-
1
-
-
35748959595
-
-
J. Anas, M. Billio, L. Ferrara, M. Lo Duca, Business cycle analysis with multivariate Markov switching models, GRETA working paper 04/02, 2004.
-
-
-
-
6
-
-
0012396692
-
An econometric characterization of business cycle dynamics with factor structure and regime switching
-
Chauvet M. An econometric characterization of business cycle dynamics with factor structure and regime switching. Int. Econ. Rev. 39 (1998) 969-996
-
(1998)
Int. Econ. Rev.
, vol.39
, pp. 969-996
-
-
Chauvet, M.1
-
7
-
-
0036524578
-
Can oil shocks explain asymmetries in the US business cycle?
-
Clements M.P., and Krolzig H.-M. Can oil shocks explain asymmetries in the US business cycle?. Empirical Econ. 27 (2003) 185-204
-
(2003)
Empirical Econ.
, vol.27
, pp. 185-204
-
-
Clements, M.P.1
Krolzig, H.-M.2
-
8
-
-
0037237365
-
Business cycle asymmetries: characterizing and testing based on Markov-switching autoregression
-
Clements M.P., and Krolzig H.-M. Business cycle asymmetries: characterizing and testing based on Markov-switching autoregression. J. Bus. Econ. Stat. 21 (2003) 196-211
-
(2003)
J. Bus. Econ. Stat.
, vol.21
, pp. 196-211
-
-
Clements, M.P.1
Krolzig, H.-M.2
-
10
-
-
0000140418
-
Scoring the leading indicator
-
Diebold F.X., and Rudebusch G.D. Scoring the leading indicator. J. Bus. 62 (1989) 369-391
-
(1989)
J. Bus.
, vol.62
, pp. 369-391
-
-
Diebold, F.X.1
Rudebusch, G.D.2
-
11
-
-
0030530151
-
Measuring business cycles: a modern perspective
-
Diebold F.X., and Rudebusch G.D. Measuring business cycles: a modern perspective. Rev. Econ. Stat. 78 (1996) 67-77
-
(1996)
Rev. Econ. Stat.
, vol.78
, pp. 67-77
-
-
Diebold, F.X.1
Rudebusch, G.D.2
-
12
-
-
0001563266
-
Asymptotic null distribution of the likelihood ratio test in Markov-switching model
-
Garcia R. Asymptotic null distribution of the likelihood ratio test in Markov-switching model. Int. Econ. Rev. 39 (1998) 763-788
-
(1998)
Int. Econ. Rev.
, vol.39
, pp. 763-788
-
-
Garcia, R.1
-
13
-
-
68949113156
-
Business-cycle analysis with a Markov-switching model
-
Goodwin T.H. Business-cycle analysis with a Markov-switching model. J. Bus. Econ. Stat. 11 (1993) 331-339
-
(1993)
J. Bus. Econ. Stat.
, vol.11
, pp. 331-339
-
-
Goodwin, T.H.1
-
14
-
-
0001342006
-
A new approach to the economic analysis of nonstationary time series and the business cycle
-
Hamilton J.D. A new approach to the economic analysis of nonstationary time series and the business cycle. Econometrica 57 (1989) 357-384
-
(1989)
Econometrica
, vol.57
, pp. 357-384
-
-
Hamilton, J.D.1
-
15
-
-
0003410290
-
-
Princeton University Press, New Jersey
-
Hamilton J.D. Time Series Analysis (1994), Princeton University Press, New Jersey
-
(1994)
Time Series Analysis
-
-
Hamilton, J.D.1
-
16
-
-
84986382561
-
The likelihood ratio test under nonstandard conditions: testing the Markov switching model of GNP
-
Hansen B.E. The likelihood ratio test under nonstandard conditions: testing the Markov switching model of GNP. J. Appl. Econometrics 7 (1992) S61-S82
-
(1992)
J. Appl. Econometrics
, vol.7
-
-
Hansen, B.E.1
-
17
-
-
13844292397
-
Erratum: the likelihood ratio test under nonstandard conditions: testing the Markov switching model of GNP
-
Hansen B.E. Erratum: the likelihood ratio test under nonstandard conditions: testing the Markov switching model of GNP. J. Appl. Econometrics 11 (1996) 195-198
-
(1996)
J. Appl. Econometrics
, vol.11
, pp. 195-198
-
-
Hansen, B.E.1
-
18
-
-
35748962877
-
-
H. Iiboshi, Duration dependence of the business cycle in Japan: a Bayesian analysis of extended Markov switching model, Japan. World Econ., in press.
-
-
-
-
19
-
-
0039573714
-
Business cycle turning points, a new coincident index, and tests of duration dependence based on a dynamic factor model with regime switching
-
Kim C.-J., and Nelson C.R. Business cycle turning points, a new coincident index, and tests of duration dependence based on a dynamic factor model with regime switching. Int. Econ. Rev. 80 (1998) 188-201
-
(1998)
Int. Econ. Rev.
, vol.80
, pp. 188-201
-
-
Kim, C.-J.1
Nelson, C.R.2
-
20
-
-
0000407228
-
New index of coincident indicators: a multivariate Markov switching factor model approach
-
Kim M.-J., and Yoo J.-S. New index of coincident indicators: a multivariate Markov switching factor model approach. J. Monetary Econ. 36 (1995) 607-630
-
(1995)
J. Monetary Econ.
, vol.36
, pp. 607-630
-
-
Kim, M.-J.1
Yoo, J.-S.2
-
21
-
-
0003335593
-
Markov-switching vector autoregressions, modelling, statistical inference and application to business cycle analysis
-
Springer, Berlin
-
Krolzig H.-M. Markov-switching vector autoregressions, modelling, statistical inference and application to business cycle analysis. Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems vol. 454 (1997), Springer, Berlin
-
(1997)
Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems
, vol.454
-
-
Krolzig, H.-M.1
-
22
-
-
44949289676
-
The Hamilton model with a general autoregressive component
-
Lam P.-S. The Hamilton model with a general autoregressive component. J. Monetary Econ. 26 (1990) 409-432
-
(1990)
J. Monetary Econ.
, vol.26
, pp. 409-432
-
-
Lam, P.-S.1
-
23
-
-
0030239878
-
Dating and predicting phase changes in the U.S. business cycle
-
Layton A.P. Dating and predicting phase changes in the U.S. business cycle. Int. J. Forecast. 12 (1996) 417-458
-
(1996)
Int. J. Forecast.
, vol.12
, pp. 417-458
-
-
Layton, A.P.1
-
24
-
-
0006091328
-
A further test of the influence of leading indicators on the probability of US business cycle phase shifts
-
Layton A.P. A further test of the influence of leading indicators on the probability of US business cycle phase shifts. Int. J. Forecast. 14 (1998) 63-70
-
(1998)
Int. J. Forecast.
, vol.14
, pp. 63-70
-
-
Layton, A.P.1
-
25
-
-
0042341336
-
Understanding business cycle
-
Brunner K., and Meltzer A. (Eds), Carnegie-Rochester Series on Public Policy
-
Lucas R.E. Understanding business cycle. In: Brunner K., and Meltzer A. (Eds). Stabilization of the Domestic and International Economy vol. 5 (1976), Carnegie-Rochester Series on Public Policy 7-29
-
(1976)
Stabilization of the Domestic and International Economy
, vol.5
, pp. 7-29
-
-
Lucas, R.E.1
-
26
-
-
35748962876
-
-
T. Miyagawa, Y. Sakuragawa, M. Takizawa, Productivity and the business cycle in Japan-evidence from Japanese industry data, working paper, 2005.
-
-
-
-
27
-
-
0000076932
-
New indexes of coincident and leading economic indicators
-
Blanchard O., and Fischer S. (Eds), MIT Press, Cambridge, MA
-
Stock J.H., and Watson M.W. New indexes of coincident and leading economic indicators. In: Blanchard O., and Fischer S. (Eds). NBER Macroeconomics Annual (1989), MIT Press, Cambridge, MA
-
(1989)
NBER Macroeconomics Annual
-
-
Stock, J.H.1
Watson, M.W.2
-
28
-
-
33845285960
-
A probability model of the coincident economic indicators
-
Lahiri K., and Moore G.H. (Eds), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
-
Stock J.H., and Watson M.W. A probability model of the coincident economic indicators. In: Lahiri K., and Moore G.H. (Eds). Leading Economics Indicators: New Approach and Forecasting Records (1991), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
-
(1991)
Leading Economics Indicators: New Approach and Forecasting Records
-
-
Stock, J.H.1
Watson, M.W.2
-
29
-
-
35748942848
-
-
H. Uchiyama, T. Watanabe, Has the business cycle changed in Japan? A bayesian analysis based on Markov switching model with multiple change points, COE Discussion Paper No.26, Tokyo Metropolitan University, 2004.
-
-
-
-
30
-
-
22544452188
-
Measuring business cycle turning points in Japan with a dynamic Markov switching factor Model
-
Watanabe T. Measuring business cycle turning points in Japan with a dynamic Markov switching factor Model. Monetary Econ. Stud. 21 (2003) 35-68
-
(2003)
Monetary Econ. Stud.
, vol.21
, pp. 35-68
-
-
Watanabe, T.1
-
31
-
-
33846788991
-
Structural change in Japanese business fluctuations and Nikkei 225 stock index future transactions
-
Watanabe T., and Uchiyama H. Structural change in Japanese business fluctuations and Nikkei 225 stock index future transactions. Public Policy Rev. 1 (2005) 19-32
-
(2005)
Public Policy Rev.
, vol.1
, pp. 19-32
-
-
Watanabe, T.1
Uchiyama, H.2
|