메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 28, Issue 4, 2008, Pages 465-477

Non-linearity in statistical downscaling: Does it bring an improvement for daily temperature in Europe?

Author keywords

Classifications; Daily temperature; Europe; Neural networks; Non linearity; Statistical downscaling

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; LINEAR REGRESSION; NEURAL NETWORKS; PRINCIPAL COMPONENT ANALYSIS; STATISTICS;

EID: 41449104988     PISSN: 08998418     EISSN: 10970088     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/joc.1545     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (37)

References (53)
  • 1
    • 0002041980 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Northern Hemisphere gross circulation types. Climatic change and temperature distribution
    • Bartzokas A, Metaxas DA. 1996. Northern Hemisphere gross circulation types. Climatic change and temperature distribution. Meteorologische Zeitschrift 5: 99-109.
    • (1996) Meteorologische Zeitschrift , vol.5 , pp. 99-109
    • Bartzokas, A.1    Metaxas, D.A.2
  • 2
    • 0032854442 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Application of non-hierarchically clustered circulation components to surface weather conditions: Lake Superior basin winter temperatures
    • Brinkmann WAR. 1999. Application of non-hierarchically clustered circulation components to surface weather conditions: Lake Superior basin winter temperatures. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 63: 41-56.
    • (1999) Theoretical and Applied Climatology , vol.63 , pp. 41-56
    • Brinkmann, W.A.R.1
  • 3
    • 1842790787 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • North Atlantic winter climate regimes: Spatial asymmetry, stationarity with time, and oceanic forcing
    • Cassou C, Terray L, Hurrell JW, Deser C. 2004. North Atlantic winter climate regimes: Spatial asymmetry, stationarity with time, and oceanic forcing. Journal of Climate 17: 1055-1068.
    • (2004) Journal of Climate , vol.17 , pp. 1055-1068
    • Cassou, C.1    Terray, L.2    Hurrell, J.W.3    Deser, C.4
  • 4
    • 0031396070 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Downscaling large-scale circulation to local winter rainfall in north-eastern Mexico
    • Cavazos T. 1997. Downscaling large-scale circulation to local winter rainfall in north-eastern Mexico. International Journal of Climatology 17: 1069-1082.
    • (1997) International Journal of Climatology , vol.17 , pp. 1069-1082
    • Cavazos, T.1
  • 5
    • 0032875821 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Large-scale circulation anomalies conducive to extreme precipitation events and derivation of daily rainfall in northeastern Mexico and southeastern Texas
    • Cavazos T. 1999. Large-scale circulation anomalies conducive to extreme precipitation events and derivation of daily rainfall in northeastern Mexico and southeastern Texas. Journal of Climate 12: 1506-1523.
    • (1999) Journal of Climate , vol.12 , pp. 1506-1523
    • Cavazos, T.1
  • 6
    • 0033939783 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using self-organizing maps to investigate extreme climate events: An application to wintertime precipitation in the Balkans
    • Cavazos T. 2000. Using self-organizing maps to investigate extreme climate events: An application to wintertime precipitation in the Balkans. Journal of Climate 13: 1718-1732.
    • (2000) Journal of Climate , vol.13 , pp. 1718-1732
    • Cavazos, T.1
  • 7
    • 0031452687 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Surface pressure patterns during the year over southern South America
    • Compagnucci RH, Salles MA. 1997. Surface pressure patterns during the year over southern South America. International Journal of Climatology 17: 635-653.
    • (1997) International Journal of Climatology , vol.17 , pp. 635-653
    • Compagnucci, R.H.1    Salles, M.A.2
  • 8
    • 0031944625 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 2 precipitation changes for the Susquehanna basin: Down-scaling from the GENESIS general circulation model
    • 2 precipitation changes for the Susquehanna basin: Down-scaling from the GENESIS general circulation model. International Journal of Climatology 18: 65-76.
    • (1998) International Journal of Climatology , vol.18 , pp. 65-76
    • Crane, R.G.1    Hewitson, B.C.2
  • 9
    • 0033039975 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Development of regional climate scenarios using a downscaling approach
    • Easterling DR. 1999. Development of regional climate scenarios using a downscaling approach. Climatic Change 41: 615-634.
    • (1999) Climatic Change , vol.41 , pp. 615-634
    • Easterling, D.R.1
  • 10
    • 0031399190 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Downscaling climate model outputs into local and regional weather elements by classification and regression
    • Enke W, Spekat A. 1997. Downscaling climate model outputs into local and regional weather elements by classification and regression. Climate Research 8: 195-207.
    • (1997) Climate Research , vol.8 , pp. 195-207
    • Enke, W.1    Spekat, A.2
  • 12
    • 0032146239 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Artificial networks (the multilayer perceptron)-a review of applications in the atmospheric sciences
    • Gardner MW, Dorling SR. 1998. Artificial networks (the multilayer perceptron)-a review of applications in the atmospheric sciences. Atmospheric Environment 32: 2627-2636.
    • (1998) Atmospheric Environment , vol.32 , pp. 2627-2636
    • Gardner, M.W.1    Dorling, S.R.2
  • 13
    • 0029479393 scopus 로고
    • On the application of cluster analysis to growing season precipitation data in North America east of the Rockies
    • Gong X, Richman MB. 1995. On the application of cluster analysis to growing season precipitation data in North America east of the Rockies. Journal of Climate 8: 897-931.
    • (1995) Journal of Climate , vol.8 , pp. 897-931
    • Gong, X.1    Richman, M.B.2
  • 14
    • 0037112379 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Links between circulation and changes in the characteristics of Iberian rainfall
    • Goodess CM, Jones PD. 2002. Links between circulation and changes in the characteristics of Iberian rainfall. International Journal of Climatology 22: 1593-1615.
    • (2002) International Journal of Climatology , vol.22 , pp. 1593-1615
    • Goodess, C.M.1    Jones, P.D.2
  • 15
    • 0027042223 scopus 로고
    • Large scale atmospheric controls on local precipitation in central Mexico
    • Hewitson BC, Crane RG. 1992. Large scale atmospheric controls on local precipitation in central Mexico. Geophysical Reserarch Letters 19: 1835-1838.
    • (1992) Geophysical Reserarch Letters , vol.19 , pp. 1835-1838
    • Hewitson, B.C.1    Crane, R.G.2
  • 16
    • 0032466364 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Applying neural network models to prediction and data analysis in meteorology and oceanography
    • Hsieh WW, Tang B. 1998. Applying neural network models to prediction and data analysis in meteorology and oceanography. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 79: 1855-1870.
    • (1998) Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society , vol.79 , pp. 1855-1870
    • Hsieh, W.W.1    Tang, B.2
  • 17
    • 0030553565 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Properties of the circulation classification scheme based on the rotated principal component analysis
    • Huth R. 1996a. Properties of the circulation classification scheme based on the rotated principal component analysis. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 59: 217-233.
    • (1996) Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics , vol.59 , pp. 217-233
    • Huth, R.1
  • 18
    • 0030432718 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An intercomparison of computer-assisted circulation classification methods
    • Huth R. 1996b. An intercomparison of computer-assisted circulation classification methods. International Journal of Climatology 16: 893-922.
    • (1996) International Journal of Climatology , vol.16 , pp. 893-922
    • Huth, R.1
  • 19
    • 0031177664 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Continental-scale circulation in the UKHI GCM
    • Huth R. 1997. Continental-scale circulation in the UKHI GCM. Journal of Climate 10: 1545-1561.
    • (1997) Journal of Climate , vol.10 , pp. 1545-1561
    • Huth, R.1
  • 20
    • 0033607106 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical downscaling in central Europe: Evaluation of methods and potential predictors
    • Huth R. 1999. Statistical downscaling in central Europe: evaluation of methods and potential predictors. Climate Research 13: 91-101.
    • (1999) Climate Research , vol.13 , pp. 91-101
    • Huth, R.1
  • 21
    • 0036648370 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical downscaling of daily temperature in central Europe
    • Huth R. 2002. Statistical downscaling of daily temperature in central Europe. Journal of Climate 15: 1731-1742.
    • (2002) Journal of Climate , vol.15 , pp. 1731-1742
    • Huth, R.1
  • 22
    • 0035888557 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Time structure of observed, GCM-simulated, downscaled, and stochastically generated daily temperature series
    • Huth R, Kyselý J, Dubrovský M. 2001. Time structure of observed, GCM-simulated, downscaled, and stochastically generated daily temperature series. Journal of Climate 14: 4047-4061.
    • (2001) Journal of Climate , vol.14 , pp. 4047-4061
    • Huth, R.1    Kyselý, J.2    Dubrovský, M.3
  • 23
    • 0038082119 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulation of surface air temperature by GCMs, statistical downscaling and weather generator: Higher-order statistical moments
    • Huth R, Kyselý J, Dubrovský M. 2003. Simulation of surface air temperature by GCMs, statistical downscaling and weather generator: higher-order statistical moments. Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica 47: 203-216.
    • (2003) Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica , vol.47 , pp. 203-216
    • Huth, R.1    Kyselý, J.2    Dubrovský, M.3
  • 24
    • 0037303878 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Atmospheric circulation variability in the North-Atlantic-European area since the mid-seventeenth century
    • Jacobeit J, Wanner H, Luterbacher J, Beck C, Philipp A, Sturm K. 2003. Atmospheric circulation variability in the North-Atlantic-European area since the mid-seventeenth century. Climate Dynamics 20: 341-352.
    • (2003) Climate Dynamics , vol.20 , pp. 341-352
    • Jacobeit, J.1    Wanner, H.2    Luterbacher, J.3    Beck, C.4    Philipp, A.5    Sturm, K.6
  • 26
    • 0001063092 scopus 로고
    • A method of relating general circulation model simulated climate to the observed local climate. Part I: Seasonal statistics
    • Karl TR, Wang WC, Schlesinger ME, Knight RW, Portman D. 1990. A method of relating general circulation model simulated climate to the observed local climate. Part I: Seasonal statistics. Journal of Climate 3: 1053-1079.
    • (1990) Journal of Climate , vol.3 , pp. 1053-1079
    • Karl, T.R.1    Wang, W.C.2    Schlesinger, M.E.3    Knight, R.W.4    Portman, D.5
  • 27
    • 0020871750 scopus 로고
    • A comparison of pointwise screening and empirical orthogonal functions in specifying monthly surface temperature from 700 mb data
    • Klein WH, Walsh JE. 1983. A comparison of pointwise screening and empirical orthogonal functions in specifying monthly surface temperature from 700 mb data. Monthly Weather Review 111: 669-673.
    • (1983) Monthly Weather Review , vol.111 , pp. 669-673
    • Klein, W.H.1    Walsh, J.E.2
  • 28
    • 0036802698 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Klein Tank AMG, Wijngaard JB, Könné GP, Böohm R, Demarée G, Gocheva A, Mileta M, Pashiardis S, Hejkrlik L, Kern-Hansen C, Heino R, Bessemoulin P, Müller-Westermeier G, Tzanakou M, Szalai S, Pálsdóttir T, Fitzgerald D, Rubin S, Capaldo M, Maugeri M, Leitass A, Bukantis A, Aberfield R, Engelen AFV van, Forland E, Mietus M, Coehlo F, Mares C, Razuvaev V, Nieplova E, Cegnar T, Antonio López J, Dahlström B, Moberg A, Kirchhofer W, Ceylan A, Pachaliuk O, Alexander LV, Petrovic P. 2002. Daily dataset of 20th-century surface air temperature and precipitation series for the European Climate Assessment. International Journal of Climatology 22: 1441-1453.
    • Klein Tank AMG, Wijngaard JB, Könné GP, Böohm R, Demarée G, Gocheva A, Mileta M, Pashiardis S, Hejkrlik L, Kern-Hansen C, Heino R, Bessemoulin P, Müller-Westermeier G, Tzanakou M, Szalai S, Pálsdóttir T, Fitzgerald D, Rubin S, Capaldo M, Maugeri M, Leitass A, Bukantis A, Aberfield R, Engelen AFV van, Forland E, Mietus M, Coehlo F, Mares C, Razuvaev V, Nieplova E, Cegnar T, Antonio López J, Dahlström B, Moberg A, Kirchhofer W, Ceylan A, Pachaliuk O, Alexander LV, Petrovic P. 2002. Daily dataset of 20th-century surface air temperature and precipitation series for the European Climate Assessment. International Journal of Climatology 22: 1441-1453.
  • 29
    • 0034634184 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Application of tree-structured regression for regional precipitation prediction using general circulation model output
    • Li X, Sailor D. 2000. Application of tree-structured regression for regional precipitation prediction using general circulation model output. Climate Research 16: 17-30.
    • (2000) Climate Research , vol.16 , pp. 17-30
    • Li, X.1    Sailor, D.2
  • 30
  • 31
    • 0034030646 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Synoptic controls on upper Colorado river basin snowfall
    • McGinnis DL. 2000. Synoptic controls on upper Colorado river basin snowfall. International Journal of Climatology 20: 131-149.
    • (2000) International Journal of Climatology , vol.20 , pp. 131-149
    • McGinnis, D.L.1
  • 32
    • 0001495043 scopus 로고
    • Cross-validation in statistical climate forecast models
    • Michaelsen J. 1987. Cross-validation in statistical climate forecast models. Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology 26: 1589-1600.
    • (1987) Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology , vol.26 , pp. 1589-1600
    • Michaelsen, J.1
  • 33
    • 30744440632 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing the performance of three nonlinear methods of time series analysis for prediction and downscaling of European daily temperatures
    • Mikšovský J, Raidl A. 2005. Testing the performance of three nonlinear methods of time series analysis for prediction and downscaling of European daily temperatures. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 12: 979-991.
    • (2005) Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics , vol.12 , pp. 979-991
    • Mikšovský, J.1    Raidl, A.2
  • 34
    • 0035443392 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • New Zealand climate change information derived by multivariate statistical and artificial neural network approaches
    • Mpelasoka FS, Mullan AR, Heerdegen RG. 2001. New Zealand climate change information derived by multivariate statistical and artificial neural network approaches. International Journal of Climatology 21: 1415-1433.
    • (2001) International Journal of Climatology , vol.21 , pp. 1415-1433
    • Mpelasoka, F.S.1    Mullan, A.R.2    Heerdegen, R.G.3
  • 36
    • 0024224131 scopus 로고
    • Practical considerations in the use of rotated principal component analysis (RPCA) in diagnostic studies of upper-air height fields
    • O'Lenic EA, Livezey RE. 1988. Practical considerations in the use of rotated principal component analysis (RPCA) in diagnostic studies of upper-air height fields. Monthly Weather Review 116: 1682-1689.
    • (1988) Monthly Weather Review , vol.116 , pp. 1682-1689
    • O'Lenic, E.A.1    Livezey, R.E.2
  • 37
    • 0034866359 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical atmospheric downscaling of short-term extreme rainfall by neural networks
    • Olsson J, Uvo CB, Jinno K. 2001. Statistical atmospheric downscaling of short-term extreme rainfall by neural networks. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth B 26: 695-700.
    • (2001) Physics and Chemistry of the Earth B , vol.26 , pp. 695-700
    • Olsson, J.1    Uvo, C.B.2    Jinno, K.3
  • 38
    • 0022891638 scopus 로고
    • Rotation of principal components
    • Richman MB. 1986. Rotation of principal components. Journal of Climatology 6: 293-335.
    • (1986) Journal of Climatology , vol.6 , pp. 293-335
    • Richman, M.B.1
  • 39
    • 0033563970 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A classification of the atmospheric circulation patterns producing significant daily rainfall in the Spanish Mediterranean area
    • Romero R, Sumner G, Ramis C, Genovés A. 1999. A classification of the atmospheric circulation patterns producing significant daily rainfall in the Spanish Mediterranean area. International Journal of Climatology 19: 765-785.
    • (1999) International Journal of Climatology , vol.19 , pp. 765-785
    • Romero, R.1    Sumner, G.2    Ramis, C.3    Genovés, A.4
  • 41
    • 0000344344 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Generating regional precipitation from observed and GCM synoptic-scale pressure fields, southern Alberta, Canada
    • Saunders IR, Byrne JM. 1996. Generating regional precipitation from observed and GCM synoptic-scale pressure fields, southern Alberta, Canada. Climate Research 6: 237-249.
    • (1996) Climate Research , vol.6 , pp. 237-249
    • Saunders, I.R.1    Byrne, J.M.2
  • 42
    • 0032794425 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using synoptic surface and geopotential height fields for generating grid-scale precipitation
    • Saunders IR, Byrne JM. 1999. Using synoptic surface and geopotential height fields for generating grid-scale precipitation. International Journal of Climatology 19: 1165-1176.
    • (1999) International Journal of Climatology , vol.19 , pp. 1165-1176
    • Saunders, I.R.1    Byrne, J.M.2
  • 43
    • 0035875227 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Downscaling temperature and precipitation: A comparison of regression-based methods and artificial neural networks
    • Schoof JT, Pryor SC. 2001. Downscaling temperature and precipitation: A comparison of regression-based methods and artificial neural networks. International Journal of Climatology 21: 773-790.
    • (2001) International Journal of Climatology , vol.21 , pp. 773-790
    • Schoof, J.T.1    Pryor, S.C.2
  • 44
    • 0344172178 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Local estimates of global climate change: A statistical downscaling approach
    • Solman SA, Nuñez MN. 1999. Local estimates of global climate change: A statistical downscaling approach. International Journal of Climatology 19: 835-861.
    • (1999) International Journal of Climatology , vol.19 , pp. 835-861
    • Solman, S.A.1    Nuñez, M.N.2
  • 45
    • 0042942844 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Weather regimes in the South American sector and neighbouring oceans during winter
    • Solman SA, Menéndez CG. 2003. Weather regimes in the South American sector and neighbouring oceans during winter. Climate Dynamics 21: 91-104.
    • (2003) Climate Dynamics , vol.21 , pp. 91-104
    • Solman, S.A.1    Menéndez, C.G.2
  • 46
    • 12344327727 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulation of late-twenty-first-century changes in wintertime atmospheric circulation over Europe due to anthropogenic causes
    • Terray L, Demory M-E, Déqué M, de Coetlogon G, Maisonnave E. 2004. Simulation of late-twenty-first-century changes in wintertime atmospheric circulation over Europe due to anthropogenic causes. Journal of Climate 17: 4630-4635.
    • (2004) Journal of Climate , vol.17 , pp. 4630-4635
    • Terray, L.1    Demory, M.-E.2    Déqué, M.3    de Coetlogon, G.4    Maisonnave, E.5
  • 48
    • 0033533301 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulation of daily temperatures for climate change scenarios over Portugal: A neural network model approach
    • Trigo RM, Palutikof JP. 1999. Simulation of daily temperatures for climate change scenarios over Portugal: a neural network model approach. Climate Research 13: 45-59.
    • (1999) Climate Research , vol.13 , pp. 45-59
    • Trigo, R.M.1    Palutikof, J.P.2
  • 49
    • 0035673174 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Precipitation scenarios over Iberia: A comparison between direct GCM output and different downscaling techniques
    • Trigo RM, Palutikof JP. 2001. Precipitation scenarios over Iberia: A comparison between direct GCM output and different downscaling techniques. Journal of Climate 14: 4422-4446.
    • (2001) Journal of Climate , vol.14 , pp. 4422-4446
    • Trigo, R.M.1    Palutikof, J.P.2
  • 50
    • 0033507337 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the use of "inflation" in statistical downscaling
    • von Storch H. 1999. On the use of "inflation" in statistical downscaling. Journal of Climate 12: 3505-3506.
    • (1999) Journal of Climate , vol.12 , pp. 3505-3506
    • von Storch, H.1
  • 51
    • 0344038754 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Linear versus nonlinear techniques in downscaling
    • Weichert A, Bürger G. 1998. Linear versus nonlinear techniques in downscaling. Climate Research 10: 83-93.
    • (1998) Climate Research , vol.10 , pp. 83-93
    • Weichert, A.1    Bürger, G.2
  • 53
    • 0033172665 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The analog method as a simple statistical downscaling technique: Comparison with more complicated methods
    • Zorita E, von Storch H. 1999. The analog method as a simple statistical downscaling technique: Comparison with more complicated methods. Journal of Climate 12: 2474-2489.
    • (1999) Journal of Climate , vol.12 , pp. 2474-2489
    • Zorita, E.1    von Storch, H.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.