메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 26, Issue 29, 2007, Pages 5225-5252

The Bayesian aerosol release detector: An algorithm for detecting and characterizing outbreaks caused by an atmospheric release of Bacillus anthracis

Author keywords

Atmospheric dispersion models; Bayesian analysis; Biosurveillance; Inhalational anthrax; Outbreak detection algorithms; Statistical Surveillance

Indexed keywords

AEROSOL; ALGORITHM; ANTHRAX; ARTICLE; ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION; BACILLUS ANTHRACIS; BAYES THEOREM; EPIDEMIC; GOVERNMENT; HUMAN; MATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS; METEOROLOGICAL PHENOMENA; METHODOLOGY; NONHUMAN; STATISTICAL ANALYSIS; VICTIM;

EID: 37349120066     PISSN: 02776715     EISSN: 10970258     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/sim.3093     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (34)

References (63)
  • 1
    • 0031112046 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The economic impact of a bioterrorist attack: Are prevention and postattack intervention programs justifiable?
    • Kaufmann A, Meltzer M, Schmid G. The economic impact of a bioterrorist attack: are prevention and postattack intervention programs justifiable? Emerging Infectious Diseases 1997; 3(2):83-94.
    • (1997) Emerging Infectious Diseases , vol.3 , Issue.2 , pp. 83-94
    • Kaufmann, A.1    Meltzer, M.2    Schmid, G.3
  • 3
    • 37349060287 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Office of Technology Assessment. Proliferation of weapons of mass destruction: assessing the risks. Washington, DC. Report No. OTA-ISC-559, US Congress, August 1993. Available at: http://www.wws.princeton.edu/ota/disk1/1993/9341_n.html (Accessed on 21 August 2006).
    • Office of Technology Assessment. Proliferation of weapons of mass destruction: assessing the risks. Washington, DC. Report No. OTA-ISC-559, US Congress, August 1993. Available at: http://www.wws.princeton.edu/ota/disk1/1993/9341_n.html (Accessed on 21 August 2006).
  • 5
    • 11144336587 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Public health vaccination policies for containing an anthrax outbreak
    • Brookmeyer R, Johnson E, Bollinger R. Public health vaccination policies for containing an anthrax outbreak. Nature 2004; 432(7019):901-904.
    • (2004) Nature , vol.432 , Issue.7019 , pp. 901-904
    • Brookmeyer, R.1    Johnson, E.2    Bollinger, R.3
  • 6
    • 20944433579 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analyzing bioterror response logistics: The case of anthrax
    • Craft D, Wein L, Wilkins A. Analyzing bioterror response logistics: the case of anthrax. Management Science 2005; 51(5):679-694.
    • (2005) Management Science , vol.51 , Issue.5 , pp. 679-694
    • Craft, D.1    Wein, L.2    Wilkins, A.3
  • 10
    • 13844255673 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Henning KJ. What is syndromic surveillance? Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 2004; 53(Suppl.):5-11.
    • Henning KJ. What is syndromic surveillance? Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 2004; 53(Suppl.):5-11.
  • 12
    • 0035914370 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Update: Investigation of anthrax associated with intentional exposure and interim public health guidelines, October 2001. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 2001; 50(41):889-893.
    • Update: Investigation of anthrax associated with intentional exposure and interim public health guidelines, October 2001. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 2001; 50(41):889-893.
  • 14
    • 4444315277 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The ESSENCE disease surveillance test bed for the National Capital Area
    • Lombardo J. The ESSENCE disease surveillance test bed for the National Capital Area. Johns Hopkins APL Technical Digest 2003; 24(4):327-334.
    • (2003) Johns Hopkins APL Technical Digest , vol.24 , Issue.4 , pp. 327-334
    • Lombardo, J.1
  • 17
    • 25444475257 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bradley CA, Rolka H, Walker D, Loonsk J. BioSense: implementation of a national early event detection and situational awareness system. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 2005; 54(Suppl.):11-19.
    • Bradley CA, Rolka H, Walker D, Loonsk J. BioSense: implementation of a national early event detection and situational awareness system. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 2005; 54(Suppl.):11-19.
  • 18
    • 37349056044 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Biological warning and incident characterization. Report No. 2006-4491P, Department of Homeland Security, 2006. Available at: http://www.sandia.gov/mission/homeland/factsheets/new06/ BWIC_factsheet.pdf (Accessed on 16 August 2006).
    • Biological warning and incident characterization. Report No. 2006-4491P, Department of Homeland Security, 2006. Available at: http://www.sandia.gov/mission/homeland/factsheets/new06/ BWIC_factsheet.pdf (Accessed on 16 August 2006).
  • 20
    • 13844281656 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ozonoff A, Forsberg L, Bonetti M, Pagano M. Bivariate method for spatio-temporal syndromic surveillance. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 2004; 53(Suppl.):59-66.
    • Ozonoff A, Forsberg L, Bonetti M, Pagano M. Bivariate method for spatio-temporal syndromic surveillance. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 2004; 53(Suppl.):59-66.
  • 21
    • 25444460610 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Burkom HS, Murphy S, Coberly J, Hurt-Mullen K. Public health monitoring tools for multiple data streams. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 2005; 54(Suppl.):55-62.
    • Burkom HS, Murphy S, Coberly J, Hurt-Mullen K. Public health monitoring tools for multiple data streams. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 2005; 54(Suppl.):55-62.
  • 22
    • 25444432039 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Wong WK, Cooper G, Dash D, Levander J, Dowling J, Hogan W et al. Use of multiple data streams to conduct Bayesian biologic surveillance. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 2005; 54(Suppl.):63-69.
    • Wong WK, Cooper G, Dash D, Levander J, Dowling J, Hogan W et al. Use of multiple data streams to conduct Bayesian biologic surveillance. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 2005; 54(Suppl.):63-69.
  • 24
    • 37349044629 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Government previews bioterrorism sensors
    • 15 November
    • Bridis T. Government previews bioterrorism sensors. Miami Herald, 15 November 2003.
    • (2003) Miami Herald
    • Bridis, T.1
  • 25
    • 37349022414 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Office of Inspector General. EPA needs to fulfill its designated responsibilities to ensure effective BioWatch program. Report No. 2005-P-00012, Environmental Protection Agency, 2005. Available at: www.epa.gov/oig/reports/2005/20050323-2005-P-00012.pdf (Accessed on 20 September 2006).
    • Office of Inspector General. EPA needs to fulfill its designated responsibilities to ensure effective BioWatch program. Report No. 2005-P-00012, Environmental Protection Agency, 2005. Available at: www.epa.gov/oig/reports/2005/20050323-2005-P-00012.pdf (Accessed on 20 September 2006).
  • 28
    • 25144431703 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Syndromic surveillance: Is it worth the effort?
    • Stoto M, Schonlau M, Mariano L. Syndromic surveillance: is it worth the effort? Chance 2004; 17(1):19-24.
    • (2004) Chance , vol.17 , Issue.1 , pp. 19-24
    • Stoto, M.1    Schonlau, M.2    Mariano, L.3
  • 30
    • 13844277022 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical issues and challenges associated with rapid detection of bio-terrorist attacks
    • Fienberg SE, Shmueli G. Statistical issues and challenges associated with rapid detection of bio-terrorist attacks. Statistics in Medicine 2005; 24(4):513-529.
    • (2005) Statistics in Medicine , vol.24 , Issue.4 , pp. 513-529
    • Fienberg, S.E.1    Shmueli, G.2
  • 31
    • 0141611062 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Biosurveillance applying scan statistics with multiple, disparate data sources
    • Burkom HS. Biosurveillance applying scan statistics with multiple, disparate data sources. Journal of Urban Health 2003; 80(2 Suppl. 1):i57-i65.
    • (2003) Journal of Urban Health , vol.80 , Issue.2 SUPPL. 1
    • Burkom, H.S.1
  • 32
    • 33244496258 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Note regarding source strength
    • Meselson M. Note regarding source strength. The ASA Newsletter 2001; 87:1, 10-12.
    • (2001) The ASA Newsletter , vol.87 , Issue.1 , pp. 10-12
    • Meselson, M.1
  • 34
    • 17144391030 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cost-effectiveness of defending against bioterrorism: A comparison of vaccination and antibiotic prophylaxis against anthrax
    • Fowler RA, Sanders GD, Bravata DM, Nouri B, Gastwirth JM, Peterson D et al. Cost-effectiveness of defending against bioterrorism: a comparison of vaccination and antibiotic prophylaxis against anthrax. Annals of Internal Medicine 2005; 142(8):601-610.
    • (2005) Annals of Internal Medicine , vol.142 , Issue.8 , pp. 601-610
    • Fowler, R.A.1    Sanders, G.D.2    Bravata, D.M.3    Nouri, B.4    Gastwirth, J.M.5    Peterson, D.6
  • 36
    • 37349126268 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hanna S, Briggs G, Hosker R. Handbook on atmospheric diffusion. Report No. DOE/TIC-11223. Technical Information Center, Department of Energy, Washington, DC, 1982.
    • Hanna S, Briggs G, Hosker R. Handbook on atmospheric diffusion. Report No. DOE/TIC-11223. Technical Information Center, Department of Energy, Washington, DC, 1982.
  • 38
    • 0001861652 scopus 로고
    • A new look at causal independence
    • Poole D, Mantaras RLd eds, Morgan Kaufmann: Los Altos, CA
    • Heckerman D, Breese J. A new look at causal independence. In Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, Poole D, Mantaras RLd (eds), vol. 10. Morgan Kaufmann: Los Altos, CA, 1994; 286-292.
    • (1994) Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence , vol.10 , pp. 286-292
    • Heckerman, D.1    Breese, J.2
  • 39
    • 13844256837 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Buckeridge DL, Burkom H, Moore A, Pavlin J, Cutchis P, Hogan W. Evaluation of syndromic surveillance systems - design of an epidemic simulation model. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 2004; 53(Suppl.): 137-143.
    • Buckeridge DL, Burkom H, Moore A, Pavlin J, Cutchis P, Hogan W. Evaluation of syndromic surveillance systems - design of an epidemic simulation model. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 2004; 53(Suppl.): 137-143.
  • 41
    • 0013950148 scopus 로고
    • Industrial inhalation anthrax: Discussion
    • Glassman H. Industrial inhalation anthrax: discussion. Bacteriological Reviews 1966; 30(3):657-659.
    • (1966) Bacteriological Reviews , vol.30 , Issue.3 , pp. 657-659
    • Glassman, H.1
  • 43
    • 84883014934 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Approximating the sum of lognormal distributions to enhance models of inhalational anthrax
    • Fairfax, VA, 30 March, Available at:, Accessed on 30 March
    • Hogan WR, Wallstrom GL. Approximating the sum of lognormal distributions to enhance models of inhalational anthrax. Quantitative Methods in Defense and National Security. Fairfax, VA, 30 March 2007; 32-34. Available at: http://www.galaxy.gmu.edu/QMDNS2007/QMDNS2007-booklet.pdf (Accessed on 30 March 2007).
    • (2007) Quantitative Methods in Defense and National Security , pp. 32-34
    • Hogan, W.R.1    Wallstrom, G.L.2
  • 45
    • 0001203638 scopus 로고
    • Simulation approaches to general probabilistic inference on belief networks
    • Henrion M, Shachter RD, Kanal LN, Lemmer JF eds, North-Holland: Amsterdam
    • Shachter RD, Peot MA. Simulation approaches to general probabilistic inference on belief networks. In Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, Henrion M, Shachter RD, Kanal LN, Lemmer JF (eds), vol. 5. North-Holland: Amsterdam, 1990; 221-231.
    • (1990) Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence , vol.5 , pp. 221-231
    • Shachter, R.D.1    Peot, M.A.2
  • 52
    • 0002913852 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Daschle letter bombshell billions of anthrax spores
    • 31 October, Section 5
    • Kennedy H. Daschle letter bombshell billions of anthrax spores. New York Daily News 31 October 2001; Section 5.
    • (2001) New York Daily News
    • Kennedy, H.1
  • 54
    • 0000959420 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The statistical analysis of truncated data: Application to the Sverdlovsk anthrax outbreak
    • Brookmeyer R, Blades N, Hugh-Jones M, Henderson DA. The statistical analysis of truncated data: application to the Sverdlovsk anthrax outbreak. Biostatistics 2001; 2(2):233-247.
    • (2001) Biostatistics , vol.2 , Issue.2 , pp. 233-247
    • Brookmeyer, R.1    Blades, N.2    Hugh-Jones, M.3    Henderson, D.A.4
  • 55
    • 37349111765 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Available at:, Accessed on 15 March
    • WebMET. Turner's Method. 2002. Available at: http://www.webmet.com/met_monitoring/641.html (Accessed on 15 March 2005).
    • (2005) Turner's Method. 2002
    • WebMET1
  • 58
    • 13844297000 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Lombardo JS, Burkom H, Pavlin J. ESSENCE II and the framework for evaluating syndromic surveillance systems. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 2004; 53(Suppl.):159-165.
    • Lombardo JS, Burkom H, Pavlin J. ESSENCE II and the framework for evaluating syndromic surveillance systems. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 2004; 53(Suppl.):159-165.
  • 59
    • 13844271353 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Siegrist D, Pavlin J. Bio-ALIRT biosurveillance detection algorithm evaluation. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 2004; 53(Suppl.):152-158.
    • Siegrist D, Pavlin J. Bio-ALIRT biosurveillance detection algorithm evaluation. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 2004; 53(Suppl.):152-158.
  • 61
    • 33644992595 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Inhalation anthrax associated with dried animal hides - Pennsylvania and New York City, 2006. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 2006 55(2):280-282.
    • Inhalation anthrax associated with dried animal hides - Pennsylvania and New York City, 2006. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 2006 55(2):280-282.
  • 62
    • 0003438358 scopus 로고
    • Health Aspects of Chemical and Biological Weapons
    • World Health Organization, Geneva
    • World Health Organization. Health Aspects of Chemical and Biological Weapons. World Health Organization, Geneva, 1970.
    • (1970) World Health Organization


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.