Derivation and validation of a simple risk score for predicting 1-year mortality in stroke

Journal of Neurology

Volumn 254, Issue 10, 2007, Pages 1376-1383

  Solberg, O G ^a,c   Dahl, M ^a   Mowinckel, P ^b   Stavem, K ^a  

^a AKERSHUS UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL   (Norway)

^b Norwegian Knowledge Center for the Health Services   (Norway)

^c OSLO UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL   (Norway)

Author keywords

Epidemiology; Mortality; Risk assessment; Statistical models; Stroke

Indexed keywords

ADULT; AGED; ARTICLE; CEREBROVASCULAR ACCIDENT; COMORBIDITY; CONTROLLED STUDY; FEMALE; HUMAN; KAPLAN MEIER METHOD; LOGISTIC REGRESSION ANALYSIS; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; MORTALITY; PRIORITY JOURNAL; PROGNOSIS; RISK FACTOR; STROKE;

AGED; AGED, 80 AND OVER; COHORT STUDIES; DATA INTERPRETATION, STATISTICAL; FEMALE; HUMANS; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; PREDICTIVE VALUE OF TESTS; PROPORTIONAL HAZARDS MODELS; RANDOM ALLOCATION; REPRODUCIBILITY OF RESULTS; RETROSPECTIVE STUDIES; RISK FACTORS; SEVERITY OF ILLNESS INDEX; STROKE; SURVIVAL ANALYSIS;

EID: 36248989656     PISSN: 03405354     EISSN: 14321459     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00415-007-0555-2     Document Type: Article

References (29)

1. Benesch C, Witter DM Jr, Wilder AL, Duncan PW, Samsa GP, Matchar DB (1997) Inaccuracy of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-9-CM) in identifying the diagnosis of ischemic cerebrovascular disease. Neurology 49:660-664
2. Boysen G, Christensen H (2001) Stroke severity determines body temperature in acute stroke. Stroke 32:413-417
3. Broderick J, Brott T, Kothari R, Miller R, Khoury J, Pancioli A, Gebel J, Mills D, Minneci L, Shukla R (1998) The Greater Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky Stroke Study: preliminary first-ever and total incidence rates of stroke among blacks. Stroke 29:415-421
4. Charlson ME, Pompei P, Ales KL, MacKenzie CR (1987) A new method of classifying prognostic comorbidity in longitudinal studies: development and validation. J Chronic Dis 40:373-383
5. Counsell C, Dennis M (2001) Systematic review of prognostic models in patients with acute stroke. Cerebrovasc Dis 12:159-170
6. Demchuk AM, Buchan AM (2000) Predictors of stroke outcome. Neurol Clin 18:455-473
7. Ellekjaer H, Holmen J, Kruger O, Terent A (1999) Identification of incident stroke in Norway: Hospital discharge data compared with a population- based stroke register. Stroke 30:56-60
8. Fiorelli M, Alperovitch A, Argentino C, Sacchetti ML, Toni D, Sette G, Cavalletti C, Gori MC, Fieschi C (1995) Prediction of long-term outcome in the early hours following acute ischemic stroke. Arch Neurol 52:250-255
9. German Stroke Study Collaboration (2004) Predicting outcome after acute ischemic stroke: an external validation of prognostic models.Neurology 24; 62(4):581-585
10. Goldstein LB (1998) Accuracy of ICD- 9-CM coding for the identification of patients with acute ischemic stroke: effect of modifier codes. Stroke 29:1602-1604
11. Goldstein LB, Chilukuri V (1997) Retrospective assessment of initial stroke severity with the Canadian Neurological Scale. Stroke 28:1181-1184
12. Hajat C, Hajat S, Sharma P (2000) Effects of poststroke pyrexia on stroke outcome: a meta-analysis of studies in patients. Stroke 31:410-414
13. Hankey GJ, Jamrozik K, Broadhurst RJ, Forbes S, Burvill PW, Anderson CS, Stewart-Wynne EG (2000) Five-year survival after first-ever stroke and related prognostic factors in the Perth Community Stroke Study. Stroke 31:2080-2086
14. Kammersgaard LP, Jorgensen HS, Rungby JA, Reith J, Nakayama H, Weber UJ, Houth J, Olsen TS (2002) Admission body temperature predicts long-term mortality after acute stroke: the Copenhagen Stroke Study. Stroke 33:1759-1762
15. Lee DS,Austin PC, Rouleau JL, Liu PP, Naimark D, Tu JV (2003) Predicting mortality among patients hospitalized for heart failure: derivation and validation of a clinical model. JAMA 290:2581-2587
16. Moons KG,Harrell FE, Steyerberg EW (2002) Should scoring rules be based on odds ratios or regression coefficients? J Clin Epidemiol 55:1054-1055
17. Petty GW, Brown RD Jr, Whisnant JP, Sicks JD, O'Fallon WM, Wiebers DO (2000) Ischemic stroke subtypes: a population-based study of functional outcome, survival, and recurrence. Stroke 31:1062-1068
18. Ronning OM,Guldvog B (1998) Stroke units versus general medical wards, I: twelve- and eighteen-month survival: a randomized, controlled trial. Stroke 29:58-62
19. Stavem K, Lossius M, Ronning OM (2003) Reliability and validity of the Canadian Neurological Scale in retrospective assessment of initial stroke severity. Cerebrovasc Dis 16:286-291
20. Stavem K, Ronning OM (2002) Survival of unselected stroke patients in a stroke unit compared with conventional care. QJM 95:143-152
21. Sumer MM, Ozdemir I, Tascilar N (2003) Predictors of outcome after acute ischemic stroke. Acta Neurol Scand 107:276-280
22. Tilling K, Sterne JA, Rudd AG, Glass TA, Wityk RJ, Wolfe CD (2001) A new method for predicting recovery after stroke. Stroke 32:2867-2873
23. Tu JV, Naylor CD (1997) Clinical prediction rules. J Clin Epidemiol 50:743-744
24. Wang Y, Lim LL, Heller RF, Fisher J, Levi CR (2003) A prediction model of 1-year mortality for acute ischemic stroke patients. Arch Phys Med Rehabil 84:1006-1011
25. Wang Y, Lim LL, Levi C, Heller RF, Fischer J (2001) A prognostic index for 30-day mortality after stroke. J Clin Epidemiol 54:766-773
26. Weimar C, Konig IR, Kraywinkel K, Ziegler A,Diener HC (2004) German Stroke Study Collaboration. Age and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale Score within 6 hours after onset are accurate predictors of outcome after cerebral ischemia: development and external validation of prognostic models. Stroke 35:158-162
27. Weimar C, Roth M, Willig V, Kostopoulos P, Benemann J, Diener HC (2006) Development and validation of a prognostic model to predict recovery following intracerebral hemorrhage. J Neurol 253:788-793
28. Weimar C, Ziegler A, Konig IR, Diener HC (2002) Predicting functional outcome and survival after acute ischemic stroke. J Neurol 249:888-895
29. Weir NU, Counsell CE, McDowall M, Gunkel A, Dennis MS (2003) Reliability of the variables in a new set of models that predict outcome after stroke. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry 74:447-451