The economy and the presidential vote: What leading indicators reveal well in advance

International Journal of Forecasting

Volumn 24, Issue 2, 2008, Pages 218-226

  Erikson, Robert S ^a   Wlezien, Christopher ^b  

^a Columbia University ^*  (United States)

^b TEMPLE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Approval; Elections; Forecasting; Polls; Time series

Indexed keywords

EID: 43049107153     PISSN: 01692070     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2008.02.001     Document Type: Article

References (8)

1. In: Campbell J.E., and Garand J.C. (Eds). Before the Vote: Forecasting American National Elections (2000), Sage Publications, Thousand Oaks, California
2. Erikson R.S., and Wlezien C. Of time and presidential election forecasts. Political Science and Politics 29 (1996) 37-39
3. Hibbs Jr. D.A. The American Political Economy (1987), Harvard University Press, Cambridge, Mass.
4. Lewis-Beck M., and Rice T. Forecasting Elections (1992), Congressional Quarterly Press, Washington, D.C.
5. Rogers R.M. Handbook of Key Economic Indicators (1994), Richard Irwin, New York
6. Wlezien C., and Erikson R.S. Temporal horizons and presidential election forecasts. American Politics Quarterly 24 (1996) 492-505
7. Wlezien C., and Erikson R.S. The timeline of presidential election campaigns. Journal of Politics 64 (2002) 969-993
8. Wlezien C., and Erikson R.S. The fundamentals, the polls, and the presidential vote. Political Science and Politics 37 (2004) 747-751