Modeling the forest transition: Forest scarcity and ecosystem service hypotheses

Ecological Applications

Volumn 17, Issue 7, 2007, Pages 2024-2036

  Satake, Akiko ^a,c   Rudel, Thomas K ^b  

^a PRINCETON UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b RUTGERS UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^c SWISS FEDERAL INSTITUTE OF AQUATIC SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY   (Switzerland)

Author keywords

Catastrophic shift; Decision making; Deforestation; Discount rate; Forest transition; Land use; Poverty trap; Reforestation

Indexed keywords

DECISION MAKING; DEFORESTATION; DISCOUNT RATE; ECOSYSTEM SERVICE; ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION; FOREST PRODUCT; FORESTRY MODELING; INCENTIVE; LAND DEGRADATION; LANDOWNER; POVERTY; REFORESTATION; REGENERATION; SUSTAINABLE FORESTRY;

AGRICULTURE; ARTICLE; ECOSYSTEM; ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION; THEORETICAL MODEL; TREE;

AGRICULTURE; CONSERVATION OF NATURAL RESOURCES; ECOSYSTEM; MODELS, THEORETICAL; TREES;

EID: 37449001171     PISSN: 10510761     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1890/07-0283.1     Document Type: Article

References (57)

1. Antle, J. M., and G. Heidebrink. 1995. Environment and development: theory and international evidence. Economic Development and Cultural Change 43:603-625.
2. Arrow, K., B. Bolin, R. Costanza, P. Dasgupta, C. Folke, C. S. Holling, B. Jansson, S. Levin, K. Mäler, C. Perrings, and D. Pimentel. 1995. Economic growth, carrying capacity, and the environment. Science 268:520-521.
3. Becker, G. S., and C. B. Mulligan. 1997. The endogenous determination of time preference. Quarterly Journal of Economics 112:729-758.
4. Bhattarai, M., and M. Hammig. 2001. Institutions and the environmental Kuznets curve for deforestation: a cross-country analysis for Latin America, Africa and Asia. World Development 29:995-1010.
5. Bierregaard, R. O., T. E. Lovejoy, V. Kapos, A. A. Dos Santos, and R. W. Hutching. 1992. The biological dynamics of tropical rainforest fragments. BioScience 42:859-866.
6. Bruijuzeel, L. A. 2004. Hydrological functions of tropical forests: Not seeing the soil for the trees? Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 104:185-228.
7. Chazdon, R. L. 2003. Tropical forest recovery: legacies of human impact and natural disturbances. Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 6:51-71.
8. Cochrane, M. A., A. Alencar, M. D. Schulze, C. M. Souza, D. C. Nepstad, P. Lafebvre, and E. A. Davidson. 1999. Positive feedbacks in the fire dynamic of closed canopy tropical forests. Science 284:1832-1834.
9. Cochrane, M. A., and M. D. Schulze. 1999. Fire as a recurrent event in tropical forests of the eastern Amazon: effects on forest structure, biomass, and species composition. Biotropica 31:2-16.
10. Didham, R. K., J. Ghazoul, N. E. Stork, and A. J. Davis. 1996. Insects in fragmented forests: a functional approach. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 11:255-260.
11. Duncan, R. S., and C. A. Chapman. 1999. Seed dispersal and potential forest succession in abandoned agriculture in tropical Africa. Ecological Applications 9:998-1008.
12. Ehrhardt-Martinez, K., E. M. Crenshaw, and J. C. Jenkins. 2002. Deforestation and the environmental Kuznets curve: A cross-national investigation of intervening mechanisms. Social Science Quarterly 83:226-243.
13. Ewers, R. M. 2006. Interaction effects between economic development and forest cover determine deforestation rates. Global Environmental Change 16:161-169.
14. Fairhead, J., and M. Leach. 1995. False forest history, complicit social analysis: rethinking some West African environmental narratives. World Development 23:1023-1035.
15. Foster, A. D., and M. R. Rosenzweig. 2003. Economic growth and the rise of forests. Quarterly Journal of Economics 118:601-637.
16. Galindo-González, J., S. Guevara, and V. J. Sosa. 2000. Bat-and bird-generated seed rains at isolated trees in pastures in a topical rainforest. Conservation Biology 14:1693-1703.
17. Grossman, G. M., and A. B. Krueger. 1991. Environmental impacts of a North American Free Trade Agreement. Working Paper 3914. National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.
18. Guevara, S., J. Meave, P. Moreno-Casasola, and J. Laborde. 1992. Floristic composition and structure of vegetation under isolated trees in neotropical pastures. Journal of Vegetation Science 3:655-664.
19. Guevara, S., S. W. Purata, and E. Van der Maarel. 1986. The role of remnant forest trees in tropical secondary succession. Vegetatio 66:77-84.
20. Hofbauer, J., and K. Sigmund. 2003. Evolutionary game dynamics. Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society 40:479-519.
21. Houghton, R. A., D. L. Skole, C. A. Nobre, J. L. Hackler, K. T. Lawrence, and W. H. Chomentowski. 2000. Annual fluxes of carbon from deforestation and regrowth in the Brazilian Amazon. Nature 403:301-304.
22. Hyde, W. F. 1980. Timber supply, land allocation, and economic efficiency. Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
23. Kapos, V. 1989. Effects of isolation on the water status of forest patches in the Brazilian Amazon. Journal of Tropical Ecology 5:173-185.
24. Kates, R., et al. 2001. Environment and development: sustainability science. Science 27:641-642.
25. Kauppi, P., J. H. Ausubel, J. Fang, A. S. Mather, R. A. Sedjo, and P. E. Waggoner. 2006. Returning forests analyzed with the forest identity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (USA) 103:17574-17579.
26. Klein, B. C. 1989. Effects of forest fragmentation on dung and carrion beetle communities in central Amazonia. Ecology 70:1715-1725.
27. Koop, G., and L. Tole. 1999. Is there an environmental Kuznets curve for deforestation? Journal of Development Economics 58:231-244.
28. Kuznets, S. 1955. Economic growth and income inequality. American Economic Review 49:1-28.
29. Lawrance, E. C. 1991. Poverty and the rate of time preference: evidence from panel data. Journal of Political Economy 99:54-77.
30. Lutz, W., and S. Scherbov. 1999. Quantifying vicious circle dynamics: the PEDA model for population, environment, development, and agriculture in African Countries. IIASA Interim Report IR-99-049. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.
31. Mather, A. 1992. The forest transition. Area 24:367-379.
32. Mather, A., and C. Needle. 1998. The forest transition: a theoretical basis. Area 30:117-124.
33. Mather, A., C. Needle, and J. Fairbairn. 1999. Environmental Kuznets curves and forest trends. Geography 84:55-65.
34. McAllister, R. R. J., A. Smajgl, and J. Asafu-Adjaye. 2007. Forest logging and institutional thresholds in developing south-east Asian economics: a conceptual model. Forest Policy and Economics 9:1079-1089.
35. McPeak, J., and C. Barrett. 2001. Different risk exposure and stochastic poverty traps among East African pastoralists. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 83:674-679.
36. Meyer, A. L., G. C. van Kooten, and S. Wang. 2003. Institutional, social and economic roots of deforestation: further evidence of an environmental Kuznets relation? International Forestry Review 5:29-37.
37. Monaghan, P. 2000. Peasants, the state, and the colonization of Haiti's last rainforest. Paper presented at the meetings of the Latin American Studies Association, Miami.
38. Ostrom, E. 1990. Governing the commons. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
39. Pinedo-Vasquez, M., D. Zarin, K. Coffey, C. Padoch, and F. Rabelo. 2001. Post-boom logging in Amazonia. Human Ecology 29:219-239.
40. Rietkerk, M., S. C. Dekker, P. C. de Ruiter, and J. Van de Koppel. 2004. Self-organized patchiness and catastrophic shifts in ecosystems. Science 305:1926-1929.
41. Rudel, T. 1998. Is there a forest transition? Deforestation, reforestation, and development. Rural Sociology 63:533-552.
42. Rudel, T., O. Coomes, E. Moran, F. Achard, A. Angelsen, J. Xu, and E. Lambin. 2005. Forest transitions: towards a global understanding of land use change. Global Environmental Change 15:23-31.
43. Rush, J. 1991. The last tree: reclaiming the environment in tropical Asia. Asia Society, New York, New York, USA.
44. Satake, A. 2007. The role of economic incentives and social norms in forest resource management. Ecological Research 22:21-22.
45. Satake, A., and Y. Iwasa. 2006. Coupled ecological and social dynamics in a forested landscape: the deviation of the individual decisions from the social optimum. Ecological Research 21:370-379.
46. Satake, A., M. Janssen, S. A. Levin, and Y. Iwasa. 2007a. Synchronized deforestation induced by social learning under uncertainty of forest-use value. Ecological Economics, in press.
47. Satake, A., H. M. Leslie, Y. Iwasa, and S. A. Levin. 2007b. Coupled ecological-social dynamics in a forested landscape: Spatial interactions and information flow. Journal of Theoretical Biology 246:695-707.
48. Scheffer, M., S. Carpenter, J. A. Foley, C. Folke, and B. Walker. 2001. Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems. Nature 413:591-596.
49. Stern, D. I. 2004. The rise and fall of the environmental Kuznets curve. World Development 32:1419-1439.
50. Sweeney, B. W., T. L. Bott, J. K. Jackson, L. A. Kaplan, J. D. Newbold, L. J. Standley, L. W. C. Hession, and R. J. Horwitz. 2004. Riparian deforestation, stream narrowing, and loss of stream ecosystem services. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (USA) 101:14132-14137.
51. Tekle, K., and L. Hedlund. 2000. Land cover changes between 1958 and 1986 in Kalu district, southern Wello, Ethiopia. Mountain Research and Development 20:42-51.
52. Turner, R. K., J. Paavola, P. Cooper, S. Farber, V. Jessamy, and S. Georgiou. 2003. Valuing nature: lessons learned and future research directions. Ecological Economics 46:493-510.
53. Vajpeyi, D. K. 2001. Deforestation, environment, and sustainable development: a comparative analysis. Praeger, Westport, Connecticut, USA.
54. Van de Koppel, J., M. Rietkerk, and F. J. Weissing. 1997. Catastrophic vegetation shifts and soil degradation in terrestrial grazing systems. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 12:352-356.
55. Walker, R., S. A. Drzyzga, Y. Li, J. Qi, M. Caldas, E. Arima, and D. Vergara. 2004. A behavioral model of landscape change in the Amazon basin: the colonist case. Ecological Applications 14(Supplement):S299-S312.
56. Walters, B. 1997. Human ecological questions for tropical restoration: experiences from planting native upland forest and coastal mangrove trees in the Philippines. Forest Ecology and Management 99:275-290.
57. Woolcock, M., and D. Narayan. 2000. Social capital: Implications for development theory, research, and policy. World Bank Research Observer 15:225-249.