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Volumn 136, Issue 4, 2008, Pages 1505-1510

Proper scores for probability forecasts can never be equitable

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

COMPUTER NETWORKS; FORECASTING; PROBABILITY; STATISTICS;

EID: 42549131599     PISSN: 00270644     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/2007MWR2194.1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (21)

References (17)
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  • 2
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    • in press
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  • 3
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    • Gandin, L.S.1    Murphy, A.H.2
  • 4
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    • Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation
    • Gneiting, T., and A. E. Raftery, 2007: Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation. J. Amer. Stat. Assoc., 102, 359-378.
    • (2007) J. Amer. Stat. Assoc , vol.102 , pp. 359-378
    • Gneiting, T.1    Raftery, A.E.2
  • 5
    • 84979127582 scopus 로고
    • Assessment of long-range forecasts
    • Jolliffe, I. T., and J. F. Foord, 1975: Assessment of long-range forecasts. Weather, 30, 172-181.
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    • Jolliffe, I.T.1    Foord, J.F.2
  • 7
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    • Mason, I. B., 2003: Binary events. Forecast Verification: A Practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science, I. T. Jolliffe and D. B. Stephenson, E.ds., John Wiley and Sons, 37-76.
    • Mason, I. B., 2003: Binary events. Forecast Verification: A Practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science, I. T. Jolliffe and D. B. Stephenson, E.ds., John Wiley and Sons, 37-76.
  • 8
    • 3943102654 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On using "climatology" as a reference strategy in the Brier and ranked probability skill scores
    • Mason, S. J., 2004: On using "climatology" as a reference strategy in the Brier and ranked probability skill scores. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 1891-1895.
    • (2004) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.132 , pp. 1891-1895
    • Mason, S.J.1
  • 9
    • 20544460690 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A debiased ranked probability skill score to evaluate probabilistic ensemble forecasts with small ensemble sizes
    • Müller, W. A., C. Appenzeller, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, and M. A. Liniger, 2005: A debiased ranked probability skill score to evaluate probabilistic ensemble forecasts with small ensemble sizes. J. Climate, 18, 1513-1523.
    • (2005) J. Climate , vol.18 , pp. 1513-1523
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  • 10
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  • 11
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    • What is a good forecast? An essay on the nature of goodness in weather forecasting
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  • 13
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  • 16
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    • The discrete Brier and ranked probability skill scores
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  • 17
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* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.