Explaining welfare recidivism: What role do unemployment and initial spells have?

Journal of Population Economics

Volumn 23, Issue 1, 2009, Pages 373-392

  Ayala, Luis ^a   Rodríguez, Magdalena ^b  

^a UNIVERSIDAD REY JUAN CARLOS   (Spain)

^b Instituto de Estudios Fiscales   (Spain)

Author keywords

Duration models; Poverty; Re entry; Welfare

Indexed keywords

EID: 70549094323     PISSN: 09331433     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00148-009-0268-1     Document Type: Article

References (35)

1. Andren T, Gustafsson B (2004) Patterns of social assistance receipt in Sweden. Int J Soc Welf 13(1): 55-68.
2. Ayala L, Pérez C (2005) Macroeconomic conditions, institutional factors and demographic structure: what causes welfare caseloads? J Popul Econ 18(3): 563-581.
3. Ayala L, Rodríguez M (2006) The Latin model of welfare: do 'insertion contracts' reduce long-term dependence? Labour Econ 13(6): 799-822.
4. Ayala L, Rodríguez M (2007a) Barriers to employment and welfare duration. J Policy Model 29(2): 237-257.
5. Ayala L, Rodríguez M (2007b) Exits from social assistance in Spain. Int J Soc Welf 16(2): 168-182.
6. Bergmark Å, Bäckman O (2004) Stuck with welfare? Long-term social assistance recipiency in Sweden. Eur Sociol Rev 20(5): 425-443.
7. Blank R, Ruggles P (1994) Sort-term recidivism among public assistance recipients. Am Econ Rev 84(2): 49-53.
8. Born CE, Caudill PJ, Spera C et al (1998) A look at life after welfare. Public Welf 56(1): 32-37.
9. Brandon P (1995) Vulnerability to future dependence among former AFDC mothers. Institute for Research on Poverty, Discussion Paper No. 1055-95.
10. Bruce D, Barbour K, Thacker A (2004) Welfare program reentry among postreform leavers. South Econ J 70(4): 816-836.
11. Cao J (1996) Welfare recipiency and welfare recidivism. Institute for Research on Poverty, Discussion Paper No. 1081-96.
12. Cancian M, Meyer DR (2004) Alternative measures of economic success among TANF participants: avoiding poverty, hardship, and dependence on public assistance. J Policy Anal Manage 23(3): 531-548.
13. Carrington WJ, Mueser R, Troske KR (2002) The impact of welfare reform on leaver characteristics, employment and recidivism. IZA Discussion Paper No. 561, Bonn.
14. Dahl E, Lorentzen T (2003) Dynamics of social assistance: the Norwegian experience in comparative perspective. Int J Soc Welf 12(4): 289-301.
15. Danziger S, Heflin C, Corcoran M et al (2002) Does it pay to move from welfare to work? J Policy Anal Manage 21(4): 671-692.
16. Edin KJ (1995) The myths of dependence and self-sufficiency: women, welfare and low-wage work. Focus 17(2): 1-9.
17. Ellwood DT (1986) Targeting 'would be' long-term recipients of AFDC. U. S. Department of Health and Human Services, Washington.
18. Harris KM (2000) Life after welfare: women, work and repeat dependency. Am Sociol Rev 61(3): 407-426.
19. Hausman J, Hall B, Griliches Z (1984) Economic models for count data with an application to the patents-R& D relationship. Econometrica 52(4): 909-938.
20. Heckman JJ, Singer B (1984) A method for minimizing the impact of distributional assumptions in econometric models for duration data. Econometrica 52(2): 271-319.
21. Heckman JJ, Singer B (1985) Social science duration analysis. In: Heckman JJ, Singer B (eds) Longitudinal studies of labor market data. Cambridge University Press, New York.
22. Hougaard P (2000) Analysis of multivariate survival data. Springer, New York.
23. Hoynes H (2000) Local labor markets and welfare spells: do demand conditions matter. Rev Econ Stat 82(3): 351-368.
24. Keng SH, Garasky S, Jensen HH (2002) Welfare dependence and recidivism in an era of welfare reform. Appl Econ 34(18): 2311-2323.
25. Lancaster T (1979) Econometric methods for the duration of unemployment. Econometrica 47(4): 939-956.
26. Melkersson M, Saarela J (2004) Welfare participation and welfare dependence among the unemployed. J Popul Econ 17(3): 409-431.
27. Meyer B (1990) Unemployment insurance and the unemployment spells. Econometrica 58(4): 757-782.
28. Meyer DR, Cancian M (2000) Life after welfare. Public Welf 54: 25-29.
29. Miller C (2002) Leavers, stayers and cyclers: an analysis of the welfare caseload. Manpower Demonstration Research Corporation, Washington.
30. Moffitt R (2002) Experienced-based measures of heterogeneity in the welfare caseload. In: Citro R, Moffitt R, Ver Ploeg S (eds) Data collection and research issues for studies of welfare populations. National Academy Press, Washington.
31. Moffitt R, Roff J (2000) The diversity of welfare leavers. Policy brief 00-2. John Hopkins University, Baltimore.
32. Mueser PR, Stevens DW, Torske KR (2007) The impact of welfare reform on leaver characteristics, employment and recidivism: an analysis of Maryland and Missouri. IZA Discussion Paper No. 3131.
33. Sandefur GD, Cook ST (1997) Duration of public assistance receipt: is welfare a trap? Institute for Research on Poverty, Discussion Paper No. 1129-97.
34. Shaw A, Walker R, Ashworth K et al (1996) Moving off income support: barriers and bridges. Department of Social Security Research Report No. 53, HMSO, London.
35. Weeks G (1991) Leaving public assistance in Washington State. Washington State Institute for Public Policy.