Statistical downscaling of daily mean temperature, pan evaporation and precipitation for climate change scenarios in Haihe River, China

Theoretical and Applied Climatology

Volumn 99, Issue 1-2, 2010, Pages 149-161

  Chu, J T ^a,b   Xia, J ^a   Xu, C Y ^c   Singh, V P ^d  

^a INSTITUTE OF GEOGRAPHIC SCIENCES AND NATURAL RESOURCES RESEARCH   (China)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CHINESE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES   (China)

^c UNIVERSITY OF OSLO   (Norway)

^d Texas A and M University   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AIR TEMPERATURE; ANNUAL VARIATION; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; DOWNSCALING; EVAPORATION; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); SEASONAL VARIATION;

ASIA; CHINA; EURASIA; FAR EAST; HAI RIVER; TIANJIN;

EID: 70849085832     PISSN: 0177798X     EISSN: 14344483     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-009-0129-6     Document Type: Article

References (52)

1. A Bardossy EJ Plate 1992 Space-time model for daily rainfall using atmospheric circulation patterns Water Resour Res 28 5 1247 1259 10.1029/91WR02589 (Pubitemid 23372119)
2. G Burger Y Chen 2005 Regression-based downscaling of spatial variability for hydrologic applications J Hydrol 311 299 317 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.01.025 (Pubitemid 41261615)
3. A Busuioc H Von Storch R Schnur 1999 Verification of GCM-generated regional seasonal precipitation for current climate and of statistical downscaling estimates under changing climate conditions J Climate 12 258 272
4. DL Chen 2000 A monthly circulation climatology for Sweden and its application to a winter temperature case study Int J Climatol 20 1067 1076 10.1002/1097-0088(200008)20:10<1067::AID-JOC528>3.0.CO;2-Q (Pubitemid 30686613)
5. X Chen YQ Chen 2001 Downscaling of daily precipitation using a stochastic weather generator J Hydraul Eng 4 47 52 (in Chinese with English abstract)
6. YD Chen X Chen C-Y Xu Q Shao 2006 Downscaling of daily precipitation with a stochastic weather generator for the subtropical region in South China Hydrol Earth Syst Sci Discuss 3 1145 1183
7. P Coulibaly 2004 Downscaling daily extreme temperatures with genetic programming Geophys Res Lett 31 L16203 10.1029/2004GL020075 10.1029/2004GL020075 (Pubitemid 39428471)
8. U Cubasch H Von Storch J Waszkewitz E Zorita 1996 Estimates of climate change in Southern Europe derived from dynamical climate model output Clim Res 7 129 149 10.3354/cr007129
9. YB Dibike P Coulibaly 2005 Hydrologic impact of climate change in the Saguenay watershed: comparison of downscaling methods and hydrologic models J Hydrol 307 145 163 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2004.10.012 (Pubitemid 40743123)
10. JD Doyle 1997 The influence of mesoscale orography on a coastal jet and rainband Mon Weather Rev 125 7 1465 1488 10.1175/1520-0493(1997)125<1465: TIOMOO>2.0.CO;2
11. P Eric JR Salathe 2003 Comparison of various precipitation downscaling methods for the simulation of streamflow in a rainshadow river basin Int J Climatol 23 887 901 10.1002/joc.922 (Pubitemid 36832751)
12. Fan LJ (2006) Statistical downscaling of local and regional climate scenarios over China. PhD thesis. Beijing: Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences. 2-3. (in Chinese with English abstract)
13. ZQ Fan CZ Liu 1992 Analysis on the processed of water vapor transfer over North China during 1980-1987 Sci Atmos Sin 16 5 548 555 (in Chinese with English abstract)
14. LJ Fan CB Fu DL Chen 2005 Review on creating future climate change scenarios by statistical downscaling techniques Adv Earth Sci 20 3 320 329 (in Chinese with English abstract)
15. LJ Fan CB Fu DL Chen 2007 Estimation of local temperature change scenarios in North China using statistical downscaling method Chin J Atmos Sci 31 5 887 897 (in Chinese with English abstract)
16. HJ Fowler RL Wilby 2007 Beyond the downscaling comparison study Int J Climatol 27 1543 1545 10.1002/joc.1616 (Pubitemid 47604180)
17. HJ Fowler S Blenkinsop C Tebaldi 2007 Linking climate change modelling to impacts studies: recent advances in downscaling techniques for hydrological modelling Int J Climatol 27 1547 1578 10.1002/joc.1556 (Pubitemid 47604181)
18. MD Frias E Zorita J Femandez C Rodriguez-Puebla 2006 Testing statistical downscaling methods in simulated climates Geophys Res Lett 33 L19807 10.1029/2006GL027453 10.1029/2006GL027453 (Pubitemid 46535094)
19. I Hanssen-Bauer C Achberger RE Benestad DL Chen EJ Forland 2005 Statistical downscaling of climate scenarios over Scandinavia Clim Res 29 255 268 10.3354/cr029255
20. C Harpham RL Wilby 2005 Multi-site downscaling of heavy daily precipitation occurrence and amounts J Hydrol 312 235 255 10.1016/j.jhydrol. 2005.02.020 (Pubitemid 41392962)
21. K Hayhoe D Cayan CB Field PC Frumhoff EP Maurer NL Miller SC Moser SH Schneider KN Cahill EE Cleland L Dale R Drapek RM Hanemann LS Kalkstein J Lenihan CK Lunch RP Neilson SC Scheridan JH Verville 2004 Emissions pathways, climate change, and impacts on California Pnas 101 34 12422 12427 10.1073/pnas.0404500101 (Pubitemid 39122039)
22. C Hellstrom DL Chen C Achberger J Ralsanen 2001 Comparison of climate change scenarios for Sweden based on statistical and dynamical downscaling of monthly precipitation Clim Res 19 45 55 10.3354/cr019045
23. IPCC (2007) Climate Change 2007: the physical science basis. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL (eds) Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
24. HW Kang KH An CK Park ALS Solis K Stitthichivapak 2007 Multimodel output statistical downscaling prediction of precipitation in the Philippines and Thailand Geophys Res Lett 34 L15710 10.1029/2007GL030730 10.1029/2007GL030730 (Pubitemid 47521304)
25. MS Khan P Coulibaly Y Dibike 2006 Uncertainty analysis of statistical downscaling methods J Hydrol 319 357 382 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.06.035 (Pubitemid 43199908)
26. GW Kite 1997 Simulating Columbia river flows with data from regional-scale climate models Water Resour Res 33 6 1275 1285 10.1029/97WR00434
27. YM Liao Q Zhang DL Chen 2004 Precipitation simulation in China with a weather generator Acta Geogr Sin 59 5 689 698 (in Chinese with English abstract)
28. LL Liu ZF Liu ZX Xu 2008 Trends of climate change for the upper-middle reaches of the Yellow River in the 21st century Adv Clim Chang Res 4 3 167 172 (in Chinese with English abstract)
29. J Murphy 2000 Predictions of climate change over Europe using statistical and dynamical downscaling techniques Int J Climatol 20 489 501 10.1002/(SICI)1097-0088(200004)20:5<489::AID-JOC484>3.0.CO;2-6 (Pubitemid 30319938)
30. Ren GY (2007) Climate change and China's water resources. China Meteorological Press, Beijing (in Chinese)
31. CW Richardson 1981 Stochastic simulation of daily precipitation, temperature, and solar radiation Water Resour Res 17 1 182 190 10.1029/WR017i001p00182
32. JS Risbey PH Stone 1996 A case study of the adequacy of GCM simulations for input to regional climate change assessments J Climate 9 1441 1467 10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<1441:ACSOTA>2.0.CO;2
33. AN Samel WC Wang XZ Liang 1999 The monsoon rainband over China and relationships with the Eurasian circulation J Climate 12 115 131
34. Shi YF (1995) The impact of climate change on the water resources in West and North China. Science and Technology Publishing House, Shandong (in Chinese)
35. S Tripathi VV Srinivas RS Nanjundiah 2006 Downscaling of precipitation for climate change scenarios: A support vector machine approach J Hydrol 330 621 640 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2006.04.030 (Pubitemid 44573197)
36. H Von Storch E Zorita U Cubasch 1993 Downscaling of global climate change estimates to regional scales: an application to Iberian rainfall in wintertime J Climate 6 1161 1171 10.1175/1520-0442(1993)006<1161:DOGCCE>2.0.CO;2
37. M Vrac ML Stein K Hayhoe XZ Liang 2007 A general method for validating statistical downscaling methods under future climate change Geophys Res Lett 34 L18701 10.1029/2007GL030295 10.1029/2007GL030295 (Pubitemid 350186712)
38. YQ Wang LR Leung JL Mcgregor WC Wang YH Ding F Kimura 2004 Regional climate modeling: progress, challenges, and prospects J Meteorol Soc Jpn 82 6 1599 1628 10.2151/jmsj.82.1599 (Pubitemid 40252253)
39. FJ Wentz L Ricciardulli K Hilburn C Mears 2007 How much more rain will global warming bring? Science 317 233 235 10.1126/science.1140746 (Pubitemid 47076196)
40. F Wetterhall S Halldin C-Y Xu 2005 Statistical precipitation downscaling in central Sweden with the analogue method J Hydrol 306 174 190 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2004.09.008 (Pubitemid 40678748)
41. F Wetterhall A Bardossy DL Chen S Halldin C-Y Xu 2006 Daily precipitation-downscaling techniques in three Chinese regions Water Resour Res 42 W11423 10.1029/2005WR004573 10.1029/2005WR004573 (Pubitemid 46134893)
42. F Wetterhall S Halldin C-Y Xu 2007 Seasonality properties of four statistical-downscaling methods in central Sweden Theor Appl Climatol 87 1-4 123 137 10.1007/s00704-005-0223-3 (Pubitemid 44644488)
43. RL Wilby I Harris 2006 A framework for assessing uncertainties in climate change impacts: low-flow scenarios Water Resour Res 42 W02419 10.1029/2005WR004065 10.1029/2005WR004065
44. RL Wilby TML Wigley 1997 Downscaling general circulation model output: a review of methods and limitations Progr Phys Geogr 21 4 530 548 10.1177/030913339702100403
45. RL Wilby TML Wigley D Conway PD Jones BC Hewitson J Main DS Wilks 1998 Statistical downscaling of general circulation model output: a comparison of methods Water Resour Res 34 11 2995 3008 10.1029/98WR02577
46. RL Wilby LE Hay GH Leavesley 1999 A comparison of downscaled and raw GCM output: implications for climate change scenarios in the San Juan River basin, Colorado J Hydrol 225 67 91 10.1016/S0022-1694(99)00136-5
47. RL Wilby CW Dawson EM Barrow 2002 SDSM - a decision support tool for the assessment of regional climate change impacts Environ Model Softw 17 147 159 10.1016/S1364-8152(01)00060-3
48. RL Wilby OJ Tomlinson CW Dawson 2003 Multi-site simulation of precipitation by conditional resampling Clim Res 23 183 194 10.3354/cr023183
49. DS Wilks 1989 Conditioning stochastic daily precipitation models on total monthly precipitation Water Resour Res 25 6 1429 1439 10.1029/WR025i006p01429
50. C-Y Xu 1999 From GCMs to river flow: a review of downscaling methods and hydrologic modelling approaches Progr Phys Geogr 23 2 229 249
51. F Yuan ZH Xie LH Ren Q Huang 2005 Hydrological variation in Haihe River Basin due to climate change J Hydraul Eng 36 3 274 279 (in Chinese with English abstract)
52. FF Zhao ZX Xu 2008 Statistical downscaling of future temperature change in source of the Yellow River Basin Plateau Meteorol 27 1 153 161 (in Chinese with English abstract)