On nonstationarity and antipersistency in global temperature series

Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres

Volumn 107, Issue 20, 2002, Pages ACL-1-1-ACL-1-11

  Karner O ^a  

^a TARTU OBSERVATORY   (Estonia)

Author keywords

1610 Global Change: Atmosphere (0315, 0325); 1650 Global Change: Solar variability; 3250 Mathematical Geophysics: Fractals and multifractals; 3309 Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics: Climatology (1620); Atmospheric temperature; Solar irradiance

Indexed keywords

EID: 36448950233     PISSN: 01480227     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2001JD002024     Document Type: Article

References (43)

1. Anis, A. A., and E. H. Lloyd, The expected value of the adjusted rescaled Hurst range of independent normal summands, Biometrika, 63; 111-116, 1976.
2. Bassingtwaighte, J. B., and G. M. Raymond, Evaluating rescaled range analysis for time series, Ann. Biomed. Eng., 22, 432-444, 1994.
3. Box, J. E. P., and G. Jenkins, Time Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control, (rev. ed.), 575 pp., Holden-Day, Boca Raton, Fla., 1976.
4. Cahalan, R. F., D. A. Short, and G. R. North, Cloud fluctuation statistics, Mon. Weather Rev., 110, 26-43, 1982.
5. Christy, J. R., R. W. Spencer, and W. D. Braswell, MSU tropospheric temperatures: Dataset construction and radiosonde comparisons, J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 17, 1153-1170, 2000.
6. Coc, M. T., and J. A. Foley, Human and natural impacts on water resources at the Lake Chad basin, J. Geophys. Res., 106, 3349-3357, 2001.
7. Cramer, H., and M. R. Leadbetter, Stationary and Related Stochastic Processes, John Wiley, New York, 1967.
8. Davis, A., A. Marshak, W. Wiscombe, and R. Cahalan, Scale invariance of liquid water distribution in marine stratocumulus, I, Spectral properties and stationarity issues, J. Atmos. Sci., 53, 1538-1558, 1996a.
9. Davis, A., A. Marshak, W. Wiscombe, and R. Cahalan, Multifractal characterizations of intermittency in non-stationary geophysical signals and fields, in Current Topics in Non-Stationary Analysis, edited by G. Trevino et al., pp. 97-158, World Sci., River Edge, N. J., 1996b.
10. Friis-Christensen, E., and K. Lassen, Length of the solar cycle: An indicator of solar activity closely associated with climate, Science, 254, 698-699, 1991.
11. Fröhlich, C., and J. Lean, Total solar irradiance variations, in New Eyes to See Inside the Sun and Stars: Proceedings of IAU Symposium 185, edited by F. L. Deubner et al., pp. 89-102, Kluwer Acad., Norwell, Mass., 1998a.
12. Fröhlich, C., and J. Lean, The sun's total irradiance: Cycles, trends and related climate change uncertainties since 1978, Geophys. Res. Lett., 25, 4377-4380, 1998b.
13. Ghil, M., Natural climate variability, in Encyclopedia of Global Environmental Change, vol. 1, edited by M. MacCracken and J. Perry, John Wiley, New York, 2001.
14. Hansen, J., R. Ruedy, J. Clascoe, and M. Sato, GISS analysis of surface temperature change, J. Geophys. Res., 104, 30,997-31,022, 1999.
15. Hood, L. L., The solar cycle variation of total ozone: Dynamical forcing in the lower stratosphere, J. Geophys. Res., 102, 1355-1370, 1997.
16. Hurrell, J. W., K. E. Trenberth, S. J. Brown, and J. R. Christy, Comparison of tropospheric temperatures from radiosondes and satellites: 1979-98, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 81, 2165-2178, 2000.
17. Hurst, H. E., The long-term storage capacity of reservoirs, Trans. Am. Soc. Civ. Eng., 116, 770-799, 1951.
18. Huschke, R. E., (Ed.), Glossary of Meteorology, 638 pp., Am. Meteorol. Soc., Boston, Mass., 1959.
19. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Climate Change 1995: The Science of Climate Change, Contribution of Working Group I to the Second Assessment Report of the IPCC, edited by J. T. Houghton et al., 572 pp., Cambridge Univ. Press, New York, 1996.
20. Jones, P. D., M. New, D. E. Parker, S. Martin, and I. G. Rigor, Surface air temperature and its changes over the past 150 years, Rev. Geophys., 37, 173-199, 1999.
21. Kagan, R. L., L. S. Gandin (Ed.), and T. M. Smith (Ed.), Averaging of Meteorological Fields, Atmos. Oceanic Ser. Lib., vol. 19, 288 pp., Kluwer, Norwell, Mass., 1997.
22. Kärner, O., Global temperature deviations as a random walk, J. Clim., 9, 656-658, 1996.
23. Kärner, O., and Ü. Rannik, Stochastic models to represent the temporal variability of zonal average cloudiness, J. Clim., 9, 2718-2726, 1996.
24. Koscielny-Bunde, E., A. Bunde, S. Havlin, H. E. Roman, Y. Goldreich, and H.-J. Schellnhuber, Indication of a universal persistence law governing atmospheric variability, Phys. Rev. Lett., 81, 729-732, 1998.
25. Lovejoy, S., and D. Schertzer, Scale invariance in climatological temperatures and the local spectral plateau, Ann. Geophys., 4B, 401-410, 1986.
26. Mandelbrot, B. B., The Fractal Geometry of Nature, 460 pp., W.H. Freeman, New York, 1982.
27. Mandelbrot, B. B., and J. W. van Ness, Fractional Brownian motions, fractional noises and applications, SIAM Rev., 10, 422-437, 1968.
28. Mandelbrot, B. B., and J. R. Wallis, Robustness of the rescaled range R/S in the measurement of noncyclic long run statistical dependence, Water Resour. Res., 5, 967-987, 1969.
29. McCormick, M. P., L. W. Thomason, and C. R. Trepte, Atmospheric effects of the Mt. Pinatubo eruption, Nature, 373, 399-404, 1995.
30. Mitchell, J. F. B., The greenhouse effect and climate change, Rev. Geophys., 27, 115-139, 1989.
31. Monin, A. S., Introduction to the Theory of Climate (in Russian), 246 pp., Gidrometeoizdat, Leningrad, Russia, 1982.
32. Monin, A. S., and I. L. Vulis, On the spectra of long-period oscillations of geophysical parameters, Tellus, 23, 337-345, 1971.
33. 6 yr, Earth Planet. Sci. Lett., 158, 157-164, 1998.
34. Press, W. H., S. A. Teukolsky, V. T. Vetterling, and B. P. Flannery, Numerical Recipes in FORTRAN, 2nd ed., Cambridge Univ. Press, New York, 1993.
35. Robinson, P. M., Log-periodogram regression of time series with long range dependence, Ann. Stat., 23, 1048-1072, 1995.
36. Robock, A., Stratospheric control of climate, Science, 272, 972-973, 1996.
37. Schmitt, F., S. Lovejoy, and D. Schertzer, Multifractal analysis of the Greenland ice-core project climate data, Geophys. Res. Lett., 22, 1689-1692, 1995.
38. Spencer, R. W., and J. R. Christy, Precision and radiosonde validation of satellite grid-point temperature anomalies, I, MSU channel 2, J. Clim., 5, 847-857, 1992a.
39. Spencer, R. W., and J. R. Christy, Precision and radiosonde validation of satellite grid-point temperature anomalies, II, A tropospheric retrieval and trends during 1979-90, J. Clim., 5, 858-866, 1992b.
40. Spencer, R. W., J. R. Christy, and N. C. Grody, Global atmospheric temperature monitoring with satellite microwave measurements: Method and results 1979-84, J. Clim., 3, 1111-1128, 1990.
41. Staehelin, J., N. R. P. Harris, C. Appenzeller, and J. Eberhard, Ozone trends: A review, Rev. Geophys., 39, 231-290, 2001.
42. Taqqu, M. S., and V. Teverovsky, Semi-parametric graphical estimation techniques for long-memory data. Lect. Notes Stat., 115, 420-432, 1996.
43. Taqqu, M. S., V. Teverovsky, and W. Willinger, Estimators for long-range dependence: An empirical study, Fractals, 3, 785-798, 1995.