메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 7, Issue 43, 2010, Pages 297-307

The ideal reporting interval for an epidemic to objectively interpret the epidemiological time course

Author keywords

Disease outbreaks; Infection; Infectious disease reporting; Influenza; Smallpox; Statistical model

Indexed keywords

ALTERNATIVE METHODS; DISEASE OUTBREAKS; DISPERSIBILITIES; FUNCTION OF TIME; GENERATION TIME; INFECTION CONTROL; INFECTIOUS DISEASE; SIMPLE ALGORITHM; STATISTICAL MODELS; TIME COURSE; TIME DISTRIBUTION; TIME UNITS;

EID: 74049100933     PISSN: 17425689     EISSN: 17425662     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2009.0153     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (50)

References (35)
  • 2
    • 0036590892 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamics of measles epidemics: Estimating scaling of transmission rates using a time series SIR model
    • Bjornstad, O. N., Finkenstadt, B. F. & Grenfell, B. T. 2002 Dynamics of measles epidemics: estimating scaling of transmission rates using a time series SIR model. Ecol. Monogr. 72, 169-184.
    • (2002) Ecol. Monogr , vol.72 , pp. 169-184
    • Bjornstad, O.N.1    Finkenstadt, B.F.2    Grenfell, B.T.3
  • 3
    • 41349106559 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Time lines of infection and disease in human influenza: A review of volunteer challenge studies
    • doi:10.1093/aje/kwm375
    • Carrat, F., Vergu, E., Ferguson, N. M., Lemaitre, M., Cauchemez, S., Leach, S. & Valleron, A. J. 2008 Time lines of infection and disease in human influenza: a review of volunteer challenge studies. Am. J. Epidemiol. 167, 775-785. (doi:10.1093/aje/kwm375)
    • (2008) Am. J. Epidemiol , vol.167 , pp. 775-785
    • Carrat, F.1    Vergu, E.2    Ferguson, N.M.3    Lemaitre, M.4    Cauchemez, S.5    Leach, S.6    Valleron, A.J.7
  • 4
    • 45849091048 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Likelihood-based estimation of continuous-time epidemic models from time-series data: Application to measles transmission in London
    • doi:10.1098/rsif.2007.1292
    • Cauchemez, S. & Ferguson, N. M. 2008 Likelihood-based estimation of continuous-time epidemic models from time-series data: application to measles transmission in London. J. R. Soc. Interface 5, 885-897. (doi:10.1098/rsif.2007.1292)
    • (2008) J. R. Soc. Interface , vol.5 , pp. 885-897
    • Cauchemez, S.1    Ferguson, N.M.2
  • 5
    • 33748775204 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating in real time the efficacy of measures to control emerging communicable diseases
    • doi:10.1093/aje/kwj274
    • Cauchemez, S., Boëlle, P. Y., Thomas, G. & Valleron, A. J. 2006a Estimating in real time the efficacy of measures to control emerging communicable diseases. Am. J. Epidemiol. 164, 591-597. (doi:10.1093/aje/kwj274)
    • (2006) Am. J. Epidemiol , vol.164 , pp. 591-597
    • Cauchemez, S.1    Boëlle, P.Y.2    Thomas, G.3    Valleron, A.J.4
  • 7
    • 33847659449 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Disease surveillance
    • eds J. C. Thomas & D. J. Weber, pp, New York, NY: Oxford University Press
    • Chorba, T. L. 2001 Disease surveillance. In Epidemiologic methods for the study of infectious diseases (eds J. C. Thomas & D. J. Weber), pp. 138-162. New York, NY: Oxford University Press.
    • (2001) Epidemiologic methods for the study of infectious diseases , pp. 138-162
    • Chorba, T.L.1
  • 8
    • 33846862467 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparative estimation of the reproduction number for pandemic influenza from daily case notification data
    • doi:10.1098/rsif.2006.0161
    • Chowell, G., Nishiura, H. & Bettencourt, L. M. 2007 Comparative estimation of the reproduction number for pandemic influenza from daily case notification data. J. R. Soc. Interface 4, 155-166. (doi:10.1098/rsif.2006.0161)
    • (2007) J. R. Soc. Interface , vol.4 , pp. 155-166
    • Chowell, G.1    Nishiura, H.2    Bettencourt, L.M.3
  • 9
    • 85020822839 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Delater 1923 La Grippe Dans La Nation Armée De 1918 A 1921. Revue d'Hygiene 45, 406-426. [In French.] Department of Hygiene, Japanese Ministry of Interior 1922 Influenza (Ryukousei Kanbou). Tokyo, Japan: Ministry of Interior. [In Japanese.]
    • Delater 1923 La Grippe Dans La Nation Armée De 1918 A 1921. Revue d'Hygiene 45, 406-426. [In French.] Department of Hygiene, Japanese Ministry of Interior 1922 Influenza (Ryukousei Kanbou). Tokyo, Japan: Ministry of Interior. [In Japanese.]
  • 11
    • 84946644435 scopus 로고
    • On the true rate of natural increase
    • doi:org/10. 2307/2965517
    • Dublin, L. I. & Lotka, A. J. 1925 On the true rate of natural increase. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 151, 305-339. (doi:org/10. 2307/2965517)
    • (1925) J. Am. Stat. Assoc , vol.151 , pp. 305-339
    • Dublin, L.I.1    Lotka, A.J.2
  • 12
    • 0035807295 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transmission intensity and impact of control policies on the foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain
    • doi:10.1038/35097116
    • Ferguson, N. M., Donnelly, C. A. & Anderson, R. M. 2001 Transmission intensity and impact of control policies on the foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain. Nature 413, 542-548. (doi:10.1038/35097116)
    • (2001) Nature , vol.413 , pp. 542-548
    • Ferguson, N.M.1    Donnelly, C.A.2    Anderson, R.M.3
  • 14
    • 0034360414 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Time series modeling of childhood diseases: A dynamical systems approach
    • doi:org/10.1111/1467-9876.00187
    • Finkenstadt, B. F. & Grenfell, B. T. 2000 Time series modeling of childhood diseases: a dynamical systems approach. Appl. Stat. 49, 187-205. (doi:org/10.1111/1467-9876.00187)
    • (2000) Appl. Stat , vol.49 , pp. 187-205
    • Finkenstadt, B.F.1    Grenfell, B.T.2
  • 15
    • 39049108853 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating individual and household reproduction numbers in an emerging epidemic
    • doi:10.1371/journal. pone.0000758
    • Fraser, C. 2007 Estimating individual and household reproduction numbers in an emerging epidemic. PLoS ONE 2, e758. (doi:10.1371/journal. pone.0000758)
    • (2007) PLoS ONE , vol.2
    • Fraser, C.1
  • 16
    • 55849110822 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The transmissibility of highly pathogenic avian influenza in commercial poultry in industrialised countries
    • doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0000349
    • Garske, T., Clarke, P. & Ghani, A. C. 2007 The transmissibility of highly pathogenic avian influenza in commercial poultry in industrialised countries. PLoS ONE 2, e349. (doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0000349)
    • (2007) PLoS ONE , vol.2
    • Garske, T.1    Clarke, P.2    Ghani, A.C.3
  • 18
    • 53849121655 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Growth rates in epidemic models: Application to a model for HIV/AIDS progression
    • doi:10.1002/sim.3219
    • Gran, J. M., Wasmuth, L., Amundsen, E. J., Lindqvist, B. H. & Aalen, O. O. 2008 Growth rates in epidemic models: application to a model for HIV/AIDS progression. Stat. Med. 27, 4817-4834. (doi:10.1002/sim.3219)
    • (2008) Stat. Med , vol.27 , pp. 4817-4834
    • Gran, J.M.1    Wasmuth, L.2    Amundsen, E.J.3    Lindqvist, B.H.4    Aalen, O.O.5
  • 19
    • 0037460207 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The construction and analysis of epidemic trees with reference to the 2001 UK foot-and-mouth outbreak
    • doi:10.1098/rspb.2002.2191
    • Haydon, D. T., Chase-Topping, M., Shaw, D. J., Matthews, L., Friar, J. K., Wilesmith, J. & Woolhouse, M. E. 2003 The construction and analysis of epidemic trees with reference to the 2001 UK foot-and-mouth outbreak. Proc. R. Soc. B 270, 121-127. (doi:10.1098/rspb.2002.2191)
    • (2003) Proc. R. Soc. B , vol.270 , pp. 121-127
    • Haydon, D.T.1    Chase-Topping, M.2    Shaw, D.J.3    Matthews, L.4    Friar, J.K.5    Wilesmith, J.6    Woolhouse, M.E.7
  • 20
    • 4544277617 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relationship of speed of slaughter on infected premises and intensity of culling of other premises to the rate of spread of the foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Great Britain, 2001
    • Honhold, N., Taylor, N. M., Mansley, L. M. & Paterson, A. D. 2004 Relationship of speed of slaughter on infected premises and intensity of culling of other premises to the rate of spread of the foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Great Britain, 2001. Vet. Rec. 155, 287-294.
    • (2004) Vet. Rec , vol.155 , pp. 287-294
    • Honhold, N.1    Taylor, N.M.2    Mansley, L.M.3    Paterson, A.D.4
  • 23
    • 85020826791 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ministerie van Binnenlandsche Zaken, The Netherlands 1875 In De pokken-epidemie in Nederland in 1870-1873. s'Gravenhage, The Netherlands: Van Weelden en Mingelen. [In Dutch.]
    • Ministerie van Binnenlandsche Zaken, The Netherlands 1875 In De pokken-epidemie in Nederland in 1870-1873. s'Gravenhage, The Netherlands: Van Weelden en Mingelen. [In Dutch.]
  • 24
    • 34249827453 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Infectiousness of smallpox relative to disease age: Estimates based on transmission network and incubation period
    • doi:org/10.1017/ S0950268806007618
    • Nishiura, H. & Eichner, M. 2007 Infectiousness of smallpox relative to disease age: estimates based on transmission network and incubation period. Epidemiol. Infect. 135, 1145-1150. (doi:org/10.1017/ S0950268806007618)
    • (2007) Epidemiol. Infect , vol.135 , pp. 1145-1150
    • Nishiura, H.1    Eichner, M.2
  • 25
    • 33746067846 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The earliest notes on the reproduction number in relation to herd immunity: Theophil Lotz and smallpox vaccination
    • doi:10.1016/j.jtbi, 01.012
    • Nishiura, H., Dietz, K. & Eichner, M. 2006 The earliest notes on the reproduction number in relation to herd immunity: Theophil Lotz and smallpox vaccination. J. Theor. Biol. 241, 964-967. (doi:10.1016/j.jtbi. 2006. 01.012)
    • (2006) J. Theor. Biol , vol.241 , pp. 964-967
    • Nishiura, H.1    Dietz, K.2    Eichner, M.3
  • 26
    • 0018665210 scopus 로고
    • The infectee number at equilibrium for a communicable disease
    • doi:10.1016/0025-5564(79) 90020-8
    • Nold, A. 1979 The infectee number at equilibrium for a communicable disease. Math. Biosci. 46, 131-138. (doi:10.1016/0025-5564(79) 90020-8)
    • (1979) Math. Biosci , vol.46 , pp. 131-138
    • Nold, A.1
  • 27
    • 35448971114 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Model-consistent estimation of the basic reproduction number from the incidence of an emerging infection
    • doi:10.1007/s00285-007-0112-8
    • Roberts, M. G. & Heesterbeek, J. A. 2007 Model-consistent estimation of the basic reproduction number from the incidence of an emerging infection. J. Math. Biol. 55, 803-816. (doi:10.1007/s00285-007-0112-8)
    • (2007) J. Math. Biol , vol.55 , pp. 803-816
    • Roberts, M.G.1    Heesterbeek, J.A.2
  • 31
    • 34249287652 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A note on generation times in epidemic models
    • doi:10.1016/j.mbs. 2006.10.010
    • Svensson, A. 2007 A note on generation times in epidemic models. Math. Biosci. 208, 300-311. (doi:10.1016/j.mbs. 2006.10.010)
    • (2007) Math. Biosci , vol.208 , pp. 300-311
    • Svensson, A.1
  • 32
    • 34249951995 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How generation intervals shape the relationship between growth rates and reproductive numbers
    • doi:10. 1098/rspb.2006.3754
    • Wallinga, J. & Lipsitch, M. 2007 How generation intervals shape the relationship between growth rates and reproductive numbers. Proc. R. Soc. B. 274, 599-604. (doi:10. 1098/rspb.2006.3754)
    • (2007) Proc. R. Soc. B , vol.274 , pp. 599-604
    • Wallinga, J.1    Lipsitch, M.2
  • 33
    • 4544318829 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Different epidemic curves for severe acute respiratory syndrome reveal similar impacts of control measures
    • doi:10.1093/aje/kwh255
    • Wallinga, J. & Teunis, P. 2004 Different epidemic curves for severe acute respiratory syndrome reveal similar impacts of control measures. Am. J. Epidemiol. 160, 509-516. (doi:10.1093/aje/kwh255)
    • (2004) Am. J. Epidemiol , vol.160 , pp. 509-516
    • Wallinga, J.1    Teunis, P.2
  • 34
    • 48049084567 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A likelihood-based method for real-time estimation of the serial interval and reproductive number of an epidemic
    • doi:org/10.1002/sim.3136
    • White, L. C. & Pagano, M. 2008a A likelihood-based method for real-time estimation of the serial interval and reproductive number of an epidemic. Stat. Med. 27, 2999-3016. (doi:org/10.1002/sim.3136)
    • (2008) Stat. Med , vol.27 , pp. 2999-3016
    • White, L.C.1    Pagano, M.2
  • 35
    • 45149107294 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transmissibility of the influenza virus in the 1918 pandemic
    • doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0001498
    • White, L. C. & Pagano, M. 2008b Transmissibility of the influenza virus in the 1918 pandemic. PLoS ONE 3, e1498. (doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0001498)
    • (2008) PLoS ONE , vol.3
    • White, L.C.1    Pagano, M.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.