Elicitation of subjective probabilities when preferences are state-dependent

International Economic Review

Volumn 40, Issue 2, 1999, Pages 479-486

  Karni, Edi ^a  

^a JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0347138195     PISSN: 00206598     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/1468-2354.00025     Document Type: Article

References (11)

1. ANSCOMBE, F.J. AND R.J. AUMANN, "A Definition of Subjective Probabilities," Annals of Mathematical Statistics 34 (1963), 199-205.
2. BECKER, G.M., M.H. DEGROOT, AND J. MARSCHAK, "Measuring Utility by a Single Response Sequential Method," Behavioral Science 9 (1964), 226-232.
3. DE FINETTI, B., Theory of Probability, Vol. 1. (New York: Wiley, 1974).
4. KADANE, J.B. AND R.L. WINKLER, "Separating Probability Elicitation from Utilities," Journal of American Statistical Association 83 (1988), 357-363.
5. KARNI, E., "Subjective Probabilities and Utilities with Event-Dependent Preferences," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 5 (1992), 107-125.
6. _, "Probabilities and Beliefs," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 13 (1996), 249-262.
7. _AND J-Y. JAFFRAY, "Elicitation of Subjective Probabilities when the Initial Endowment is Unobservable," mimeo, Johns Hopkins University, 1997, forthcoming, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty.
8. _ AND Z. SAFRA, "The Impossibility of Experimental Elicitation of Subjective Probabilities," Theory and Decision 38 (1995), 313-320.
9. _ AND D. SCHMEIDLER, "On the Uniqueness of Subjective Probabilities," Economic Theory 3 (1993), 267-277.
10. SAVAGE, L.J., The Foundations of Statistics (New York: Wiley, 1954).
11. _, "Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations," Journal of American Statistical Association 66 (1971), 783-801.