메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 12, Issue 3, 2008, Pages

Bayesian simultaneous determination of structural breaks and lag lengths

Author keywords

Markov chain Monte Carlo; Model uncertainty; Regime shifts

Indexed keywords


EID: 55549110926     PISSN: 10811826     EISSN: 15583708     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1519     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (7)

References (26)
  • 1
    • 55549084723 scopus 로고
    • Bayes inference via gibbs sampling of autoregressive time series subject to markov mean and variance shifts
    • Albert, J. and S. Chib (1993): "Bayes inference via gibbs sampling of autoregressive time series subject to markov mean and variance shifts," Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 11, 669-679.
    • (1993) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.11 , pp. 669-679
    • Albert, J.1    Chib, S.2
  • 2
    • 0001568702 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing for and dating common breaks in multivariate time series
    • Bai, J., R. Lumsdaine, and J. Stock (1998): "Testing for and dating common breaks in multivariate time series," Review of Economic Studies, 65, 395-432.
    • (1998) Review of Economic Studies , vol.65 , pp. 395-432
    • Bai, J.1    Lumsdaine, R.2    Stock, J.3
  • 3
    • 0346906789 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes
    • Bai, J. and P. Perron (1998): "Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes," Econometrica, 66, 47-78.
    • (1998) Econometrica , vol.66 , pp. 47-78
    • Bai, J.1    Perron, P.2
  • 4
    • 0037286212 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Computation and analysis of multiple structural change models
    • Bai, J. and P. Perron (2003): "Computation and analysis of multiple structural change models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, 18, 1-22.
    • (2003) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.18 , pp. 1-22
    • Bai, J.1    Perron, P.2
  • 5
    • 0348239234 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multiple structural change models: A simulation analysis,
    • Technical report, Boston College
    • Bai, J. and P. Perron (2004): "Multiple structural change models: A simulation analysis," Technical report, Boston College.
    • (2004)
    • Bai, J.1    Perron, P.2
  • 6
    • 84881847928 scopus 로고
    • Recursive and sequential tests of the unit root and trend break hypotheses:theory and international evidence
    • Banerjee, A., R. Lumsdaine, and J. Stock (1992): "Recursive and sequential tests of the unit root and trend break hypotheses:theory and international evidence," Journal of Bussines and Economic Statistics, 10, 271-288.
    • (1992) Journal of Bussines and Economic Statistics , vol.10 , pp. 271-288
    • Banerjee, A.1    Lumsdaine, R.2    Stock, J.3
  • 8
    • 84937730674 scopus 로고
    • Explaining the gibbs sampler
    • Casella, G. and E. George (1992): "Explaining the gibbs sampler," American Statistician, 46, 167-174.
    • (1992) American Statistician , vol.46 , pp. 167-174
    • Casella, G.1    George, E.2
  • 10
    • 32344446687 scopus 로고
    • Understanding the metropolis-hastings algorithm
    • Chib, S. and E. Greenberg (1995): "Understanding the metropolis-hastings algorithm," American Statistician, 40, 327-335.
    • (1995) American Statistician , vol.40 , pp. 327-335
    • Chib, S.1    Greenberg, E.2
  • 11
    • 0030525596 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An analysis of the real interest rate under regime shifts
    • Garcia, R. and P. Perron (1996): "An analysis of the real interest rate under regime shifts," Review of Economics and Statistics, 78, 111-125.
    • (1996) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.78 , pp. 111-125
    • Garcia, R.1    Perron, P.2
  • 12
    • 84986088295 scopus 로고
    • Bayesian treatment of the independent student-t linear model
    • Geweke, J. (1993): "Bayesian treatment of the independent student-t linear model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, 8, S19-S40.
    • (1993) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.8
    • Geweke, J.1
  • 13
    • 77956889087 scopus 로고
    • Reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo computation and Bayesian model determination
    • Green, P. J. (1995): "Reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo computation and Bayesian model determination," Biometrika, 82, 711-732.
    • (1995) Biometrika , vol.82 , pp. 711-732
    • Green, P.J.1
  • 14
    • 45149138487 scopus 로고
    • Analysis of time series subject to changes in regime
    • Hamilton, J. D. (1990): "Analysis of time series subject to changes in regime," Journal of Econometrics, 45, 39-70.
    • (1990) Journal of Econometrics , vol.45 , pp. 39-70
    • Hamilton, J.D.1
  • 15
    • 0001259111 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hoeting, J. A., D. Madigan, A. E. Raftery, and C. T. Volinsky (1999): Bayesian model averaging: A tutorial (with discussion), Statistical Science, 14, 382-417, corrected version available at http://www.stat.washington.edu/www/research/online/hoeting1999.pdf.
    • Hoeting, J. A., D. Madigan, A. E. Raftery, and C. T. Volinsky (1999): "Bayesian model averaging: A tutorial (with discussion)," Statistical Science, 14, 382-417, corrected version available at http://www.stat.washington.edu/www/research/online/hoeting1999.pdf.
  • 16
    • 84952221137 scopus 로고
    • Detection of multiple changes of variance using posterior odds
    • Incĺan, C. (1994): "Detection of multiple changes of variance using posterior odds," Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 11, 289-300.
    • (1994) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.11 , pp. 289-300
    • Incĺan, C.1
  • 17
    • 33749848531 scopus 로고
    • Use of cumulative sums of squares for retrospective detection of changes in variance
    • Incĺan, C. and G. Tiao (1994): "Use of cumulative sums of squares for retrospective detection of changes in variance," Journal of the American Statistical Association, 89, 913-923.
    • (1994) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.89 , pp. 913-923
    • Incĺan, C.1    Tiao, G.2
  • 18
    • 34250749750 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation and forecasting in models with multiple breaks
    • Koop, G. and S. Potter (2007): "Estimation and forecasting in models with multiple breaks," Review of Economic Studies, 74, 763-789.
    • (2007) Review of Economic Studies , vol.74 , pp. 763-789
    • Koop, G.1    Potter, S.2
  • 19
    • 0347948987 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The strength of evidence for unit autoregressive roots and structural breaks: A Bayesian perspective
    • Marriot, J. and P. Newbold (2000): "The strength of evidence for unit autoregressive roots and structural breaks: A Bayesian perspective," Journal of Econometrics, 98, 1-25.
    • (2000) Journal of Econometrics , vol.98 , pp. 1-25
    • Marriot, J.1    Newbold, P.2
  • 20
    • 79953111112 scopus 로고
    • Bayesian inference and prediction for mean and variance shifts in autoregressive time series
    • McCulloch, R. and R. Tsay (1993): "Bayesian inference and prediction for mean and variance shifts in autoregressive time series," Journal of the American Statistical Association, 88, 968-978.
    • (1993) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.88 , pp. 968-978
    • McCulloch, R.1    Tsay, R.2
  • 21
    • 0000899296 scopus 로고
    • The great crash, the oil price shock and the unit root hypothe-sis
    • Perron, P. (1989): "The great crash, the oil price shock and the unit root hypothe-sis," Econometrica, 57, 1361-1401.
    • (1989) Econometrica , vol.57 , pp. 1361-1401
    • Perron, P.1
  • 22
    • 33749045516 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting time series subject to multiple structural breaks
    • Pesaran, M. H., D. Petenuzzo, and A. Timmermann (2006): "Forecasting time series subject to multiple structural breaks," Review of Economic Studies, 73, 1057-1084.
    • (2006) Review of Economic Studies , vol.73 , pp. 1057-1084
    • Pesaran, M.H.1    Petenuzzo, D.2    Timmermann, A.3
  • 23
    • 0001416896 scopus 로고
    • Segmented trends and non-stationary time series
    • Rappaport, P. and L. Reichlin (1989): "Segmented trends and non-stationary time series," Economic Journal, 99, 168-177.
    • (1989) Economic Journal , vol.99 , pp. 168-177
    • Rappaport, P.1    Reichlin, L.2
  • 25
    • 0034392520 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A bayesian time series model of multiple structural changes in level, trend and variance
    • Wang, J. and E. Zivot (2000): "A bayesian time series model of multiple structural changes in level, trend and variance," Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 18, 374-386.
    • (2000) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.18 , pp. 374-386
    • Wang, J.1    Zivot, E.2
  • 26
    • 28444488750 scopus 로고
    • Further evidence on the great crash, the oil-price shock, and the unit-root hypothesis
    • Zivot, E. and D. Andrews (1992): "Further evidence on the great crash, the oil-price shock, and the unit-root hypothesis," Journal of Busines and Economic Statistics, 10, 251-270.
    • (1992) Journal of Busines and Economic Statistics , vol.10 , pp. 251-270
    • Zivot, E.1    Andrews, D.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.