메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 7, Issue 3, 2009, Pages 312-338

A new look at the forward premium puzzle

Author keywords

Forward premium anomaly; High persistence; Local to unity asymptotics; Low signal to noise ratio

Indexed keywords


EID: 67650105705     PISSN: 14798409     EISSN: 14798417     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1093/jjfinec/nbp002     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (23)

References (39)
  • 1
    • 70350473348 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What do we learn from the price of crude oil futures?
    • in press
    • Alquist, R., and L. Kilian. 2008. "What do we learn from the price of crude oil futures?" Journal of Applied Econometrics (in press).
    • (2008) Journal of Applied Econometrics
    • Alquist, R.1    Kilian, L.2
  • 2
    • 0001758906 scopus 로고
    • Heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix estimation
    • Andrews, D.W. K. 1991. "Heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix estimation." Econometrica 59: 817-858.
    • (1991) Econometrica , vol.59 , pp. 817-858
    • Andrews, D.W.K.1
  • 6
    • 30944443096 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Do asymmetric and nonlinear adjustments explain the forward premium anomaly
    • Baillie, R. T., and R. Kilic. 2006. "Do asymmetric and nonlinear adjustments explain the forward premium anomaly." Journal of International Money and Finance 25: 22-47.
    • (2006) Journal of International Money and Finance , vol.25 , pp. 22-47
    • Baillie, R.T.1    Kilic, R.2
  • 7
    • 0031490347 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An exploration of the forward premium puzzle in currency markets
    • Bansal, R. 1997. "An exploration of the forward premium puzzle in currency markets." Review of Financial Studies 10: 369-403.
    • (1997) Review of Financial Studies , vol.10 , pp. 369-403
    • Bansal, R.1
  • 8
    • 0034112701 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The forward premium puzzle: Different tales from developed and emerging economies
    • Bansal, R., and M. Dahlquist. 2000. "The forward premium puzzle: Different tales from developed and emerging economies." Journal of International Economics 51: 115-144.
    • (2000) Journal of International Economics , vol.51 , pp. 115-144
    • Bansal, R.1    Dahlquist, M.2
  • 10
    • 84977718189 scopus 로고
    • Characterizing predictable components in excess returns on equity and foreign exchange markets
    • Bekaert, G., and R. J. Hodrick. 1992. "Characterizing predictable components in excess returns on equity and foreign exchange markets." Journal of Finance 47: 467-509.
    • (1992) Journal of Finance , vol.47 , pp. 467-509
    • Bekaert, G.1    Hodrick, R.J.2
  • 13
    • 33745138559 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Efficient tests of stock return predictability
    • Campbell, J. Y., and M. Yogo. 2006. "Efficient tests of stock return predictability." Journal of Financial Economics 81: 27-60.
    • (2006) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.81 , pp. 27-60
    • Campbell, J.Y.1    Yogo, M.2
  • 14
    • 84974098166 scopus 로고
    • Inference in models with nearly nonstationary regressors
    • Cavanagh, C. L., G. Elliott, and J. H. Stock. 1995. "Inference in models with nearly nonstationary regressors." Econometric Theory 11: 1131-1147.
    • (1995) Econometric Theory , vol.11 , pp. 1131-1147
    • Cavanagh, C.L.1    Elliott, G.2    Stock, J.H.3
  • 15
    • 0030356207 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Efficient tests for an autoregressive unit root
    • Elliott, G., T. J. Rothenberg, and J. H. Stock. 1996. "Efficient tests for an autoregressive unit root." Econometrica 64: 813-836.
    • (1996) Econometrica , vol.64 , pp. 813-836
    • Elliott, G.1    Rothenberg, T.J.2    Stock, J.H.3
  • 16
    • 0030163502 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The forward discount anomaly and the risk premium: A survey of recent evidence
    • Engel, C. 1996. The forward discount anomaly and the risk premium: A survey of recent evidence." Journal of Empirical Finance 3: 123-192.
    • (1996) Journal of Empirical Finance , vol.3 , pp. 123-192
    • Engel, C.1
  • 18
    • 38149144734 scopus 로고
    • Do risk premia explain it all? Evidence from the term structure
    • Evans, M. D. D., and K. K. Lewis. 1994. "Do risk premia explain it all? Evidence from the term structure." Journal of Monetary Economics 33: 285-318.
    • (1994) Journal of Monetary Economics , vol.33 , pp. 285-318
    • Evans, M.D.D.1    Lewis, K.K.2
  • 19
    • 48549113655 scopus 로고
    • Forward and spot exchange rates
    • Fama, E. 1984. "Forward and spot exchange rates." Journal of Monetary Economics 14: 319-338.
    • (1984) Journal of Monetary Economics , vol.14 , pp. 319-338
    • Fama, E.1
  • 20
    • 0036005158 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bootstrap-based inference inmodels with a nearly noninvertible moving average component
    • Gospodinov,N. 2002. "Bootstrap-based inference inmodels with a nearly noninvertible moving average component." Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 20: 254-268.
    • (2002) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.20 , pp. 254-268
    • Gospodinov, N.1
  • 22
    • 0031314506 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Understanding spot and forward exchange rate regressions
    • Hai W., N. Mark, and Y. Wu. 1997. "Understanding spot and forward exchange rate regressions." Journal of Applied Econometrics 12: 715-734.
    • (1997) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.12 , pp. 715-734
    • Hai, W.1    Mark, N.2    Wu, Y.3
  • 23
    • 77956852950 scopus 로고
    • Puzzles in international financial markets
    • ed. G. Grossman and K. Rogof. Amsterdam: North-Holland
    • Lewis, K. K. 1995. "Puzzles in international financial markets." In Handbook of International Economics, ed. G. Grossman and K. Rogof. Amsterdam: North-Holland.
    • (1995) Handbook of International Economics
    • Lewis, K.K.1
  • 24
    • 27744492503 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing forward rate unbiasedness allowing for persistent regressors
    • Liu, W., and A. Maynard. 2005. "Testing forward rate unbiasedness allowing for persistent regressors." Journal of Empirical Finance 12: 613-628.
    • (2005) Journal of Empirical Finance , vol.12 , pp. 613-628
    • Liu, W.1    Maynard, A.2
  • 25
    • 36148964357 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Nonlinearity, nonstationarity, and spurious forecasts
    • Marmer, V. 2008. "Nonlinearity, nonstationarity, and spurious forecasts." Journal of Econometrics 142: 1-27.
    • (2008) Journal of Econometrics , vol.142 , pp. 1-27
    • Marmer, V.1
  • 26
    • 0038015661 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing for forward-rate unbiasedness: On regression in levels and returns
    • Maynard, A. 2003. "Testing for forward-rate unbiasedness: On regression in levels and returns." Review of Economics and Statistics 85: 313-327.
    • (2003) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.85 , pp. 313-327
    • Maynard, A.1
  • 27
    • 0035562324 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rethinking an old empirical puzzle: Econometric evidence on the forward discount anomaly
    • Maynard, A., and P. C. B. Phillips. 2001. "Rethinking an old empirical puzzle: Econometric evidence on the forward discount anomaly." Journal of Applied Econometrics 16: 671-708.
    • (2001) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.16 , pp. 671-708
    • Maynard, A.1    Phillips, P.C.B.2
  • 29
    • 30244540917 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation and inference in nearly unbalanced nearly cointegrated systems
    • Ng, S., and P. Perron. 1997. "Estimation and inference in nearly unbalanced nearly cointegrated systems." Journal of Econometrics 79: 53-81.
    • (1997) Journal of Econometrics , vol.79 , pp. 53-81
    • Ng, S.1    Perron, P.2
  • 30
    • 0000880923 scopus 로고
    • Optimal inference in cointegrated systems
    • Phillips, P. C. B. 1991. "Optimal inference in cointegrated systems." Econometrica 59: 283-306.
    • (1991) Econometrica , vol.59 , pp. 283-306
    • Phillips, P.C.B.1
  • 33
    • 0043289866 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Incomplete consumption risk sharing and currency risk premiums
    • Sarkissian, S. 2003. "Incomplete consumption risk sharing and currency risk premiums." Review of Financial Studies 16: 983-1005.
    • (2003) Review of Financial Studies , vol.16 , pp. 983-1005
    • Sarkissian, S.1
  • 34
    • 0039925680 scopus 로고
    • Confidence intervals for the largest autoregressive root in U.S. macroeconomic time series
    • Stock, J. H. 1991. "Confidence intervals for the largest autoregressive root in U.S. macroeconomic time series." Journal of Monetary Economics 28: 435-459.
    • (1991) Journal of Monetary Economics , vol.28 , pp. 435-459
    • Stock, J.H.1
  • 35
    • 7244240529 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A convergent t-statistic in spurious regressions
    • Sun, Y. 2004. "A convergent t-statistic in spurious regressions." Econometric Theory 20: 943-962.
    • (2004) Econometric Theory , vol.20 , pp. 943-962
    • Sun, Y.1
  • 36
    • 0042371945 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The bias of tests for a risk premium in forward exchange rates
    • Tauchen, G. 2001. "The bias of tests for a risk premium in forward exchange rates." Journal of Empirical Finance 8: 695-704.
    • (2001) Journal of Empirical Finance , vol.8 , pp. 695-704
    • Tauchen, G.1
  • 38
    • 67650192085 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A habit-based explanation of the exchange rate risk premium
    • in press
    • Verdelhan, A. 2008. "A habit-based explanation of the exchange rate risk premium." Journal of Finance (in press).
    • (2008) Journal of Finance
    • Verdelhan, A.1
  • 39
    • 0034389383 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cointegration and forward and spot exchange rate regressions
    • Zivot, E. 2000. "Cointegration and forward and spot exchange rate regressions." Journal of International Money and Finance 19: 785-812.
    • (2000) Journal of International Money and Finance , vol.19 , pp. 785-812
    • Zivot, E.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.