Relationship between accelerating seismicity and quiescence, two precursors to large earthquakes

Geophysical Research Letters

Volumn 35, Issue 15, 2008, Pages

  Mignan, Arnaud ^a   Di Giovambattista, Rita ^b  

^a RISK MANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS   (United Kingdom)

^b ISTITUTO NAZIONALE DI GEOFISICA E VULCANOLOGIA   (Italy)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EARTHQUAKES; WINDOWS;

SEISMOLOGY;

EARTHQUAKE EVENT; EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE; EARTHQUAKE MECHANISM; EARTHQUAKE PRECURSOR; SEISMIC QUIESCENCE; SEISMICITY; SPATIOTEMPORAL ANALYSIS;

EURASIA; EUROPE; ITALY; SOUTHERN EUROPE;

EID: 53749099090     PISSN: 00948276     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2008GL035024     Document Type: Article

References (22)

1. Barba, S., R. Di Giovambattista, and G. Smriglio (1995), Italian seismic databank allows on-line access, Eos Trans. AGU, 76, 89.
2. Ben-Zion, Y., and V. Lyakhovsky (2002), Accelerated seismic release and related aspects of seismicity patterns on earthquake faults, Pure Appl. Geophys., 159, 2385-2412.
3. Bowman, D. D., and C. G. Sammis (2004), Intermittent criticality and the Gutenberg-Richter distribution, Pure Appl. Geophys., 161, 1945-1956.
4. Bowman, D. D., G. Ouillon, C. G. Saminis, A. Sornette, and D. Sornette (1998), An observational test of the critical earthquake concept, J. Geophys. Res., 103, 24,359-24,372.
5. Bufe, C. G., and D. J. Varnes (1993), Predictive modeling of the seismic cycle of the greater San Francisco Bat region, J. Geophys. Res., 98, 9871-9883.
6. Console, R., C. Montuori, and M. Murru (2000), Statistical assessment of seismicity patterns in Italy: Are they precursors of subsequent events?, J. Seismol., 4, 435-449.
7. Di Giovambattista, R., and Y. S. Tyupkin (2000), Spatial and temporal distribution of seismicity before the Umbria-Marche September 26, 1997 earthquakes, J. Seismol., 2, 589-598.
8. Huang, Q. (2004), Seismicity pattern changes prior to large earthquakes - An approach of the RTL algorithm, Terr. Atmos. Oceanic Sci., 15, 469-491.
9. Huang, Q. (2006), Search for reliable precursors: A case study of the seismic quiescence of the 2000 western Tottori prefecture earthquake, J. Geophys. Res., 111, B04301, doi:10.1029/2005JB003982.
10. Huang, Q., A. O. Oncel, and G. A. Sobolev (2002), Precursory seismicity changes associated with the Mw = 7.4 1999 August 17 Izmit (Turkey) earthquake, Geophys. J. Int., 151, 235-242.
11. Jaumé, S. C., and L. R. Sykes (1999), Evolving towards a critical point: A review of accelerating seismic moment/energy release prior to large and great earthquakes, Pure Appl. Geophys., 155, 279-306.
12. Jimenez, A., K. F. Tiampo, S. Levin, and A. M. Posadas (2006), Testing the persistence in earthquake catalogs: The Iberian Peninsula, Europhys. Lett., 73, 171-177, doi:10.1209/epl/i2005-10383-8.
13. Keilis-Borok, V. I. (1999), What comes next in the dynamics of lithosphere and earthquake prediction?, Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 111, 179-185.
14. King, G. C. P., and D. D. Bowman (2003), The evolution of regional seismicity between large earthquakes, J. Geophys. Res., 108(B2), 2096, doi:10.1029/200IJB000783.
15. Mignan, A. (2008), The Non-Critical Precursory Accelerating Seismicity Theory (NC PAST) and limits of the power-law fit methodology, Tectonophysics, 452, 42-50, doi:10.1016/j.tecto.2008.02.010.
16. Mignan, A., G. C. P. King, and D. D. Bowman (2007), A mathematical formulation of accelerating moment release based on the stress accumulation model, J. Geophys. Res., 112, B07308, doi:10.1029/ 2006JB004671.
17. Molchan, G., and O. Dmitrieva (1991), Identification of aftershocks: Review and new approaches (in Russian), Comput. Seismol., 24, 19-24.
18. Sammis, C. G., and D. Sornette (2002), Positive feedback, memory, and the predictability of earthquakes, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U S.A., 99, 2501-2508.
19. Sobolev, G., and Y. Tyupkin (1999), The RTL algorithm application for strong earthquake prediction on Kamchatka, Volcanol. Seismol., 20, 615-627.
20. Sornette, D., and C. G. Sammis (1995), Complex critical exponents from renormalization group theory of earthquakes: Implications for earthquake predictions, J. Phys. 1, 5, 607-4619.
21. Tiampo, K. F., and M. Anghel (2006), Introduction to special issue: Critical point theory and space-time pattern formation in precursory seismicity, Tectonophysics, 413, 1-3.
22. Turcotte, D. L., W. I. Newmann, and R. Shcherbakov (2003), Micro- and macro-scopic models of rock fracture, Geophys. J. Int., 152, 718-728.