Modelling the effectiveness and risks of vaccination strategies to control classical swine fever epidemics

Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Volumn 6, Issue 39, 2009, Pages 849-861

  Backer, Jantien A ^a   Hagenaars, Thomas J ^a   Van Roermund, Herman J W ^a   De Jong, Mart C M ^a  

^a WAGENINGEN UNIVERSITY   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

Classical swine fever; Emergency vaccination; Epidemiology; Marker vaccine; Spatial transmission; Stochastic model

Indexed keywords

ANIMALS; EPIDEMIOLOGY; FARMS; RISK PERCEPTION; STOCHASTIC CONTROL SYSTEMS;

CLASSICAL SWINE FEVER; CONTINGENCY PLANS; CONTROL STRATEGIES; EMERGENCY VACCINATION; LARGE-SCALE EFFECTS; MARKER VACCINE; MULTILEVEL APPROACH; NETHERLANDS; POLICY CHANGES; QUANTITATIVE INFORMATION; SPATIAL TRANSMISSION; TRANSMISSION DYNAMICS; VACCINATION STRATEGY; VIRUS TRANSMISSION;

STOCHASTIC MODELS;

ARTICLE; AVIAN INFLUENZA; CONTROL STRATEGY; DISEASE MODEL; DISEASE TRANSMISSION; EMERGENCY TREATMENT; EPIDEMIC; FOOT AND MOUTH DISEASE; HEALTH CARE POLICY; HERD IMMUNITY; INFECTION CONTROL; MATHEMATICAL MODEL; NETHERLANDS; NONHUMAN; PARAMETRIC TEST; QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS; RISK BENEFIT ANALYSIS; STOCHASTIC MODEL; SWINE DISEASE; VACCINATION; VIRUS TRANSMISSION;

ANIMALIA; SUIDAE;

EID: 69949102090     PISSN: 17425689     EISSN: 17425662     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2008.0408     Document Type: Article

References (28)

1. Anon. 2007a Beleidsdraaiboek Klassieke Varkenspest. Contingency plan from Ministry of Agriculture, Nature and Food Quality, v. 2.1. [In Dutch.]
2. Anon. 2007b Land- en tuinbouwcijfers 2007, pp. 105-108. The Hague, The Netherlands: LEI and Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek. [In Dutch.]
3. Anon. 2007c Nationale Agenda Diergezondheid 2007-2015. Report from Ministry of Agriculture, Nature and Food Quality, October 2007. [In Dutch.]
4. Arnold, M. E., Paton, D. J., Ryan, E., Cox, S. J. & Wilesmith, J. W. 2008 Modelling studies to estimate the prevalence of foot-and-mouth disease carriers after reactive vaccination. Proc. R. Soc. B 275, 107-115. (doi:10.1098/rspb.2007.1154)
5. Backer, J. A., Hagenaars, T. J. & de Jong, M. C. M. 2007 Effectivity of vaccination strategies to control CSF epidemics. In Proc. Annual Meeting of the Society for Veterinary Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine (SVEPM), Dipoli, Helsinki/Espoo, Finland, 28-30 March 2007, pp. 141-153.
6. Becker, N. G. & Dietz, K. 1995 The effect of household distribution on transmission and control of highly infectious diseases. Math. Biosci. 127, 207-219. (doi:10.1016/0025-5564(94)00055-5)
7. Bergevoet, R. H. M. et al. 2007 Vaccinatie bij varkenspest: epidemiologische en sociaaleconomische effecten. LEI report 5.07.06, ASG report ASG07-IOO442.
8. Boender, G. J., Hagenaars, T. J., Bouma, A., Nodelijk, G., Elbers, A. R. W., de Jong, M. C. M. & van Boven, M. 2007 Risk maps for the spread of highly pathogenic avian influenza in poultry. PLoS Comput. Biol. 3, e71. (doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.0030071)
9. Bouma, A., de Smit, A. J., de Kluijver, E. P., Terpstra, C. & Moormann, R. J. M. 1999 Efficacy and stability of a subunit vaccine based on glycoprotein E2 of classical swine fever virus. Vet. Microbiol. 66, 101-114. (doi:10.1016/S0378-1135(99)00003-6)
10. Bouma, A., de Smit, A. J., de Jong, M. C. M., de Kluijver, E. P. & Moormann, R. J. M. 2000 Determination of the onset of the herd-immunity induced by the E2 sub-unit vaccine against classical swine fever virus. Vaccine 18, 1374-1381. (doi:10.1016/S0264-410X(99)00398-9) (Pubitemid 30017850)
11. Chowell, G., Hengartner, N. W., Castillo-Chavez, C., Fenimore, P. W. & Hyman, J. M. 2004 The basic reproductive number of Ebola and the effects of public health measures: the cases of Congo and Uganda. J. Theor. Biol. 229, 119-126. (doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2004.03.006)
12. Dewulf, J., Laevens, H., Koenen, F., Vanderhallen, H., Mintiens, K., Deluyker, H. & de Kruif, A. 2001 An experimental infection with classical swine fever in E2 subunit marker-vaccine vaccinated and in non-vaccinated pigs. Vaccine 19, 475-482. (doi:10.1016/S0264-410X(00)00189-4) (Pubitemid 30750732)
13. Dewulf, J., Laevens, H., Koenen, H., Mintiens, K. & de Kruif, A. 2004 Efficacy of E2-sub-unit marker and C-strain vaccines in reducing horizontal transmission of classical swine fever virus in weaner pigs. Prev. Vet. Med. 65, 121-133. (doi:10.1016/j.prevetmed.2004.05.010)
14. Dewulf, J., Koenen, F., Ribbens, S., Haegeman, A., Laevens, H. & de Kruif, A. 2005 Evaluation of the epidemiological importance of classical swine fever infected, E2 sub-unit marker vaccinated animals with RT-nPCR positive blood samples. J. Vet. Med. B 52, 367-371. (doi:10.1111/j.1439-0450.2005.00884. x)
15. Eblé, P., de Koeijer, A., Bouma, A., Stegeman, A. & Dekker, A. 2006 Quantification of within- and between-pen transmission of foot-and-mouth disease virus in pigs. Vet. Res. 37, 647-654. (doi:10.1051/vetres:2006026)
16. Elbers, A. R. W., Stegeman, A., Moser, H., Ekker, H. M., Smak, J. A. & Pluimers, F. H. 1999 The classical swine fever epidemic 1997-1998 in The Netherlands: descriptive epidemiology. Prev. Vet. Med. 42, 157-184. (doi:10.1016/S0167-5877(99)00074-4)
17. Klinkenberg, D., de Bree, J., Laevens, H. & de Jong, M. C. M. 2002 Within- and between-pen transmission of classical swine fever virus: a new method to estimate the basic reproduction ratio from transmission experiments. Epidemiol. Infect. 128, 293-299. (doi:10.1017/S0950268801006537)
18. Klinkenberg, D., Everts-van der Wind, A., Graat, E. A. M. & de Jong, M. C. M. 2003 Quantification of the effect of control strategies on classical swine fever epidemics. Math. Biosci. 186, 145-173. (doi:10.1016/j.mbs.2003.08. 005)
19. Klinkenberg, D., Nielen, M., Mourits, M. C. M. & de Jong, M. C. M. 2005 The effectiveness of classical swine fever surveillance programmes in The Netherlands. Prev. Vet. Med. 67, 19-37. (doi:10.1016/j.prevetmed.2004.10.003)
20. Laevens, H., Koenen, F., Deluyker, H., Berkvens, D. & de Kruif, A. 1998 An experimental infection with classical swine fever virus in weaner pigs. Vet. Quart. 20, 41-45.
21. Mangen, M. J. J., Jalvingh, A. W., Nielen, M., Mourits, M. C. M., Klinkenberg, D. & Dijkhuizen, A. A. 2001 Spatial and stochastic simulation to compare two emergency-vaccination strategies with a marker vaccine in the 1997/1998 Dutch classical swine fever epidemic. Prev. Vet. Med. 48, 177-200. (doi:10.1016/S0167-5877(00)00195-1)
22. Mangen, M. J. J., Nielen, M. & Burrell, A. M. 2002 Simulated effect of pig-population density on epidemic size and choice of control strategy for classical swine fever epidemics in The Netherlands. Prev. Vet. Med. 56, 141-163. (doi:10.1016/S0167-5877(02)00155-1)
23. Moormann, R. J. M., Bouma, A., Kramps, J. A., Terpstra, C. & de Smit, H. J. 2000 Development of a classical swine fever subunit marker vaccine and companion diagnostic test. Vet. Microbiol. 73, 209-219. (doi:10.1016/S0378- 1135(00)00146-2)
24. Sellke, T. 1983 On the asymptotic distribution of the size of a stochastic epidemic. J. Appl. Prob. 20, 390-394. (doi:10.2307/3213811)
25. Stegeman, A., Elbers, A. R. W., Bouma, A., de Smit, H. & de Jong, M. C. M. 1999a Transmission of classical swine fever virus within herds during the 1997-1998 epidemic in The Netherlands. Prev. Vet. Med. 42, 201-218. (doi:10.1016/S0167-5877(99)00076-8)
26. Stegeman, A., Elbers, A. R. W., Smak, J. & de Jong, M. C. M. 1999b Quantification of the transmission of classical swine fever virus between herds during the 1997-1998 epidemic in The Netherlands. Prev. Vet. Med. 42, 219-234. (doi:10.1016/S0167-5877(99)00077-X)
27. Stegeman, A., Elbers, A. R. W., Bouma, A. & de Jong, M. C. M. 2002 Rate of inter-herd transmission of classical swine fever virus by different types of contact during the 1997-8 epidemic in The Netherlands. Epidemiol. Infect. 128, 285-291. (doi:10.1017/S0950268801006483)
28. Uttenthal, Å., Le Potier, M.-F., Romero, L., De Mia, G. M. & Floegel-Niesmann, G. 2001 Classical swine fever (CSF) marker vaccine trial I. Challenge studies in weaner pigs. Vet. Microbiol. 83, 85-106. (doi:10.1016/S0378-1135(01)00409-6)