Modeling factions for 'effects based operations', part II: Behavioral game theory

Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory

Volumn 14, Issue 2, 2008, Pages 120-155

  Silverman, Barry G ^a   Bharathy, Gnana ^a   Nye, Benjamin ^a   Smith, Tony ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA   (United States)

Author keywords

Agent based models; Game theory; Policy analysis tools; Political simulation; Validation

Indexed keywords

AGENT-BASED MODEL; BEHAVIORAL GAME THEORY; EFFECTS-BASED OPERATIONS; INTELLIGENCE ANALYSTS; NETWORK-CENTRIC WARFARE; POLICY ANALYSIS; POLITICAL SIMULATION; VALIDATION;

EXPERIMENTS; SOCIAL SCIENCES;

GAME THEORY;

EID: 41349097898     PISSN: 1381298X     EISSN: 15729346     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10588-008-9023-5     Document Type: Article

References (26)

1. Armstrong JS (2002) Assessing game theory, role playing and unaided judgment. Int J Forecast 18:345-352
2. Axelrod R, Bennett S (1993) A landscape theory of aggregation, Br J Political Sci
3. Bharathy GK (2006) Agent based human behavior modeling: A knowledge engineering based systems methodology for integrating of social science frameworks for modeling agents with cognition, personality & culture. Doctoral dissertation, University of Pennsylvania
4. Camerer C (2003) Behavioral game theory. Princeton University Press, Princeton
5. Collier P, Hoeffler A (2001) Greed and grievance in civil war. World Bank, Washington. Available at www.worldbank.org/research/conflict/ papers/greedandgrievance.htm
6. Dutta PK (2000) Strategies and games: Theory and practice. MIT Press, Cambridge
7. Epstein J, Steinbruner JD, Parker MT (2001) Modeling civil violence: An agent-based computational approach. In: Proceedings of the national academy of sciences. Brookings, Washington
8. Evans A (2006) Understanding madrasahs. Foreign Affairs, v. 85, n. 1, Jan/Feb
9. Giocoli N (2003) Modeling rational agents: From interwar economics to early modern game theory. Elgar Publishing, London
10. Green KC (2002) Forecasting decisions in conflict situations: A comparison of game theory, role playing and unaided judgment. Int J Forecast 18:321-344
11. Heuer RJ Jr (1999) Psychology of intelligence analysis. Center for the Study of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency, Washington
12. Hirschman AO (1970) Exit, voice, and loyalty. Harvard University Press, Cambridge
13. Kaneko M (1982). Some remarks on the folk theorem in game theory. Math Soc Sci 3(3)
14. McCrabb MJ, Caroli JA (2002) Behavioral modeling and wargaming for effects-based operations. In: Proceedings of the military operations research society annual meeting. MORS, Washington
15. Macy MW, Flache A (2002) Learning dynamics in social dilemmas. Proc Natl Acad Sci 99(3):7229-7236
16. Parks CD, Rumble AC (2001) Elements of reciprocity and social value orientation. Pers Soc Psychol 27(10):1301-1309
17. Pruitt DG, Kimmel MJ (1977) Twenty years of experimental gaming: critique, synthesis and suggestions for the future. Annu Rev Psychol 28:363-392.
18. Sageman M (2005) Understanding terror networks. University of Pennsylvania Press, Philadelphia
19. Silverman BG, Bharathy G (2005) Modeling the personality & cognition of leaders. In: 14th conference on behavioral representations in modeling and simulation, SISO, May 2005. www.sisostds.org
20. Silverman BG, Rees R et al. (2005) Athena's prism: A diplomatic strategy role playing game for generating ideas and exploring alternatives. In: Proceedings of the international conference on intelligence analysis. Mitre, MacLean
21. Silverman BG, Johns M, Cornwell J, O'Brien K (2006a) Human behavior models for agents in simulators and games, part I: Enabling science with PMFserv. Presence 15(2)
22. Silverman BG, O'Brien K, Cornwell J (2006b). Human behavior models for ageGts in simulators and games: Part II: gamebot engineering with PMFserv. Presence 15(2)
23. Silverman BG, Bharathy G, Nye B (2007a) Gaming and simulating ethnopolitical conflicts. In: Proceedings of the Descartes conference on mathematical modeling for counter-terrorism (DCMMC). Springer, New York
24. Silverman BG, Bharathy GK, Johns, et al. (2007b) Socio-cultural games for training and analysis (submitted for publication). Available at: www.seas.upenn.edu/~barryg/CultureGames.pdf
25. Smith EA Jr (2002) Effects based operations: Applying network-centric warfare in peace, crisis, and war. Department of Defense Command and Control Research Program, Washington
26. Wood EJ (2003) Distributional settlements and civil war resolution: stakes, expectations, and optimal agreements. J Confl Resol (under revision for re-submission)