North Atlantic climate variability: The role of the North Atlantic Oscillation

Journal of Marine Systems

Volumn 79, Issue 3-4, 2010, Pages 231-244

  Hurrell, James W ^a   Deser, Clara ^a  

^a NATIONAL CENTER FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH   (United States)

Author keywords

Climate variability; NAO; Physical oceanographic impacts

Indexed keywords

EID: 70549109161     PISSN: 09247963     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2009.11.002     Document Type: Erratum

References (88)

1. Alexander M.A., and Deser C. A mechanism for the recurrence of wintertime midlatitude SST anomalies. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 25 (1995) 122-137
2. Alexandersson H., Schmith T., Iden K., and Tuomenvirta H. Long-term variations of the storm climate over NW Europe. Glob. Ocean Atmos. Sys. 6 (1998) 97-120
3. Alheit J., and Bakun A. Population synchronies within and between ocean basins: apparent teleconnections and implications as to physical-biological linkage mechanisms. J. Mar. Syst. 79 (2010) 253-271
4. Bacon S., and Carter D.J.T. A connection between mean wave height and atmospheric pressure gradient in the North Atlantic. Int. J. Climatol. 13 (1993) 423-436
5. Barnston A.G., and Livezey R.E. Classification, seasonality and persistence of low frequency atmospheric circulation patterns. Mon. Weather Rev. 115 (1987) 1083-1126
6. Battisti D.S., Bhatt U.S., and Alexander M.A. A modeling study of the interannual variability in the wintertime North Atlantic Ocean. J. Climate 8 (1995) 3067-3083
7. Bjerknes J. Atlantic air-sea interaction. Adv. Geophys. 10 (1964) 1-82
8. Carter D.J.T. Variability and trends in the wave climate of the North Atlantic, a review. Proc. 9th ISOPE Conf., Brest vol. III (1999) 12-18
9. Cassou C., and Terray L. Oceanic forcing of the wintertime low frequency atmospheric variability in the North Atlantic European sector, a study with the ARPEGE model. J. Climate 14 (2001) 4266-4291
10. Cassou C., and Terray L. Dual influence of Atlantic and Pacific SST anomalies on the North Atlantic/Europe winter climate. Geophys. Res. Lett. 28 (2001) 3195-3198
11. Cassou C., Terray L., Hurrell J.W., and Deser C. North Atlantic winter climate regimes: spatial asymmetry, stationarity with time, and oceanic forcing. J. Climate 17 (2004) 1055-1068
12. Cassou C., Deser C., Terray L., Hurrell J.W., and Drevillon M. Summer sea surface temperature conditions in the North Atlantic and their impact upon the atmospheric circulation in early winter. J. Climate 17 (2004) 3349-3363
13. Cassou, C., Deser, C., Alexander, M.A., 2007. Investigating the impact of reemerging sea surface temperature anomalies on the winter atmospheric circulation over the North Atlantic. J. Climate. 20 (14), 3510-3526.
14. Cayan D.R. Latent and sensible heat flux anomalies over the northern oceans, driving the sea surface temperature. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 22 (1992) 859-881
15. Cayan D.R. Latent and sensible heat flux anomalies over the northern oceans, the connection to monthly atmospheric circulation. J. Climate 5 (1992) 354-369
16. Cohen J., Salstein D., and Saito K. A dynamical framework to understand and predict the major Northern Hemisphere mode. Geophys. Res. Lett. 29 (2002) 1412 10.1029/2001GL014117
17. Corti S., Molteni F., and Palmer T.N. Signature of recent climate change in frequencies of natural atmospheric circulation regimes. Nature 398 (1999) 799-802
18. Curry R.G., and McCartney M.S. Ocean gyre circulation changes associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation, J. Phys. Oceanogr. 31 (2001) 3374-3400
19. Czaja A., Robertson A.W., and Huck T. The role of Atlantic ocean-atmosphere coupling in affecting North Atlantic Oscillation variability. In: Hurrell J.W., Kushnir Y., Ottersen G., and Visbeck M. (Eds). The North Atlantic Oscillation, Climatic Significance and Environmental Impact. AGU Geophys. Monogr. vol. 134 (2003) 147-172
20. Dai A., Fung I.Y., and Del Genio A.D. Surface observed global land precipitation variations during 1900-88. J. Climate 10 (1997) 2943-2962
21. de Coëtlogon G., and Frankignoul C. On the persistence of winter sea surface temperature in the North Atlantic. J. Climate 16 (2003) 1364-1377
22. Delworth T.L. North Atlantic interannual variability in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model. J. Climate 9 (1996) 2356-2375
23. Deser C. On the teleconnectivity of the Arctic Oscillation. Geophys. Res. Lett. 27 (2000) 779-782
24. Deser C., and Timlin M.S. Atmosphere-ocean interaction on weekly time scales in the North Atlantic and Pacific. J. Climate 10 (1997) 393-408
25. Deser C., Walsh J.E., and Timlin M.S. Arctic sea ice variability in the context of recent atmospheric circulation trends. J. Climate 13 (2000) 617-633
26. Deser C., Alexander M.A., and Timlin M.S. Understanding the persistence of sea surface temperature anomalies in midlatitudes. J. Climate 16 (2003) 57-72
27. Dickson R.R., Lazier J., Meincke J., Rhines P., and Swift J. Long-term co-ordinated changes in the convective activity of the North Atlantic. Prog. Oceanogr. 38 (1996) 241-295
28. Dickson R.R., Osborn T.J., Hurrell J.W., Meincke J., Blindheim J., Ådlandsvik B., Vigne T., Alekseev G., and Maslowski W. The Arctic Ocean response to the North Atlantic Oscillation. J. Climate 13 (2000) 2671-2696
29. Dommenget D., and Latif M. A cautionary note on the interpretation of EOFs. J. Climate 15 (2002) 216-225
30. Drinkwater K.F., Belgrano A., Borja A., Conversi A., Edwards M., Greene C.H., Ottersen G., Pershing A.J., and Walker H. The response of marine ecosystems to climate variability associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation. In: Hurrell J.W., Kushnir Y., Ottersen G., and Visbeck M. (Eds). The North Atlantic Oscillation, Climatic Significance and Environmental Impact. AGU Geophys. Monogr. vol. 134 (2003) 211-234
31. Esbensen S.K. A comparison of intermonthly and interannual teleconnections in the 700 mb geopotential height field during the Northern Hemisphere winter. Mon. Weather Rev. 112 (1984) 2016-2032
32. Feldstein S.B. Teleconnections and ENSO, the timescale, power spectra, and climate noise properties. J. Climate 13 (2000) 4430-4440
33. Feldstein S.B. The recent trend and variance increase of the annular mode. J. Climate 15 (2002) 88-94
34. Furevik T., and Nilsen J.E.O. Large-scale atmospheric circulation variability and its impacts on the Nordic seas ocean climate - a review. In: Drange H., Dokken T., Furevik T., Gerdes R., and Berger W. (Eds). The Nordic Seas, An Integrated Perspective. AGU Geophys. Monogr. vol. 158 (2007) 105-136
35. Gillett N.P. Climate change and the North Atlantic Oscillation. In: Hurrell J.W., Kushnir Y., Ottersen G., and Visbeck M. (Eds). The North Atlantic Oscillation, Climatic Significance and Environmental Impact. AGU Geophys. Monogr. vol. 134 (2003) 193-209
36. Gong G., Entekhabi D., and Cohen J. A large-ensemble model study of the wintertime AO/NAO and the role of interannual snow perturbations. J. Climate 15 (2002) 3488-3499
37. Hilmer M., and Jung T. Evidence for a recent change in the link between the North Atlantic Oscillation and Arctic sea ice export. Geophys. Res. Lett. 27 (2000) 989-992
38. Hoerling M.P., Hurrell J.W., Xu T., Bates G.T., and Phillips A.S. Twentieth century North Atlantic climate change. Part II. Understanding the effect of Indian Ocean warming. Clim. Dyn. 23 (2004) 391-405
39. Hurrell J.W. Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation, regional temperatures and precipitation. Science 269 (1995) 676-679
40. Hurrell J.W., and van Loon H. Decadal variations in climate associated with the North Atlantic oscillation. Clim. Change 36 (1997) 301-326
41. Hurrell J.W., Kushnir Y., Visbeck M., and Ottersen G. An overview of the North Atlantic Oscillation. In: Hurrell J.W., Kushnir Y., Ottersen G., and Visbeck M. (Eds). The North Atlantic Oscillation, Climatic Significance and Environmental Impact. AGU Geophysical Monograph vol. 134 (2003) 1-35
42. Jones P.D., Jónsson T., and Wheeler D. Extension to the North Atlantic Oscillation using early instrumental pressure observations from Gibraltar and south-west Iceland. Int. J. Climatol. 17 (1997) 1433-1450
43. Jones P.D., Osborn T.J., and Briffa K.R. Pressure-based measures of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), a comparison and an assessment of changes in the strength of the NAO and in its influence on surface climate parameters. In: Hurrell J.W., Kushnir Y., Ottersen G., and Visbeck M. (Eds). The North Atlantic Oscillation, Climatic Significance and Environmental Impact. AGU Geophys. Monogr. vol. 134 (2003) 51-62
44. Kalnay E., et al. The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 77 (1996) 437-471
45. Kushnir Y., and Wallace J.M. Low frequency variability in the Northern Hemisphere winter, geographical distribution, structure and time dependence. J. Atmos. Sci. 46 (1989) 3122-3142
46. Kushnir Y., Cardone V.J., Greenwood J.G., and Cane M. On the recent increase in North Atlantic wave heights. J. Climate 10 (1997) 2107-2113
47. Kutzbach J.E. Large-scale features of monthly mean Northern Hemisphere anomaly maps of sea-level pressure. Mon. Weather Rev. 98 (1970) 708-716
48. Lorenz E.N. Seasonal and irregular variations of the Northern Hemisphere sea-level pressure profile. J. Meteorol. 8 (1951) 52-59
49. Lorenz E.N. Deterministic nonperiodic flow. J. Atmos. Sci. 20 (1963) 130-141
50. Lu J., and Greatbatch R.J. The changing relationship between the NAO and Northern Hemisphere climate variability. Geophys. Res. Lett. 29 (2002) 10.1029/2001GL014052
51. Luterbacher J., et al. Extending North Atlantic Oscillation reconstructions back to 1500. Atmos. Sci. Lett. 2 (2002) 114-124 10.1006/asle.2001.0044
52. Marshall J., Kushnir Y., Battisti D., Chang P., Czaja A., Dickson R., Hurrell J., McCartney M., Saravanan R., and Visbeck M. North Atlantic climate variability, phenomena, impacts and mechanisms. Int. J. Climatol. 21 (2001) 1863-1898
53. Marshall J., Johnson H., and Goodman J. A study of the interaction of the North Atlantic Oscillation with ocean circulation. J. Climate 14 (2001) 1399-1421
54. Michelangeli P.A., Vautard R., and Legras B. Weather regime occurrence and quasi stationarity. J. Atmos. Sci. 52 (1995) 1237-1256
55. Miller K.A., and Munro G.R. Climate and cooperation: a new perspective on the management of shared fish stocks. Mar. Resour. Econ. 19 3 (2004) 367-393
56. Monahan A.H., Fyfe J.C., and Flato G.M. A regime view of northern hemisphere atmospheric variability and change under global warming. Geophys. Res. Lett. 27 (2000) 1139-1142
57. Monahan A.H., Pandolfo L., and Fyfe J.C. The preferred structure of variability of the Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation. Geophys. Res. Lett. 28 (2001) 1019-1022
58. Mysterud A., Stenseth N.C., Yoccoz N.G., Ottersen G.O., and Langvatn R. The response of terrestrial ecosystems to climate variability associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation. In: Hurrell J.W., Kushnir Y., Ottersen G., and Visbeck M. (Eds). The North Atlantic Oscillation, Climatic Significance and Environmental Impact. AGU Geophys. Monogr. vol. 134 (2003) 235-262
59. North G.R., Bell T.L., Cahalan R.F., and Moeng F.J. Sampling errors in the estimation of empirical orthogonal functions. Mon. Weather Rev. 110 (1982) 699-706
60. Palmer T.N. A nonlinear dynamical perspective on climate prediction. J. Climate 12 (1999) 575-591
61. Portis D.H., Walsh J.E., El Hamly M., and Lamb P.J. Seasonality of the North Atlantic Oscillation. J. Climate 14 (2001) 2069-2078
62. Rodwell M.J. On the predictability of North Atlantic climate. In: Hurrell J.W., Kushnir Y., Ottersen G., and Visbeck M. (Eds). The North Atlantic Oscillation, Climatic Significance and Environmental Impact. AGU Geophys. Monogr. vol. 134 (2003) 173-192
63. Rogers J.C. Spatial variability of seasonal sea-level pressure and 500-mb height anomalies. Mon. Weather Rev. 109 (1981) 2093-2106
64. Rogers J.C. The association between the North Atlantic Oscillation and the Southern Oscillation in the Northern Hemisphere. Mon. Weather Rev. 112 (1984) 1999-2015
65. Rogers J.C. Patterns of low-frequency monthly sea level pressure variability (1899-1986) and associated wave cyclone frequencies. J. Climate 3 (1990) 1364-1379
66. Rogers J.C. North Atlantic storm track variability and its association to the North Atlantic Oscillation and climate variability of Northern Europe. J. Climate 10 (1997) 1635-1645
67. Schlosser P., Bonisch G., Rhein M., and Bayer R. Reduction of deepwater formation in the Greenland Sea during the 1980s, evidence from tracer data. Science 251 (1991) 1054-1056
68. Serreze M.C., Carse F., Barry R.G., and Rogers J.C. Icelandic low activity, climatological features, linkages with the NAO, and relationships with recent changes in the Northern Hemisphere circulation. J. Climate 10 (1997) 453-464
69. Slonosky V.C., and Yiou P. Secular changes in the North Atlantic Oscillation and its influence on 20th century warming. Geophys. Res. Lett. 28 (2001) 807-810
70. Stenseth N.C., Ottersen G., Hurrell J.W., Mysterud A., Lima M., Chan K.-S., Yoccoz N.G., and Ådlandsvik B. Studying climate effects on ecology through the use of climate indices, the North Atlantic Oscillation, El Niño Southern Oscillation and beyond. Proc. R. Soc. Lond., B Biol. Sci. 270 (2003) 2087-2096
71. Stenseth N.C., Ottersen G., Hurrell J.W., and Belgrano A. Marine Ecosystems and Climate Variation (2005), Oxford University Press 252 pp.
72. Straile D., Livingstone D.M., Weyhenmeyer G.A., and George D.G. The response of freshwater ecosystems to climate variability associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation. In: Hurrell J.W., Kushnir Y., Ottersen G., and Visbeck M. (Eds). The North Atlantic Oscillation, Climatic Significance and Environmental Impact. AGU Geophysical Monograph vol. 134 (2003) 263-279
73. Sutton R.T., and Hodso D.L.R. The influence of the ocean on North Atlantic climate variability 1871-1999. J. Climate 16 (2003) 3296-3313
74. Thompson D.W.J., and Wallace J.M. The Arctic Oscillation signature in the wintertime geopotential height and temperature fields. Geophys. Res. Lett. 25 (1998) 1297-1300
75. Thompson D.W.J., and Wallace J.M. Annular modes in the extratropical circulation. Part I. Month-to-month variability. J. Climate 13 (2000) 1000-1016
76. Thompson D.W.J., Lee S., and Baldwin M.P. Atmospheric processes governing the Northern Hemisphere Annular Mode/North Atlantic Oscillation. In: Hurrell J.W., Kushnir Y., Ottersen G., and Visbeck M. (Eds). The North Atlantic Oscillation, Climatic Significance and Environmental Impact. AGU Geophys. Monogr. vol. 134 (2003) 81-112
77. Timlin M.S., Alexander M.A., and Deser C. On the reemergence of North Atlantic SST anomalies. J. Climate 15 (2002) 2707-2712
78. Trenberth K.E. Signal versus noise in the Southern Oscillation. Mon. Weather Rev. 112 (1984) 326-332
79. Trenberth K.E., and Paolino D.A. The Northern Hemisphere sea level pressure data set, trends, errors and discontinuities. Mon. Weather Rev. 108 (1980) 855-872
80. Trenberth K.E., and Paolino D.A. Characteristic patterns of variability of sea level pressure in the Northern Hemisphere. Mon. Weather Rev. 109 (1981) 1169-1189
81. Trenberth K.E., Branstator G.W., Karoly D., Kumar A., Lau N.-C., and Ropelewski C. Progress during TOGA in understanding and modeling global teleconnections associated with tropical sea surface temperatures. J. Geophys. Res. 103 (1998) 14291-14324
82. Ulbrich U., and Christoph M. A shift of the NAO and increasing storm track activity over Europe due to anthropogenic greenhouse gas forcing. Clim. Dyn. 15 (1999) 551-559
83. Visbeck M., Chassignet E.P., Curry R.G., Delworth T.L., Dickson R.R., and Krahmann G. The ocean's response to North Atlantic Oscillation variability. In: Hurrell J.W., Kushnir Y., Ottersen G., and Visbeck M. (Eds). The North Atlantic Oscillation, Climatic Significance and Environmental Impact. AGU Geophysical Monograph vol. 134 (2003) 113-146
84. Wallace J.M., and Gutzler D.S. Teleconnections in the geopotential height field during the Northern Hemisphere winter. Mon. Weather Rev. 109 (1981) 784-812
85. Wallace J.M., Zhang Y., and Lau K.-H. Structure and seasonality of interannual and interdecadal variability of geopotential height and temperature fields in the Northern Hemisphere troposphere. J. Climate 6 (1993) 2063-2082
86. Wang G., and Schimel D. Climate change, climate modes, and climate impacts. Ann. Rev. Environ. Resour. 28 (2003) 1-28
87. Watanabe M., and Kimoto M. On the persistence of decadal SST anomalies in the North Atlantic. J. Climate 13 (2000) 3017-3028
88. White W.B. Design of a global observing system for gyre-scale upper ocean temperature variability. Prog. Oceanogr. 36 (1995) 169-217