메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 21, Issue 1, 2003, Pages 196-211

Business cycle asymmetries: Characterization and testing based on Markov-switching autoregressions

Author keywords

Deepness; Regime switching; Steepness and sharpness; Wald tests

Indexed keywords


EID: 0037237365     PISSN: 07350015     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1198/073500102288618892     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (76)

References (47)
  • 1
    • 85016270274 scopus 로고
    • Asymmetric price adjustment and economic fluctuations
    • Ball, L., and Mankiw, N. G. (1994), "Asymmetric Price Adjustment and Economic Fluctuations," Economic Journal, 104, 247-261.
    • (1994) Economic Journal , vol.104 , pp. 247-261
    • Ball, L.1    Mankiw, N.G.2
  • 2
    • 0001289268 scopus 로고
    • Do recessions permanently affect output?
    • Beaudry, P., and Koop, G. (1993), "Do Recessions Permanently Affect Output?" Journal of Monetary Economics, 31, 149-163.
    • (1993) Journal of Monetary Economics , vol.31 , pp. 149-163
    • Beaudry, P.1    Koop, G.2
  • 3
    • 0002356917 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A check on the robustness of Hamilton's Markov switching model approach to the economic analysis of the business cycle
    • Boldin, M. D. (1996), "A Check on the Robustness of Hamilton's Markov Switching Model Approach to the Economic Analysis of the Business Cycle," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, 1, 35-46.
    • (1996) Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics , vol.1 , pp. 35-46
    • Boldin, M.D.1
  • 5
    • 33750645104 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Asymmetry in the U.S. output-inflation nexus
    • Clark, P., Laxton, D., and Rose, D. (1996), "Asymmetry in the U.S. Output-Inflation Nexus," IMF Staff Papers, 43, 216-251.
    • (1996) IMF Staff Papers , vol.43 , pp. 216-251
    • Clark, P.1    Laxton, D.2    Rose, D.3
  • 6
    • 0002596525 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of the forecast performance of Markov-switching and threshold autoregressive models of U.S. GNP
    • Clements, M. P., and Krolzig, H.-M. (1998), "A Comparison of the Forecast Performance of Markov-Switching and Threshold Autoregressive Models of U.S. GNP," Econometrics Journal, 1, C47-75.
    • (1998) Econometrics Journal , vol.1
    • Clements, M.P.1    Krolzig, H.-M.2
  • 7
    • 0000154686 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating the forecast densities of linear and non-linear models: Applications to output growth and unemployment
    • Clements, M. P., and Smith, J. (2000), "Evaluating the Forecast Densities of Linear and Non-Linear Models: Applications to Output Growth and Unemployment," Journal of Forecasting, 19, 255-276.
    • (2000) Journal of Forecasting , vol.19 , pp. 255-276
    • Clements, M.P.1    Smith, J.2
  • 8
    • 0001063483 scopus 로고
    • How does macroeconomic policy affect output?
    • The Brookings Institute
    • De Long, J. B., and Summers, L. (1988), "How Does Macroeconomic Policy Affect Output?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity: 2, The Brookings Institute, 433-480.
    • (1988) Brookings Papers on Economic Activity: 2 , pp. 433-480
    • De Long, J.B.1    Summers, L.2
  • 10
    • 0002848436 scopus 로고
    • Further evidence on business cycle duration dependence
    • eds. J. H. Stock and M. W. Watson, Chicago: University of Chicago Press and National Bureau of Economic Research
    • Diebold, F. X., Rudebusch, G. D., and Sichel, D. E. (1993), "Further Evidence on Business Cycle Duration Dependence," in Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting, eds. J. H. Stock and M. W. Watson, Chicago: University of Chicago Press and National Bureau of Economic Research, pp. 255-280.
    • (1993) Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting , pp. 255-280
    • Diebold, F.X.1    Rudebusch, G.D.2    Sichel, D.E.3
  • 11
    • 84931163719 scopus 로고
    • Further evidence on the asymmetric behaviour of economic time series over the business cycle
    • Falk, B. (1986), "Further Evidence on the Asymmetric Behaviour of Economic Time Series Over the Business Cycle" Journal of Political Economy, 94, 1096-1109.
    • (1986) Journal of Political Economy , vol.94 , pp. 1096-1109
    • Falk, B.1
  • 12
    • 84952252413 scopus 로고
    • Business-cycle phases and their transitional dynamics
    • Filardo, A. J. (1994), "Business-Cycle Phases and Their Transitional Dynamics," Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 12, 299-308.
    • (1994) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.12 , pp. 299-308
    • Filardo, A.J.1
  • 14
    • 8644289371 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stochastic trends, deterministic trends, and business cycle turning points
    • Gordon, S. (1997), "Stochastic Trends, Deterministic Trends, and Business Cycle Turning Points," Journal of Applied Econometrics, 12, 411-434.
    • (1997) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.12 , pp. 411-434
    • Gordon, S.1
  • 15
    • 0001342006 scopus 로고
    • A new approach to the economic analysis of nonstationary time series and the business cycle
    • Hamilton, J. D. (1989), "A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle," Econometrica, 57, 357-384.
    • (1989) Econometrica , vol.57 , pp. 357-384
    • Hamilton, J.D.1
  • 16
    • 45149138487 scopus 로고
    • Analysis of time series subject to changes in regime
    • _ (1990), "Analysis of Time Series Subject to Changes in Regime," Journal of Econometrics, 45, 39-70.
    • (1990) Journal of Econometrics , vol.45 , pp. 39-70
  • 17
    • 0039805537 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stock market volatility and the business cycle
    • Hamilton, J. D., and Lin, G. (1996), "Stock Market Volatility and the Business Cycle," Journal of Applied Econometrics, 11, 573-593.
    • (1996) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.11 , pp. 573-593
    • Hamilton, J.D.1    Lin, G.2
  • 18
    • 84986382561 scopus 로고
    • The likelihood ratio test under nonstandard conditions: Testing the Markov switching model of GNP
    • Hansen, B. E. (1992), "The Likelihood Ratio Test Under Nonstandard Conditions: Testing the Markov Switching Model of GNP," Journal of Applied Econometrics, 7, S61-S82.
    • (1992) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.7
    • Hansen, B.E.1
  • 19
    • 13844292397 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Erratum: The likelihood ratio test under nonstandard conditions: Testing the Markov switching model of GNP
    • _ (1996), "Erratum: The Likelihood Ratio Test Under Nonstandard Conditions: Testing the Markov Switching Model of GNP," Journal of Applied Econometrics, 11, 195-198.
    • (1996) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.11 , pp. 195-198
  • 20
    • 0031498504 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Asymmetric persistence in GDP? A deeper look at depth
    • Hess, G. D., and Iwata, S. (1997a), "Asymmetric Persistence in GDP? A Deeper Look at Depth," Journal of Monetary Economics, 40, 535-554.
    • (1997) Journal of Monetary Economics , vol.40 , pp. 535-554
    • Hess, G.D.1    Iwata, S.2
  • 21
    • 0001660088 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measuring and comparing business-cycle features
    • _ (1997b), "Measuring and Comparing Business-Cycle Features," Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 15, 432-444.
    • (1997) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.15 , pp. 432-444
  • 23
    • 0001353625 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impulse response analysis in nonlinear multivariate models
    • Koop, G., Pesaran, M. H., and Potter, S. M. (1996), "Impulse Response Analysis in Nonlinear Multivariate Models," Journal of Econometrics, 74, 119-147.
    • (1996) Journal of Econometrics , vol.74 , pp. 119-147
    • Koop, G.1    Pesaran, M.H.2    Potter, S.M.3
  • 24
    • 0003335593 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Markov switching vector autoregressions: Modelling, statistical inference and application to business cycle analysis
    • Berlin: Springer-Verlag
    • Krolzig, H.-M. (1997), Markov Switching Vector Autoregressions: Modelling, Statistical Inference and Application to Business Cycle Analysis, Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems 454, Berlin: Springer-Verlag.
    • (1997) Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems , vol.454
    • Krolzig, H.-M.1
  • 28
    • 44949289676 scopus 로고
    • The Hamilton model with a general autoregressive component. Estimation and comparison with other models of economic time series
    • Lam, P.-S. (1990), "The Hamilton Model With a General Autoregressive Component. Estimation and Comparison With Other Models of Economic Time Series," Journal of Monetary Economics, 26, 409-432.
    • (1990) Journal of Monetary Economics , vol.26 , pp. 409-432
    • Lam, P.-S.1
  • 29
    • 0000005847 scopus 로고
    • Asymmetric effects of economic activity on inflation: Evidence and policy implications
    • Laxton, D., Meredith, G., and Rose, D. (1995), "Asymmetric Effects of Economic Activity on Inflation: Evidence and Policy Implications" IMF Staff Papers, 42, 344-374.
    • (1995) IMF Staff Papers , vol.42 , pp. 344-374
    • Laxton, D.1    Meredith, G.2    Rose, D.3
  • 30
    • 0000894103 scopus 로고
    • Testing linearity against smooth transition autoregressive models
    • Luukkonen, R., Saikkonen, P., and Teräsvirta, T. (1988), "Testing Linearity Against Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models," Biometrika, 75, 491-499.
    • (1988) Biometrika , vol.75 , pp. 491-499
    • Luukkonen, R.1    Saikkonen, P.2    Teräsvirta, T.3
  • 31
    • 0001636028 scopus 로고
    • Testing linearity of economic time series against cyclical asymmetry
    • Luukkonen, R., and Teräsvirta, T. (1991), "Testing Linearity of Economic Time Series Against Cyclical Asymmetry," Annales d'Economie et de Statistique, 20/21, 125-142.
    • (1991) Annales d'Economie et de Statistique , vol.20-21 , pp. 125-142
    • Luukkonen, R.1    Teräsvirta, T.2
  • 32
  • 34
    • 43549096463 scopus 로고
    • Are economic time series asymmetric over the business cycle?
    • Neftci, S. N. (1984), "Are Economic Time Series Asymmetric Over the Business Cycle?," Journal of Political Economy, 92, 307-328.
    • (1984) Journal of Political Economy , vol.92 , pp. 307-328
    • Neftci, S.N.1
  • 36
    • 84983904693 scopus 로고
    • A nonlinear approach to U.S. GNP
    • Potter, S. (1995), "A Nonlinear Approach to U.S. GNP," Journal of Applied Econometrics, 10, 109-125.
    • (1995) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.10 , pp. 109-125
    • Potter, S.1
  • 37
    • 0000885183 scopus 로고
    • Stylized facts and regime changes: Are prices procyclical?
    • Ravn, M. O., and Sola, M. (1995), "Stylized Facts and Regime Changes: Are Prices Procyclical?," Journal of Monetary Economics, 36, 497-526.
    • (1995) Journal of Monetary Economics , vol.36 , pp. 497-526
    • Ravn, M.O.1    Sola, M.2
  • 38
    • 44949272302 scopus 로고
    • Further evidence on the asymmetric behaviour of unemployment rates over the business cycle
    • Rothman, P. (1991), "Further Evidence on the Asymmetric Behaviour of Unemployment Rates Over the Business Cycle," Journal of Macroeconomics, 13, 291-298.
    • (1991) Journal of Macroeconomics , vol.13 , pp. 291-298
    • Rothman, P.1
  • 39
    • 84931163648 scopus 로고
    • Are business cycles asymmetric? A correction
    • Sichel, D. E. (1989), "Are Business Cycles Asymmetric? A Correction," Journal of Political Economy, 97, 1255-1260.
    • (1989) Journal of Political Economy , vol.97 , pp. 1255-1260
    • Sichel, D.E.1
  • 40
    • 0001145296 scopus 로고
    • Business cycle duration dependence: A parametric approach
    • _ (1991), "Business Cycle Duration Dependence: A Parametric Approach," The Review of Economics and Statistics, 73, 254-260.
    • (1991) The Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.73 , pp. 254-260
  • 41
    • 84977411866 scopus 로고
    • Business cycle asymmetry
    • _ (1993), "Business Cycle Asymmetry," Economic Inquiry, 31, 224-236.
    • (1993) Economic Inquiry , vol.31 , pp. 224-236
  • 42
    • 21344495687 scopus 로고
    • Inventories and the three phases of the business cycle
    • _ (1994), "Inventories and the Three Phases of the Business Cycle," Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 12, 269-277.
    • (1994) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.12 , pp. 269-277
  • 44
    • 84986414326 scopus 로고
    • Characterizing nonlinearities in business cycles using smooth transition autoregressive models
    • Teräsvirta, T., and Anderson, H. M. (1992), "Characterizing Nonlinearities in Business Cycles Using Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, 7, 119-139.
    • (1992) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.7 , pp. 119-139
    • Teräsvirta, T.1    Anderson, H.M.2
  • 45
    • 84979455306 scopus 로고
    • Some advances in non-linear and adaptive modelling in time-series
    • Tiao, G. C., and Tsay, R. S. (1994), "Some Advances in Non-Linear and Adaptive Modelling in Time-Series," Journal of Forecasting, 13, 109-131.
    • (1994) Journal of Forecasting , vol.13 , pp. 109-131
    • Tiao, G.C.1    Tsay, R.S.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.