A numerical study of the track deflection of supertyphoon Haitang (2005) prior to its landfall in Taiwan

Monthly Weather Review

Volumn 136, Issue 2, 2008, Pages 598-615

  Jian, Guo Ji ^a   Wu, Chun Chieh ^b  

^a CENTRAL WEATHER BUREAU   (Taiwan)

^b NATIONAL TAIWAN UNIVERSITY   (Taiwan)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ADVECTION; ATMOSPHERIC MOVEMENTS; JETS; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS; VORTEX FLOW; WEATHER FORECASTING;

LOOP AMPLITUDE; STEERING FLOW; SUPERTYPHOON; TRACK DEFLECTION;

STORMS;

FORECASTING METHOD; NUMERICAL MODEL; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; STORM; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS; TYPHOON; VORTEX; WEATHER FORECASTING; WIND VELOCITY;

ASIA; EURASIA; FAR EAST; TAIWAN;

EID: 44449097616     PISSN: 00270644     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/2007MWR2134.1     Document Type: Article

References (39)

1. Bender, M. A., R. E. Tuleya, and Y. Kurihara, 1987: A numerical study of the effect of island terrain on tropical cyclones. Mon. Wea Rev., 115, 130-155.
2. Brand, S., and J. W. Blelloch, 1974: Changes in the characteristics of typhoons crossing the island of Taiwan. Mon. Wea. Rev., 102, 708-713.
3. Chan, J. C. L., and W. M. Gray, 1982: Tropical cyclone movement and surrounding flow relationship. Mon. Wea. Rev., 110, 1354-1376.
4. Chan, J. C. L., and R. T. Williams, 1987: Analytical and numerical studies of the beta-effect in tropical cyclone motion. Part I: Zero mean flow. J. Atmos. Sci., 44, 1257-1265.
5. Chang, C.-P., T.-C. Yeh, and J. M. Chen, 1993: Effects of terrain on the surface structure of typhoons over Taiwan. Mon. Wea. Rev., 121, 734-752.
6. Chang, S. W., 1982: The orographic effects induced by an island mountain range on propagating tropical cyclones. Mon. Wea. Rev., 110, 1255-1270.
7. Chen, S.-H., and J. Dudhia, 2000: Annual report: WRF physics. Air Force Weather Agency, 38 pp. [Available online at http://www.mmm.ucair.edu/wrf/ users/docs/wrf-doc-physics.pdf.]
8. Davis, C. A., and S. Low-Nam, 2001: The NCAR-AFWA tropical cyclone bogussing scheme. NCAR Tech. Note, 13 pp. [Available online at http://www.mmm.ucar.edu/mm5/mm5v3/tc-report.pdf.]
9. Dudhia, J., 1989: Numerical study of convection observed during the winter monsoon experiment using a mesoscale two-dimensional model. J. Atmos. Sci., 46, 3077-3107.
10. Elsberry, R. L., 1995: Tropical cyclone motion. Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones, R. L. Elsberry, Ed., World Meteorological Organization, 106-197.
11. Elsberry, R. L., and F. D. Marks, 1999: The Hurricane Landfall Workshop summary. Bull Amer. Meteor. Soc., 80, 683-685.
12. Fiorino, M. J., and R. L. Elsberry, 1989: Some aspects of vortex structure related to tropical cyclone motion. J. Atmos. Sci., 46, 975-990.
13. Hong, S.-Y., J. Dudhia. and Y. Noh, 2003: A new vertical diffusion package with explicit treatment of the entrainment processes. Proc. Int. Workshop on NWP Models for Heavy Precipitation in Asia and Pacific Areas, Tokyo, Japan, Japan Meteorological Agency, 52-58.
14. Hong, S.-Y., J. Dudhia. Y. Noh, and S.-H. Chen, 2004: A revised approach to ice microphysical processes for the bulk parameterization of clouds and precipitation. Mon. Wea Rev., 132, 103-120.
15. Jian, G.-J., C.-S. Lee, and G. T. J. Chen, 2006: Numerical simulation of Typhoon Dot (1990) during TCM-90: Typhoon Dot's discontinuous track across Taiwan. Terr. Atmos. Oceanic Sci., 17, 23-52.
16. Kain, J. S., 2004: The Kain-Fritsch convective parameterization: An update. J. Appl. Meteor., 43, 170-181.
17. Lin, P.-H., 2006: The first successful typhoon eyewall-penetration reconnaissance flight mission conducted by the unmanned aerial vehicle, Aerosonde. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 87, 1481-1483.
18. Lin, Y.-L., J. Han, D. W. Hamilton, and C.-Y. Huang, 1999: Orographic influence on a drifting cyclone. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 534-562.
19. Lin, Y.-L., S.-Y. Chen, C. M. Hill, and C.-Y. Huang, 2005: Control parameters for the influence of a mesoscale mountain range on cyclone track continuity and deflection. J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 1849-1866.
20. Marks, F. D., and L. K. Shay, 1998: Landfalling tropical cyclones: Forecasting problems and associated research opportunities. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 79, 305-323.
21. Miller, B. I., 1967: Characteristics of hurricanes. Science, 157, 1389-1399.
22. Mlawer, E. J., S. J. Taubman, P. D. Brown, M. J. Iacono, and S. A. Clough, 1997: Radiative transfer for inhomogeneous atmospheres: RRTM, a validated correlated-k model for the longwave. J. Geophys. Res., 102, 16 663-16 682.
23. Neumann, C. J., 1979: On the use of deep-layer mean geopotential. height fields in statistical prediction of tropical cyclone motion. Preprints, Sixth Conf. on Probability and Statistics in Atmosphere Sciences, Banff, AB, Canada, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 32-38.
24. Peng, M. S., and S. W. Chang, 2002: Numerical forecasting experiments on Typhoon Herb (1996). J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 80, 1325-1338.
25. Roux, F., and F. D. Marks Jr., 1991: Eyewall evolution in Hurricane Hugo deduced from successive airborne Doppler observations. Preprints, 19th Conf. on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Miami, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 558-563.
26. Skamarock, W. C., J. B. Klemp, J. Dudhia, D. O. Gill, D. M. Barker, W. Wang, and J. G. Powers, 2005: A description of the Advanced Research WRF Version 2. NCAR Tech. Note NCAR/TN-468+STR, 88 pp.
27. Wang, S.-T., 1980: Prediction of the movement and strength of typhoons in Taiwan and its vicinity (in Chinese). National Science Council Research Rep. 108, Taipei, Taiwan, 100 pp.
28. Willoughby, H. E., 1990: Temporal changes of the primary circulation in tropical cyclones. J. Atmos. Sci., 47, 242-264.
29. Willoughby, H. E., 1992: Linear motion of a shallow water barotropic vortex as an initial-value problem. J. Atmos. Sci., 49, 2015-2031.
30. Wu, C.-C., 2001: Numerical simulation of Typhoon Gladys (1994) and its interaction with Taiwan terrain using the GFDL hurricane model. Mon. Weir. Rev., 129, 1533-1549.
31. Wu, C.-C., and K. A. Emanuel, 1993: Interaction of a baroclinic vortex with background shear: Application to hurricane movement. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 62-76.
32. Wu, C.-C., and K. A. Emanuel, 1995a: Potential vorticity diagnostics of hurricane movement. Part I: A case study of Hurricane Bob (1991). Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 69-92.
33. Wu, C.-C., and K. A. Emanuel, 1995b: Potential vorticity diagnostics of hurricane movement. Part II: Tropical Storm Ana (1991) and Hurricane Andrew (1992). Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 93-109.
34. Wu, C.-C., and Y.-H. Kuo, 1999: Typhoons affecting Taiwan: Current understanding and future challenges. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 80, 67-80.
35. Wu, C.-C., T.-H. Yen, Y.-H. Kuo, and W. Wang, 2002: Rainfall simulation associated with Typhoon Herb (1996) near Taiwan. Part I: The topographic effect. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 1001-1015.
36. Wu, L., and B. Wang, 2001a: Effects of convective heating on movement and vertical coupling of tropical cyclones: A numerical study. J. Atmos. Sci., 58, 3639-3649.
37. Wu, L., and B. Wang, 2001b: Movement and vertical coupling of diabatic baroclinic tropical cyclones. J. Atmos. Sci., 58, 1801-1814.
38. Yeh, T.-C., and R. L. Elsberry, 1993a: Interaction of typhoons with the Taiwan orography. Part I: Upstream track deflections. Mon. Wea. Rev., 121, 3193-3212.
39. Yeh, T.-C., and R. L. Elsberry, 1993b: Interaction of typhoons with the Taiwan orography. Part II: Continuous and discontinuous tracks across the island. Mon. Wea. Rev., 121, 3213-3233.