Experiences with the NUSAP system for multidimensional uncertainty assessment

Water Science and Technology

Volumn 52, Issue 6, 2005, Pages 133-144

  van der Sluijs, J ^a   Craye, Matthieu ^b   Funtowicz, Silvio ^b   Kloprogge, P ^a   Ravetz, Jerry ^c   Risbey, James ^d  

^a UTRECHT UNIVERSITY   (Netherlands)

^b JOINT RESEARCH CENTRE   (Italy)

^c Research Method Consultancy   (United Kingdom)

^d MONASH UNIVERSITY   (Australia)

Author keywords

Controversy; NUSAP; Pedigree; Problem frames; Uncertainty; Value laden assumptions

Indexed keywords

ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION; EPIDEMIOLOGY; HEALTH RISKS; PUBLIC POLICY; STATISTICAL METHODS;

MULTIDIMENSIONAL UNCERTAINTY ASSESSMENT; PEDIGREE ANALYSIS; PROBLEM FRAMES; VALUE-LADEN ASSUMPTIONS;

ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING;

UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

ANALYTIC METHOD; ARTICLE; ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT; ENVIRONMENTAL PLANNING; LEARNING; PEDIGREE ANALYSIS; QUALITATIVE ANALYSIS; QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS; UNCERTAINTY;

EID: 28244431720     PISSN: 02731223     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.2166/wst.2005.0161     Document Type: Article

References (20)

1. Aelvoet, W., Nelen, V., Schoeters, G., Vanoverloop, J., Vlietinck, R. and Wallijn, E. (1998). Risico op gezondheidsschade bij kinderen van de Neerlandwijk te Wilrijk, Vito-onderzoeksrapport 1998/TOX/R/030, Mol, Belgium.
2. Craye, M., Goorden, L., Vandenabeele, J. and Van Gelder, S. (2001). Milieu en gezondheid in Vlaanderen: naar een adequate dialoog tussen overheid, bevolking en wetenschap, UFSIA-STEM onderzoeksrapport, Antwerpen, Belgium.
3. Craye, M., Funtowicz, S. and Van der Sluijs, J. (2004). A reflexive approach to dealing with uncertainties in environmental health risk science and policy. Int. J. Risk Assessment and Management, 5(2).
4. Ellis, E., Gang Li, R., Zhang Yang, L. and Cheng, X. (2000). Long-term change in village-scale ecosystems in China using landscape and statistical methods. Ecological Applications, 10(4), 1057-1089.
5. Funtowicz, S. and Ravetz, J. (1990). Uncertainty and Quality in Science for Policy, Kluwer, Dordrecht.
6. Funtowicz, S. and Ravetz, J. (1993). Science for the Post-Normal age. Futures, 25(7), 735-755.
7. Grin, J., Graaf van der, H. and Hoppe, R. (1997). Technology Assessment through Interaction - a guide, Rathenau Instiuut, Den Haag, The Netherlands.
8. Keune, H., Goorden, L., Mertens, R. and Loots, I. (2003). Communicatie, Interactie en Reflectie over Biomonitoring Nota Opzet Communicatiestrategie, Lokale contacten en Reflectie. Biomonitoringcampagne, UA-Steunpunt Milieu & Gezondheid, Luik Sociaal en Gezondheidseconomisch Onderzoek, Luik, Belgium.
9. Kloprogge, P., Van der Sluijs, J.P. and Petersen, A. (2005). A method for the analysis of assumptions in assessments applied to two indicators in the fifth Dutch Environmental Outlook, Research report, Department of Science Technology and Society, Utrecht University, Utrecht.
10. Nowotny, H. (1999). The place of people in our knowledge. European Review, 7(2), 247-262.
11. Risbey, J., Van der Sluijs, J. and Ravetz, J. (2001). Protocol for Assessment of Uncertainty and Strength of Emission Data, Report E-2001-10 Department of Science Technology and Society, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands. Available at www.nusap.net.
12. Saltelli, A., Chan, K. and Scott, M. (2000). Sensitivity Analysis, John Wiley & Sons publishers, Probability and Statistics series.
13. Saltelli, A., Tarantola, S., Campolongo, F. and Ratto, M. (2004). Sensitivity Analysis in Practice: A Guide to Assessing Scientific Models, John Wiley & Sons publishers.
14. Toulmin, S.E. (1958). The uses of argument, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
15. Van der Sluijs, J. (1997). Anchoring amid uncertainty; On the management of uncertainties in risk assessment of anthropogenic climate change. PhD thesis, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
16. Van der Sluijs, J. (2002). A way out of the credibility crisis of models used in integrated environmental assessment. Futures, 34, 133-146.
17. 2 emissions scenario, using the NUSAP method, NRP Report 410 200 104, Bilthoven, The Netherlands. Available at www.nusap.net.
18. Van der Sluijs, Y., Risbey, J. and Ravetz, J. (2005). Uncertainty Assessment of VOC emissions from Paint in The Netherlands, Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 105, 229-259.
19. Van Gijlswijk, R., Coenen, P., Pulles, T. and Van der Sluijs, J. (2004). Uncertainty assessment of NOx, SO2 and NH3 emissions in the Netherlands, TNO and Copernicus Institute Research Report R2004/100, Apeldoorn, The Netherlands (www.nusap.net).
20. Von Schomberg, R. (1997). Argumentatie in de context van een wetenschappelijke controverse, Universiteit Twente WMW-publicatie 27, Eburon, Delft.