Transient population dynamics and viable stage or age distributions for effective conservation and recovery

Biological Conservation

Volumn 142, Issue 12, 2009, Pages 2990-2996

  Wiedenmann, John ^a,b   Fujiwara, Masami ^b,c   Mangel, Marc ^b,d  

^a MRAG Americas   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

^c SOUTHWEST FISHERIES SCIENCE CENTER   (United States)

^d University of California Santa Cruz   (United States)

Author keywords

Persistence; Recovery; Stable age distribution; Stable stage distribution; Transient population dynamics

Indexed keywords

AGE STRUCTURE; EXTINCTION; PERSISTENCE; POPULATION DECLINE; POPULATION DYNAMICS; POPULATION ECOLOGY; POPULATION SIZE; SPAWNING POPULATION;

EID: 70350575736     PISSN: 00063207     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.biocon.2009.07.031     Document Type: Article

References (52)

1. Allendorf F.W., Bayles D., Bottom D.L., Currens K.P., Frissell C.A., Hankin D., Lichatoich J.A., Nehlsen W., Trotter P.C., and Williams T.H. Prioritizing Pacific salmon stocks for conservation. Conservation Biology 11 (1997) 140-152
2. Berkeley S., Chapman C., and Sogard S. Maternal age as a determinant of larval growth and survival in a marine fish, Sebastes melanops. Ecology 85 (2004) 1258-1264
3. Beverton R., and Holt S. On the Dynamics of Exploited Fish Populations (1957 (1993)), Chapman and Hall, New York
4. Caswell H. Matrix Population Models: Construction Analysis and Interpretation. second ed. (2001), Sinauer, Sunderland
5. Crooks K.R., Sanjayan M.A., and Doak D.F. New insights on cheetah conservation through demographic modeling. Conservation Biology 12 (1998) 889-895
6. Crouse D.T., Crowder L.B., and Caswell H. A stage-based population model for loggerhead sea turtles and implications for conservation. Ecology 68 (1987) 1412-1423
7. Fujiwara M. Extinction-effective population index: incorporating life-history variations in population viability analysis. Ecology 88 (2007) 2345-2353
8. Good, T.P., Waples, R.M., Adams, P. (Eds.), 2005. Updated Status of Federally Listed ESUs of West Coast salmon and Steelhead. US Department of Commerce, NOAA Technical Memorandum NMFS-NWFSC-66.
9. Good T.P., Beechie T.J., McElhany P., McClure M.M., and Ruckelshaus M.H. Recovery planning for Endangered Species Act-listed Pacific salmon: using science to inform goals and strategies. Fisheries 32 (2007) 426-440
10. Greene C.M., and Beechie T.J. Consequences of potential density-dependent mechanisms on recovery of ocean-type Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha). Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 61 (2004) 590-602
11. Haccou P., Jagers P., and Vatutin V.A. Branching Processes Variation Growth and Extinction of Populations (2005), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
12. Haddon M. Modeling and Quantitative Methods in Fisheries (2001), Chapman and Hall, CRC, Boca Raton
13. Hamel, O.S., Stewart, I.J., 2009. Stock Assessment of Pacific Hake, Merluccius productus (a.k.a. Whiting) in US and Canadian Waters. Pacific Fishery Management Council, 246 p.
14. Haridas C.V., and Tuljapurkar S. Time, transients and elasticity. Ecology Letters 10 (2007) 1143-1153
15. Harris T.E. The Theory of Branching Processes (1989), Dover Publications, New York
16. Hastings A. Transient dynamics and persistence of ecological systems. Ecology Letters 4 (2001) 215-220
17. Hastings A. Transients: the key to long-term ecological understanding?. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 19 (2004) 39-45
18. Helser, T., 2002. A Rebuilding Analysis of the West Coast Pacific Whiting (Hake) Stock. Pacific Fishery Management Council, 14 p.
19. Huber H.R., Rovetta A.C., Fry L.A., and Johnston S. Age-specific natality of northern elephant seals at the South Farallon Islands, California. Journal of Mammology 72 (1991) 525-534
20. Jennings S., Kaiser M.J., and Reynolds J.D. Marine Fisheries Ecology (2001), Blackwell Science, Oxford
21. Jongejans E., de Vere N., and de Kroon H. Demographic vulnerability of the clonal and endangered meadow thistle. Plant Ecology 198 (2008) 225-240
22. Koons D.N., Grand J.B., Zinner B., and Rockwell R.F. Transient population dynamics: relations to life history and initial population state. Ecological Modelling 185 (2005) 283-297
23. Lorenzen K., and Engberg K. Density-dependent growth as a key mechanism in the regulation of fish populations: evidence from among-population comparisons. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B 269 (2002) 49-54
24. Lubben J., Tenhumberg B., Tyre A., and Rebarber R. Management recommendations based on projection models: the importance of considering biological limits. Biological Conservation 141 (2008) 517-523
25. MacCall, A.D., 2007. Bocaccio Rebuilding Analysis for 2007. Pacific Fishery Management Council, 13 p.
26. Mangel M. No-take areas for sustainability of harvested species and a conservation invariant for marine reserves. Ecology Letters 1 (1998) 87-90
27. Mangel M. On the fraction of habitat allocated to marine reserves. Ecology Letters 3 (2000) 15-22
28. Mangel M. Irreducible uncertainties, sustainable fisheries and marine reserves. Evolutionary Ecology Research 2 (2000) 547-557
29. Mangel M. Trade-offs between fish habitat and fishing mortality and the role of reserves. Bulletin of Marine Science 66 (2000) 663-674
30. Mangel M. The Theoretical Biologist's Toolbox (2006), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York
31. McClure M.M., Holmes E.E., Sanderson B.L., and Jordan C.Y. A large-scale, multispecies status assessment: anadromous salmonids in the Columbia River basin. Ecological Applications 13 (2003) 964989
32. Menning K.M., Battles J.J., and Benning T.L. Quantifying change in distributions: a new departure index that detects, measures and describes change in distributions from population structures, size-classes and other ordered data. Oecologia 154 (2007) 75-84 10.1007/s00442-007-0810-3
33. Morris W.F., and Doak D.F. Quantitative Conservation Biology: Theory and Practice of Population Viability Analysis (2002), Sinauer Associates, Inc., Sunderland, MA
34. Murawski S., Rago P., and Trippel E. Impacts of demographic variation in spawning characteristics on reference points for fishery management. ICES Journal of Marine Science 58 (2001) 1002-1014
35. Northeast Fisheries Science Center (NEFSC), 2003. Final Report of the Working Group on Re-evaluation of Biological Reference Points for New England Groundfish. NEFSC Reference Document 02-04, 417 p.
36. Northeast Fisheries Science Center (NEFSC), 2008. Assessment of 19 Northeast Groundfish Stocks through 2007: Report of the 3rd Groundfish Assessment Review Meeting (GARM III), Northeast Fisheries Science Center, Woods Hole, Massachusetts, August 4-8, 2008. US Dep Commer, NOAA FIsheries, NEFSC Reference Document 08-15, 884 p.
37. Nehlsen W. Salmon stocks at risk: beyond 214. Conservation Biology 8 (1994) 867-869
38. Oostermeijer J.G.B., Van't Veer R., and Den Nijs J.C.M. Population structure of the rare, long-lived perennial Gentiana pneumonanthe in relation to vegetation and management in Netherlands. Journal of Applied Ecology 31 (1994) 428-438
39. Oostermeijer J.G.B., Brugman M.L., De Boer E.R., and Den Nijs H.C.M. Temporal and spatial variation in the demography of Gentiana pneonanthe, a rare perennial herb. Journal of Ecology 84 (1996) 153-166
40. Quinn T. The Behavior and Ecology of Pacific Salmon and Trout (2005), University of Washington Press, Seattle
41. Quinn T., and Deriso R. Quantitative Fish Dynamics (1999), Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK
42. Ralston S., and O'Farrell M.R. Spatial variation in fishing intensity and its effect on yield. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Science 65 (2008) 588-599
43. Ramsay M.A., and Stirling I. Reproductive biology of female polar bears (Ursus maritimus). Journal of Zoology 214 (1988) 601-634
44. Rosenberg A.A. Managing to the margins: the overexploitation of fisheries. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 1 (2003) 102-106
45. Rosenberg A.A., Swasey J.H., and Bowman M. Rebuilding US fisheries: progress and problems. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 4 (2006) 303-308
46. Safina C., Rosenberg A.A., Myers R.A., Quinn II T.J., and Collie J.S. US ocean fish recovery: staying the course. Science 309 (2005) 707-708
47. Shapovalov L., and Taft A. The life histories of the steelhead rainbow trout (Salmo gairdneri) and silver salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch) with special reference to Waddell Creek, California, and recommendations regarding their management. California Department of Fish and Game Fish Bulletin 98 (1954) 1-373
48. Shea K., and Mangel M. Detection of population trends in threatened coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch). Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 58 (2001) 375-385
49. Shea K., Wolf N., and Mangel M. Influence of density dependence on the detection of trends in unobserved life-history stages. Journal of Zoology 269 (2006) 442-450
50. Swasey, J., Rosenberg, A.A., 2006. Phase I Report: An Evaluation of Rebuilding Plans for US Fisheries. Marine Resource Assessment Group. Report Presented to the Lenfest Ocean Program. .
51. Walsh M.R., Munch S.B., Chiba S., and Conover D.O. Maladaptive changes in multiple traits caused by fishing: impediments to population recovery. Ecology Letters 9 (2006) 142-148
52. Wright R.W. The geometry of transient crashes and their dependence on demographic rates. Theoretical Population Biology 73 (2008) 300-306