Ongoing global warming and local warm extremes: A case study of winter 2006-2007 in Helsinki, Finland

Geophysica

Volumn 44, Issue 1-2, 2008, Pages 45-65

  Räisänen, Jouni ^a   Ruokolainen, Leena ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF HELSINKI   (Finland)

Author keywords

Climate change; CMIP3; Finaldn; Temperature extreme

Indexed keywords

ACCURACY ASSESSMENT; ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; CLIMATE MODELING; GLOBAL WARMING; HEATING; PROBABILITY; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; RELIABILITY ANALYSIS; TEMPERATURE ANOMALY; TEMPERATURE GRADIENT; WINTER;

ETELA SUOMEN; EURASIA; EUROPE; FINLAND; HELSINKI; NORTHERN EUROPE; SCANDINAVIA;

EID: 57749194601     PISSN: 03674231     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (20)

1. Allan, R.J. and T.J. Ansell, 2006. A new globally complete monthly historical mean sea level pressure data set (HadSLP2): 1850-2004. J. Climate, 19, 5816-5842.
2. Allen, M., 2003. Liability for climate change. Nature, 421, 891-892.
3. Black E., M. Blackburn, G. Harrison, B. Hoskins and J. Methven, 2004. Factors contributing to the summer 2003 European heatwave. Weather, 59, 217-223.
4. Brohan, P., J.J. Kennedy, I. Harris, S.F.B. Tett and P.D. Jones, 2006. Uncertainty estimates in regional and global observed temperature changes: a new dataset from 1850. J. Geophys Res, 111, D12106, doi: 10.1029/2005JD006548.
5. Fink, A.H., T. Brücher, A. Krüger, G.C. Leckebusch, J.G. Pinto and U. Ulbrich, 2004. The 2003 European summer heatwaves and drought - synoptic diagnosis and impacts. Weather, 59, 209-216.
6. Gilleland, E., R. Katz and G. Young, 2005. Extremes toolkit (extRemes): Weather and climate applications of extreme value statistics. http:// www.assessment.ucar.edu/toolkit/.
7. Hegerl, G.C. and co-authors, 2007. Understanding and Attributing Climate Change. In: Climate Change 2007: the Physical Science Basis (eds. S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, M. Marquis, K. Averyt, M.M.B. Tignor, H. LeRoy Miller, Jr. and Z. Chen) Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp 663-745.
8. Jones, P.D., T. Jónsson and D. Wheeler, 1997. Extension to the North Atlantic Oscillation using early instrumental pressure observations from Gibraltar and South-West Iceland. Int. J. Climatol., 17, 1433-1450.
9. Katz, R. W., G.S. Bruzh and M. Parlange, 2005. Statistics of extremes: modelling ecological disturbances. Ecology, 86, 1124-1134.
10. Kharin, V.V., F.W. Zwiers, X. Zhang and G.C. Hegerl, 2007. Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the IPCC ensemble of global coupled model simulations. J. Climate, 20, 1419-1444.
11. Meehl, G.A. and C. Tebaldi, 2004. More intense, more frequent and longer lasting heat waves in the 21 st century. Science, 305, 994-997.
12. Meehl G.A. and co-authors, 2007a. Global climate projections. In: Climate Change 2007: the Physical Science Basis (eds. S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, M. Marquis, K. Averyt, M.M.B. Tignor, H. LeRoy Miller, Jr. and Z. Chen) Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp 747-845.
13. Meehl G.A. and co-authors, 2007b. The WCRP CMIP3 Multimodel Dataset: A New Era in Climate Change Research. Bull Am Meteor Soc 88, 1383-1394.
14. Nakićenović N. and co-authors, 2000. Emissions Scenarios. A Special Report of Worlang Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 599 pp.
15. Räisänen, J. and L. Ruokolainen, 2008. Estimating present climate in a warming world: a model-based approach. Climate Dyn., 31, 573-585.
16. Rauthe, M. and H. Paeth, 2004. Relative importance of Northern Hemisphere circulation modes in predicting regional climate change. J. Climate, 17, 4180-4189.
17. Sheffield, J. and E.F. Wood, 2008. Projected changes in drought occurrence under future global warming from multi-model, multi-scenario, IPCC AR4 simulations. Climate Dyn., 31, 79-105.
18. Stephenson, D.B., V. Pavan, M. Collins, M.M. Junge, R. Quadrelli and Participating CMIP2 Modelling Groups, 2006: North Atlantic Oscillation response to transient greenhouse gas forcing and the impact on European winter climate: a CMIP2 multi-model assessment. Climate Dyn., 27, 401-420.
19. Stott, P.A., A.D. Stone and M.R. Allen, 2004. Human contribution to the European heatwave of 2003. Nature, 432, 610-614.
20. Trenberth, K.E. and co-authors, 2007. Observations: Surface and Atmospheric Climate change. In: Climate Change 2007: the Physical Science Basis (eds. S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, M, Marquis, K. Averyt, M.M.B. Tignor, H. LeRoy Miller, Jr. and Z. Chen) Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp 235-336.