Can we prevent the next epidemic? The elimination of childhood diseases by mass vaccination

Journal of Applied Mathematics and Decision Sciences

Volumn 4, Issue 2, 2001, Pages 175-182

  Roberts, M G ^a  

^a AGRESEARCH   (New Zealand)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 52549103313     PISSN: 11739126     EISSN: 15327612     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1155/S1173912600000134     Document Type: Article

References (21)

1. Agur Z, Cojocaru L, Mazor G, Anderson RM, Danon YL. 1993. Pulse mass measles vaccination across age cohorts. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 90:11698-11702.
2. Anderson RM, May RM. 1991. Infectious diseases of humans: dynamics and control. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
3. Babad HR, Nokes DJ, Gay NJ, Miller E, Morgan-Capner P, Anderson RM. 1995. Predicting the impact of measles vaccination in England and Wales: model validation and analysis of policy options. Epidemiology and Infection 114:319-344.
4. Blakely TA, Mansoor O, Baker M. 1999a. The 1996 pertussis epidemic in New Zealand: descriptive epidemiology. New Zealand Medical Journal 112:30-33.
5. Blakely TA, Mansoor O, Baker M. 1999b. The 1996 pertussis epidemic in New Zealand: vaccine effectiveness. New Zealand Medical Journal 112:118-120.
6. 0 in models for infectious diseases in heterogeneous populations. Journal of Mathematical Biology 28:365-382.
7. Edelstein-Keshet L. 1988. Mathematical models in biology. New York: Random House.
8. Gay NJ, Pelletier L, Duclos P. 1998. Modelling the incidence of measles in Canada: an assessment of the options for vaccination policy. Vaccine 16:794-801.
9. Grenfell BT, Anderson RM. 1989. Pertussis in England and Wales: an investigation of transmission dynamics and control by mass vaccination. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B 236:213-252.
10. Grenfell BT, Bolker BM. 1994. Population dynamics of measles. In Parasitic and Infectious Diseases, edited by Scott ME, Smith G. New York, Academic Press:219-233.
11. Hethcote HW. 1996. Modelling heterogeneous mixing in infectious disease dynamics. In Models for infectious human diseases: their structure and relation to data, edited by Isham VS, Medley GF. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press:215-238.
12. Hethcote HW. 1997. An age-structured model for pertussis transmission. Mathematical Biosciences 145:89-136.
13. Lévy-Bruhl D, Maccario J, Richardson S, Guérin N. 1997. Modélisation de la rougeole en France et conséquences pour l'âge d'administration de la seconde vaccination rougeoleoreillons- rubéole. Bulletin Epidémiologique Hebdomadaire 29:133-135.
14. Mansoor O, Blakely A, Baker M, Tobias M, Bloomfield A. 1998. A measles epidemic controlled by immunisation. New Zealand Medical Journal 111:467-471.
15. Mansoor O, Reid S. 1999. The future of the immunisation schedule: recommendations of a workshop. New Zealand Medical Journal 112:52-55.
16. McLean AR. 1994. Control of microparasites through vaccination. In Parasitic and Infectious Diseases, edited by Scott ME, Smith G. New York, Academic Press:129-140.
17. Roberts MG, Heesterbeek JAP. 1993. Bluff your way in epidemic models. Trends in Microbiology 1:343-348.
18. Roberts MG, Tobias MI. 2000. Predicting and preventing measles epidemics in New Zealand: Application of a mathematical model. Epidemiology and Infection 124:279-287.
19. Rohani P, Earn DJD, Grenfell BT. 1999. Opposite patterns of synchrony in sympatric disease metapopulations. Science 286:968-971.
20. Statistics New Zealand. 1996. New Zealand Official Yearbook. Wellington: Statistics New Zealand.
21. Tobias MI, Roberts MG. 1998. Modelling measles. Predicting and preventing measles epidemics in New Zealand: Application of a mathematical model. Wellington: Ministry of Health. 183-192