Composite reliability assessment based on Monte Carlo simulation and artificial neural networks

IEEE Transactions on Power Systems

Volumn 22, Issue 3, 2007, Pages 1202-1209

  Leite da Silva, Armando M ^a   de Resende, Leonidas Chaves ^a   da Fonseca Manso, Luis Antônio ^b   Miranda, Vladimiro ^c,d  

^a FEDERAL UNIVERSITY OF ITAJUBÁ   (Brazil)

^b FEDERAL UNIVERSITY OF SÃO JOÃO DEL REI   (Brazil)

^c UNIVERSITY OF PORTO   (Portugal)

^d UNIVERSITY OF PORTO   (Portugal)

Author keywords

Artificial neural networks; Composite reliability; Group method data handling; Monte Carlo simulation; Pattern analysis

Indexed keywords

COMPUTER SIMULATION; COST REDUCTION; DATA HANDLING; MONTE CARLO METHODS; NEURAL NETWORKS; POLYNOMIALS;

COMPOSITE RELIABILITY; GROUP METHOD DATA HANDLING; PATTERN ANALYSIS;

ELECTRIC POWER TRANSMISSION;

EID: 34548040956     PISSN: 08858950     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1109/TPWRS.2007.901302     Document Type: Article

References (27)

1. R. Billinton and R. N. Allan, Reliability Evaluation of Power Systems New York: Plenum, 1996.
2. A. M. Leite da Silva, L. A. F. Manso, J. C. O. Mello, and R. Billinton, "Pseudo-chronological simulation for composite reliability analysis with time varying loads," IEEE Trans. Power Syst., vol. 15, no. 1, pp. 73-80, Feb. 2000.
3. A. M. Leite da Silva, L. C. Resende, L. A. F. Manso, and R. Billinton, "Well-being analysis for composite generation and transmission systems," IEEE Trans. Power Syst., vol. 19, no. 4, pp. 1763-1770, Nov. 2004.
4. M. V. F. Pereira and N. J. Balu, "Composite generation/transmission reliability evaluation," Proc. IEEE, vol. 80, no. 4, pp. 470-491, Apr. 1992.
5. L. Salvaderi, Monte Carlo Simulation Techniques in Reliability Assessment of Composite Generation and Transmission Systems, IEEE Tutorial Course 90EH0311-1-PWR, 1990.
6. J. C. O. Mello, M. V. F. Pereira, and A. M. Leite da Silva, "Evaluation of reliability worth in composite system based on pseudo-sequential Monte Carlo simulation," IEEE Trans. Power Syst., vol. 9, no. 3, pp. 1318-1326, Aug. 1994.
7. A. C. G. Melo, M. V. Pereira, and A. M. Leite da Silva, "Frequency and duration calculations in composite generation and transmission reliability evaluation," IEEE Trans. Power Syst., vol. 7, no. 2, pp. 469-476, May 1992.
8. A. C. G. Melo, M. V. Pereira, and A. M. Leite da Silva, "A conditional probability approach to the calculation of frequency and duration indices in composite reliability evaluations," IEEE Trans. Power Syst., vol. 8, no. 3, pp. 1118-1125, Aug. 1993.
9. R. Billinton and W. Li, "A system state transition sampling method for composite system reliability evaluation," IEEE Trans. Power Syst. vol. 8, no. 3, pp. 761-770, Aug. 1993.
10. J. C. O. Mello, A. M. Leite da Silva, and M. V. F. Pereira, "Efficient loss-of-load cost evaluation by combined pseudo-sequential and state transition simulation," Proc. Inst. Elect. Eng. C, vol. 144, no. 2, pp. 147-154, Mar. 1997.
11. G. J. Anders, J. Endrenyi, M. V. Pereira, L. M. V. G. Pinto, C. G. Oliveira, and S. H. F. Cunha, "Fast Monte-Carlo simulation techniques for power system reliability studies," presented at the Proc. 1990 CIGRE Meeting, Paris, France, Sep. 1990, Paper 38-205.
12. J. Tome Saraiva, V. Miranda, and L. M. V. G. Pinto, "Generation/ transmission power system reliability evaluation by Monte-Carlo simulation assuming a fuzzy load description," IEEE Trans. Power Syst., vol. 11, no. 2, pp. 690-695, May 1996.
13. C. Singh and J. Mitra, "Composite system reliability evaluation using state space pruning," IEEE Trans. Power Syst., vol. 12, no. 1, pp. 471-479, Feb. 1997.
14. C. L. T. Borges, D. M. Falcao, J. C. O. Mello, and A. C. G. Melo, "Composite reliability evaluation by sequential Monte Carlo simulation on parallel and distributed processing environments," IEEE Trans. Power Syst., vol. 16, no. 2, pp. 203-209, May 2001.
15. X. Luo, C. Singh, and A. D. Patton, "Loss-of-load state identification using self-organizing map," in Proc. Power Eng. Soc. Summer Meeting Jul. 18-22, 1999, vol. 2, pp. 670-675.
16. X. Luo, C. Singh, and A. D. Patton, "Power system reliability evaluation using self organizing map," in Proc. Power Eng. Soc. Winter Meeting, Jan. 23-27, 2000, vol. 2, pp. 1103-1108.
17. Y. Song, G. Bu, and R. Zhang, "A fast method probabilistic reliability assessment of bulk power systems using FSOM neural network as system states filters," in Proc. IEEE/Power Eng. Soc. Transmission and Distribution Conf. Exhib.: Asia and Pacific, Aug. 2005, pp. 1-6.
18. C. Singh, X. Luo, and H. Kim, "Power system adequacy and security calculations using Monte Carlo simulation incorporating intelligent system methodology," in Proc. 9th Int. Conf. Probability Methods Applied to Power Systems, Stockholm, Sweden, Jun. 11-15, 2006.
19. M. T. Schilling, J. C. S. Souza, A. P. Alves da Silva, and M. B. Do Coutto Filho, "Power systems reliability evaluation using neural networks," Eng. Intell. Syst., vol. 9, no. 4, pp. 219-226, Dec. 2001.
20. A. G. Ivakhnenko, "Polynomial theory of complex systems," IEEE Trans. Syst., Man, Cybern., vol. SMC-1, no. 4, pp. 364-378, Oct. 1971.
21. S. J. Farlow, Self-Organizing Methods in Modeling - GMDH Type Algorithm. New York: Marcel Dekker, 1984.
22. J. C. S. Souza, A. M. Leite da Silva, and A. P. Alves da Silva, "Data debugging for real-time power system monitoring based on pattern analysis," IEEE Trans. Power Syst., vol. 11, no. 3, pp. 1592-1599, Aug. 1996.
23. J. C. S. Souza, A. M. Leite da Silva, and A. P. Alves da Silva, "Data visualisation and identification of anomalies in power system state estimation using artificial neural networks," Proc. Inst. Elect. Eng., Gen., Transm., Distrib., vol. 144, no. 5, pp. 445-455, Sep. 1997.
24. P. Yuanidis, M. A. Styblisnki, D. R. Smith, and C. Singh, "Reliability modeling of flexible manufacturing systems," Microelectron. Reliab. vol. 34, no. 7, pp. 1203-1220, Jul. 1994.
25. IEEE APM Subcommittee, "IEEE reliability test system," IEEE Trans. Power App. Syst., vol. PAS-99, pp. 2047-2054, Nov./Dec. 1979.
26. IEEE APM Subcommittee, "IEEE reliability test system - 1996," IEEE Trans. Power Syst., vol. 14, no. 3, pp. 1010-1020, Aug. 1996.
27. A. M. Leite da Silva, L. C. Resende, and L. A. F. Manso, "Application of Monte Carlo simulation to well-being analysis of large composite power systems," in Proc. 9th Int. Conf. Probability Methods Applied to Power Systems, Stockholm, Sweden, Jun. 11-15, 2006.