Precision, bias, and uncertainty for state population forecasts: An exploratory analysis of time series models

Population Research and Policy Review

Volumn 26, Issue 3, 2007, Pages 347-369

  Tayman, Jeff ^a   Smith, Stanley K ^b   Lin, Jeffrey ^c  

^a San Diego Association of Governments   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

Author keywords

ARIMA; Forecast accuracy; Forecast uncertainty; Population forecasts; Prediction intervals

Indexed keywords

ESTIMATION METHOD; FORECASTING METHOD; GROWTH RATE; MODEL; POPULATION SIZE; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 34548220478     PISSN: 01675923     EISSN: 15737829     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s11113-007-9034-9     Document Type: Article

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