, mimeo.
42. Van Ark B. Sectoral growth accounting and structural change in post-war Europe. In: Van Ark B., and Crafts N. (Eds). Quantitative aspects of post-war European economic growth (1996), CEPR/Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
43. World Bank. 2005 International Comparison Program: Preliminary results, 17 December 2007 (2007), The World Bank, Washington, D.C.