메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 59, Issue 6, 2009, Pages 489-497

Global population dynamics and hot spots of response to climate change

Author keywords

Bioclimatic envelope modeling; Environmental niche model; Extinction; Global warming; Population dynamics

Indexed keywords


EID: 68349164279     PISSN: 00063568     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1525/bio.2009.59.6.7     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (67)

References (62)
  • 1
    • 33645103077 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Distribution-wide effects of climate on population densities of a declining migratory landbird
    • Anders AD, Post E. 2006. Distribution-wide effects of climate on population densities of a declining migratory landbird. Journal of Animal Ecology 75: 221-227.
    • (2006) Journal of Animal Ecology , vol.75 , pp. 221-227
    • Anders, A.D.1    Post, E.2
  • 2
    • 35348923158 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The importance of biotic interactions for modelling species distributions under climate change
    • Araujo MB, Luoto M. 2007. The importance of biotic interactions for modelling species distributions under climate change. Global Ecology and Biogeography 16: 743-753.
    • (2007) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.16 , pp. 743-753
    • Araujo, M.B.1    Luoto, M.2
  • 3
    • 0035958646 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Noisy clockwork: Time series analysis of population fluctuations in animals
    • Bjørnstad ON, Grenfell BT. 2001. Noisy clockwork: Time series analysis of population fluctuations in animals. Science 293: 638-643.
    • (2001) Science , vol.293 , pp. 638-643
    • Bjørnstad, O.N.1    Grenfell, B.T.2
  • 4
    • 0028799409 scopus 로고
    • Geographic gradient in small rodent density fluctuations: A statistical modeling approach
    • Bjørnstad ON, Falck W, Stenseth NC. 1995. Geographic gradient in small rodent density fluctuations: A statistical modeling approach. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 262: 127-133.
    • (1995) Proceedings of the Royal Society B , vol.262 , pp. 127-133
    • Bjørnstad, O.N.1    Falck, W.2    Stenseth, N.C.3
  • 5
    • 0035931877 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of specialized enemies on the dimensionality of host dynamics
    • Bjørnstad ON, Sait SM, Stenseth NC, Thompson DJ, Begon M. 2001. The impact of specialized enemies on the dimensionality of host dynamics. Nature 409: 1001-1006.
    • (2001) Nature , vol.409 , pp. 1001-1006
    • Bjørnstad, O.N.1    Sait, S.M.2    Stenseth, N.C.3    Thompson, D.J.4    Begon, M.5
  • 7
    • 0034062409 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interspecific competition, environmental gradients, gene flow, and the coevolution of species' borders
    • Case TJ, Taper ML. 2000. Interspecific competition, environmental gradients, gene flow, and the coevolution of species' borders. American Naturalist 155: 583-605.
    • (2000) American Naturalist , vol.155 , pp. 583-605
    • Case, T.J.1    Taper, M.L.2
  • 8
    • 9244230097 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Population time series: Process variability, observation errors, missing values, lags, and hidden states
    • Clark JS, Bjørnstad ON. 2004. Population time series: Process variability, observation errors, missing values, lags, and hidden states. Ecology 85: 3140-3150.
    • (2004) Ecology , vol.85 , pp. 3140-3150
    • Clark, J.S.1    Bjørnstad, O.N.2
  • 10
    • 0036160013 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fitting population models incorporating process noise and observation error
    • De Valpine P, Hastings A. 2002. Fitting population models incorporating process noise and observation error. Ecological Monographs 72: 57-76.
    • (2002) Ecological Monographs , vol.72 , pp. 57-76
    • De Valpine, P.1    Hastings, A.2
  • 11
    • 2942594356 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Population response to climate change: Linear vs. non-linear modeling approaches
    • Ellis AM, Post E. 2004. Population response to climate change: Linear vs. non-linear modeling approaches. BMC Ecology 4: 2.
    • (2004) BMC Ecology , vol.4 , pp. 2
    • Ellis, A.M.1    Post, E.2
  • 13
    • 33645010254 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Contrasting population changes in sympatric penguin species in association with climate warming
    • Forcada J, Trathan PN, Reid K, Murphy EJ, Croxall JP. 2006. Contrasting population changes in sympatric penguin species in association with climate warming. Global Change Biology 12: 411-423.
    • (2006) Global Change Biology , vol.12 , pp. 411-423
    • Forcada, J.1    Trathan, P.N.2    Reid, K.3    Murphy, E.J.4    Croxall, J.P.5
  • 14
    • 0034701562 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Invading parasites cause a structural shift in red fox dynamics
    • Forchhammer MC, Asferg T. 2000. Invading parasites cause a structural shift in red fox dynamics. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 267: 779-786.
    • (2000) Proceedings of the Royal Society B , vol.267 , pp. 779-786
    • Forchhammer, M.C.1    Asferg, T.2
  • 15
    • 3342980758 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using large-scale climate indices in climate change ecology studies
    • Forchhammer MC, Post E. 2004. Using large-scale climate indices in climate change ecology studies. Population Ecology 46: 1-12.
    • (2004) Population Ecology , vol.46 , pp. 1-12
    • Forchhammer, M.C.1    Post, E.2
  • 17
    • 0036698883 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term responses in Arctic ungulate dynamics to variation in climate and trophic processes
    • Forchhammer MC, Post E, Stenseth NC, Boertmann DM. 2002. Long-term responses in Arctic ungulate dynamics to variation in climate and trophic processes. Population Ecology 44: 113-120.
    • (2002) Population Ecology , vol.44 , pp. 113-120
    • Forchhammer, M.C.1    Post, E.2    Stenseth, N.C.3    Boertmann, D.M.4
  • 19
    • 0003293418 scopus 로고
    • On the nature and function expressive of the law of human mortality, and on a new mode of determining the value of life contingencies
    • Gompertz B. 1825. On the nature and function expressive of the law of human mortality, and on a new mode of determining the value of life contingencies. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 115: 513-585.
    • (1825) Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B , vol.115 , pp. 513-585
    • Gompertz, B.1
  • 20
    • 16344369737 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pleistocene reindeer and global warming
    • Grayson DK, Delpech F. 2005. Pleistocene reindeer and global warming. Conservation Biology 19: 557-562.
    • (2005) Conservation Biology , vol.19 , pp. 557-562
    • Grayson, D.K.1    Delpech, F.2
  • 23
    • 16244376201 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predation by wolves interacts with the North Pacific Oscillation (NPO) on a western North American elk population
    • Hebblewhite M. 2005. Predation by wolves interacts with the North Pacific Oscillation (NPO) on a western North American elk population. Journal of Animal Ecology 74: 226-233.
    • (2005) Journal of Animal Ecology , vol.74 , pp. 226-233
    • Hebblewhite, M.1
  • 25
    • 33845270432 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The ability of climate envelope models to predict the effect of climate change on species distributions
    • Hijmans RJ, Graham CH. 2006. The ability of climate envelope models to predict the effect of climate change on species distributions. Global Change Biology 12: 2272-2281.
    • (2006) Global Change Biology , vol.12 , pp. 2272-2281
    • Hijmans, R.J.1    Graham, C.H.2
  • 26
    • 0029479274 scopus 로고
    • Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: Regional temperatures and precipitation
    • Hurrell JW. 1995. Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: Regional temperatures and precipitation. Science 269: 676-679.
    • (1995) Science , vol.269 , pp. 676-679
    • Hurrell, J.W.1
  • 27
    • 0031284446 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Factors shaping population densities and increase rates of ungulates in Bialowieza Primeval Forest (Poland and Belarus) in the 19th and 20th centuries
    • Jedrzejewska B, Jedrzejewski W, Bunevich AN, Milkowski L, Krasinski ZA. 1997. Factors shaping population densities and increase rates of ungulates in Bialowieza Primeval Forest (Poland and Belarus) in the 19th and 20th centuries. Acta Theriologica 42: 399-451.
    • (1997) Acta Theriologica , vol.42 , pp. 399-451
    • Jedrzejewska, B.1    Jedrzejewski, W.2    Bunevich, A.N.3    Milkowski, L.4    Krasinski, Z.A.5
  • 29
    • 40449124253 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Longevity can buffer plant and animal populations against changing climatic variability
    • Morris WF, et al. 2008. Longevity can buffer plant and animal populations against changing climatic variability. Ecology 89: 19-25.
    • (2008) Ecology , vol.89 , pp. 19-25
    • Morris, W.F.1
  • 30
    • 0003976940 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • NERC CPB] National Environmental Research Council Centre for Population Biology, 6 April 2009;
    • [NERC CPB] National Environmental Research Council Centre for Population Biology. 1999. The Global Population Dynamics Database. (6 April 2009; www.sw.ic.ac.uk/cpb/cpb/gpdd.html)
    • (1999) The Global Population Dynamics Database
  • 31
    • 0038142849 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effect of the wolf on the competition between ungulates in the Voronezh Biosphere Reserve
    • Nikol'skii AA, Likhatskii YP. 2002. The effect of the wolf on the competition between ungulates in the Voronezh Biosphere Reserve. Doklady Biological Sciences 387: 520-522.
    • (2002) Doklady Biological Sciences , vol.387 , pp. 520-522
    • Nikol'skii, A.A.1    Likhatskii, Y.P.2
  • 32
    • 0037413628 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems
    • Parmesan C, Yohe G. 2003. A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 421: 37-42.
    • (2003) Nature , vol.421 , pp. 37-42
    • Parmesan, C.1    Yohe, G.2
  • 33
    • 0141856572 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: Are bioclimate envelope models useful?
    • Pearson RG, Dawson TP. 2003. Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: Are bioclimate envelope models useful? Global Ecology and Biogeography 12: 361-371.
    • (2003) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.12 , pp. 361-371
    • Pearson, R.G.1    Dawson, T.P.2
  • 37
    • 23944514743 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Large-scale spatial gradients in herbivore population dynamics
    • Post E. 2005. Large-scale spatial gradients in herbivore population dynamics. Ecology 86: 2320-2328
    • (2005) Ecology , vol.86 , pp. 2320-2328
    • Post, E.1
  • 38
    • 0002980133 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pervasive influence of large-scale climate in the dynamics of a terrestrial vertebrate community
    • Post E, Forchhammer MC. 2001. Pervasive influence of large-scale climate in the dynamics of a terrestrial vertebrate community. BMC Ecology 5: 1.
    • (2001) BMC Ecology , vol.5 , pp. 1
    • Post, E.1    Forchhammer, M.C.2
  • 39
    • 33646819331 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatially synchronous population dynamics: An indicator of Pleistocene faunal response to large-scale environmental change in the Holocene
    • -. 2006. Spatially synchronous population dynamics: An indicator of Pleistocene faunal response to large-scale environmental change in the Holocene. Quaternary International 151: 99-105.
    • (2006) Quaternary International , vol.151 , pp. 99-105
    • Post, E.1    Forchhammer, M.C.2
  • 40
    • 0033045072 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climatic variability, plant phenology, and northern ungulates
    • Post E, Stenseth NC. 1999. Climatic variability, plant phenology, and northern ungulates. Ecology 80: 1322-1339.
    • (1999) Ecology , vol.80 , pp. 1322-1339
    • Post, E.1    Stenseth, N.C.2
  • 41
    • 0038138032 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Phase dependence and population cycles in a large-mammal predator-prey system
    • Post E, Stenseth NC, Peterson RO, Vucetich JA, Ellis AM. 2002. Phase dependence and population cycles in a large-mammal predator-prey system. Ecology 83: 2997-3002.
    • (2002) Ecology , vol.83 , pp. 2997-3002
    • Post, E.1    Stenseth, N.C.2    Peterson, R.O.3    Vucetich, J.A.4    Ellis, A.M.5
  • 42
    • 0004275183 scopus 로고
    • Analytical Population Dynamics. Chapman Hall
    • Akaike Information Criterion Statistics. Springer
    • Royama T. 1992. Analytical Population Dynamics. Chapman Hall. Sakamoto Y, Ishiguro M, Kitagawa G. 1986. Akaike Information Criterion Statistics. Springer.
    • (1992) Sakamoto Y, Ishiguro M, Kitagawa G. 1986
    • Royama, T.1
  • 43
    • 41149164690 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A latitudinal gradient in climate effects on seabird demography: Results from interspecific analyses
    • Sandvik H, Coulson T, Saether BE. 2008. A latitudinal gradient in climate effects on seabird demography: Results from interspecific analyses. Global Change Biology 14: 703-713.
    • (2008) Global Change Biology , vol.14 , pp. 703-713
    • Sandvik, H.1    Coulson, T.2    Saether, B.E.3
  • 45
    • 0347093664 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecosystem responses to global climate change: Moving beyond color mapping
    • Schmitz OJ, Post E, Burns CE, Johnston KM. 2003. Ecosystem responses to global climate change: Moving beyond color mapping. BioScience 53: 1199-1205.
    • (2003) BioScience , vol.53 , pp. 1199-1205
    • Schmitz, O.J.1    Post, E.2    Burns, C.E.3    Johnston, K.M.4
  • 46
    • 0030442153 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Is spacing behaviour coupled with predation causing the microtine density cycle? A synthesis of current process-oriented and pattern-oriented studies
    • Stenseth NC, Bjørnstad ON, Falck W. 1996a. Is spacing behaviour coupled with predation causing the microtine density cycle? A synthesis of current process-oriented and pattern-oriented studies. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 263: 1423-1435.
    • (1996) Proceedings of the Royal Society B , vol.263 , pp. 1423-1435
    • Stenseth, N.C.1    Bjørnstad, O.N.2    Falck, W.3
  • 47
    • 0030437518 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A gradient from stable to cyclic populations of Clethrionomys rufocanus in Hokkaido, Japan
    • Stenseth NC, Bjørnstad ON, Saitoh T. 1996b. A gradient from stable to cyclic populations of Clethrionomys rufocanus in Hokkaido, Japan. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 263: 1117-1126.
    • (1996) Proceedings of the Royal Society B , vol.263 , pp. 1117-1126
    • Stenseth, N.C.1    Bjørnstad, O.N.2    Saitoh, T.3
  • 48
    • 0032558710 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Phase- and densitydependent population dynamics in Norwegian lemmings: Interaction between deterministic and stochastic processes
    • Stenseth NC, Chan KS, Framstad E, Tong H. 1998a. Phase- and densitydependent population dynamics in Norwegian lemmings: Interaction between deterministic and stochastic processes. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 265: 1957-1968.
    • (1998) Proceedings of the Royal Society B , vol.265 , pp. 1957-1968
    • Stenseth, N.C.1    Chan, K.S.2    Framstad, E.3    Tong, H.4
  • 50
    • 0033551915 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Common dynamic structure of Canada lynx populations within three climatic regions
    • Stenseth NC, et al. 1999. Common dynamic structure of Canada lynx populations within three climatic regions. Science 285: 1071-1073.
    • (1999) Science , vol.285 , pp. 1071-1073
    • Stenseth, N.C.1
  • 51
    • 1542329839 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Extinction risk from climate change
    • Thomas CD, et al. 2004. Extinction risk from climate change. Nature 427: 145-148.
    • (2004) Nature , vol.427 , pp. 145-148
    • Thomas, C.D.1
  • 52
    • 0032076790 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Arctic Oscillation signature in the wintertime geopotential height and temperature fields
    • Thompson DWJ, Wallace JM. 1998. The Arctic Oscillation signature in the wintertime geopotential height and temperature fields. Geophysical Research Letters 25: 1297-1300.
    • (1998) Geophysical Research Letters , vol.25 , pp. 1297-1300
    • Thompson, D.W.J.1    Wallace, J.M.2
  • 54
    • 0028580006 scopus 로고
    • Decadal atmosphere-ocean variations in the Pacific
    • Trenberth KE, Hurrell JW. 1994. Decadal atmosphere-ocean variations in the Pacific. Climate Dynamics 9: 303-319.
    • (1994) Climate Dynamics , vol.9 , pp. 303-319
    • Trenberth, K.E.1    Hurrell, J.W.2
  • 56
    • 54549091038 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Nonlinear effects of climate and density in the dynamics of a fluctuating population of reindeer
    • Tyler NJC, Forchhammer MC, Øritsland NA. 2008. Nonlinear effects of climate and density in the dynamics of a fluctuating population of reindeer. Ecology 89: 1675-1686.
    • (2008) Ecology , vol.89 , pp. 1675-1686
    • Tyler, N.J.C.1    Forchhammer, M.C.2    Øritsland, N.A.3
  • 57
    • 1642512351 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The influence of top-down, bottom-up and abiotic factors on the moose (Alces alces) population of Isle Royale
    • Vucetich JA, Peterson RO. 2004. The influence of top-down, bottom-up and abiotic factors on the moose (Alces alces) population of Isle Royale. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 271: 183-189.
    • (2004) Proceedings of the Royal Society B , vol.271 , pp. 183-189
    • Vucetich, J.A.1    Peterson, R.O.2
  • 58
    • 28044446296 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Influence of harvest, climate and wolf predation on Yellowstone elk, 1961-2004
    • Vucetich JA, Smith DW, Stahler DR. 2005. Influence of harvest, climate and wolf predation on Yellowstone elk, 1961-2004. Oikos 111: 259-270.
    • (2005) Oikos , vol.111 , pp. 259-270
    • Vucetich, J.A.1    Smith, D.W.2    Stahler, D.R.3
  • 61
    • 33645341950 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predator disease out-break modulates top-down, bottom-up and climatic effects on herbivore population dynamics
    • Wilmers CC, Post E, Peterson RO, Vucetich JA. 2006. Predator disease out-break modulates top-down, bottom-up and climatic effects on herbivore population dynamics. Ecology Letters 9: 383-389.
    • (2006) Ecology Letters , vol.9 , pp. 383-389
    • Wilmers, C.C.1    Post, E.2    Peterson, R.O.3    Vucetich, J.A.4
  • 62
    • 35148884195 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The anatomy of predator-prey dynamics in a changing climate
    • Wilmers CC, Post E, Hastings A. 2007. The anatomy of predator-prey dynamics in a changing climate. Journal of Animal Ecology 76: 1037-1044.
    • (2007) Journal of Animal Ecology , vol.76 , pp. 1037-1044
    • Wilmers, C.C.1    Post, E.2    Hastings, A.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.