HIV incidence in 3 years of follow-up of a Zimbabwe cohort - 1998-2000 to 2001-03: Contributions of proximate and underlying determinants to transmission

International Journal of Epidemiology

Volumn 37, Issue 1, 2008, Pages 88-105

  Lopman, Ben ^a   Nyamukapa, Constance ^a,b   Mushati, Phyllis ^b   Mupambireyi, Zivai ^b   Mason, Peter ^b   Garnett, Geoff P ^a   Gregson, Simon ^a,b  

^a IMPERIAL COLLEGE LONDON   (United Kingdom)

^b BIOMEDICAL RESEARCH AND TRAINING INSTITUTE   (Zimbabwe)

Author keywords

Africa; Epidemiological methods; HIV AIDS; Incidence; Population attributable fraction; Zimbabwe

Indexed keywords

ACQUIRED IMMUNE DEFICIENCY SYNDROME; COHORT ANALYSIS; DISEASE INCIDENCE; DISEASE PREVALENCE; DISEASE TRANSMISSION; EPIDEMIOLOGY; HUMAN IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUS; INFECTIOUS DISEASE; RISK FACTOR;

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; ARTICLE; COHORT ANALYSIS; DEMOGRAPHY; FEMALE; FOLLOW UP; HIGH RISK BEHAVIOR; HUMAN; HUMAN IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUS INFECTION; INFECTION RISK; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; MORBIDITY; POPULATION RESEARCH; PRIORITY JOURNAL; PROBABILITY; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK FACTOR; SEX DIFFERENCE; SEXUAL BEHAVIOR; SEXUALLY TRANSMITTED DISEASE; SOCIAL ASPECT; TREND STUDY; VIRUS TRANSMISSION; ZIMBABWE;

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; AGE DISTRIBUTION; ATTITUDE TO HEALTH; COHORT STUDIES; CONFIDENCE INTERVALS; DEVELOPING COUNTRIES; DISEASE TRANSMISSION, HORIZONTAL; FEMALE; FOLLOW-UP STUDIES; HIV INFECTIONS; HIV SERONEGATIVITY; HUMANS; INCIDENCE; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; POISSON DISTRIBUTION; POPULATION SURVEILLANCE; PROBABILITY; RETROSPECTIVE STUDIES; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK-TAKING; SEX DISTRIBUTION; SEXUAL PARTNERS; ZIMBABWE;

AFRICA; SOUTHERN AFRICA; SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA; ZIMBABWE;

EID: 39049114255     PISSN: 03005771     EISSN: 14643685     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1093/ije/dym255     Document Type: Article

References (29)

1. Wawer MJ, Sewankambo NK, Berkley S et al. Incidence of HIV-1 infection in a rural region of Uganda. Br Med J 1994;308 171-73.
2. Senkoro KP, Boerma JT, Klokke AH et al. HIV incidence and HIV-associated mortality in a cohort of factory workers and their spouses in Tanzania, 1991 through 1996. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 2000;23:194-202.
3. Mbizvo MT, Latif AS, Machekano R et al. HIV seroconversion among factory workers in Harare: Who is getting newly infected? Cent Afr J Med 1997;43:135-39.
4. McFarland W, Mvere D, Katzenstein D. Risk factors for prevalent and incident HIV infection in a cohort of volunteer blood donors in Harare, Zimbabwe: Implications for blood safety. Aids 1997;11(Suppl 1) S97-102.
5. UNAIDS. Report on the global AIDS epidemic. Geneva: Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS; 2006.
6. Sherr L, Lopman B, Kakowa M et al. Voluntary counselling and testing: Uptake, impact on sexual behaviour, and HIV incidence in a rural Zimbabwean cohort. Aids 2007;21:851-60.
7. UNAIDS. Evidence for HIV Decline in Zimbabwe: A Comprehensive Review of the Epidemiological Data. Geneva, Switzerland; 2005.
8. Gregson S, Garnett GP, Nyamukapa CA et al. HIV decline associated with behavior change in eastern Zimbabwe [see comment]. Science 2006;311:664-66.
9. Central Statistical Office and Macro International Inc. Zimbabwe Demographic and Health Survey 2005-2006: Preliminary Report. Harare, Zimbabwe and Calverton, Maryland USA; 2006.
10. Wasserheit JN, Aral SO. The dynamic topology of sexually transmitted disease epidemics: Implications for prevention strategies. J Infect Dis 1996;174(Suppl 2):S201-13.
11. Boerma JT, Weir SS. Integrating demographic and epidemiological approaches to research on HIV/AIDS: The proximate-determinants framework. J Infect Dis 2005;191(Suppl 1):S61-67.
12. Poundstone KE, Strathdee SA, Celentano DD. The social epidemiology of human immunodeficiency virus/acquired immunodeficiency syndrome. Epidemiol Rev 2004;26: 22-35.
13. Ray CS, Mason PR, Smith H, Rogers L, Tobaiwa O, Katzenstein DA. An evaluation of dipstick-dot immuno-assay in the detection of antibodies to HIV-1 and 2 in Zimbabwe. Trop Med Int Health 1997;2:83-88.
14. Lewis JJ, Donnelly CA, Mare P, Mupambireyi Z, Garnett GP, Gregson S. Evaluating the proximate determinants framework for HIV infection in rural Zimbabwe. Sex Transm Infect 2007;83(Suppl 1):i61-9.
15. Grassly NC, Garnett GP, Schwardander B, Gregson S, Anderson RM. The effectiveness of HIV preventtion and the epidemiological context. Bull World Health Organ 2001;79:1121-32.
16. Halloran ME, Struchiner CJ. Causal inference in infectious diseases. Epidemiology 1995;6:142-51.
17. Mundandi C, Vissers D, Voeten H, Habbema D, Gregson S. No difference in HIV incidence and sexual behaviourl between out-migrants and residents in rural Manicaland, Zimbabwe. Trop Med Int Health 2006;11 705-11.
18. Coffee MP, Garnett GP, Mlilo M, Voeten HACM, Chandiwana S, Gregson S. Patterns of movement and risk of HIV infection in rural Zimbabwe. J Infect Dis 2005;191:S159-67.
19. Bongaarts J. Framework for analyzing proximate determinants of fertility. Population Dev Rev 1978;4:105-32.
20. Mosley WH, Chen LC. An analytical framework for the study of child survival in developing countries. 1984. Bull World Health Organ 2003;81:140-45.
21. Hargreaves JR, Boler T. Girl power: The impact of girls' education on HIV and sexual behaviour: Action Aid: 2006.
22. Hargreaves JR, Glynn JR. Educational attainment and HIV-1 infection in developing countries: A systematic review. Trop Med Int Health 2002;7:489-98.
23. Quigley MA, Morgan D, Malamba SS et al. Case-control study of risk factors for incident HIV infection in rural Uganda. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 2000;23:418-25.
24. Borgdorff MW, Barongo LR, Klokke AH et al. HIV-1 incidence and HIV-1 associated mortality in a cohort of urban factory workers in Tanzania. Genitourin Med 1995;71:212-25.
25. Mekonnen Y, Sanders E, Messele T et al. Prevalence and incidence of, and risk factors for, HIV-1 infection among factory workers in Ethiopia, 1997-2001. J Health Popul Nutr 2005;23:358-68.
26. Kiwanuka N, Gray RH, Serwadda D et al. The incidence of HIV-1 associated with injections and transfusions in a prospective cohort, Rakai, Uganda. Aids 2004;18:342-44.
27. Gray RH, Kiwanuka N, Quinn TC et al. Male circumcision and HIV acquisition and transmission: Cohort studies in Rakai, Uganda. Rakai Project Team. Aids 2000;14:2371-81.
28. Auvert B, Taljaard D, Lagarde E, Sobngwi-Tambekou J, Sitta F, Puren A. Randomized, controlled intervention trial of male circumcision for reduction of HIV infection risk: The ANRS 1265 Trial. PLoS Med 2005;2:e298.
29. Rottingen JA, Cameron DW, Garnett GP. A systematic review of the epidemiologic interactions between classic sexually transmitted diseases and HIV - How much really is known? Sexually Transmitted Dis 2001;28:579-97.