Revisiting predictions of war duration

Conflict Management and Peace Science

Volumn 26, Issue 3, 2009, Pages 256-267

  Bennett, D Scott ^a   Stam, Allan C ^b  

^a PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN   (United States)

Author keywords

Event history models; Prediction; Proportional reduction in error (PRE); War duration

Indexed keywords

EID: 67650844650     PISSN: 07388942     EISSN: 15499219     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1177/0738894209104553     Document Type: Article

References (10)

1. Bennett, D. Scott, and Allan Stam. 1996. The duration of interstate wars, 1816-1985. American Political Science Review 90: 239-257. (Pubitemid 126072747)
2. Bennett D. Scott, and Allan C. Stam. 2006. Predicting the length of the 2003 US-Iraq War: A Postwar Assessment. Foreign Policy Analysis 2 (April): 101-115.
3. Clodfelter, Michael. 1992. Warfare and armed conflicts, 2 vols. Jefferson, NC: McFarland.
4. Dupuy, R. Ernest, and Trevor N. Dupuy. 1986. The encyclopedia of military history from 3500 BC to the present. 2 nd revd edn. New York: Harper and Row.
5. Filson, Darren, and Suzanne Werner. 2002. A bargaining model of war and peace: Anticipating the onset, duration, and outcome of war. American Journal of Political Science 46 (4). 819-837.
6. Filson, Darren, and Suzanne Werner. 2004. Bargaining and fighting:The impact of regime type on war onset, duration, and outcomes. American Journal of Political Science 48 (2). 296-313. (Pubitemid 38516563)
7. Holsti, Kalevi J. 1991. Peace and war: Armed conflicts and international order 1648-1989. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
8. Langlois, Catherine, and Jean-Pierre Langlois. 2008. Does attrition behavior help explain the duration of interstate wars? Manuscript.
9. Slantchev, Branislav L. 2004. How initiators end their wars: The duration of warfare and the terms of peace. American Journal of Political Science 48 (4). 813-829.
10. Stam, Allan C. III. 1996. Win, lose or draw: Domestic politics and the crucible of war. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.