An analysis of short-term responses to threats of terrorism

Management Science

Volumn 53, Issue 6, 2007, Pages 865-880

  Pinker, Edieal J ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF ROCHESTER   (United States)

Author keywords

Decision analysis; Defense; Defense systems; Government; Military; Risk

Indexed keywords

DEFENSE SYSTEMS; PUBLIC WARNINGS;

DECISION MAKING; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; OPTIMIZATION; PERSONNEL; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

SECURITY SYSTEMS;

EID: 38549176250     PISSN: 00251909     EISSN: 15265501     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.1060.0665     Document Type: Article

References (15)

1. Abt, C. C. 2003. The Economic Impact of Nuclear Terrorist Attacks on Freight Transport Systems in an Age of Seaport Vulnerability - Executive Summary. Abt Associates, Cambridge, MA.
2. Brillouin, L. 1962. Science and Information Theory, 2nd ed. Academic Press, New York.
3. Dudkevitch, M. 2004. Official: Israel facing 57 daily terror attack warnings. The Jerusalem Post (July 22).
4. Enders, W., T. Sandler. 1993. The effectiveness of antiterrorism policies: A vector-autoregression intervention analysis. Amer. Political Sci. Rev. 87 829-844.
5. Enders, W., T. Sandler. 2004. What do we know about the substitution effect in transnational terrorism? A. Silke, ed. Research on Terrorism: Trends, Achievements, and Failures. Frank Cass Publishers, London, UK, 119-137.
6. Green, K. C. 2002. Forecasting decisions in conflict situations: A comparison of game theory, role-playing, and unaided judgement. Internat. J. Forecasting 18 321-344.
7. Green, K. C., J. S. Armstrong. 2004. Value of expertise for forecasting decisions in conflicts. Working Paper 27/04, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, Monash University, Clayton, Australia.
8. Keohane, N. O., R. J. Zeckhauser. 2003. The ecology of terror defense. J. Risk Uncertainty 26(2) 201-229.
9. Lugar, R. 2005. The Lugar Survey on Proliferation Threats and Responses. U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Washington, D.C.
10. Mileti, D. S., L. Peek. 2000. The social psychology of public response to warnings of a nuclear power plant accident. J. Hazardous Materials 75 181-194.
11. Myre, G. 2004. With about 50 warnings daily, Israel handles most quietly. The New York Times (August 6) A9.
12. New York Times. 2004. Editorial: The Terror Alerts. The New York Times (August 5) A22.
13. Pate-Cornell, M. E. 1986. Warning systems in risk management. Risk Management 6(2) 223-234.
14. Pate-Cornell, M. E., C. P. Benito-Claudio. 1984. Warning systems: Response models and optimization. Proc. Soc. for Risk Anal. Internat. Workshop on Uncertainty in Risk Assessment, Risk Management, and Decision Making, Knoxville, TN, 457-468.
15. Risk Management Solutions. 2005. Managing terrorism risk, http://www.rms.com/publications/terrorism_risk_modeling.pdf.