메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 17, Issue 7, 2009, Pages 937-959

Inverse probabilistic modelling of the sources of uncertainty: A non-parametric simulated-likelihood method with application to an industrial turbine vibration assessment

Author keywords

Data assimilation; Identification; Maximum likelihood; Probabilistic non parametric method; Uncertainty; Vibrations

Indexed keywords

DATA ASSIMILATION; IDENTIFICATION; PROBABILISTIC NON-PARAMETRIC METHOD; UNCERTAINTY; VIBRATIONS;

EID: 70349796415     PISSN: 17415977     EISSN: 17415985     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/17415970902916987     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (11)

References (37)
  • 1
    • 0019393403 scopus 로고
    • Characterization and evaluation of uncertainty in probabilistic risk analysis
    • G.W. Parry and P.W. Winter, Characterization and evaluation of uncertainty in probabilistic risk analysis, Nucl. Safety 22 (1981), pp. 28-42.
    • (1981) Nucl. Safety , vol.22 , pp. 28-42
    • Parry, G.W.1    Winter, P.W.2
  • 2
    • 0023523402 scopus 로고
    • Water quality modelling: A review of the analysis of uncertainty
    • M.B. Beck, Water quality modelling: A review of the analysis of uncertainty, Wat. Res. 23 (1987), pp. 1393-1442.
    • (1987) Wat. Res. , vol.23 , pp. 1393-1442
    • Beck, M.B.1
  • 3
    • 0025681550 scopus 로고
    • The concept of probability in safety assessments of technological systems
    • G. Apostolakis, The concept of probability in safety assessments of technological systems, Science 250 (1990), pp. 1359-1364.
    • (1990) Science , vol.250 , pp. 1359-1364
    • Apostolakis, G.1
  • 5
    • 0000490093 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Guest editorial: Treatment of aleatory and epistemic uncertainty in performance assessments for complex systems
    • J.C. Helton and D.E. Burmaster, Guest editorial: Treatment of aleatory and epistemic uncertainty in performance assessments for complex systems, Rel. Eng. Syst. Saf. 54 (1996), pp. 91-94.
    • (1996) Rel. Eng. Syst. Saf. , vol.54 , pp. 91-94
    • Helton, J.C.1    Burmaster, D.E.2
  • 7
    • 85040870662 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Inverse problem theory and methods for data fitting and model parameter estimation
    • Tarantola, A., ed., SIAM, Elsevier, Amsterdam, 1987
    • A. Tarantola, Inverse problem theory and methods for data fitting and model parameter estimation, in Inverse Problem Theory and Methods for Model Parameter Estimation, Tarantola, A., ed., 2004, SIAM, Elsevier, Amsterdam, 1987.
    • (2004) Inverse Problem Theory and Methods for Model Parameter Estimation
    • Tarantola, A.1
  • 8
    • 0023128058 scopus 로고
    • Variational assimilation of meteorological observations with the adjoint vorticity equation, I: Theory
    • O. Talagrand and P. Courtier, Variational assimilation of meteorological observations with the adjoint vorticity equation, I: Theory, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 113 (1987), pp. 1311-1328.
    • (1987) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.113 , pp. 1311-1328
    • Talagrand, O.1    Courtier, P.2
  • 9
    • 0027810117 scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis techniques for use in performance assessment for radioactive waste disposal
    • J. Helton, Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis techniques for use in performance assessment for radioactive waste disposal, Rel. Eng. Syst. Saf. 42 (1993), pp. 327-367.
    • (1993) Rel. Eng. Syst. Saf. , vol.42 , pp. 327-367
    • Helton, J.1
  • 10
    • 0030286892 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainties in risk analysis: Six levels of treatment
    • M.E. Paté-Cornell, Uncertainties in risk analysis: Six levels of treatment, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 54 (1996), pp. 95-111.
    • (1996) Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. , vol.54 , pp. 95-111
    • Paté-Cornell, M.E.1
  • 11
    • 2642533873 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Alternative representations of epistemic uncertainty
    • J.C. Helton and W.L. Oberkampf (eds)
    • J.C. Helton and W.L. Oberkampf (eds), Alternative representations of epistemic uncertainty, Rel. Eng. Syst. Saf. 85 (2004) (1-3), pp. 1-369.
    • (2004) Rel. Eng. Syst. Saf. , vol.85 , Issue.1-3 , pp. 1-369
  • 12
    • 0000097719 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assimilation of observations, an introduction
    • Japan
    • O. Talagrand, Assimilation of observations, an introduction, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan 75 (1997), pp. 191-201.
    • (1997) J. Meteor. Soc. , vol.75 , pp. 191-201
    • Talagrand, O.1
  • 13
    • 4444366221 scopus 로고
    • Identification de Modèles Parame ́triques à partir de données expérimentales
    • Masson
    • E. Walter and L. Pronzato, Identification de Modèles Parame ́triques à partir de données expérimentales, Coll. MASC, Masson, 1994.
    • (1994) Coll. MASC
    • Walter, E.1    Pronzato, L.2
  • 16
    • 70349836201 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Incertitudes non observables en calcul scientifique industriel -Etude d'algorithmes simples pour inte ́grer dispersion intrinsèque et ébauche d'expert
    • Pau, France, June
    • P. Mahé and E. de Rocquigny, Incertitudes non observables en calcul scientifique industriel -Etude d'algorithmes simples pour inte ́grer dispersion intrinsèque et ébauche d'expert, 37èmes J. Franc. Stat. Pau, France, June, 2005.
    • (2005) 37èmes J. Franc. Stat.
    • Mahé, P.1    de Rocquigny, E.2
  • 19
    • 0002629270 scopus 로고
    • Maximum likelihood from incomplete data from the EM algorithm
    • F. Dempster, N.M. Laird, and D.B. Rubin, Maximum likelihood from incomplete data from the EM algorithm, J. Roy. Stat. Soc. (Ser. B) 39 (1977), pp. 1-38.
    • (1977) J. Roy. Stat. Soc. (Ser. B) , vol.39 , pp. 1-38
    • Dempster, F.1    Laird, N.M.2    Rubin, D.B.3
  • 20
    • 70349817525 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • La maîtrise des incertitudes dans un contexte industriel: Lère partie - Une approche méthodologique globale basée sur des exemples; 2nd partie - Revue des méthodes de modélisation statistique, physique et numérique
    • E. de Rocquigny, La maîtrise des incertitudes dans un contexte industriel: 1ère partie - Une approche méthodologique globale basée sur des exemples; 2nd partie - Revue des méthodes de modélisation statistique, physique et numérique, J. Soc. Française Stat. 147 (2006), pp. 33-106.
    • (2006) J. Soc. Française Stat. , vol.147 , pp. 33-106
    • de Rocquigny, E.1
  • 22
    • 3242785664 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparative review of sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of large-scale systems - I: Deterministic methods
    • M. Ionescu-Bujor and D.G. Cacuci, A comparative review of sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of large-scale systems - I: Deterministic methods, Nucl. Sci. Eng. 147 (2004), pp. 189-2003.
    • (2004) Nucl. Sci. Eng. , vol.147 , pp. 189-2003
    • Ionescu-Bujor, M.1    Cacuci, D.G.2
  • 23
    • 3242761482 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparative review of sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of large-scale systems - II: Statistical methods
    • D.G. Cacuci and M. Ionescu-Bujor, A comparative review of sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of large-scale systems - II: Statistical methods, Nucl. Sci. Eng. 147 (2004), pp. 204-217.
    • (2004) Nucl. Sci. Eng. , vol.147 , pp. 204-217
    • Cacuci, D.G.1    Ionescu-Bujor, M.2
  • 24
    • 0028501607 scopus 로고
    • A review of techniques for parameter sensitivity analysis of environmental models
    • D.M. Hamby, A review of techniques for parameter sensitivity analysis of environmental models, Environ. Monit. Assess. 32 (1994), pp. 135-154.
    • (1994) Environ. Monit. Assess. , vol.32 , pp. 135-154
    • Hamby, D.M.1
  • 25
    • 0036085488 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Identification and review of sensitivity analysis methods
    • H.C. Frey and S.R. Patil, Identification and review of sensitivity analysis methods, Risk Anal. 22 (2002), pp. 553-578.
    • (2002) Risk Anal. , vol.22 , pp. 553-578
    • Frey, H.C.1    Patil, S.R.2
  • 27
  • 28
    • 13844310464 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Random matrix theory for modelling uncertainties in computational mechanics
    • C. Soize, Random matrix theory for modelling uncertainties in computational mechanics, Comput. Methods Appl. Mech. Eng. 194 (2005), pp. 1333-1366.
    • (2005) Comput. Methods Appl. Mech. Eng. , vol.194 , pp. 1333-1366
    • Soize, C.1
  • 31
    • 0003402343 scopus 로고
    • Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ
    • H. Cramer, Mathematical Methods of Statistics, Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ, 1946.
    • (1946) Mathematical Methods of Statistics
  • 32
    • 0000091003 scopus 로고
    • Asymptotic properties of non-linear least squares estimators
    • R.I. Jennrich, Asymptotic properties of non-linear least squares estimators, Ann. Math. Statist. 40 (1969), pp. 633-643.
    • (1969) Ann. Math. Statist. , vol.40 , pp. 633-643
    • Jennrich, R.I.1
  • 33
    • 0000289610 scopus 로고
    • Asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators for the independent not identically distributed case
    • B. Hoadley, Asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators for the independent not identically distributed case, Ann. Math. Statist. 42 (1971), pp. 1977-1991.
    • (1971) Ann. Math. Statist. , vol.42 , pp. 1977-1991
    • Hoadley, B.1
  • 35
    • 0033737120 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A non-parametric model of random uncertainties for reduced matrix models in structural dynamics
    • C. Soize, A non-parametric model of random uncertainties for reduced matrix models in structural dynamics, Probab. Eng. Mech. 15 (2000), pp. 277-294.
    • (2000) Probab. Eng. Mech. , vol.15 , pp. 277-294
    • Soize, C.1
  • 36
    • 13644269385 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Nonparametric modeling of random uncertainties for dynamic response of mistuned bladed disks
    • E. Capiez-Lernout and C. Soize, Nonparametric modeling of random uncertainties for dynamic response of mistuned bladed disks, J. Eng. Gas Turbine Power 126, (2004), pp. 610-618.
    • (2004) J. Eng. Gas Turbine Power , vol.126 , pp. 610-618
    • Capiez-Lernout, E.1    Soize, C.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.