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There is resonance in the concept of the effective plan of application with the views expressed by some consulting engineer practitioners at the Flood Risk Management Research Consortium's Risk and Uncertainty Practitioners' Workshop held at Lancaster University in January 2006. At this meeting, the professionals' suggestion was that they would be happy to make some estimates of uncertainty in flood hazard and flood risk if they were provided with some recipes to use and preferably recipes that would not be much more expensive to apply than existing procedures, However, unless more professional leadership was evident, they doubted that they would be able to provide estimates of uncertainty to clients, unless clients demanded them. This suggested an initial unwillingness to embrace ownership of uncertainty, or at least a reluctance to be criticized for going out on a limb and deciding which methods to use
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The concepts in this paper have been developed as a result of interdisciplinary discussions within the UK Flood Risk Management Research Consortium, which is a consortium funded by the UK Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council under grant GR/S76304/01, jointly with NERC, the Joint Defra/EA Flood and Coastal Erosion Risk Management R&D Programme, the Scottish Executive, the Rivers Agency Northern Ireland, and UK Water Industry Research. Keith Beven has also been supported by NERC Long-Term Grant NER/L/S/2001/00658 on Uncertainty in Environmental Modelling. The authors are indebted to the two anonymous referees whose comments improved the conceptual development of the paper
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The concepts in this paper have been developed as a result of interdisciplinary discussions within the UK Flood Risk Management Research Consortium (http://www.floodrisk.org.uk/), which is a consortium funded by the UK Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council under grant GR/S76304/01, jointly with NERC, the Joint Defra/EA Flood and Coastal Erosion Risk Management R&D Programme, the Scottish Executive, the Rivers Agency (Northern Ireland), and UK Water Industry Research. Keith Beven has also been supported by NERC Long-Term Grant NER/L/S/2001/00658 on Uncertainty in Environmental Modelling. The authors are indebted to the two anonymous referees whose comments improved the conceptual development of the paper.
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5 December, Accepted for publication 25 April
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First submitted 5 December 2006. Accepted for publication 25 April 2007.
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First submitted1
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