Testing a climate erosive forcing model in the PO River Basin

Climate Research

Volumn 33, Issue 2, 2007, Pages 195-205

  Diodato, Nazzareno ^a   Mariani, Luigi ^b  

^a FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION OF THE UNITED NATIONS   (Italy)

^b UNIVERSITY OF MILAN   (Italy)

Author keywords

Climate change; Climate erosive forcing; Net erosion; Northern Italy; Po River Basin; Rainfall

Indexed keywords

AGRICULTURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; EROSION; GEOMORPHOLOGY; HYDROLOGY; RAIN; SOILS;

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE FORCING; CLIMATE MODELING; ENVIRONMENTAL HAZARD; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; PROBABILITY; SOIL DEGRADATION; TESTING METHOD;

EURASIA; EUROPE; ITALY; PO BASIN; SOUTHERN EUROPE;

EID: 36348991848     PISSN: 0936577X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3354/cr033195     Document Type: Article

References (62)

1. Allen MR, Ingram WJ (2002) Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle. Nature 419:224-231
2. Angel JR, Hollinger SE (2005) Storm precipitation in the United States. Part I. Meteorological characteristics. J AppI Meteorol 44:933-946
3. Arnoldus HML (1977) Methodology used to determine the maximum potential average annual soil loss due to sheet and rill erosion in Morocco. FAO Soil Bull 34:39-51
4. Barry RG (1992) Mountain weather and climate, 2nd edn. Routledge, London
5. Bell JL, Sloan I.C, Snyder MA (2004) Regional changes in extreme climatic events: a future climate scenario. J Clim 17:81-87
6. Brunetti M, Maugeri M, Nanni T (2001) Changes in total precipitation, rainy days and extreme events in northeastern Italy. Int J Climatol 21:861-871
7. Brunetti M, Maugeri M, Monti F (2004) Changes in daily precipitaton frequency and distribution in Italy over the last 120 years. J Geophys Res 109:DO5102, doi:10.1029/2003JD004296
8. Brunsden D (2001) A critical assessment of the sensitivity concept in geomorphology. Catena 42:99-123
9. Buffoni L, Chhstovsky F (1992) Precipitazioni giornaliere rilevate all'Osservatorio Astronomico di Brera in Milano dal 1835 al 1990. Ermes editions, Milano
10. Camuffo D, Enzi S (1996) The analysis of two bi-millenial series: Tiber and Po river floods. NATO ADI Ser 141: 433-450
11. Cantù E (2000) L'agricoltura lombarda nel 20° secolo. Società Italiana degli Agricoltori, Milano
12. Cati L. (1981) Idrografia e idrologia del Pò. Paper No. 19. Ministeo dei Lavori Pubblici, Serivizio ldrografico, Roma
13. Cattaneo C (1857) Di un nuovo progetto di canale nell'Alto Milanese. In: Memorie di Economia Pubblica dal 1833 al 1860 (facsimile reprint 1983). Banca del Monte di Milano, Milano
14. Chlistovsky F, Buffoni L, Maugeri M (1999) La precipitazione a Milano-Brera. Osservatorio Astronomico di Brera-Milano and Istituto di Fisica Generale Applicata dell'Università di Milano. CUSL, Milano
15. Collison A, Griffiths J (2004) Modelling slope instability. In: Wainwright J, Mulligan M (eds) Environmental modelling. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester, 197-209
16. Crosio F, Ferrarotti B (1996) Trino: gli anni del diluvo (Studi Trinesi/ 13). Comune di Trino, Trino
17. De Marchi G, Bondini A (1931) Caratteri idrologici dei bacini italiani. In: II servizio idrografico italiano. Ministero dei Lavori Pubblici, Roma
18. Diodato N (2004a) Erosive rainfalls modelling in the Po Valley-North Italy. SCODA Report 2. University of Sannio, Benevento. Available at www.scoda.unisannio.it/Papers/Archive/RainErosivity.pdf
19. Diodato N (2004b) Local models for rainstorm-induced hazard analysis on Mediterranean river-torrential geomorphological systems. Nat Hazard Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 4:389-397
20. Favis-Mortlock D, Boardman J (1995) Nonlinear responses of soil erosion to climate change: a modelling study on the UK South Downs. Catena 25:365-387
21. Fea G (1988) Appunti di meteorologia fisica descrittiva e generale. ERSA Emilia Romagna, Bologna
22. Goosse H, Renssen H, Timmermann A, Raymond SB (2005) Internal and forced climate variability during the last millennium: a model-data comparison using ensemble simulations. Quat Sci Rev 24:1345-1360
23. Hayden BP, Hayden NR (2003) Decadal and century-long changes in storminess at long-term ecological research sites. In: Greenland D, Goodin DG, Smith RC (eds) Climate variability and ecosystem response at long-term ecological research sites. Oxford University Press, New York, p 262-285
24. Hegerl GC, Zwiers FW, Stott PA, Kharin VV (2004) Detectability of anthropogenic changes in annual temperatures and precipitation extremes. J Clim. 17:3683-3700
25. Higgitt DL (2001) A brief time of history. In: Higgitt DL, Lee EM (eds) Geomorphological processes and landscape change. Blackwell Publishing, Oxford, p 1-26
26. Holton JR (2004) An introduction to dynamic meteorology. Elsevier Academic, Burlington MA
27. Hurrell JW (1995) Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation. Regional temperature and precipitation. Science 269:676-679
28. Johnson GL, Hanson CL, Hardegree SP, Ballard EB (1996) Stochastic weather simulation: overview and analysis of two commonly used models. J Appl Meteorol 35: 1878-1896
29. Karl TR, Knight RW, Baker B (2000) The record breaking global temperatures of 1997 and 1998: evidence for an increase in the rate of global warming? Geophys Res Lett 27:719-722
30. Kosmas C, Dandlatos N, Cammeraat LH, Chabart M and 19 others (1997) The effect of land use on runoff and soil erosion rates under Mediterranean conditions. Catena 29:45-59
31. Licznar P, Nearing MA (2003) Artificial neural networks of soil erosion and runoff prediction at the plot scale. Catena 51:89-114
32. Lockwood JG (2001) Abrupt and sudden climatic transitions and fluctuations: a review. Int J Climatol 21:1153-1179
33. Magilligan FJ (1992) Thresholds and the spatial variability of flood power during extreme floods. Geomorphology 5: 373-390
34. Marchetti M (2002) Environmental changes in the central Po Plain (northern Italy) due to fluvial modifications and anthropogenic activities. Geomorphology 44:361-373
35. Meehl GA, Arblaster JM, Tebaldi C (2005) Understanding future patterns of increased precipitation intensity in climate model simulations. Geophys Res Lett 32:L18719, doi:10.1029/2005GLO23680
36. Mendoza GA, Anderson AB, Gertner GZ (2002) Integrating multi-criteria analysis and GIS for land condition assessment. Part I. Evaluation and restoration of military training areas. J Geogr Inf Decision Anal 61:1-16
37. Mitchell SW, Csillag F (2001) Assessing the stability and uncertainty of predicted vegetation growth under climatic variability: northern mixed grass prairie. Ecol Model 139: 101-121
38. Morgan RPC (1995) Soil erosion and conservation. Longman, Harlow, Essex
39. Pinto JC, Klawa M, Ulbrich U, Rudari R, Speth P (2001) Extreme precipitation events over northwest Italy and their relationship with tropical-extratropical interactions over the Atlantic. In: Deidda R, Mugnai A, Siccardi F (eds) Mediterranean storms. Proc 3rd EGS Plinius Conf, October 2001, Baja Sardinia, p 1-6
40. Polyak I (1996) Computational statistics in climatology. Oxford University Press, New York
41. Renard KG, Foster GR, Weesies GA, McCool DK, Yoder DC (1997) Predicting soil erosion by water: a guide to conservation planning with the revised universal soil loss equation (RUSLE). Agricultural Handbook 703. USDA, Washington
42. Renschler CS, Mannaerts C, Diekkruger B (1999) Evaluating spatial and temporal variability in soil erosion risk-rainfall erosivity and soil loss ratios in Andalusia, Spain. Catena 34:209-225
43. Ridolfi L, D'Odorico P, Porporato A, Rodriguez-Iturbe I (2000) Impact of climate variability on the vegetation water stress. J Geophys Res 105:18013-18025
44. Riebau AR, Fox DG (2005) Damage assessment of agrometeorological relevance from natural disasters: economic and social consequences. In: Sivakumar MVK, Motha RP, Das HP (eds) Natural disasters and extreme events in agriculture. Springer, Berlin, p 119-135
45. Ritsema CJ, Dekker LW (2003) Soil water repellency: occurrence, consequences, and amelioration. Elsevier, Amsterdam
46. Romanò A, Dal Santo R (2004) Parco del roccolo Atlante della biodiversità flora. Regione Lombardia. Provincia di Milano, Milano
47. Schulze R (2000) Transcending scales of space and time in impact studies of climate change on agrohydrological responses. Agric Ecosyst Environ 82:185-212
48. Siemoni GC (1872) Manuale teorico-pratico d'arte forestale. G. Barbera, Firenze
49. Slonosky VC, Jones PD, Davies TD (2000) Variability of the surface atmospheric circulation over Europe, 1774-1995. Int J Climatol 20:1875-1897
50. Sonneveld BGJS, Nearing MA (2003) A nonparametric/parametric analysis of the universal soil loss equation. Catena 52:9-21
51. Strahler AH, Strahler A (2000) Introducing physical geography, 2nd edn. Wiley, New York
52. Thomes JB, Alcantára-Aydla I (1998) Modelling mass failure in a Mediterranean mountain environment: climatic, geological, topographical and erosional controls. Geomorphology 24:87-100
53. Toy TJ, Foster GR, Renard KG (2002) Soil erosion: prediction, measurement, and control. John Wiley & Sons, New York
54. Tran LT, Ridgley MA, Nearing MA, Duckstein L, Sutherland R (2001) Using fuzzy logic-based modeling to improve the performance of the revised universal soil loss equation. In: Stott DE, Mohtar RH, Steinhardt GC (eds) Sustaining the global farm. Selected papers from the 10th Int Soil Conserv Org Meet, 24-29 May 1999. Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN
55. Van Rompaey AJJ, Bazzoffi P, Jones RJA, Montanarella L, Govers; G (2003) Validation of soil erosion risk assessment in Italy. European Soil Bureau Research Report No. 12, EUR 20676 EN. Office for Official Publications of the European Communities, Luxemburg City
56. Vecchio B (1974) II bosco negli scrittori itahani del settecento e dell'età napoleonica. Einaudi, Torino
57. Wasson RJ (1996) Land use and climate impacts on fluvial systems during the period of agriculture. PAGES Workshop Report, 1996-2. PAGES, Bern
58. Werner PC, Gerstengarbe FW, Fraedrich K, Oesterle K (2000) Recent climate change in the North Atlantic/European sector, Int J Climatol 20:463-471
59. Wilby RL, Dalgleish HY, Foster IDL (1997) The impact of weather patterns on historical and contemporary catchment sediment yields. Earth Surf Process Landf 22: 353-363
60. Wilks D (1995) Statistical methods in the atmospheric sciences: an introduction. Academic Press, San Diego, CA
61. Wischmeier WH, Smith DD (1978) Predicting rainfall erosion losses. Agriculture handbook 537. US Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC
62. Zwiers FW, von Storch H (2004) On the role of statistics in climate research. Int J Climatol 24:665-680