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Volumn 54, Issue 8, 2008, Pages 1381-1394

Modeling a presidential prediction market

Author keywords

Electoral college; Prediction market; Stochastic model applications; U.S. presidential election

Indexed keywords

DIFFUSION MODELS; ELECTORAL COLLEGE; ON-LINE PREDICTIONS; POLITICAL EVENTS; PREDICTION MARKET; PROBABILITY MODELS; RANKING MODELS; STOCHASTIC MODEL APPLICATIONS; U.S. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION;

EID: 61849168142     PISSN: 00251909     EISSN: 15265501     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.1080.0872     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (23)

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    • Campa, J.1    Chang, K.2
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    • Erikson, R. S., K. Sigman. 2000. A simple stochastic model for close U.S. presidential elections. Working paper, Department of Political Science, Columbia University, New York.
    • Erikson, R. S., K. Sigman. 2000. A simple stochastic model for close U.S. presidential elections. Working paper, Department of Political Science, Columbia University, New York.
  • 7
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    • Working paper, Cowles Foundation and Department of Economics, Yale University, New Haven, CT
    • Fair, R. C. 2007. Interpreting the predictive uncertainty of elections. Working paper, Cowles Foundation and Department of Economics, Yale University, New Haven, CT.
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    • Fair, R.C.1
  • 9
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    • A new approach to estimating the probability of winning the presidency
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    • Kaplan, E.H.1    Barnett, A.2
  • 10
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    • Standard deviations of stock price ratios implied in option prices
    • Latane, H., R. Rendleman. 1976. Standard deviations of stock price ratios implied in option prices. J. Finance 31(2) 369-381.
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  • 11
    • 33646796020 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interpreting the predictions of prediction markets
    • Manski, C. F. 2006. Interpreting the predictions of prediction markets. Econom. Lett. 91 425-429.
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  • 12
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    • Implied correlation index: A new measure of diversification
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  • 13
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    • The horse race: What polls reveal as the election campaign unfolds
    • Wlezien, C., R. S. Erikson. 2007. The horse race: What polls reveal as the election campaign unfolds. Internat. J. Public Opinion Res. 19(1) 74-88.
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    • Wlezien, C.1    Erikson, R.S.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.