Reliability analysis for wind turbines with incomplete failure data collected from after the date of initial installation

Reliability Engineering and System Safety

Volumn 94, Issue 6, 2009, Pages 1057-1063

  Guo, Haitao ^a   Watson, Simon ^a   Tavner, Peter ^b   Xiang, Jiangping ^a  

^a LOUGHBOROUGH UNIVERSITY   (United Kingdom)

^b DURHAM UNIVERSITY   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Failure rate; Least squares; Maximum likelihood; Reliability; Three parameter Weibull model; Wind turbines

Indexed keywords

BLOCK CODES; CURVE FITTING; ELECTRIC UTILITIES; ENGINES; LEAST SQUARES APPROXIMATIONS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; MATHEMATICAL OPERATORS; MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION; QUALITY ASSURANCE; RELIABILITY ANALYSIS; WEIBULL DISTRIBUTION; WIND TURBINES;

FAILURE DATUM; FAILURE RATE; FAILURE RATE FUNCTIONS; FIELD FAILURE DATUM; LEAST SQUARES; LIFE TESTS; OPERATING DATUM; RELIABILITY GROWTHS; THREE-PARAMETER WEIBULL MODEL; WEIBULL; WIND ENERGIES; WIND ENERGY INDUSTRIES; WIND ENERGY PROJECTS; WIND ENERGY SYSTEMS; WIND ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES; WIND FARMS;

WIND POWER;

EID: 61349152936     PISSN: 09518320     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2008.12.004     Document Type: Article

References (27)

1. Walford C. Wind turbine reliability: understanding and minimizing wind turbine operation and maintenance costs. SANDIA Report, SAND2006-1100, 2006.
2. Nilsson J., and Bertling L. Maintenance management of wind power systems using condition monitoring systems-life cycle cost analysis for two case studies. IEEE Trans Energy Convers 22 1 (2007) 223-229
3. Giorsetto P., and Utsurogi K. Development of a new procedure for reliability modeling of wind turbine generators. IEEE Trans Power Apparatus Syst PAS-102 1 (1983) 134-143
4. Karki R., Hu P., and Billinton R. A simplified wind power generation model for reliability evaluation. IEEE Trans Energy Convers 21 2 (2006) 533-540
5. Seebregts A., Rademakers L., and Van Den Horn B. Reliability analysis in wind turbine engineering. Microelectron Reliab 35 9-10 (1995) 1285-1307
6. Michos D., Dialynas E., and Vionis P. Reliability and safety assessment of wind turbines control and protection systems. Wind Eng 26 6 (2006) 359-369
7. Abderrazzaq M., and Hahn B. Analysis of the turbine standstill for a grid connected wind farm (case study). Renew Energy 31 (2006) 89-104
8. Herberta J., Iniyanb S., Sreevalsanc E., et al. A review of wind energy technologies. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 11 (2007) 1117-1145
9. Tavner P, Xiang J, Spinato F. Improving the reliability of wind turbine generation and its impact on overall distribution network reliability. In: Proceedings of the 18th international conference on electricity distribution, Turin, 2005.
10. Tavner P., Xiang J., and Spinato F. Reliability analysis for wind turbines. Wind Energy 10 (2007) 1-18
11. Xiang J, Hor C, Watson SJ. Climate change impacts on future reliability and capacity factors of wind turbines. ENERGYX 2006, SINTEF. Norway: Elsevier. June 2006, ISBN008045108X.
12. Rigdon S., and Basu A. Statistical methods for the reliability of repairable systems (2000), Wiley, New York p. 43
13. Reliability growth management (Military handbook 189) (1981), Washington, DC, Department of Defense
14. Moré J, Garbow B, Hillstrom K. User guide for MINPACK 1. Argonne National Laboratory, Report ANL-80-74, 1980.
15. Coleman T.F., and Li Y. An interior, trust region approach for nonlinear minimization subject to bounds. SIAM J Optim 6 (1996) 418-445
16. Coleman T.F., and Li Y. On the convergence of reflective Newton methods for large-scale nonlinear minimization subject to bounds. Math Prog 67 2 (1994) 189-224
17. Xie M., and Lai D. Reliability analysis using an additive Weibull model with bathtub-shaped failure rate function. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 52 1 (1996) 87-93
18. Xie M., Tang Y., and Goh T. A modified Weibull extension with bathtub-shaped failure rate function. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 76 3 (2002) 279-285
19. Ling J., and Pan J. A new method for selection of population distribution and parameter estimation. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 60 3 (1998) 247-255
20. Red-Horse J., and Benjamin A. A probabilistic approach to uncertainty quantification with limited information. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 85 (2004) 183-190
21. Coit D., and Dey A. Analysis of grouped data from field-failure reporting systems. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 65 2 (1999) 95-101
22. Sun Y., Xie M., Goh T., et al. Development and applications of a three-parameter Weibull distribution with load-dependent location and scale parameters. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 40 2 (1993) 133-137
23. Hall P., and Strutt J. Probabilistic physics-of-failure models for component reliabilities using Monte Carlo simulation and Weibull analysis: a parametric study. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 80 3 (2003) 233-242
24. Calabria R., Guida M., and Pulcini G. Some modified maximum likelihood estimators for the Weibull process. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 23 1 (1988) 51-58
25. Zhang L., Xie M., and Tand L. Bias correction for the least squares estimator of Weibull shape parameter with complete and censored data. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 91 8 (2006) 930-939
26. Murthy P., Bulmer M., and Eccleston J. Weibull model selection for reliability modeling. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 86 3 (2004) 257-267
27. Windstats, 〈www.windstats.com〉.