Fraser River sockeye salmon productivity and climate: A re-analysis that avoids an undesirable property of Ricker's curve

Progress in Oceanography

Volumn 77, Issue 2-3, 2008, Pages 146-154

  McKinnell, Skip ^a  

^a North Pacific Marine Science Organization   (Canada)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

FISH; POPULATION DYNAMICS; RIVERS;

ARTIFICIAL SPAWNING CHANNELS; MORTALITY PARAMETERS;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTION; CLIMATE EFFECT; DENSITY DEPENDENCE; MORTALITY; RIVER BASIN; SALMONID; SMOLT; SPAWNING; SURVIVAL;

BRITISH COLUMBIA; CANADA; FRASER BASIN; FRASER RIVER; LAKE CHILKO; NORTH AMERICA;

ONCORHYNCHUS; ONCORHYNCHUS NERKA;

EID: 44149097322     PISSN: 00796611     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2008.03.014     Document Type: Article

References (42)

1. Adkison M.D., Peterman R.M., Lapointe M.F., Gillis D.M., and Korman J. Alternative models of climate effects on sockeye salmon, Oncorhynchus nerka, productivity in Bristol Bay, Alaska, and the Fraser River, British Columbia. Fisheries Oceanography 5 (1996) 137-152
2. Babcock, J.P., 1918. Salmon fishery of the Fraser River District. In: Ninth Annual Report of the Commission of Conservation, Ottawa, ON, Canada, pp. 140-153.
3. Beamish R.J., and Bouillon D.R. Pacific salmon production trends in relation to climate. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 50 (1993) 1002-1016
4. Beamish R.J., Neville C.-E.M., and Cass A.J. Production of Fraser River sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) in relation to decadal-scale changes in the climate and the ocean. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 54 (1997) 543-554
5. Beamish R.J., Schnute J.T., Cass A.J., Neville C.M., and Sweeting R.M. The influence of climate on the stock and recruitment of pink and sockeye salmon from the Fraser River, British Columbia, Canada. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society (2004) 1396-1412
6. Bond N.A., Overland J.E., Spillane M., and Stabeno P. Recent shifts in the state of the North Pacific. Geophysical Research Letters 30 23 (2003) 2183 10.1029/2003GL018597
7. Bradford M.J., Pyper B.J., and Shortreed K.S. Biological responses of sockeye salmon to the fertilization of Chilko Lake, a large lake in the interior of British Columbia. North American Journal of Fisheries Management 20 (2000) 661-671
8. Brodeur, R.D., Daly, E.A., Sturdevant, M.V., Miller, T.W., Moss, J.H., Thiess, M., Trudel, M., Weitkamp, L.A., Armstrong, J., Norton, E.C., 2007. Regional comparisons of juvenile salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.) feeding in coastal marine waters off the West Coast of North America. In: Grimes, C.B., Brodeur, R.D., Halderson, L.J., McKinnell, S.M. (Eds.), The Ecology of Juvenile Salmon in the Northeast Pacific Ocean. American Fisheries Scientific Symposium Series 87, Bethseda, MD, pp. 183-207.
9. Crawford W.R., Galbraith J., and Bolingbroke N. Line P ocean temperature and salinity, 1956-2005. Progress in Oceanography 75 (2007) 161-178
10. Faucher M., Burrows W.R., and Pandolfo L. Empirical-statistical reconstruction of surface marine winds along the western coast of Canada. Climate Research 11 (1999) 173-190
11. Frolander H.F. Quantitative estimations of temporal variations of zooplankton off the coast of Washington and British Columbia. Journal of the Fisheries Research Board of Canada 19 (1962) 657-675
12. Fuller W.A. Measurement Error Models (1987), J. Wiley and Sons, Toronto, ON, Canada 440p
13. Fulton, J.D., LeBrasseur, R.J., 1985. Interannual shifting of the subarctic boundary and some of the biotic effects on juvenile salmonids. In: Wooster, W.S., Fluharty D.L. (Eds.), El Niño North; Niño Effects in the Eastern Subarctic Pacific Ocean, Washington Sea Grant, Seattle, WA, USA, pp. 237-252.
14. Furnell D.J., and Brett J.R. Model of monthly marine growth and natural mortality for Babine Lake sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka). Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 43 (1986) 999-1004
15. Gargett A.E. The optimal stability "window": a mechanism underlying decadal fluctuations in North Pacific salmon stocks?. Fisheries Oceanography 6 (1997) 109-117
16. Gargett A.E., Li M., and Brown R.M. Testing mechanistic explanations of observed correlations between environmental factors and marine fisheries. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 58 (2001) 208-219
17. Hare S.R., and Mantua N.J. Empirical evidence for North Pacific regime shifts in 1977 and 1989. Progress in Oceanography 47 (2000) 103-146
18. Kalnay E., Kanamitsu M., Kistler R., Collins W., Deaven D., Gandin L., Iredell M., Saha S., White G., Woollen J., Zhu Y., Leetmaa A., Reynolds R., Chelliah M., Ebisuzaki W., Wiggins W., Janowiak J., Mo K.C., Ropelewski C., Wang J., Jenne R., and Joseph D. The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 77 (1996) 437-470
19. Klyashtorin L.B. Long-term climate change and main commercial fish production in the Atlantic and Pacific. Fisheries Research 37 (1998) 115-125
20. Lluch-Cota D.B., Wooster W.S., Hare S.R., Lluch-Belda D., and Parés-Sierra A. Principal modes and related frequencies of sea surface temperature variability in the Pacific Coast of North America. Journal of Oceanography 59 (2003) 477-488
21. Mackas D.L., Thomson R.E., and Galbraith M. Changes in the zooplankton community of the British Columbia continental margin, 1985-1999, and their covariation with oceanographic conditions. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 58 (2001) 685-702
22. Mackas D.L., Peterson W.T., and Zamon J.E. Comparisons of interannual biomass anomalies of zooplankton communities along the continental margin of British Columbia. Deep-Sea Research II 51 (2004) 875-896
23. Mackas D.L., Batten S., and Trudel M. Effects on zooplankton of a warmer ocean: recent evidence from the Northeast Pacific. Progress in Oceanography 75 (2007) 223-252
24. Mantua N.J., Hare S.R., Zhang Y., Wallace J.M., and Francis R.C. A Pacific decadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 78 (1997) 1069-1079
25. McFarlane G.A., and Beamish R.J. Climatic influence linking copepod production with strong year-classes in sablefish, Anoplopoma fimbria. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 49 (1992) 743-753
26. McFarlane G.A., King J.R., and Beamish R.J. Have there been recent changes in climate? ask the fish. Progress in Oceanography 47 (2000) 147-169
27. McKinnell, S.M. 2007. Expectations for marine survival of Chilko Lake sockeye salmon returning in 2007. In: Crawford, W.R., Perry, R.I. (Eds.), State of the Pacific Ocean 2006. Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Ocean Status Report 2007/001, pp. 81-85.
28. McKinnell S.M., and Crawford W.R. The 18.61 lunar nodal cycle and surface temperature variation in the northeast Pacific. Journal of Geophysical Research 112 (2007) 10.1029/2006JC003671
29. McKinnell S.M., Freeland H.J., and Groulx S. Assessing the northern diversion of sockeye salmon returning to the Fraser River. Fisheries Oceanography 8 (1999) 104-114
30. McKinnell S.M., Wood C.C., Rutherford D.T., Hyatt K.D., and Welch D.W. The demise of Owikeno Lake sockeye salmon. North American Journal of Fisheries Management 21 (2001) 774-791
31. Mendelssohn R., and Schwing F.B. Common and uncommon trends in SST and wind stress in the California and Peru-Chile Current systems. Progress in Oceanography 53 (2002) 141-162
32. Mueter F.J., Pyper B.J., and Peterman R.M. Relationships between coastal ocean conditions and survival rates of Northeast Pacific salmon at multiple lags. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 134 (2005) 105-119
33. Myers R.A., Bradford M.J., Bridson J.M., and Mertz G. Estimating delayed density-dependent mortality in sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka): a meta-analytic approach. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 54 (1997) 2449-2462
34. Peterman R.M., Pyper B.J., Lapointe M.F., Adkison M.D., and Walters C.J. Patterns of covariation in survival rates of British Columbian and Alaskan sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) stocks. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 55 (1998) 2503-2517
35. Peterson W.T., and Schwing F.B. A new climate regime in Northeast Pacific ecosystems. Geophysical Research Letters 30 (2003) 1896 10.1029/2003GL017528
36. Reynolds R.W., and Smith T.M. Improved global sea surface temperature analyses. Journal of Climate 7 (1995) 929-948
37. Ricker, W.E., 1971. Computation and interpretation of biological statistics of fish populations. Bulletin of the Fisheries Research Board of Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada, 382p.
38. Roos, J.F., 1991. Restoring Fraser River salmon: a history of the International Pacific Salmon Fisheries Commission, 1938-1985. Pacific Salmon Commission, Vancouver, BC, Canada, 438p.
39. Trenberth K.E., and Hurrell J.W. Decadal atmosphere-ocean variations in the Pacific. Climate Dynamics 9 (1994) 303-319
40. Wallace J.M., and Gutzler D.S. Teleconnections in the geopotential height field during the Northern Hemisphere Winter. Monthly Weather Reviews 109 (1981) 784-812
41. Walters, C.J., Staley, M.J., 1987. Evidence against the existence of cyclic dominance in Fraser River sockeye (Oncorhynchus nerka). In: Smith, H.D., Margolis, L., Wood. C.C. (Eds.), Sockeye Salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) Population Biology and Future Management. Canadian Special Publication of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 96, pp. 375-384.
42. Woodey, J.C. 1987. In-season management of Fraser River sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka): meeting multiple objectives. In: Smith, H.D., Margolis, L., Wood. C.C. (Eds.), Sockeye Salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) Population Biology and Future Management. Canadian Special Publication of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 96, pp. 367-374.