Statistical downscaling of precipitation in Korea using multimodel output variables as predictors

Monthly Weather Review

Volumn 137, Issue 6, 2009, Pages 1928-1938

  Kang, Hongwen ^a,b   Park, Chung Kyu ^a   Hameed, Saji N ^a   Ashok, Karumuri ^a  

^a APEC Climate Center   (South Korea)

^b STATE KEY LABORATORY OF SEVERE WEATHER   (China)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CONFIDENCE LEVELS; CROSS VALIDATION; DATA SETS; DOWNSCALING METHODS; DYNAMICAL MODEL; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; HINDCASTS; LARGE-SCALE CIRCULATION; LEAVE-ONE-OUT; MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN; MOVING WINDOW; MULTI-MODEL; OPTIMAL PREDICTOR; OUTPUT VARIABLES; PATTERN PROJECTION; PATTERN SELECTION; PRECIPITATION FORECAST; RAINFALL ANOMALY; RESOLUTION PREDICTION; STATISTICAL DOWNSCALING; SUMMER PRECIPITATION;

WEATHER FORECASTING; WINDOWS;

RAIN;

ATMOSPHERIC GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; DATA SET; DOWNSCALING; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); PREDICTION; RAINFALL; STATISTICAL ANALYSIS; WEATHER FORECASTING;

ASIA; EURASIA; FAR EAST; KOREA;

EID: 68249136907     PISSN: 00270644     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/2008MWR2706.1     Document Type: Article

References (19)

1. Benestad, R. E., 2001: A comparison between 2 empirical down-scaling strategies. Int. J. Climatol., 211, 1645-1668.
2. Benestad, R. E., 2002: Empirically downscaled multimodel ensemble temperature and precipitation scenarios for Norway. J. Climate, 15, 3008-3027.
3. Chen, D., C. Achberger, J. Raisanen, and C. Hellstorm, 2006: Using statistical downscaling to quantify the GCM-related uncertainty in regional climate change scenarios: A case study of Swedish precipitation. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 23, 54-60.
4. Chu, J., H. Kang, C. F. Tam, C. Park, and C. Chen, 2008: Seasonal forecast for local precipitation over northern Taiwan using statistical downscaling. J. Geophys. Res., 113, D12118, doi:10.1029/ 2007JD009424.
5. Glahn, H. R., and D. A. Lowry, 1972: The use of Model output Statistics (MOS) in objective weather forecasting. J. Appl. Meteor., 11, 1203-1211.
6. Kang, H., and C.-K. Park, 2007a: Error analysis of dynamical seasonal predictions of summer precipitation over the East Asian-western Pacific region. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L13706, doi:10.1029/ 2007GL029392.
7. Kang, H., K. An, C. Park, A. L. S. Solis, and K. Stitthichivapak, 2007b: Multimodel output statistical downscaling prediction of precipitation in the Philippines and Thailand. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L15710, doi:10.1029/2007GL030730.
8. Kang, I.-S., and J. Shukla, 2006: Dynamical seasonal prediction and predictability of the monsoon. The Asian Monsoon, B. Wang, Ed., Springer, 585-612.
9. Kang, I.-S., and Coauthors, 2002: Lntercomparison of the climatological variations of Asian summer monsoon precipitation simulated by 10 GCMs. Climate Dyn., 19, 383-395.
10. Kang, I.-S., J.-Y. Lee, and C.-K. Park, 2004: Potential predictability of summer mean precipitation in a dynamical seasonal prediction system with systematic error correction. J. Climate, 17, 834-844.
11. Kobayashi, C., K. Takano, S. Kusunnoki, M. Sugi, and A. Kitoh, 2000: Seasonal predictability in winter over eastern Asia using the JMA global model. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 126, 2111-2123.
12. Krishnamurti, T. N., and Coauthors, 1999: Improved weather and seasonal climate forecasts from multi-model superensemble. Science, 285, 1548-1550.
13. Kug, J.-S., J.-Y. Lee, and I.-S. Kang, 2007: Global sea surface temperature prediction using a multimodel ensemble. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 3239-3247.
14. Palmer, T. N., and J. Shukla, 2000: Editorial to DSP/PROVOST special issue. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 126, 1989-1990.
15. von Storch, H., E. Zorita, and U. Cubasch, 1993: Downscaling of global climate change estimates to reigional scales: An application to Iberian rainfall in wintertime. J. Climate, 6, 1161-1171.
16. Wang B., I.-S. Kang, and J.-Y. Lee, 2004: Ensemble simulation oi Asian-Australian monsoon variability by 11 AGCMs. J. Climate, 17, 803-818.
17. Wilks, D. S., 1995: Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences. Academic Press, 467 pp.
18. WMO, 2002: Standardised Verification System (SVS) for Long- Range Forecasts (LRF) new attachment II-9 to the manual on the GDPS (WMO-485). Vol. 1, WMO, Geneva, Switzerland, 32 pp.
19. Zorita, E., and H. von Storch, 1999: The analog method as a simple statistical downscaling technique: Comparison with more compticated methods. J. Climate, 12, 2474-2489.