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Volumn 6, Issue , 2008, Pages 4045-4055

Systematic prediction errors in O&G project and portfolio selection

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

DECISION CRITERIONS; DECISION SITUATIONS; EXPECTED VALUES; OPTIMIZER; ORDER 2; PORTFOLIO SELECTIONS; PREDICTION ERRORS; PROOF OF CONCEPTS; SYSTEMATIC BIAS; SYSTEMATIC STUDIES;

EID: 58849152877     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: None     Document Type: Conference Paper
Times cited : (11)

References (11)
  • 1
    • 33644791957 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cognitive Biases in the Petroleum Industry: Impact and Remediation
    • SPE96423, Dallas
    • Welsh, M.B., Bratvold, R.B. & Begg, S.H.: Cognitive Biases in the Petroleum Industry: Impact and Remediation, SPE96423, Proc. SPE ATCE, Dallas, 2005
    • (2005) Proc. SPE ATCE
    • Welsh, M.B.1    Bratvold, R.B.2    Begg, S.H.3
  • 2
    • 0007322926 scopus 로고
    • A note on the apparent bias of net revenue estimates for capital investment projects
    • Brown, K.C.: A note on the apparent bias of net revenue estimates for capital investment projects. J. Finance, 29, 1215-1216, 1974
    • (1974) J. Finance , vol.29 , pp. 1215-1216
    • Brown, K.C.1
  • 3
    • 84935412890 scopus 로고
    • Decision making and post-decision surprises
    • Harrison, J.R. & March J.G.: Decision making and post-decision surprises. Admin. Sci. Quarterly. 29, 26-42, 1984
    • (1984) Admin. Sci. Quarterly , vol.29 , pp. 26-42
    • Harrison, J.R.1    March, J.G.2
  • 4
    • 58849088001 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Horner, D.: On the Theory of Inevitable Disappointment, Theoretical Note No. 21, pers. comm. J. Skates & P. Rose, 1982
    • Horner, D.: On the Theory of Inevitable Disappointment, Theoretical Note No. 21, pers. comm. J. Skates & P. Rose, 1982
  • 6
    • 33644898597 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Optimizer's Curse: Skepticism and Post-decision Surprise in Decision Analysis
    • Smith, J.E. & Winkler, R.L.: The Optimizer's Curse: Skepticism and Post-decision Surprise in Decision Analysis, Management Science, 52, No3, p311, 2006
    • (2006) Management Science , vol.52 , Issue.NO3 , pp. 311
    • Smith, J.E.1    Winkler, R.L.2
  • 9
    • 58849164483 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling the Economic Impact of Individual and Corporate Risk Attitude
    • SPE116610, Denver
    • Welsh, M.B. & Begg, S.H.: Modelling the Economic Impact of Individual and Corporate Risk Attitude, SPE116610, Proc. SPE ATCE, Denver, 2008
    • (2008) Proc. SPE ATCE
    • Welsh, M.B.1    Begg, S.H.2
  • 10
    • 40349100565 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling the Economic Impact of Cognitive Biases on Oil and Gas Decisions
    • SPE110765, Anaheim
    • Welsh, M.B., Begg, S.H. & Bratvold, R.B.: Modeling the Economic Impact of Cognitive Biases on Oil and Gas Decisions, SPE110765, Proc. SPE ATCE, Anaheim, 2007
    • (2007) Proc. SPE ATCE
    • Welsh, M.B.1    Begg, S.H.2    Bratvold, R.B.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.