Experimental seasonal forecast of monsoon 2005 using T170L42 AGCM on PARAM Padma

Pure and Applied Geophysics

Volumn 164, Issue 8-9, 2007, Pages 1641-1665

  Ratnam, J Venkata ^a   Sikka, D R ^b   Kaginalkar, Akshara ^a   Kesarkar, Amit ^a   Jyothi, N ^a   Banerjee, Sudipta ^a  

^a CENTRE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF ADVANCED COMPUTING   (India)

^b NONE   (India)

Author keywords

CFSSST; Monsoon seasonal forecast; PARAM Padma; T170L42

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; CLIMATE MODELING; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; EXPERIMENTAL STUDY; MONSOON; OBSERVATIONAL METHOD; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; SEASONAL VARIATION; SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION; WEATHER FORECASTING;

ASIA; EURASIA; INDIA; SOUTH ASIA;

NELUMBO NUCIFERA;

EID: 34548307262     PISSN: 00334553     EISSN: 14209136     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00024-007-0242-3     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (28)

1. ANANTHAKRISHANAN, R., ACHARYA, U. R., and RAMAKRISHNAN, A. R., On the criteria for declaring the onset of southwest monsoon over Kerala in India, Meteorological Department Forecasting Manual (FMU Rep. IV-18.1, India Meteorological Department, 1967).
2. CHANG, C.-P. and KRISHNAMURTI, T. N., Monsoon Meteorology (Oxford University Press. New York 1987).
3. CHARNEY, J.G. and SHUKLA, J., Predictability of Monsoons in Monsoon Dynamics (eds. James Lighthill and R.P. Pearce) (Cambridge University Press, 1981) pp. 99-109.
4. FU, X.,WANG, B., and LI, T. (2002), Impacts of air-sea coupling on the simulation of the mean Asian summer monsoon in the ECHAM-4 model, Mon. Wea. Rev. 130(12), 2889-2904.
5. HOU, Y.-T., MOORTHI, S., and CAMPANA, K.A., Parameterization of solar radiation transfer in the NCEP models (NCEP Office Note 441, 2002).
6. INNESS, P.M. and SLINGO, J.M. (2003), Simulation of the Madden-Julian oscillation in a coupled general circulation model I: Comparisons with observations and an atmosphere-only GCM, J. Climate 16, 345-364.
7. JHA, B., KRISHNAMURTI, T. N., and CHRISTIDES, Z. (2000), A note on horizontal resolution dependence for monsoon rainfall simulations, Meteor. Atmos. Phys. 74, 11-17.
8. KANG, I.-S., JIN, K., WANG, B., LAU, K.-M., SHUKLA, J., KRISHNAMURTHY, V., SCHUBERT, S.D., WALISER, D.E., STERN, W.F., KITOH, A., MEEHL, G.A., KANAMITSU, M., GALIN, V.Y., SATYAN, V., PARK, C.K., and LIU, Q. (2002), Intercomparison of atmospheric GCM simulated anomalies associated with the 1997-98 El Ninõ, J. Climate 15, 2791-2805.
9. KRISHNAMURTI, T. N. and ARDUNAY, P. (1980), The 10 to 20 day westward propagating mode and "breaks in the monsoons," Tellus 32, 15-26.
10. KRISHNAMURTHI, T. N., RAMANATHAN, Y. (1982), Sensitivity of the monsoon onset of di.erential heating, J. Atmos. Sci. 39, 1290-1306.
11. KRISHNAMURTHI, T. N. and KISHTAWAL, C.M., LAROW, T., BACHIOCHI, D., ZHANG, Z.,WILLIFORD, C.E., GADGIL, S., and SURENDRAN, S. (2000a), Multimodel ensemble forecast for weather and seasonal climate, J. Climate 13, 4196-4216.
12. KRISHNA MURTHI, T. N., KISHTAWAL, C. M., SHIN, D. W., and WILLIFORD, C. E. (2000b), Improving tropical precipitation forecasts from a multianalysis superensemble, J. Climate 13, 4217-4227.
13. KRISHNAMURTHI, T. N., SURENDRAN, S., SHIN, D.W., CORREA-TORRES, R.J., VIJAYA KUMAR, T.S.V., WILLIFORD, C.E., KUMMEROW, C., ADLER, R.F., SIMPSON, J., KAKAR, R., OLSON, W.S., and TURK, F.J. (2001), Real time multianalysis - multimodal superensemble forecast of precipitation using TRMM and SSM/I products, Mon. Wea. Rev. 129 2861-2883.
14. KRISHNAMURTHI, T. N. (2005), Weather and seasonal climate prediction of Asian summer monsoon, Review Topic B1a: Numerical Modeling - Forecast, 1-34. (www.weather.nps.navy.mil/~cpchang/IWM-III/ R4- B1a-NumericalModeling-forecast.pdf).
15. PAN, H.-L. and WU., W.-S., Implementing a Mass Flux Convection Parameterization Package for the NMC Medium-Range Forecast Model (NMC Office Note, No. 409, 1995), (Available from NCEP, 5200 Auth Road, Washington, DC 20233).
16. LAL, B., JAYANTHI, N., PRASAD, T., RAJEEVAN, M., SUNITHA DEVI, SRIVASTAVA, A.K., and PAI, D.S., Monsoon 2005-A report. (IMD Met. Monograph, Synoptic Met.-3/2006, 2006).
17. MLAWER, E.J., TAUBMAN, S.J., BROWN, P.D., IACONO, M.J., and CLOUGH, S.A. (1997), Radiative transfer for inhomogeneous atmospheres: RRTM, a validated correlated-k model for the longwave, J. Geophys. Res. 102, 16663-16682.
18. RAMAGE, C. S., Monsoon Meteorology (Academic Press, New York and London, 1971).
19. RAO, Y. P., Southwest Monsoon, In Meteor. Monograph, Synoptic Meteor. 1/1976 (India Meteor. Dept., 1976).
20. REYNOLDS, R.W. and SMITH, T.M. (1994), Improved global sea surface temperature analysis using optimum interpolation, J. Climate 7, 929-948.
21. SAHA, S. (2004), Documentation of operational NCEP CFS data files. (Can be obtained from http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/ssaha/ cfs_data/cfs_data.pdf).
22. SAHA, S., NADIGA, S., THIAW, C., WANG, J., WANG, W., ZHANG, Q., VAN DEN DOOL, H.M., PAN, H.-L., MOORTHI, S., BEHRINGER, D., STOKES, D., PENA, M., LORD, S., WHITE, G., EBISUZAKI, W., PENG, P., and XIE, P. (2006), The NCEP Climate Forecast System, In press, J. Climate (Can be obtained from http://cfs.ncep.noaa.gov/).
23. SPERBER, K. R., HAMEED, S., POTTER, G.L., and BOYLE, J.S. (1994), Simulation of northern summer monsoon in the ECMWF model: Sensitivity to horizontal resolution, Mon. Wea. Rev. 122, 2461-2481.
24. SIKKA, D. R. and GADGIL, S. (1980), On the maximum cloud zone and the ITCZ over India longitude during the southwest monsoon, Mon. Weather Rev. 108, 1840-1853.
25. SIMPSON, J., ADLER, R.F., and NORTH, G.R. (1988), A proposed Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite, Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc. 69, 278-295.
26. VERNEKAR, A.D. and JI, Y. (1999), Simulation of the onset and intraseasonal variability of two contrasting summer monsoons, J. Climate 12, 1707-1725.
27. XIE, P. and ARKIN, P. (1997), Global precipitation: A 17 year monthly precipitation based on observations, satellite estimates, and numerical model outputs, Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc. 78, 2539-2558.
28. YASUNARI, T. (1980), A quasi-stationary appearance of 30-40 day period in the cloudiness fuctuation during the summer monsoon over India J. Meteor. Soc. Japan 58, 225-229.