Forecasting VoWLAN technology for the Taiwan mobile telecommunication industry

Technology Analysis and Strategic Management

Volumn 21, Issue 2, 2009, Pages 213-232

  Ho, Jonathan C ^a   Chen, Ja Shen ^a  

^a YUAN ZE UNIVERSITY   (Taiwan)

Author keywords

Disruptive innovation; Mobile telecommunication; Scenario; VoIP; VoWLAN

Indexed keywords

CONVERGENCE; DECISION MAKING; INDUSTRIAL COMPETITION; INNOVATION; MOBILE COMMUNICATION; STRATEGIC APPROACH;

ASIA; EURASIA; FAR EAST; TAIWAN;

EID: 58449099976     PISSN: 09537325     EISSN: 14653990     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/09537320802625314     Document Type: Article

References (41)

1. Arthur, W. B. (1989) Competing technologies, increasing returns, and lock-in by historical events. Economic Journal, 99:394, pp. 116-131.
2. Bower, J. L. and Christensen, C. M. (1995) Disruptive technologies: catching the wave. Harvard Business Review, 73:1, pp. 43-53.
3. Christensen, C. (1997) The innovator's dilemma, Harper Business, New York
4. Christensen, C. M., Anthony, S. D. and Roth, E. A. (2004) Seeing what's next? Using the theories of innovation to predict industry change, Harvard Business School Press, Boston, MA
5. Christensen, C. M. and Bower, J. L. (1996) Customer power, strategic investment, and the failure of leading firms. Strategic Management Journal, 17, pp. 197-218.
6. Christensen, C. M. and Overdorf, M. (2000) Meeting the challenge of disruptive change. Harvard Business Review, 78:2, pp. 66-76.
7. Christensen, C. M. and Raynor, M. E. (2003) The innovator's solution: creating and sustaining successful growth, Harvard Business School Press, Boston, MA
8. Devezas, T. C. (2005) Evolutionary theory of technological change: state-of-the-art and new approaches. Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 72, pp. 1137-1152.
9. Galer, G. and Kasper, W. (1982) Scenario planning for Australia. Long Range Planning, 15:4, pp. 50-55.
10. Georgantzas, N. C., Peeva, N. A. and Weinberg, H. (2005) Disruptive innovation diffusion. Paper presented at the 23rd International conference of the System Dynamics Society Boston, MA, USA
11. Henderson, R. (2006) The innovator's dilemma as a problem of organizational competence. Journal of Product Innovation Management, 23:1, pp. 5-11.
12. Henderson, R. M. and Clark, K. B. (1990) Architectural innovation: The reconfiguration of existing product technologies and the failure of established firms. Administrative Science Quarterly, 35:1, pp. 9-30.
13. IDC (2004) Information Society Index, 2004: Rankings and Data. International Data Corporation (IDC), Framlington, MA, USA
14. Katz, M. L. and Shapiro, C. (1985) Network externalities, competition, and compatibility. American Economic Review, 75, pp. 424-440.
15. Kostoff, R. N., Boylan, R. and Simons, G. R. (2004) Disruptive technology roadmaps. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 71, pp. 141-159.
16. Linneman, R. and Klein, H. (1985) Using scenarios in strategic decision making. Business Horizon, 28:1, pp. 64-74.
17. Linton, J. D. (2004) Determining demand, supply, and pricing for emerging markets based on disruptive process technologies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 71, pp. 105-120.
18. Lookabaugh, T., Ryan, P. S. and Sicker, D. C. (2006) A model for emergency service of VoIP through certification and labeling. Federal Communications Law Journal, 58, pp. 115-167.
19. Meisel, J. B. and Needles, M. (2005) Voice over internet protocol (VoIP) development and public policy implications. Info, 7:3, pp. 3-15.
20. Moore, G. A. (2002) Crossing the chasm: Marketing and selling high-tech products to mainstream customers, HarperBusiness Essentials, New York
21. Mueller, B. (2001) Competing technologies: No match for fax. Purchasing, 130:4, pp. 85-87.
22. Noori, H. and Chen, C. (2003) Applying scenario-driven strategy to integrate environmental management and product design. Production & Operations Management, 12, pp. 353-368.
23. Ogilvy, J. A. (2002) Creating better futures: Scenario planning as a tool for a better tomorrow, Oxford University Press, New York
24. Park, S. (2004) Quantitative analysis of network externalities in competing technologies: The VCR case. Review of Economics & Statistics, 86, pp. 937-945.
25. Porter, A. L. (1991) Forecasting and management of technology, Wiley, New York
26. Rogers, E. M. (2003) Diffusion of innovations, Free Press, New York
27. Rosenbloom, R. S. and Christensen, C. M. (1994) Technological discontinuities, organizational capabilities, and strategic commitments. Industrial & Corporate Change, 3, pp. 655-685.
28. Schnaars, S. P., Chia, S. L. and Maloles III., C. M. (1993) Five modern lessons from a 55-year-old technological forecast. Journal of Product Innovation Management, 10, pp. 66-74.
29. Schoemaker, P. J. H. (1991) When and how to use scenario planning: A heuristic approach with illustration. Journal of Forecasting, 10, pp. 549-564.
30. Schoemaker, P. J. H. (1993) Multiple scenario development: Its conceptual and behavioral foundation. Strategic Management Journal, 14, pp. 193-213.
31. Schoemaker, P. J. H. and van der Heijden, C. A. J. M. (1992) Integrating scenarios into strategic planning at Royal Dutch/Shell. Planning Review, 20:3, pp. 41-46.
32. Schumpeter, J. (1950) Capitalism, socialism and democracy, Harper & Row, New York
33. Schwartz, P. (1996) The art of the long view: Paths to strategic insight for yourself and your company, Currency Doubleday, New York
34. Shapiro, C. and Varian, H. R. (1999) Information rules: A strategic guide to the network economy, Harvard Business School Press, Boston, MA
35. Shy, O. (2001) The economics of network industries, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
36. Teece, D. J., Pisano, G. and Shuen, A. (1997) Dynamic capabilities and strategic management. Strategic Management Journal, 18, pp. 509-533.
37. Tucker, K. (1999) Scenario planning. Association Management, 51:4, pp. 70-75.
38. Tushman, M. L. and Anderson, P. (1986) Technological discontinuities and organizational environments. Administrative Science Quarterly, 31, pp. 439-465.
39. Vojak, B. A. and Chambers, F. A. (2004) Roadmapping disruptive technical threats and opportunities in complex, technology-based subsystems: The SAILS. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 71, pp. 121-139.
40. Walker, R. M., Jeanes, E. and Rowlands, R. (2002) Measuring innovation? Applying the literature-based innovation output indicator to public services. Public Administration, 80, pp. 201-214.
41. Walsh, S. T. (2004) Roadmapping a disruptive technology: A case study-the emerging microsystems and top-down nanosystems industry. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 71, pp. 161-185.