Modelling the impact of recent land-cover changes on the stream flows in northeastern Puerto Rico

Hydrological Processes

Volumn 21, Issue 21, 2007, Pages 2944-2956

  Wu, Wei ^a,c   Hall, Charles A S ^a   Scatena, Frederick N ^b  

^a STATE UNIVERSITY OF NEW YORK   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA   (United States)

^c DUKE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Evapotranspiration; GWLF; Land cover change; Model; Remote sensing; Sensitivity analysis; Stream flow

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION; HURRICANES; HYDROLOGY; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; RAIN; REMOTE SENSING; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; WATERSHEDS;

GENERALIZED WATERSHED LOADING FUNCTION; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; LAND-COVER CHANGES;

STREAM FLOW;

ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION; HURRICANES; HYDROLOGY; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; RAIN; REMOTE SENSING; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; STREAM FLOW; WATERSHEDS;

COMPUTER SIMULATION; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION; LAND COVER; LAND USE CHANGE; REFORESTATION; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; STREAMFLOW; WATER MANAGEMENT;

ATLANTIC ISLANDS; ATLANTIC OCEAN; CARIBBEAN ISLANDS; GREATER ANTILLES; PUERTO RICO;

EID: 35348964702     PISSN: 08856087     EISSN: 10991085     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/hyp.6515     Document Type: Article

References (60)

1. Beres DL, Hawkins DM. 2001. Plackett-Burman technique for sensitivity analysis of many-parametered models. Ecological Modelling 141: 171-183.
2. Beven KJ. 2001. Rainfall-Runoff Modelling: The Primer. Wiley: Chichester.
3. Chagnon S. 1992. Cloud and precipitation development related to St. Louis summer rainfall anomaly. NOAA COM NA90 AA-H-OA 175, NOAA, Champaign, IL.
4. Chagnon S, Shealy R, Scott R. 1991. Precipitating changes in fall, winter and spring caused by St. Louis. Journal of Applied Meteorology 30: 126-134.
5. Dikshit AK. 1994. Estimating non-point source pollutant loadings using geographic information systems. PhD dissertation, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA.
6. Dirmeyer PA, Shukla J. 1994. Albedo as a modulator of climate response to tropical deforestation. Journal of Geographic Research 99: 20863-20877.
7. Evans BM, Lehning DW, Corradini KJ, Petersen GW, Nizeyimana E, Hamlett JM, Robillard PD, Day RL. 2002. A comprehensive GIS-based modeling approach for predicting nutrient loads in watersheds. Journal of Spatial Hydrology 2(2): 1-18.
8. Grau HR, Aide TM, Zimmerman JK, Thomlinson JR, Helmer E, Zou X. 2003. The ecological consequences of socioeconomic and land-use changes in postagriculture Puerto Rico. BioScienre 53: 1159-1168.
9. Haith DA, Shoemaker LL. 1987. Generalized watershed loading functions for stream flow nutrients. Water Resource Bulletin 23: 471-478.
10. Hawkins RH. 1978. Runoff curve numbers with varying site moisture. Journal of Irrigation and Drainage Division, American Society of Civil Engineers 104(IR4): 389-398.
11. Helmer EH, Ramos O, López TDM, Ouinones M, Diaz W. 2002. Mapping the forest type and land cover of Puerto Rico, a component of the Caribbean biodiversity hotspot. Caribbean Journal of Sciences 38: 165-183.
12. Huber WC, Heaney JP, Bedient BP, Bender JP. 1976. Environmental resources management studies in the Kissimmee river basin. Report ENV-05-76-3, Department of Environmental Engineering and Science, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL.
13. Hundecha Y, Bádossy A. 2004. Modelling of the effect of land use changes on the runoff generation of a river basin through parameter regionalization of a watershed model. Journal of Hydrology 292: 281-295.
14. Jakeman AJ, Hornberger GM. 1993. How much complexity is warranted in a rainfall-runoff model. Water Resources Research 29: 2637-2649.
15. Jauregui E, Romales E. 1996. Urban effects on convective precipitation in Mexico City. Atmospheric Environment 30: 3383-3389.
16. Kairullin K, Yakovlev B. 1990. Influence of urbanization on thunderstorms and hail. Trudy Ordena Trudovogo Krasnogo Znameni Glavnov Geofizicheskoi Observatorii, Leningrad 527: 44-51.
17. Khemani L, Murty B. 1973. Rainfall variations in an urban industrial region. Journal of Applied Meteorology 12: 187-194.
18. Knisel WG. 1980. CREAMS, a field-scale model for chemicals, runoff, and erosion from agricultural management systems. In Conservation Report 26, USDA Agriculture Research Service, Washington, DC.
19. Kokkonen TS, Jakeman AJ. 2002. Structural effects of landscape and land use on streamflow response. In Environmental Foresight and Models: A Manifesto, Beck MB (ed.). Elsevier: Oxford; 303-321.
20. Larsen MC. 2000. Analysis of 20th century rainfall and streamflow to characterize drought and water resources in Puerto Rico. Physical Geography 21: 494-521.
21. Lawton RO, Nair US, Pielke RA, Welch RM. 2001. Climatic impact of tropical deforestation on nearby montane cloud forests. Science 294(5542): 584-587.
22. Lee D. 1994. The urban modification of acid deposition. Idojras 98: 87-106.
23. López TM, Aide TM, Thomlinson JR. 2001. Urban expansion and the loss of prime agricultural lands in Puerto Rico. Ambio 30: 49-54.
24. Makino I. 1999. Land cover change and its effects on runoff in the Doki River catchment. http://www.gisdevelopment.net/aars/acrs/1999/ ps5/ps5066.shtml (access date: 6 September 2005).
25. Marshall RD. 1990. Hurricane Hugo in the Caribbean; assessment of surface wind speeds by the National Institute of Standards and Technology. Gaithersburg, Maryland. Department of Structural Engineering, University of Puerto Rico, Rio Piedras, Puerto Rico.
26. McCarthy JJ, Canziani OF, Leary NA, Dokken DJ, White KS (eds). 2001. Climate Change 2001: The Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK.
27. Meybeck M, Vörösmarty CJ. 2004. The integrity of river and drainage basin systems: challenges from environmental change. In Vegetation, Water, Humans and the Climate: A New Perspective on an Interactive System; Part D. IGBP Global Change Series, Kabat P, Claussen M, Dirmeyer PA, Gash JHC, de Guenni LB, Meybeck, Pielke Sr RA, Vörösmarty C, Hutjes RWA, Luetkemeier S (eds). Spring-Verlag: Berlin; 294-480.
28. Mishra SK, Singh VP. 2004. Long-term hydrological simulation based on the soil conservation service curve number. Hydrological Processes 18: 1291-1313.
29. Mishra SK, Goel NK, Seth SM, Srivastava DK. 1998. An SCS-CN based long-term daily flow simulation model a hilly catchment. In International Symposium on Hydrology of Ungauged Streams in Hilly Regions for Small Hydro Power Development, 9-10 March, New Delhi.
30. Muchnik V. 1989. Formation of thunderstorms and hail near an industrial city. Trudy Gosudarstevennyi Komitet SSR Gidrometeorologii Instituta 230: 55-59.
31. Mylne MF, Rowntree PR. 1992. Modeling the effects of albedo changes associated with tropical deforestation. Climatic Change 21: 317-343.
32. Nair US, Lawton RO, Welch RM, Pielke RA. 2003. Impact of land use on Costa Rican tropical montane cloud forests: sensitivity of cumulus cloud field characteristics to lowland deforestation. Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres 108: ACL 4-1-ACL 4-13.
33. Nepstad DC, Carvalho CR, Davidson EA, Lefebre PA, Negreiros GH, da Silva ED, Stone TA, Trumbore SE, Vieira S. 1994. The role of deep roots in the hydrological and carbon cycles of Amazonian forests and pastures. Nature 372: 666-669.
34. Niehoff D, Fritsch U, Bronstert A. 2002. Land-use impacts on storm-runoff generation: scenarios of land-use change and simulation of hydrological response in a meso-scale catchment in SW-Germany. Journal of Hydrology 267: 80-93.
35. Park CC. 1992. Tropical Rainforests. Routledge: London.
36. Plackett RL, Burman JP. 1946. The design of optimum multifactorial experiments. Biometrika 33: 305-325.
37. Polcher J. 1995. Sensitivity of tropical convection to land surface processes. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 52: 3143-3161.
38. Polcher J, Laval K. 1994a. The impact of African and Amazonian deforestation on climate in the LMD GCM. Climate Dynamics 10: 205-219.
39. Polcher J, Laval K. 1994b. The impact of African and Amazonian deforestation on tropical climate. Journal of Hydrology 155: 389-405.
40. Ramos OM. 2001. Assessing vegetation and land cover changes in northeastern Puerto Rico: 1978-1995. Caribbean Journal of Science 37: 95-106.
41. Ramos OM, Lugo AE. 1994. Mapa de la vegetación de Puerto Rico. Acta Cientifica 8: 63-66.
42. Rivera-Ramírez HD, Warner GS, Scatena FN. 2002. Prediction of master recession curved and baseflow recessions in the Luquillo Mountains of Puerto Rico. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 38: 693-704.
43. Romero D, Madramootoo CA, Enright P. 2002. Modelling the hydrology of an agricultural watershed in Quebec using SLURP. Canadian Biosystems Engineering 44: 1.11-1.20.
44. Scatena FN, Larsen MC. 1991. Physical aspects of Hurricane Hugo in Puerto Rico. Biotropica 23: 317-323.
45. Schellekens J, Scatena FN, Bruijnzeel LA, Wickel AJ. 1999. Modelling rainfall interception by a lowland tropical rain forest in northeastern Puerto Rico. Journal of Hydrology 225: 168-184.
46. Shafir H, Alpert P. 1990. On the urban orographic rainfall anomaly in Jerusalem - a numerical study. Atmospheric Environment B: Urban Atmosphere 24: 365-375.
47. Shukla J, Nobre C, Sellers P. 1990. Amazon deforestation and climate change. Science 247: 1322-1325.
48. Simmonds I, Kawal J. 1986. Day of the week variation of rainfall and maximum temperature in Melbourne, Australia. Archiv für Meteorologie, Geophysik und Bioklimatologie, Serie B: Klimatologie, Umweltmeteorologie, Strahlungsforschung 36: 317-330.
49. Soni B, Mishra GC. 1985. Soil water accounting using SCS hydrologic soil classification. Case study. National Institute of Hydrology, Roorkee (India).
50. Steffen W, Sanderson A, Tyson PD, Jäger J, Matson PA, Moore III B, Oldfield F, Richardson K, Schekkbgyber HJ, Turner II BL, Wasson RJ. 2004. Living with global change: consequences of changes in the Earth system for human well-being. In Global Change and the Earth System: A Planet under Pressure, Steffan W, Tyson P (eds). Spring-Verlag: Berlin; chapter 5.
51. Stulov EA. 1993. Urban effects on summer precipitation in Moscow. Russian Meteorology and Hydrology 11: 34-41.
52. Traicu E. 1987. The effect of Bucharest on precipitation. Stud. Res. Met. 1: 115-124.
53. Uhlenbrook S, Roser S, Tilch N. 2004. Hydrological process representation at the meso-scale: the potential of a distributed, concept catchment model. Journal of Hydrology 291: 278-296.
54. Urbonas BR, Roesner LA. 1992. Hydrological design for urban drainage & flood control. In Handbook of Hydrology, Maidment DR (ed). McGraw-Hill: New York; 21.1-21.2.
55. Van der Molen MK. 2002. Meteorological impacts of land use change in the maritime tropics. PhD dissertation, Vrije University, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
56. Vörösmarty CJ, Meybeck M, Fekete B, Sharma K, Green P, Syvitksi J. 2003. Anthropogenic sediment retention: major global-scale impact from the population of registered impoundments. Global Planet Change 39: 169-190.
57. Watson RT, Noble IR, Bolin B, Ravindranath NH, Verardo DJ, Dokken DJ (eds). 2001. Land Use, Land Use Change, and Forestry. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK.
58. Williams JR, LaSeur V. 1976. Water yield model using SCS curve number work group. In Proceedings, ASCE Water Forum'92. American Society of Civil Engineers: New York: 378-382.
59. Wu W, Hall CAS, Scatena FN, Quackenbush L. 2006. Spatial modeling of evapotranspiration in the Luquillo Experimental Forest of Puerto Rico using remote sensed data. Journal of Hydrology 328: 733-752.
60. Yukuan S, Longxun C, Min D. 1994. Numerical simulation for the impact of deforestation on climate in China and its neighboring regions. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 11: 212-223.