-
1
-
-
0003010182
-
Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability
-
Brier, G. W., 1950: Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability. Mon. Wea. Rev., 78, 1-3.
-
(1950)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.78
, pp. 1-3
-
-
Brier, G.W.1
-
2
-
-
34548200411
-
The ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System
-
T. N. Palmer and R. Hagedorn, Eds, Cambridge University Press
-
Buizza, R., 2006: The ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Predictability of Weather and Climate, T. N. Palmer and R. Hagedorn, Eds., Cambridge University Press, 459-489.
-
(2006)
Predictability of Weather and Climate
, pp. 459-489
-
-
Buizza, R.1
-
3
-
-
0029412335
-
The singular-vector structure of the atmospheric global circulation
-
Buizza, R., and T. N. Palmer, 1995: The singular-vector structure of the atmospheric global circulation. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 1434-1456.
-
(1995)
J. Atmos. Sci
, vol.52
, pp. 1434-1456
-
-
Buizza, R.1
Palmer, T.N.2
-
4
-
-
0036612338
-
Prediction of the U.S. storm of 24-26 January 2000 with the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System
-
Buizza, R. and P. Chessa, 2002: Prediction of the U.S. storm of 24-26 January 2000 with the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 1531-1551.
-
(2002)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.130
, pp. 1531-1551
-
-
Buizza, R.1
Chessa, P.2
-
5
-
-
0003207346
-
Storm prediction over Europe using the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System
-
Buizza, R., and A. Hollingsworth, 2002: Storm prediction over Europe using the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Meteor. Appl., 9, 1-17.
-
(2002)
Meteor. Appl
, vol.9
, pp. 1-17
-
-
Buizza, R.1
Hollingsworth, A.2
-
6
-
-
0033403384
-
Stochastic representation of model uncertainties in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system
-
Buizza, R., M. Miller, and T. N. Palmer, 1999: Stochastic representation of model uncertainties in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 125, 2887-2908.
-
(1999)
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc
, vol.125
, pp. 2887-2908
-
-
Buizza, R.1
Miller, M.2
Palmer, T.N.3
-
7
-
-
34250010344
-
The new ECMWF VAREPS
-
Buizza, R., J.-R. Bidlot, N. Wedi, M. Fuentes, M. Hamrud, G. Holt, and F. Vitart, 2007: The new ECMWF VAREPS. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 133, 681-695.
-
(2007)
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc
, vol.133
, pp. 681-695
-
-
Buizza, R.1
Bidlot, J.-R.2
Wedi, N.3
Fuentes, M.4
Hamrud, M.5
Holt, G.6
Vitart, F.7
-
8
-
-
0001609731
-
Stochastic dynamic prediction
-
Epstein, E. S., 1969: Stochastic dynamic prediction. Tellus, 21, 739-759.
-
(1969)
Tellus
, vol.21
, pp. 739-759
-
-
Epstein, E.S.1
-
9
-
-
0000263365
-
On stochastic dynamic prediction. I: The energetics of uncertainty and the question of closure
-
Fleming, R. J., 1971a: On stochastic dynamic prediction. I: The energetics of uncertainty and the question of closure. Mon. Wea. Rev., 99, 851-872.
-
(1971)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.99
, pp. 851-872
-
-
Fleming, R.J.1
-
10
-
-
0012927654
-
On stochastic dynamic prediction. II: Predictability and utility
-
Fleming, R. J., 1971b: On stochastic dynamic prediction. II: Predictability and utility. Mon. Wea. Rev., 99, 927-938.
-
(1971)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.99
, pp. 927-938
-
-
Fleming, R.J.1
-
11
-
-
0014795829
-
Statistical-dynamical predictions
-
Gleeson, T. A., 1970: Statistical-dynamical predictions. J. Appl. Meteor., 9, 333-344.
-
(1970)
J. Appl. Meteor
, vol.9
, pp. 333-344
-
-
Gleeson, T.A.1
-
12
-
-
0021050794
-
Lagged average forecasting, an alternative to Monte Carlo forecasting
-
Hoffman, R. N., and E. Kalnay, 1983: Lagged average forecasting, an alternative to Monte Carlo forecasting. Tellus, 35A, 100-118.
-
(1983)
Tellus
, vol.35 A
, pp. 100-118
-
-
Hoffman, R.N.1
Kalnay, E.2
-
13
-
-
0001209566
-
A system simulation approach to ensemble prediction
-
Houtekamer, P. L., L. Lefaivre, J. Derome, H. Ritchie, and H. Mitchell, 1996: A system simulation approach to ensemble prediction. Mon. Wea. Rev., 124, 1225-1242.
-
(1996)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.124
, pp. 1225-1242
-
-
Houtekamer, P.L.1
Lefaivre, L.2
Derome, J.3
Ritchie, H.4
Mitchell, H.5
-
14
-
-
0000630257
-
Theoretical skill of Monte Carlo forecasts
-
Leith, C. E., 1974: Theoretical skill of Monte Carlo forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 102, 409-418.
-
(1974)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.102
, pp. 409-418
-
-
Leith, C.E.1
-
15
-
-
39549083006
-
Ensemble forecasting
-
doi:10.1016/j.jcp.2007.02.014
-
Leutbecher, M., and T. N. Palmer, 2008: Ensemble forecasting. J. Comput. Phys., 227, 3515-3539, doi:10.1016/j.jcp.2007.02.014.
-
(2008)
J. Comput. Phys
, vol.227
, pp. 3515-3539
-
-
Leutbecher, M.1
Palmer, T.N.2
-
16
-
-
84927120004
-
Predictability - A problem partly solved
-
T. N. Palmer and R. Hagedorn, Eds, Cambridge University Press
-
Lorenz, E. N., 2006: Predictability - A problem partly solved. Predictability of Weather and Climate, T. N. Palmer and R. Hagedorn, Eds., Cambridge University Press, 40-58.
-
(2006)
Predictability of Weather and Climate
, pp. 40-58
-
-
Lorenz, E.N.1
-
17
-
-
0029753275
-
The new ECMWF ensemble prediction system: Methodology and validation
-
Molteni, F., R. Buizza, T. N. Palmer, and T. Petroliagis, 1996: The new ECMWF ensemble prediction system: Methodology and validation. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 73-119.
-
(1996)
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc
, pp. 73-119
-
-
Molteni, F.1
Buizza, R.2
Palmer, T.N.3
Petroliagis, T.4
-
18
-
-
0002335344
-
Ensemble, prediction
-
Shinfield Park, Reading, United Kingdom, ECMWF
-
Palmer, T. N., F. Molteni, R. Mureau, R. Buizza, P. Chapelet, and J. Tribbia, 1993: Ensemble, prediction. Proc. ECMWF Seminar on Validation of Models over Europe, Vol. 1, Shinfield Park, Reading, United Kingdom, ECMWF, 21-66.
-
(1993)
Proc. ECMWF Seminar on Validation of Models over Europe
, vol.1
, pp. 21-66
-
-
Palmer, T.N.1
Molteni, F.2
Mureau, R.3
Buizza, R.4
Chapelet, P.5
Tribbia, J.6
-
20
-
-
2242458081
-
The skill of 500 hPa height forecasts
-
Shinfield Park, Reading, United Kingdom, ECMWF
-
Simmons, A., 1995: The skill of 500 hPa height forecasts. Proc. ECMWF Seminar on Predictability, Shinfield Park, Reading, United Kingdom, ECMWF, 19-68.
-
(1995)
Proc. ECMWF Seminar on Predictability
, pp. 19-68
-
-
Simmons, A.1
-
21
-
-
0022691293
-
Form of empirical ROCs in discrimination and diagnostic tasks: Implications for theory and measurement of performance
-
Swets, J. A., 1986: Form of empirical ROCs in discrimination and diagnostic tasks: Implications for theory and measurement of performance. Psychol, Bull., 99, 181-198.
-
(1986)
Psychol, Bull
, vol.99
, pp. 181-198
-
-
Swets, J.A.1
-
22
-
-
0000593274
-
199,7: Ensemble forecasting at NCEP and the breeding method
-
Toth, Z., and E. Kalnay, 199,7: Ensemble forecasting at NCEP and the breeding method. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 3297-3319.
-
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.125
, pp. 3297-3319
-
-
Toth, Z.1
Kalnay, E.2
-
23
-
-
0027705108
-
Operational ensemble prediction at the National Meteorological Center: Practical aspects
-
Tracton, M. S., and E. Kalnay, 1993: Operational ensemble prediction at the National Meteorological Center: Practical aspects. Wea. Forecasting, 8, 379-398.
-
(1993)
Wea. Forecasting
, vol.8
, pp. 379-398
-
-
Tracton, M.S.1
Kalnay, E.2
-
25
-
-
53649096633
-
Report of the 20th session of the CAS/JSC Working Group on Numerical Experimentation
-
WMO, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom, 56 pp
-
WMO, 2005: Report of the 20th session of the CAS/JSC Working Group on Numerical Experimentation. WMO CAS/JSC WGNE Rep. 20, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom, 56 pp.
-
(2005)
WMO CAS/JSC WGNE Rep
, vol.20
-
-
|