-
1
-
-
0141682983
-
Spatial and interannual variability of the reliability of ensemble-based probabilistic forecasts: Consequences for calibration
-
Atger, F. (2003), Spatial and interannual variability of the reliability of ensemble-based probabilistic forecasts: Consequences for calibration, Mon. Weather Rev., 131, 1509-1523.
-
(2003)
Mon. Weather Rev
, vol.131
, pp. 1509-1523
-
-
Atger, F.1
-
2
-
-
0003010182
-
Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability
-
Brier, G. W. (1950), Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability, Mon. Weather Rev., 7, 1-3.
-
(1950)
Mon. Weather Rev
, vol.7
, pp. 1-3
-
-
Brier, G.W.1
-
3
-
-
84905358181
-
-
Byun, D. W., and J. K. S. Ching (Eds.) (1999), Science algorithms of the EPA Models-3 Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) Modeling System, EPA-600/R-99/030, Off. of Res. and Dev., U.S. Environ. Prot. Agency, Washington, D. C.
-
Byun, D. W., and J. K. S. Ching (Eds.) (1999), Science algorithms of the EPA Models-3 Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) Modeling System, EPA-600/R-99/030, Off. of Res. and Dev., U.S. Environ. Prot. Agency, Washington, D. C.
-
-
-
-
4
-
-
1342289341
-
Regional-scale chemical transport modeling in support of the analysis of observations obtained during the TRACE-P experiment
-
doi:10.1029/ 2002JD003117
-
Carmichael, G. R., et al. (2003), Regional-scale chemical transport modeling in support of the analysis of observations obtained during the TRACE-P experiment, J. Geophys. Res., 108(D21), 8823, doi:10.1029/ 2002JD003117.
-
(2003)
J. Geophys. Res
, vol.108
, Issue.D21
, pp. 8823
-
-
Carmichael, G.R.1
-
5
-
-
0038355080
-
An ensemble air-quality forecast over western Europe during an ozone episode
-
Delle Monache, L., and R. B. Stull (2003), An ensemble air-quality forecast over western Europe during an ozone episode, Atmos. Environ., 37, 3469-3474.
-
(2003)
Atmos. Environ
, vol.37
, pp. 3469-3474
-
-
Delle Monache, L.1
Stull, R.B.2
-
6
-
-
33646340943
-
Ozone ensemble forecasts: 1. A new ensemble design
-
doi:10.1029/2005JD006310
-
Delle Monache, L., X. Deng, Y. Zhou, and R. Stull (2006a), Ozone ensemble forecasts: 1. A new ensemble design, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D05307, doi:10.1029/2005JD006310.
-
(2006)
J. Geophys. Res
, vol.111
-
-
Delle Monache, L.1
Deng, X.2
Zhou, Y.3
Stull, R.4
-
7
-
-
33646368683
-
Ozone ensemble forecasts: 2. A Kalman filter predictor bias correction
-
doi:10.1029/2005JD006311
-
Delle Monache, L., T. Nipen, X. Deng, Y. Zhou, and R. Stull (2006b), Ozone ensemble forecasts: 2. A Kalman filter predictor bias correction, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D05308, doi:10.1029/2005JD006311.
-
(2006)
J. Geophys. Res
, vol.111
-
-
Delle Monache, L.1
Nipen, T.2
Deng, X.3
Zhou, Y.4
Stull, R.5
-
8
-
-
27544471362
-
Fully coupled "online" chemistry within the WRF model
-
Grell, G. A., S. E. Peckham, R. Schmitz, S. A. McKeen, G. Frost, W. Skamarock, and B. Eder (2005), Fully coupled "online" chemistry within the WRF model, Atmos. Environ., 39, 6957-6975.
-
(2005)
Atmos. Environ
, vol.39
, pp. 6957-6975
-
-
Grell, G.A.1
Peckham, S.E.2
Schmitz, R.3
McKeen, S.A.4
Frost, G.5
Skamarock, W.6
Eder, B.7
-
9
-
-
0008510807
-
-
341 pp, Cambridge Univ. Press, New York
-
Kalnay, E. (2003), Atmospheric Modeling, Data Assimilation and Predictability, 341 pp., Cambridge Univ. Press, New York.
-
(2003)
Atmospheric Modeling, Data Assimilation and Predictability
-
-
Kalnay, E.1
-
10
-
-
0003919225
-
-
Katz, R. W, and A. H. Murphy Eds, 222 pp, Cambridge Univ. Press, New York
-
Katz, R. W., and A. H. Murphy (Eds.) (1997), Economic Value of Weather and Climate Forecasts, 222 pp., Cambridge Univ. Press, New York.
-
(1997)
Economic Value of Weather and Climate Forecasts
-
-
-
11
-
-
1642486239
-
The cost-loss decision model and air pollution forecasting
-
Kernan, G. L. (1975), The cost-loss decision model and air pollution forecasting, J. Appl. Meteorol., 14, 8-16.
-
(1975)
J. Appl. Meteorol
, vol.14
, pp. 8-16
-
-
Kernan, G.L.1
-
12
-
-
84905350625
-
A model for assessement of weather forecasts
-
Mason, I. (1982), A model for assessement of weather forecasts, Aust. Meteorol. Mag., 37, 75-81.
-
(1982)
Aust. Meteorol. Mag
, vol.37
, pp. 75-81
-
-
Mason, I.1
-
13
-
-
33646484666
-
Improved representation of cloud/ actinic flux interaction in multiscale photochemical models
-
Am. Meteorol. Soc, Long Beach, Calif
-
McHenry, J. N., and C. J. Coats (2003), Improved representation of cloud/ actinic flux interaction in multiscale photochemical models, paper presented at 5th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry: Gases, Aerosols, and Clouds, Am. Meteorol. Soc., Long Beach, Calif.
-
(2003)
paper presented at 5th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry: Gases, Aerosols, and Clouds
-
-
McHenry, J.N.1
Coats, C.J.2
-
14
-
-
29244474099
-
Assessment of an ensemble of seven real-time ozone forecasts over eastern North America during the summer of 2004
-
doi:10.1029/2005JD005858
-
McKeen, S., et al. (2005), Assessment of an ensemble of seven real-time ozone forecasts over eastern North America during the summer of 2004, J. Geophys. Res., 110, D21307, doi:10.1029/2005JD005858.
-
(2005)
J. Geophys. Res
, vol.110
-
-
McKeen, S.1
-
15
-
-
84905346427
-
-
Moran, M. D., A. P. Dastoor, S.-L. Gong, W. Gong, and P. A. Makar (1998), Conceptual design for the AES unified regional air quality modelling system (AURAMS), internal report, 100 pp., Air Qual. Res. Branch, Meteorol. Serv. of Can., Toronto, Ont., Canada.
-
Moran, M. D., A. P. Dastoor, S.-L. Gong, W. Gong, and P. A. Makar (1998), Conceptual design for the AES unified regional air quality modelling system (AURAMS), internal report, 100 pp., Air Qual. Res. Branch, Meteorol. Serv. of Can., Toronto, Ont., Canada.
-
-
-
-
16
-
-
0000918735
-
A new vector partition of the probability score
-
Murphy, A. H. (1973), A new vector partition of the probability score, J. Appl. Meteorol., 4, 595-600.
-
(1973)
J. Appl. Meteorol
, vol.4
, pp. 595-600
-
-
Murphy, A.H.1
-
17
-
-
0000800652
-
The value of climatological, categorical and probabilistic forecasts in the cost-loss ratio situation
-
Murphy, A. H. (1977), The value of climatological, categorical and probabilistic forecasts in the cost-loss ratio situation, Mon. Weather Rev., 105, 803-816.
-
(1977)
Mon. Weather Rev
, vol.105
, pp. 803-816
-
-
Murphy, A.H.1
-
18
-
-
0002307133
-
The use of forecast value calculations for optimal decision making using probability forecats
-
Am. Meteorol. Soc, Denver, Colo
-
Mylne, K. (1999), The use of forecast value calculations for optimal decision making using probability forecats, paper presented at 17th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Am. Meteorol. Soc., Denver, Colo.
-
(1999)
paper presented at 17th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting
-
-
Mylne, K.1
-
19
-
-
21844437124
-
A simple method to improve ensemble-based ozone forecasts
-
doi:10.1029/ 2004GL022305
-
Pagowski, M., et al. (2005), A simple method to improve ensemble-based ozone forecasts, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L07814, doi:10.1029/ 2004GL022305.
-
(2005)
Geophys. Res. Lett
, vol.32
-
-
Pagowski, M.1
-
20
-
-
33646171362
-
Application of dynamic linear regression to improve the skill of ensemble-based deterministic ozone forecasts
-
Pagowski, M., et al. (2006), Application of dynamic linear regression to improve the skill of ensemble-based deterministic ozone forecasts, Atmos. Environ., 40, 3240-3250.
-
(2006)
Atmos. Environ
, vol.40
, pp. 3240-3250
-
-
Pagowski, M.1
-
21
-
-
0031407712
-
Semi-Lagrangian modeling of tropospheric ozone
-
Pudykiewicz, J., A. Kallaur, and P. K. Smolarkiewicz (1997), Semi-Lagrangian modeling of tropospheric ozone, Tellus, Ser. B, 49, 231-258.
-
(1997)
Tellus, Ser. B
, vol.49
, pp. 231-258
-
-
Pudykiewicz, J.1
Kallaur, A.2
Smolarkiewicz, P.K.3
-
22
-
-
0034052601
-
Skill and relative economic value of the ECMWT ensemble prediction system
-
Richardson, D. S. (2000), Skill and relative economic value of the ECMWT ensemble prediction system, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 126, 649-667.
-
(2000)
Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc
, vol.126
, pp. 649-667
-
-
Richardson, D.S.1
-
23
-
-
4344630543
-
Economic value and skill
-
edited by I. T. Joliffe and D. R. Stephenson, pp, John Wiley, Hoboken, N. J
-
Richardson, D. S. (2003), Economic value and skill, in Forecast Verification. A Practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science, edited by I. T. Joliffe and D. R. Stephenson, pp. 164-187, John Wiley, Hoboken, N. J.
-
(2003)
Forecast Verification. A Practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science
, pp. 164-187
-
-
Richardson, D.S.1
-
24
-
-
0034113341
-
NARSTO critical review of photochemical models and modeling
-
Russell, A., and R. Dennis (2000), NARSTO critical review of photochemical models and modeling, Atmos. Environ., 34, 2283-2324.
-
(2000)
Atmos. Environ
, vol.34
, pp. 2283-2324
-
-
Russell, A.1
Dennis, R.2
-
25
-
-
0005887954
-
The economic utility of weather forecasts
-
Thompson, J. C., and G. W. Brier (1955), The economic utility of weather forecasts, Mon. Weather Rev., 83, 249-253.
-
(1955)
Mon. Weather Rev
, vol.83
, pp. 249-253
-
-
Thompson, J.C.1
Brier, G.W.2
-
26
-
-
34547860167
-
Multi-model ensemble ozone forecast over Europe: Analysis of uncertainty
-
Eur. Geophys. Soc, Nice, France, 25-30 Mar
-
Vautard, R., N. Blond, H. Schmidt, C. Derognat, and M. Beekmann (2001), Multi-model ensemble ozone forecast over Europe: Analysis of uncertainty, paper presented at 26th General Assembly, Eur. Geophys. Soc., Nice, France, 25-30 Mar.
-
(2001)
paper presented at 26th General Assembly
-
-
Vautard, R.1
Blond, N.2
Schmidt, H.3
Derognat, C.4
Beekmann, M.5
-
27
-
-
0003751465
-
-
680 pp, Springer, New York
-
West, M., and J. Harrison (1989), Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models, 680 pp., Springer, New York.
-
(1989)
Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models
-
-
West, M.1
Harrison, J.2
-
29
-
-
0000613410
-
A skill score based on economic value for probability forecasts
-
Wilks, D. S. (2001), A skill score based on economic value for probability forecasts, Meteorol. Appl., 8, 209-219.
-
(2001)
Meteorol. Appl
, vol.8
, pp. 209-219
-
-
Wilks, D.S.1
-
30
-
-
0036237584
-
The economic value of ensemble-based weather forecasts
-
Zhu, Y., Z. Toth, R. Wobus, D. Richardson, and K. Mylne (2002), The economic value of ensemble-based weather forecasts, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 83, 73-83.
-
(2002)
Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc
, vol.83
, pp. 73-83
-
-
Zhu, Y.1
Toth, Z.2
Wobus, R.3
Richardson, D.4
Mylne, K.5
|